Oscar Predictions – Best Actor

Here are the NBP staff predictions for Best Actor. For an overview of all awards predictions, visit our Oscar Predictions page.

Click each heading to view individual staff rankings, or search/sort by the drop-downs below:




NBP Staff Picks

Matt Neglia
1Brendan Fraser (THE WHALE)
2Austin Butler (ELVIS)
3Colin Farrell (THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN)
4Bill Nighy (LIVING)
5Paul Mescal (AFTERSUN)
6Hugh Jackman (THE SON)
7Tom Cruise (TOP GUN: MAVERICK)
8Diego Calva (BABYLON)
9Adam Driver (WHITE NOISE)
10Adam Sandler (HUSTLE)

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Dan Bayer
1Brendan Fraser (THE WHALE)
2Colin Farrell (THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN)
3Hugh Jackman (THE SON)
4Austin Butler (ELVIS)
5Bill Nighy (LIVING)
6Tom Cruise (TOP GUN: MAVERICK)
7Diego Calva (BABYLON)
8Paul Mescal (AFTERSUN)
9Adam Driver (WHITE NOISE)
10Jeremy Pope (THE INSPECTION)

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Zoe Rose Bryant
1Austin Butler (ELVIS)
2Austin Butler (ELVIS)
3Colin Farrell (THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN)
4Bill Nighy (LIVING)
5Paul Mescal (AFTERSUN)
6Tom Cruise (TOP GUN: MAVERICK)
7Diego Calva (BABYLON)
8Hugh Jackman (THE SON)
9Gabriel LaBelle (THE FABELMANS)
10Adam Sandler (HUSTLE)

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Danilo Castro
1Brendan Fraser (THE WHALE)
2Colin Farrell (THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN)
3Austin Butler (ELVIS)
4Bill Nighy (LIVING)
5Tom Cruise (TOP GUN: MAVERICK)
6Diego Calva (BABYLON)
7Paul Mescal (AFTERSUN)
8Adam Driver (WHITE NOISE)
9Daniel Giménez Cacho (BARDO)
10Song Kang-ho (BROKER)

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Nadia Dalimonte
1Brendan Fraser (THE WHALE)
2Austin Butler (ELVIS)
3Colin Farrell (THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN)
4Bill Nighy (LIVING)
5Paul Mescal (AFTERSUN)
6Diego Calva (BABYLON)
7Hugh Jackman (THE SON)
8Tom Cruise (TOP GUN: MAVERICK)
9Adam Sandler (HUSTLE)
10Jeremy Pope (THE INSPECTION)

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Cody Dericks
1Colin Farrell (THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN)
2Brendan Fraser (THE WHALE)
3Austin Butler (ELVIS)
4Bill Nighy (LIVING)
5Daniel Giménez Cacho (BARDO)
6Tom Cruise (TOP GUN: MAVERICK)
7Diego Calva (BABYLON)
8Jeremy Pope (THE INSPECTION)
9Paul Mescal (AFTERSUN)
10Adam Driver (WHITE NOISE)

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Daniel Howat
1Brendan Fraser (THE WHALE)
2Colin Farrell (THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN)
3Austin Butler (ELVIS)
4Bill Nighy (LIVING)
5Daniel Giménez Cacho (BARDO)
6Hugh Jackman (THE SON)
7Tom Cruise (TOP GUN: MAVERICK)
8Diego Calva (BABYLON)
9Will Smith (EMANCIPATION)
10Adam Driver (WHITE NOISE)

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Will Mavity
1Brendan Fraser (THE WHALE)
2Austin Butler (ELVIS)
3Colin Farrell (THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN)
4Bill Nighy (LIVING)
5Hugh Jackman (THE SON)
6Diego Calva (BABYLON)
7Tom Cruise (TOP GUN: MAVERICK)
8Paul Mescal (AFTERSUN)
9Adam Sandler (HUSTLE)
10Adam Driver (WHITE NOISE)

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Tom O'Brien
1Brendan Fraser (THE WHALE)
2Colin Farrell (THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN)
3Austin Butler (ELVIS)
4Bill Nighy (LIVING)
5Hugh Jackman (THE SON)
6Paul Mescal (AFTERSUN)
7Tom Cruise (TOP GUN: MAVERICK)
8Diego Calva (BABYLON)
9Adam Sandler (HUSTLE)
10Adam Driver (WHITE NOISE)

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Josh Parham
1Brendan Fraser (THE WHALE)
2Austin Butler (ELVIS)
3Colin Farrell (THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN)
4Bill Nighy (LIVING)
5Hugh Jackman (THE SON)
6Paul Mescal (AFTERSUN)
7Diego Calva (BABYLON)
8Tom Cruise (TOP GUN: MAVERICK)
9Daniel Giménez Cacho (BARDO)
10Jeremy Pope (THE INSPECTION)

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Ema Sasic
1Austin Butler (ELVIS)
2Brendan Fraser (THE WHALE)
3Colin Farrell (THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN)
4Bill Nighy (LIVING)
5Diego Calva (BABYLON)
6Paul Mescal (AFTERSUN)
7Tom Cruise (TOP GUN: MAVERICK)
8Jeremy Pope (THE INSPECTION)
9Daniel Giménez Cacho (BARDO)
10Adam Driver (WHITE NOISE)

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Amy Smith
1Brendan Fraser (THE WHALE)
2Colin Farrell (THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN)
3Austin Butler (ELVIS)
4Hugh Jackman (THE SON)
5Bill Nighy (LIVING)
6Tom Cruise (TOP GUN: MAVERICK)
7Diego Calva (BABYLON)
8Adam Driver (WHITE NOISE)
9Jeremy Pope (THE INSPECTION)
10Paul Mescal (AFTERSUN)

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