Oscar Predictions – Best Original Screenplay

Here are the NBP staff predictions for Best Original Screenplay. For an overview of all awards predictions, visit our Oscar Predictions page.

Click each heading to view individual staff rankings, or search/sort by the drop-downs below:

NBP Staff Picks

	Matt Neglia
1	SINNERS (Ryan Coogler)
2	MARTY SUPREME (Ronald Bronstein & Josh Safdie)
3	SENTIMENTAL VALUE (Joachim Trier & Eskil Vogt)
4	IT WAS JUST AN ACCIDENT (Jafar Panahi, Nader Saeivar, Shadmehr Rastin, Mehdi Mahmoudian)
5	BLUE MOON (Robert Kaplow)	▲ 1

 
 

Last Updated:

1/22/2026 11:20 AM

 
 

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	Dan Bayer
1	SINNERS (Ryan Coogler)
2	SENTIMENTAL VALUE (Joachim Trier & Eskil Vogt)
3	MARTY SUPREME (Ronald Bronstein & Josh Safdie)
4	IT WAS JUST AN ACCIDENT (Jafar Panahi, Nader Saeivar, Shadmehr Rastin, Mehdi Mahmoudian)
5	BLUE MOON (Robert Kaplow)	▲ 1

 
 

Last Updated:

1/22/2026 10:20 AM

 
 

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	Alyssa Christian
1	SINNERS (Ryan Coogler)
2	MARTY SUPREME (Ronald Bronstein & Josh Safdie)
3	SENTIMENTAL VALUE (Joachim Trier & Eskil Vogt)
4	IT WAS JUST AN ACCIDENT (Jafar Panahi, Nader Saeivar, Shadmehr Rastin, Mehdi Mahmoudian)
5	BLUE MOON (Robert Kaplow)	NEW

 
 

Last Updated:

1/23/2026 10:20 PM

 
 

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	Sara Clements
1	SINNERS (Ryan Coogler)
2	MARTY SUPREME (Ronald Bronstein & Josh Safdie)
3	SENTIMENTAL VALUE (Joachim Trier & Eskil Vogt)
4	IT WAS JUST AN ACCIDENT (Jafar Panahi, Nader Saeivar, Shadmehr Rastin, Mehdi Mahmoudian)
5	BLUE MOON (Robert Kaplow)	NEW

 
 

Last Updated:

1/26/2026 2:36 PM

 
 

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	Nadia Dalimonte
1	SINNERS (Ryan Coogler)
2	SENTIMENTAL VALUE (Joachim Trier & Eskil Vogt)
3	MARTY SUPREME (Ronald Bronstein & Josh Safdie)
4	IT WAS JUST AN ACCIDENT (Jafar Panahi, Nader Saeivar, Shadmehr Rastin, Mehdi Mahmoudian)
5	BLUE MOON (Robert Kaplow)	NEW

 
 

Last Updated:

1/23/2026 3:35 PM

 
 

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	Cody Dericks
1	SINNERS (Ryan Coogler)
2	SENTIMENTAL VALUE (Joachim Trier & Eskil Vogt)
3	MARTY SUPREME (Ronald Bronstein & Josh Safdie)
4	IT WAS JUST AN ACCIDENT (Jafar Panahi, Nader Saeivar, Shadmehr Rastin, Mehdi Mahmoudian)
5	BLUE MOON (Robert Kaplow)	NEW

 
 

Last Updated:

1/22/2026 1:35 PM

 
 

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	Daniel Howat
1	SINNERS (Ryan Coogler)
2	IT WAS JUST AN ACCIDENT (Jafar Panahi, Nader Saeivar, Shadmehr Rastin, Mehdi Mahmoudian)
3	SENTIMENTAL VALUE (Joachim Trier & Eskil Vogt)
4	MARTY SUPREME (Ronald Bronstein & Josh Safdie)
5	BLUE MOON (Robert Kaplow)	NEW

 
 

Last Updated:

1/23/2026 9:51 AM

 
 

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	Megan Lachinski
1	SINNERS (Ryan Coogler)
2	IT WAS JUST AN ACCIDENT (Jafar Panahi, Nader Saeivar, Shadmehr Rastin, Mehdi Mahmoudian)
3	SENTIMENTAL VALUE (Joachim Trier & Eskil Vogt)	▲ 1
4	MARTY SUPREME (Ronald Bronstein & Josh Safdie)	▼ 1
5	BLUE MOON (Robert Kaplow)

 
 

Last Updated:

1/29/2026 6:21 PM

 
 

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	Giovanni Lago
1	SINNERS (Ryan Coogler)
2	MARTY SUPREME (Ronald Bronstein & Josh Safdie)
3	SENTIMENTAL VALUE (Joachim Trier & Eskil Vogt)
4	IT WAS JUST AN ACCIDENT (Jafar Panahi, Nader Saeivar, Shadmehr Rastin, Mehdi Mahmoudian)
5	BLUE MOON (Robert Kaplow)	▲ 1

 
 

Last Updated:

1/22/2026 10:35 AM

 
 

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	Will Mavity
1	SINNERS (Ryan Coogler)
2	SENTIMENTAL VALUE (Joachim Trier & Eskil Vogt)
3	MARTY SUPREME (Ronald Bronstein & Josh Safdie)
4	IT WAS JUST AN ACCIDENT (Jafar Panahi, Nader Saeivar, Shadmehr Rastin, Mehdi Mahmoudian)
5	BLUE MOON (Robert Kaplow)	▲ 3

 
 

Last Updated:

1/22/2026 10:20 AM

 
 

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	Tom O'Brien
1	SINNERS (Ryan Coogler)	▲ 1
2	SENTIMENTAL VALUE (Joachim Trier & Eskil Vogt)	▲ 1
3	MARTY SUPREME (Ronald Bronstein & Josh Safdie)	▲ 1
4	IT WAS JUST AN ACCIDENT (Jafar Panahi, Nader Saeivar, Shadmehr Rastin, Mehdi Mahmoudian)	▼ 3
5	BLUE MOON (Robert Kaplow)

 
 

Last Updated:

1/23/2026 1:51 AM

 
 

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	Josh Parham
1	SINNERS (Ryan Coogler)
2	SENTIMENTAL VALUE (Joachim Trier & Eskil Vogt)	▲ 1
3	MARTY SUPREME (Ronald Bronstein & Josh Safdie)	▲ 1
4	IT WAS JUST AN ACCIDENT (Jafar Panahi, Nader Saeivar, Shadmehr Rastin, Mehdi Mahmoudian)	▼ 2
5	BLUE MOON (Robert Kaplow)	▲ 3

 
 

Last Updated:

1/17/2026 9:20 PM

 
 

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	Ema Sasic
1	SINNERS (Ryan Coogler)
2	IT WAS JUST AN ACCIDENT (Jafar Panahi, Nader Saeivar, Shadmehr Rastin, Mehdi Mahmoudian)
3	SENTIMENTAL VALUE (Joachim Trier & Eskil Vogt)
4	MARTY SUPREME (Ronald Bronstein & Josh Safdie)
5	BLUE MOON (Robert Kaplow)	NEW

 
 

Last Updated:

1/23/2026 2:21 PM

 
 

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