Oscar Predictions – Tom O’Brien

Here are Tom O’Brien’s 2022 Oscar Predictions. Ranking is updated in real-time, and is constantly changing until the end of the year. Accuracy will be calculated after the winners are announced at The 95th Annual Academy Awards on March 12, 2023.

Click each heading to view individual staff rankings, or search/sort by the drop-downs below:




Best Picture

Tom O'Brien
1THE FABELMANS
2THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN
3EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE
4WOMEN TALKING
5TOP GUN: MAVERICK
6BABYLON
7TÁR
8ELVIS
9AVATAR: THE WAY OF WATER
10THE WHALE

Best Director

Tom O'Brien
1Steven Spielberg (THE FABELMANS)
2Daniel Kwan, Daniel Scheinert (EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE)
3Todd Field (TÁR)
4Martin McDonagh (THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN)
5Sarah Polley (WOMEN TALKING)
6Damien Chazelle (BABYLON)
7Darren Aronofsky (THE WHALE)
8Alejandro G. Iñárritu (BARDO)
9James Cameron (AVATAR: THE WAY OF WATER)
10Ruben Östlund (TRIANGLE OF SADNESS)

Best Actress

Tom O'Brien
1Cate Blanchett (TÁR)
2Danielle Deadwyler (TILL)
3Michelle Yeoh (EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE)
4Michelle Williams (THE FABELMANS)
5Margot Robbie (BABYLON)
6Naomi Ackie (I WANNA DANCE WITH SOMEBODY)
7Viola Davis (THE WOMAN KING)
8Olivia Colman (EMPIRE OF LIGHT)
9Emma Thompson (GOOD LUCK TO YOU, LEO GRANDE)
10Jennifer Lawrence (CAUSEWAY)

Best Actor

Tom O'Brien
1Brendan Fraser (THE WHALE)
2Colin Farrell (THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN)
3Austin Butler (ELVIS)
4Bill Nighy (LIVING)
5Hugh Jackman (THE SON)
6Paul Mescal (AFTERSUN)
7Tom Cruise (TOP GUN: MAVERICK)
8Diego Calva (BABYLON)
9Adam Sandler (HUSTLE)
10Adam Driver (WHITE NOISE)

Best Supporting Actress

Tom O'Brien
1Claire Foy (WOMEN TALKING)
2Kerry Condon (THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN)
3Jessie Buckley (WOMEN TALKING)
4Hong Chau (THE WHALE)
5Carey Mulligan (SHE SAID)
6Dolly de Leon (TRIANGLE OF SADNESS)
7Jamie Lee Curtis (EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE)
8Laura Dern (THE SON)
9Janelle Monáe (GLASS ONION: A KNIVES OUT MYSTERY)
10Stephanie Hsu (EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE)

Best Supporting Actor

Tom O'Brien
1Ke Huy Quan (EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE)
2Brendan Gleeson (THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN)
3Judd Hirsch (THE FABELMANS)
4Ben Whishaw (WOMEN TALKING)
5Barry Keoghan (THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN)
6Paul Dano (THE FABELMANS)
7Brad Pitt (BABYLON)
8Jeremy Strong (ARMAGEDDON TIME)
9Anthony Hopkins (ARMAGEDDON TIME)
10Don Cheadle (WHITE NOISE)

Best Adapted Screenplay

Tom O'Brien
1WOMEN TALKING (Sarah Polley)
2THE WHALE (Samuel D. Hunter)
3GLASS ONION: A KNIVES OUT MYSTERY (Rian Johnson)
4GUILLERMO DEL TORO'S PINOCCHIO (Guillermo del Toro, Patrick McHale, Gris Grimly, Matthew Robbins)
5SHE SAID (Rebecca Lenkiewicz)
6WHITE NOISE (Noah Baumbach)
7LIVING (Kazuo Ishiguro)
8BONES & ALL (David Kajganich)
9THE SON (Christopher Hampton, Florian Zeller)
10TOP GUN: MAVERICK (Ehren Kruger, Eric Warren Singer, Christopher McQuarrie)

Best Original Screenplay

Tom O'Brien
1THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN (Martin McDonagh)
2EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE (Daniel Kwan, Daniel Scheinert,)
3THE FABELMANS (Steven Spielberg, Tony Kushner)
4BABYLON (Damien Chazelle)
5TRIANGLE OF SADNESS (Ruben Östlund)
6TÁR (Todd Field)
7BROS (Nicholas Stoller, Billy Eichner)
8DECISION TO LEAVE (Park Chan-wook, Seo-kyeong Jeong)
9AFTERSUN (Charlotte Wells)
10ARMAGEDDON TIME (James Gray)

Best Animated Feature

Tom O'Brien
1GUILLERMO DEL TORO'S PINOCCHIO
2TURNING RED
3MY FATHER'S DRAGON
4THE BAD GUYS
5PUSS IN BOOTS: THE LAST WISH
6MARCEL THE SHELL WITH SHOES ON
7WENDELL AND WILD
8THE SEA BEAST
9LIGHTYEAR
10STRANGE WORLD

Best Documentary Feature

Tom O'Brien
1NAVALNY
2ALL THE BEAUTY AND THE BLOODSHED
3FIRE OF LOVE
4GOOD NIGHT OPPY
5ALL THAT BREATHES
6DESCENDANT
7THE TERRITORY
8MOONAGE DAYDREAM
9RETROGRADE
10SR.

Best International Feature

Tom O'Brien
1DECISION TO LEAVE (Korea)
2ALL QUIET ON THE WESTERN FRONT (Germany)
3BARDO (Mexico)
4CLOSE (Belgium)
5EO (Poland)
6KLONDIKE (Ukraine)
7HOLY SPIDER (Denmark)
8ARGENTINA, 1985 (Argentina)
9SAINT OMER (France)
10UTAMA (Bolivia)

Best Cinematography

Tom O'Brien
1BABYLON (Linus Sandgren)
2AVATAR: THE WAY OF WATER (Russell Carpenter)
3BARDO (Darius Khondji)
4TOP GUN: MAVERICK (Claudio Miranda)
5THE FABELMANS (Janusz Kaminski)
6THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN (Ben Davis)
7ALL QUIET ON THE WESTERN FRONT (James Friend)
8THE BATMAN (Greig Fraser)
9NOPE (Hoyte Van Hoytema)
10EMPIRE OF LIGHT (Roger Deakins)

Best Costume Design

Tom O'Brien
1BABYLON
2ELVIS
3THE FABELMANS
4BLACK PANTHER: WAKANDA FOREVER
5MRS. HARRIS GOES TO PARIS
6EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE
7THE WOMAN KING
8DON'T WORRY DARLING
9BLONDE
10THE NORTHMAN

Best Film Editing

Tom O'Brien
1EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE
2TOP GUN: MAVERICK
3BABYLON
4ELVIS
5THE FABELMANS
6EMPIRE OF LIGHT
7THE SON
8WOMEN TALKING
9AVATAR: THE WAY OF WATER
10TRIANGLE OF SADNESS

Best Makeup and Hairstyling

Tom O'Brien
1THE WHALE
2BABYLON
3THE BATMAN
4ELVIS
5BLACK PANTHER: WAKANDA FOREVER
6THE BATMAN
7THE FABELMANS
8EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE
9THREE THOUSAND YEARS OF LONGING
10JACKASS FOREVER

Best Production Design

Tom O'Brien
1BABYLON
2THE FABELMANS
3ELVIS
4AVATAR: THE WAY OF WATER
5GUILLERMO DEL TORO'S PINOCCHIO
6GLASS ONION: A KNIVES OUT MYSTERY
7EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE
8THE WOMAN KING
9THE BATMAN
10WHITE NOISE

Best Original Score

Tom O'Brien
1WOMEN TALKING
2BABYLON
3THE FABELMANS
4GUILLERMO DEL TORO'S PINOCCHIO
5THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN
6WHITE NOISE
7THE BATMAN
8BARDO
9EMPIRE OF LIGHT
10AVATAR: THE WAY OF WATER

Best Original Song

Tom O'Brien
1"Lift Me Up" (BLACK PANTHER: WAKANDA FOREVER)
2"Hold My Hand" (TOP GUN: MAVERICK)
3"Naatu Naatu" (RRR)
4"Nobody Like U" (TURNING RED)
5"New Body Rhumba" (WHITE NOISE)
6"This Is A Life" (EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE)
7"Hold My Hand" (TOP GUN: MAVERICK)
8"Love Is Not Love" (BROS)
9"Stand Up" (TILL)
10"Keep Rising" (THE WOMAN KING)

Best Sound

Tom O'Brien
1TOP GUN: MAVERICK
2AVATAR: THE WAY OF WATER
3THE BATMAN
4BLACK PANTHER: WAKANDA FOREVER
5AVATAR: THE WAY OF WATER
6BABYLON
7EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE
8BARDO
9NOPE
10ELVIS

Best Visual Effects

Tom O'Brien
1AVATAR: THE WAY OF WATER
2TOP GUN: MAVERICK
3EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE
4THE BATMAN
5BLACK PANTHER: WAKANDA FOREVER
6DOCTOR STRANGE IN THE MULTIVERSE OF MADNESS
7NOPE
8GUILLERMO DEL TORO'S PINOCCHIO
9BARDO
10THOR: LOVE AND THUNDER