Oscar Predictions – Best Original Screenplay

Here are the NBP staff predictions for Best Original Screenplay. For an overview of all awards predictions, visit our Oscar Predictions page.

Click each heading to view individual staff rankings, or search/sort by the drop-downs below:


NBP Staff Picks

Matt Neglia
1AFTER THE HUNT (Nora Garrett)
2JAY KELLY (Noah Baumbach & Emily Mortimer)
3SINNERS (Ryan Coogler)
4SENTIMENTAL VALUE (Joachim Trier & Eskil Vogt)
5IT WAS JUST AN ACCIDENT (Jafar Panahi)
6MARTY SUPREME (Ronald Bronstein & Josh Safdie)
7A HOUSE FULL OF DYNAMITE (Noah Oppenheim)
8NOUVELLE VAGUE (Holly Gent, Laetitia Masson, Vincent Palmo Jr. & Michèle Pétin)
9THE RIVALS OF AMZIAH KING (James Montague & Andrew Patterson)
10SORRY BABY (Eva Victor)

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Dan Bayer
1SENTIMENTAL VALUE (Joachim Trier & Eskil Vogt)
2JAY KELLY (Noah Baumbach & Emily Mortimer)
3AFTER THE HUNT (Nora Garrett)
4IT WAS JUST AN ACCIDENT (Jafar Panahi)
5MARTY SUPREME (Ronald Bronstein & Josh Safdie)
6SINNERS (Ryan Coogler)
7SORRY BABY (Eva Victor)
8THE SECRET AGENT (Kleber Mendonça Filho)
9NOUVELLE VAGUE (Holly Gent, Laetitia Masson, Vincent Palmo Jr. & Michèle Pétin)
10ANN LEE (Brady Corbet & Mona Fastvold)

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Alyssa Christian
1SINNERS (Ryan Coogler)
2AFTER THE HUNT (Nora Garrett)
3SENTIMENTAL VALUE (Joachim Trier & Eskil Vogt)
4MARTY SUPREME (Ronald Bronstein & Josh Safdie)
5JAY KELLY (Noah Baumbach & Emily Mortimer)
6SORRY BABY (Eva Victor)
7IT WAS JUST AN ACCIDENT (Jafar Panahi)
8THE SECRET AGENT (Kleber Mendonça Filho)
9ANN LEE (Brady Corbet & Mona Fastvold)
10THE RIVALS OF AMZIAH KING (James Montague & Andrew Patterson)

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Sara Clements
1AFTER THE HUNT (Nora Garrett)
2JAY KELLY (Noah Baumbach & Emily Mortimer)
3SINNERS (Ryan Coogler)
4SENTIMENTAL VALUE (Joachim Trier & Eskil Vogt)
5IT WAS JUST AN ACCIDENT (Jafar Panahi)
6MARTY SUPREME (Ronald Bronstein & Josh Safdie)
7ANN LEE (Brady Corbet & Mona Fastvold)
8NOUVELLE VAGUE (Holly Gent, Laetitia Masson, Vincent Palmo Jr. & Michèle Pétin)
9THE RIVALS OF AMZIAH KING (James Montague & Andrew Patterson)
10SORRY BABY (Eva Victor)

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Nadia Dalimonte
1JAY KELLY (Noah Baumbach & Emily Mortimer)
2SINNERS (Ryan Coogler)
3SENTIMENTAL VALUE (Joachim Trier & Eskil Vogt)
4SORRY BABY (Eva Victor)
5AFTER THE HUNT (Nora Garrett)
6IT WAS JUST AN ACCIDENT (Jafar Panahi)
7MARTY SUPREME (Ronald Bronstein & Josh Safdie)
8A HOUSE FULL OF DYNAMITE (Noah Oppenheim)
9ANN LEE (Brady Corbet & Mona Fastvold)
10THE RIVALS OF AMZIAH KING (James Montague & Andrew Patterson)

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Cody Dericks
1SENTIMENTAL VALUE (Joachim Trier & Eskil Vogt)
2JAY KELLY (Noah Baumbach & Emily Mortimer)
3AFTER THE HUNT (Nora Garrett)
4IT WAS JUST AN ACCIDENT (Jafar Panahi)
5MARTY SUPREME (Ronald Bronstein & Josh Safdie)
6SORRY BABY (Eva Victor)
7SINNERS (Ryan Coogler)
8THE SECRET AGENT (Kleber Mendonça Filho)
9ELLA MCCAY (James L. Brooks)
10BLACK BAG (David Koepp)

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Daniel Howat
1JAY KELLY (Noah Baumbach & Emily Mortimer)
2SENTIMENTAL VALUE (Joachim Trier & Eskil Vogt)
3SINNERS (Ryan Coogler)
4AFTER THE HUNT (Nora Garrett)
5SORRY BABY (Eva Victor)
6IT WAS JUST AN ACCIDENT (Jafar Panahi)
7MARTY SUPREME (Ronald Bronstein & Josh Safdie)
8A HOUSE FULL OF DYNAMITE (Noah Oppenheim)
9THE SECRET AGENT (Kleber Mendonça Filho)
10THE RIVALS OF AMZIAH KING (James Montague & Andrew Patterson)

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Megan Lachinski
1AFTER THE HUNT (Nora Garrett)
2SINNERS (Ryan Coogler)
3JAY KELLY (Noah Baumbach & Emily Mortimer)
4MARTY SUPREME (Ronald Bronstein & Josh Safdie)
5SENTIMENTAL VALUE (Joachim Trier & Eskil Vogt)
6SORRY BABY (Eva Victor)
7IT WAS JUST AN ACCIDENT (Jafar Panahi)
8THE SECRET AGENT (Kleber Mendonça Filho)
9ANN LEE (Brady Corbet & Mona Fastvold)
10A HOUSE FULL OF DYNAMITE (Noah Oppenheim)

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Giovanni Lago
1SINNERS (Ryan Coogler)
2SENTIMENTAL VALUE (Joachim Trier & Eskil Vogt)
3MARTY SUPREME (Ronald Bronstein & Josh Safdie)
4JAY KELLY (Noah Baumbach & Emily Mortimer)
5AFTER THE HUNT (Nora Garrett)
6IT WAS JUST AN ACCIDENT (Jafar Panahi)
7THE SECRET AGENT (Kleber Mendonça Filho)
8MATERIALISTS (Celine Song)
9SORRY BABY (Eva Victor)
10ANN LEE (Brady Corbet & Mona Fastvold)

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Will Mavity
1AFTER THE HUNT (Nora Garrett)
2JAY KELLY (Noah Baumbach & Emily Mortimer)
3SENTIMENTAL VALUE (Joachim Trier & Eskil Vogt)
4MARTY SUPREME (Ronald Bronstein & Josh Safdie)
5IT WAS JUST AN ACCIDENT (Jafar Panahi)
6SINNERS (Ryan Coogler)
7ANN LEE (Brady Corbet & Mona Fastvold)
8A HOUSE FULL OF DYNAMITE (Noah Oppenheim)
9FATHER MOTHER SISTER BROTHER (Jim Jarmusch)
10THE RIVALS OF AMZIAH KING (James Montague & Andrew Patterson)

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Tom O'Brien
1JAY KELLY (Noah Baumbach & Emily Mortimer)
2SENTIMENTAL VALUE (Joachim Trier & Eskil Vogt)
3SINNERS (Ryan Coogler)
4AFTER THE HUNT (Nora Garrett)
5IT WAS JUST AN ACCIDENT (Jafar Panahi)
6ELLA MCCAY (James L. Brooks)
7SORRY BABY (Eva Victor)
8MARTY SUPREME (Ronald Bronstein & Josh Safdie)
9THE RIVALS OF AMZIAH KING (James Montague & Andrew Patterson)
10ANN LEE (Brady Corbet & Mona Fastvold)

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Josh Parham
1JAY KELLY (Noah Baumbach & Emily Mortimer)
2SINNERS (Ryan Coogler)
3SENTIMENTAL VALUE (Joachim Trier & Eskil Vogt)
4IT WAS JUST AN ACCIDENT (Jafar Panahi)
5SORRY BABY (Eva Victor)
6AFTER THE HUNT (Nora Garrett)
7MARTY SUPREME (Ronald Bronstein & Josh Safdie)
8A HOUSE FULL OF DYNAMITE (Noah Oppenheim)
9ANN LEE (Brady Corbet & Mona Fastvold)
10ELLA MCCAY (James L. Brooks)

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Joselyn Safadi
1SINNERS (Ryan Coogler)
2AFTER THE HUNT (Nora Garrett)
3MARTY SUPREME (Ronald Bronstein & Josh Safdie)
4SENTIMENTAL VALUE (Joachim Trier & Eskil Vogt)
5THE RIVALS OF AMZIAH KING (James Montague & Andrew Patterson)
6JAY KELLY (Noah Baumbach & Emily Mortimer)
7SORRY BABY (Eva Victor)
8ANN LEE (Brady Corbet & Mona Fastvold)
9THE SECRET AGENT (Kleber Mendonça Filho)
10A HOUSE FULL OF DYNAMITE (Noah Oppenheim)

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Ema Sasic
1JAY KELLY (Noah Baumbach & Emily Mortimer)
2SENTIMENTAL VALUE (Joachim Trier & Eskil Vogt)
3SINNERS (Ryan Coogler)
4AFTER THE HUNT (Nora Garrett)
5MARTY SUPREME (Ronald Bronstein & Josh Safdie)
6IT WAS JUST AN ACCIDENT (Jafar Panahi)
7NOUVELLE VAGUE (Holly Gent, Laetitia Masson, Vincent Palmo Jr. & Michèle Pétin)
8ANN LEE (Brady Corbet & Mona Fastvold)
9THE RIVALS OF AMZIAH KING (James Montague & Andrew Patterson)
10SORRY BABY (Eva Victor)

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