Oscar Predictions – Tom O’Brien

Here are Tom O’Brien’s 2023 Oscar Predictions. Ranking is updated in real-time, and is constantly changing until the end of the year. Accuracy will be calculated after the winners are announced at The 96th Annual Academy Awards.

Click each heading to view individual staff rankings, or search/sort by the drop-downs below:


Best Picture

Tom O'Brien
1Oppenheimer
2Poor Things
3Killers Of The Flower Moon
4The Holdovers
5Barbie
6Past Lives
7Maestro
8Anatomy Of A Fall
9The Color Purple
10Air

Best Director

Tom O'Brien
1Christopher Nolan (OPPENHEIMER)
2Martin Scorsese (KILLERS OF THE FLOWER MOON)
3Yorgos Lanthimos (POOR THINGS)
4Jonathan Glazer (THE ZONE OF INTEREST)
5Greta Gerwig (BARBIE)
6Justine Triet (ANATOMY OF A FALL)
7Bradley Cooper (MAESTRO)
8Celine Song (PAST LIVES)
9Alexander Payne (THE HOLDOVERS)
10Michael Mann (FERRARI)

Best Actress

Tom O'Brien
1Carey Mulligan (MAESTRO)
2Emma Stone (POOR THINGS)
3Lily Gladstone (KILLERS OF THE FLOWER MOON)
4Sandra Huller (ANATOMY OF A FALL)
5Annette Bening (NYAD)
6Fantasia Barrino (THE COLOR PURPLE)
7Greta Lee (PAST LIVES)
8Cailee Spaeny (PRISCILLA)
9Margot Robbie (BARBIE)
10Teyana Taylor (A THOUSAND AND ONE)

Best Actor

Tom O'Brien
1Bradley Cooper (MAESTRO)
2Cillian Murphy (OPPENHEIMER)
3Colman Domingo (RUSTIN)
4Paul Giamatti (THE HOLDOVERS)
5Leonardo DiCaprio (KILLERS OF THE FLOWER MOON)
6Andrew Scott (ALL OF US STRANGERS)
7Adam Driver (FERRARI)
8Jeffrey Wright (AMERICAN FICTION)
9Joaquin Phoenix (NAPOLEON)
10Barry Keoghan (SALTBURN)

Best Supporting Actress

Tom O'Brien
1Da'Vine Joy Randolph (THE HOLDOVERS)
2Danielle Brooks (THE COLOR PURPLE)
3Emily Blunt (OPPENHEIMER)
4Penelope Cruz (FERRARI)
5Taraji P. Henson (THE COLOR PURPLE)
6Jodie Foster (NYAD)
7Viola Davis (AIR)
8Rosamund Pike (SALTBURN)
9Julianne Moore (MAY DECEMBER)
10America Ferrera (BARBIE)

Best Supporting Actor

Tom O'Brien
1Robert Downey Jr. (OPPENHEIMER)
2Robert De Niro (KILLERS OF THE FLOWER MOON)
3Ryan Gosling (BARBIE)
4Mark Ruffalo (POOR THINGS)
5Charles Melton (MAY DECEMBER)
6Colman Domingo (THE COLOR PURPLE)
7John Magaro (PAST LIVES)
8Matt Damon (OPPENHEIMER)
9Dominic Sessa (THE HOLDOVERS)
10Willem Dafoe (POOR THINGS)

Best Adapted Screenplay

Tom O'Brien
1OPPENHEIMER (Christopher Nolan)
2POOR THINGS (Tony McNamara)
3KILLERS OF THE FLOWER MOON (Eric Roth & Martin Scorsese)
4THE ZONE OF INTEREST (Jonathan Glazer)
5ALL OF US STRANGERS (Andrew Haigh)
6ORIGIN (Ava DuVernay, Isabel Wilkerson)
7PRISCILLA (Sofia Coppola)
8HIT MAN (Richard Linklater & Glenn Powell)
9ARE YOU THERE GOD? IT'S ME, MARGARET. (Kelly Fremon Craig)
10THE COLOR PURPLE (Marcus Gardley)

Best Original Screenplay

Tom O'Brien
1BARBIE (Greta Gerwig & Noah Baumbach)
2THE HOLDOVERS (David Hemingson)
3PAST LIVES (Celine Song)
4ANATOMY OF A FALL (Justine Triet & Arthur Harari)
5MAESTRO (Bradley Cooper & Josh Singer)
6AIR (Alex Convery)
7ASTEROID CITY (Wes Anderson, Roman Coppola)
8MAY DECEMBER (Samy Burch)
9FAIR PLAY (Chloe Domont)
10RUSTIN (Julian Breece & Dustin Lance Black)

Best Animated Feature

Tom O'Brien
1Spider-Man: Across The Spider-Verse
2The Boy and the Heron
3Elemental
4Wish
5Nimona
6Chicken Run: Dawn Of The Nugget
7Suzume
8Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Mutant Mayhem
9Ernest and Celestine: A Trip to Gibberitia
10The Super Mario Bros. Movie

Best Documentary Feature

Tom O'Brien
1Beyond Utopia
220 Days In Mariupol
3Still: A Michael J. Fox Movie
4Silver Dollar Road
5The Deepest Breath
6Stamped From The Beginning
7The Eternal Memory
8Four Daughters
9Lakota Nation vs United States
10Every Body

Best International Feature

Tom O'Brien
1THE ZONE OF INTEREST (United Kingdom)
2THE TASTE OF THINGS (France)
3PERFECT DAYS (Japan)
4THE TEACHERS' LOUNGE (Germany)
5ABOUT DRY GRASSES (Turkey)
6THE PROMISED LAND (Denmark)
7IO CAPITANO (Italy)
8SOCIETY OF THE SNOW (Spain)
9FALLEN LEAVES (Finland)
1020 DAYS IN MARIUPOL (Ukraine)

Best Cinematography

Tom O'Brien
1OPPENHEIMER (Hoyte Van Hoytema)
2KILLERS OF THE FLOWER MOON (Rodrigo Prieto)
3MAESTRO (Matthew Libatique)
4NAPOLEON (Dariusz Wolski)
5THE COLOR PURPLE (Dan Laustsen)
6POOR THINGS (Robbie Ryan)
7ASTEROID CITY (Robert Yeoman)
8FERRARI (Erik Messerschmidt)
9THE ZONE OF INTEREST (Lukasz Zal)
10THE KILLER (Erik Messerschmidt)

Best Costume Design

Tom O'Brien
1Barbie
2Poor Things
3Napoleon
4Killers Of The Flower Moon
5Priscilla
6The Color Purple
7Maestro
8Wonka
9Asteroid City
10Oppenheimer

Best Film Editing

Tom O'Brien
1Oppenheimer
2Killers Of The Flower Moon
3Ferrari
4Air
5Maestro
6Napoleon
7Past Lives
8The Color Purple
9Poor Things
10The Zone Of Interest

Best Makeup and Hairstyling

Tom O'Brien
1Maestro
2Poor Things
3Oppenheimer
4Guardians Of The Galaxy Vol. 3
5Napoleon
6Rustin
7Killers Of The Flower Moon
8Priscilla
9Ferrari
10Golda

Best Production Design

Tom O'Brien
1Barbie
2Killers Of The Flower Moon
3Oppenheimer
4Napoleon
5Asteroid City
6Poor Things
7Wonka
8Maestro
9ferrari
10The Color Purple

Best Original Score

Tom O'Brien
1OPPENHEIMER (Ludwig Göransson)
2ELEMENTAL (Thomas Newman)
3SPIDER-MAN: ACROSS THE SPIDER-VERSE (Daniel Pemberton)
4FERRARI (Daniel Pemberton)
5ASTEROID CITY (Alexandre Desplat)
6WONKA (Joby Talbot)
7POOR THINGS (Jerskin Fendrix)
8NAPOLEON (Martin Phipps)
9PAST LIVES (Christopher Bear & Daniel Rossen)
10THE KILLER (Trent Reznor & Atticus Ross)

Best Original Song

Tom O'Brien
1"What Was I Made For?" (BARBIE)
2"Untitled Original Song" (THE COLOR PURPLE)
3"Gonna Be You" (80 FOR BRADY)
4"The Wish" (WISH)
5"Road To Freedom" (RUSTIN)
6"I'm Just Ken" (BARBIE)
7"Quiet Eyes" (PAST LIVES)
8"For The First Time" (THE LITTLE MERMAID)
9"Steal The Show" (ELEMENTAL)
10"Better Place" (TROLLS: BAND TOGETHER)

Best Sound

Tom O'Brien
1Oppenheimer
2Maestro
3Ferrari
4Napoleon
5The Color Purple
6Killers Of The Flower Moon
7Mission: Impossible - Dead Reckoning Part One
8John Wick: Chapter 4
9Barbie
10Spider-Man: Across The Spider-Verse

Best Visual Effects

Tom O'Brien
1Oppenheimer
2Guardians Of The Galaxy Vol. 3
3Napoleon
4Mission: Impossible - Dead Reckoning Part One
5The Creator
6Indiana Jones And The Dial Of Destiny
7John Wick: Chapter 4
8Wonka
9Killers Of The Flower Moon
10Asteroid City