Oscar Predictions – Best Actor

Here are the NBP staff predictions for Best Actor. For an overview of all awards predictions, visit our Oscar Predictions page.

Click each heading to view individual staff rankings, or search/sort by the drop-downs below:




NBP Staff Picks

Matt Neglia
1Brendan Fraser (THE WHALE)
2Colin Farrell (THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN)
3Austin Butler (ELVIS)
4Diego Calva (BABYLON)
5Bill Nighy (LIVING)
6Hugh Jackman (THE SON)
7Adam Driver (WHITE NOISE)
8Jeremy Pope (THE INSPECTION)
9Tom Cruise (TOP GUN: MAVERICK)
10Song Kang-ho (BROKER)

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Dan Bayer
1Brendan Fraser (THE WHALE)
2Hugh Jackman (THE SON)
3Colin Farrell (THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN)
4Austin Butler (ELVIS)
5Bill Nighy (LIVING)
6Tom Cruise (TOP GUN: MAVERICK)
7Diego Calva (BABYLON)
8Adam Driver (WHITE NOISE)
9Christian Bale (AMSTERDAM)
10Jeremy Pope (THE INSPECTION)

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Zoe Rose Bryant
1Brendan Fraser (THE WHALE)
2Austin Butler (ELVIS)
3Colin Farrell (THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN)
4Hugh Jackman (THE SON)
5Diego Calva (BABYLON)
6Bill Nighy (LIVING)
7Tom Cruise (TOP GUN: MAVERICK)
8Jeremy Pope (THE INSPECTION)
9Adam Driver (WHITE NOISE)
10Daniel Giménez Cacho (BARDO)

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Danilo Castro
1Brendan Fraser (THE WHALE)
2Colin Farrell (THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN)
3Austin Butler (ELVIS)
4Bill Nighy (LIVING)
5Hugh Jackman (THE SON)
6Diego Calva (BABYLON)
7Song Kang-ho (BROKER)
8Adam Driver (WHITE NOISE)
9Jeremy Pope (THE INSPECTION)
10Christian Bale (AMSTERDAM)

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Nadia Dalimonte
1Brendan Fraser (THE WHALE)
2Austin Butler (ELVIS)
3Colin Farrell (THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN)
4Hugh Jackman (THE SON)
5Adam Driver (WHITE NOISE)
6Diego Calva (BABYLON)
7Bill Nighy (LIVING)
8Jeremy Pope (THE INSPECTION)
9Song Kang-ho (BROKER)
10Micheal Ward (EMPIRE OF LIGHT)

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Cody Dericks
1Colin Farrell (THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN)
2Brendan Fraser (THE WHALE)
3Austin Butler (ELVIS)
4Bill Nighy (LIVING)
5Diego Calva (BABYLON)
6Tom Cruise (TOP GUN: MAVERICK)
7Jeremy Pope (THE INSPECTION)
8Song Kang-ho (BROKER)
9Adam Driver (WHITE NOISE)
10Kelvin Harrison Jr. (CHEVALIER)

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Daniel Howat
1Colin Farrell (THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN)
2Brendan Fraser (THE WHALE)
3Austin Butler (ELVIS)
4Diego Calva (BABYLON)
5Hugh Jackman (THE SON)
6Bill Nighy (LIVING)
7Daniel Giménez Cacho (BARDO)
8Adam Driver (WHITE NOISE)
9Paul Mescal (AFTERSUN)
10Tom Cruise (TOP GUN: MAVERICK)

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Will Mavity
1Brendan Fraser (THE WHALE)
2Austin Butler (ELVIS)
3Colin Farrell (THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN)
4Hugh Jackman (THE SON)
5Bill Nighy (LIVING)
6Diego Calva (BABYLON)
7Song Kang-ho (BROKER)
8Jeremy Pope (THE INSPECTION)
9Adam Driver (WHITE NOISE)
10Tom Cruise (TOP GUN: MAVERICK)

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Tom O'Brien
1Brendan Fraser (THE WHALE)
2Hugh Jackman (THE SON)
3Colin Farrell (THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN)
4Austin Butler (ELVIS)
5Bill Nighy (LIVING)
6Song Kang-ho (BROKER)
7Diego Calva (BABYLON)
8Christian Bale (THOR: LOVE AND THUNDER)
9Adam Driver (WHITE NOISE)
10Jeremy Pope (THE INSPECTION)

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Josh Parham
1Brendan Fraser (THE WHALE)
2Colin Farrell (THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN)
3Hugh Jackman (THE SON)
4Austin Butler (ELVIS)
5Diego Calva (BABYLON)
6Bill Nighy (LIVING)
7Tom Cruise (TOP GUN: MAVERICK)
8Song Kang-ho (BROKER)
9Jeremy Pope (THE INSPECTION)
10Adam Driver (WHITE NOISE)

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Ema Sasic
1Brendan Fraser (THE WHALE)
2Hugh Jackman (THE SON)
3Austin Butler (ELVIS)
4Colin Farrell (THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN)
5Bill Nighy (LIVING)
6Diego Calva (BABYLON)
7Adam Driver (WHITE NOISE)
8Song Kang-ho (BROKER)
9Paul Mescal (AFTERSUN)
10Tom Cruise (TOP GUN: MAVERICK)

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Amy Smith
1Brendan Fraser (THE WHALE)
2Colin Farrell (THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN)
3Austin Butler (ELVIS)
4Hugh Jackman (THE SON)
5Diego Calva (BABYLON)
6Bill Nighy (LIVING)
7Tom Cruise (TOP GUN: MAVERICK)
8Adam Driver (WHITE NOISE)
9Jeremy Pope (THE INSPECTION)
10Paul Mescal (AFTERSUN)

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