Oscar Predictions – Tom O’Brien

Here are Tom O’Brien’s 2022 Oscar Predictions. Ranking is updated in real-time, and is constantly changing until the end of the year. Accuracy will be calculated after the winners are announced at The 95th Annual Academy Awards on March 12, 2023.

Click each heading to view individual staff rankings, or search/sort by the drop-downs below:


Best Picture

Tom O'Brien
1EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE
2THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN
3TOP GUN: MAVERICK
4ALL QUIET ON THE WESTERN FRONT
5TÁR
6ELVIS
7THE FABELMANS
8AVATAR: THE WAY OF WATER
9TRIANGLE OF SADNESS
10WOMEN TALKING

Best Director

Tom O'Brien
1Daniel Kwan, Daniel Scheinert (EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE)
2Steven Spielberg (THE FABELMANS)
3Todd Field (TÁR)
4Martin McDonagh (THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN)
5Ruben Östlund (TRIANGLE OF SADNESS)

Best Actress

Tom O'Brien
1Michelle Yeoh (EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE)
2Cate Blanchett (TÁR)
3Ana de Armas (BLONDE)
4Michelle Williams (THE FABELMANS)
5Andrea Riseborough (TO LESLIE)

Best Actor

Tom O'Brien
1Austin Butler (ELVIS)
2Brendan Fraser (THE WHALE)
3Colin Farrell (THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN)
4Bill Nighy (LIVING)
5Paul Mescal (AFTERSUN)

Best Supporting Actress

Tom O'Brien
1Kerry Condon (THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN)
2Angela Bassett (BLACK PANTHER: WAKANDA FOREVER)
3Jamie Lee Curtis (EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE)
4Stephanie Hsu (EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE)
5Hong Chau (THE WHALE)

Best Supporting Actor

Tom O'Brien
1Ke Huy Quan (EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE)
2Brendan Gleeson (THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN)
3Barry Keoghan (THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN)
4Judd Hirsch (THE FABELMANS)
5Brian Tyree Henry (CAUSEWAY)

Best Adapted Screenplay

Tom O'Brien
1WOMEN TALKING (Sarah Polley)
2ALL QUIET ON THE WESTERN FRONT (Ian Stokell, Lesley Paterson, Edward Berger)
3TOP GUN: MAVERICK (Ehren Kruger, Eric Warren Singer, Christopher McQuarrie)
4LIVING (Kazuo Ishiguro)
5GLASS ONION: A KNIVES OUT MYSTERY (Rian Johnson)

Best Original Screenplay

Tom O'Brien
1EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE (Daniel Kwan, Daniel Scheinert,)
2THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN (Martin McDonagh)
3TÁR (Todd Field)
4THE FABELMANS (Steven Spielberg, Tony Kushner)
5TRIANGLE OF SADNESS (Ruben Östlund)

Best Animated Feature

Tom O'Brien
1GUILLERMO DEL TORO'S PINOCCHIO
2PUSS IN BOOTS: THE LAST WISH
3MARCEL THE SHELL WITH SHOES ON
4TURNING RED
5THE SEA BEAST

Best Documentary Feature

Tom O'Brien
1NAVALNY
2FIRE OF LOVE
3ALL THAT BREATHES
4ALL THE BEAUTY AND THE BLOODSHED
5A HOUSE MADE OF SPLINTERS

Best International Feature

Tom O'Brien
1ALL QUIET ON THE WESTERN FRONT (Germany)
2ARGENTINA, 1985 (Argentina)
3CLOSE (Belgium)
4EO (Poland)
5THE QUIET GIRL (Ireland)

Best Cinematography

Tom O'Brien
1ALL QUIET ON THE WESTERN FRONT (James Friend)
2ELVIS (Mandy Walker)
3TÁR (Florian Hoffmeister)
4BARDO (Darius Khondji)
5EMPIRE OF LIGHT (Roger Deakins)

Best Costume Design

Tom O'Brien
1ELVIS
2BLACK PANTHER: WAKANDA FOREVER
3EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE
4BABYLON
5MRS. HARRIS GOES TO PARIS

Best Film Editing

Tom O'Brien
1EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE
2TOP GUN: MAVERICK
3ELVIS
4THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN
5TÁR

Best Makeup and Hairstyling

Tom O'Brien
1ELVIS
2THE WHALE
3ALL QUIET ON THE WESTERN FRONT
4THE BATMAN
5BLACK PANTHER: WAKANDA FOREVER

Best Production Design

Tom O'Brien
1BABYLON
2ELVIS
3AVATAR: THE WAY OF WATER
4ALL QUIET ON THE WESTERN FRONT
5THE FABELMANS

Best Original Score

Tom O'Brien
1BABYLON
2ALL QUIET ON THE WESTERN FRONT
3EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE
4THE FABELMANS
5THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN

Best Original Song

Tom O'Brien
1"Naatu Naatu" (RRR)
2"Hold My Hand" (TOP GUN: MAVERICK)
3"This Is A Life" (EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE)
4"Lift Me Up" (BLACK PANTHER: WAKANDA FOREVER)
5"Applause" (TELL IT LIKE A WOMAN)

Best Sound

Tom O'Brien
1TOP GUN: MAVERICK
2ALL QUIET ON THE WESTERN FRONT
3AVATAR: THE WAY OF WATER
4ELVIS
5THE BATMAN

Best Visual Effects

Tom O'Brien
1AVATAR: THE WAY OF WATER
2TOP GUN: MAVERICK
3ALL QUIET ON THE WESTERN FRONT
4BLACK PANTHER: WAKANDA FOREVER
5THE BATMAN

Best Animated Short Film

Tom O'Brien
1THE BOY, THE MOLE, THE FOX AND THE HORSE
2MY YEAR OF DICKS
3ICE MERCHANTS
4AN OSTRICH TOLD ME THE WORLD IS FAKE AND I THINK I BELIEVE IT
5THE FLYING SAILOR

Best Documentary Short Film

Tom O'Brien
1STRANGER AT THE GATE
2THE ELEPHANT WHISPERERS
3HOW DO YOU MEASURE A YEAR?
4HAULOUT
5THE MARTHA MITCHELL EFFECT

Best Live Action Short Film

Tom O'Brien
1AN IRISH GOODBYE
2LE PUPILLE
3THE RED SUITCASE
4NIGHT RIDE
5IVALU