Here are Tom O’Brien’s 2024 Oscar Predictions. Ranking is updated in real-time, and is constantly changing until the end of the year. Accuracy will be calculated after the winners are announced at The 97th Annual Academy Awards.
Click each heading to view individual staff rankings, or search/sort by the drop-downs below:
Best Picture
| Tom O'Brien | |
|---|---|
| 1 | THE BRUTALIST |
| 2 | NICKEL BOYS |
| 3 | ANORA |
| 4 | SING SING |
| 5 | DUNE: PART TWO |
| 6 | CONCLAVE |
| 7 | EMILIA PÉREZ |
| 8 | BLITZ |
| 9 | A COMPLETE UNKNOWN |
| 10 | SATURDAY NIGHT |
Best Director
| Tom O'Brien | |
|---|---|
| 1 | Denis Villenueve (DUNE: PART TWO) |
| 2 | Brady Corbet (THE BRUTALIST) |
| 3 | RaMell Ross (NICKEL BOYS) |
| 4 | Sean Baker (ANORA) |
| 5 | Edward Berger (CONCLAVE) |
| 6 | Jacques Audiard (EMILIA PÉREZ) |
| 7 | Greg Kwedar (SING SING) |
| 8 | Steve McQueen (BLITZ) |
| 9 | Pedro Almodovar (THE ROOM NEXT DOOR) |
| 10 | Jason Reitman (SATURDAY NIGHT) |
Best Actress
| Tom O'Brien | |
|---|---|
| 1 | Angelina Jolie (MARIA) |
| 2 | Saoirse Ronan (THE OUTRUN) |
| 3 | Karla Sofía Gascón (EMILIA PÉREZ) |
| 4 | Mikey Madison (ANORA) |
| 5 | Amy Adams (NIGHTBITCH) |
| 6 | Julianne Moore (THE ROOM NEXT DOOR) |
| 7 | Marianne Jean-Baptiste (HARD TRUTHS) |
| 8 | Cynthia Erivo (WICKED) |
| 9 | Fernanda Torres (I'M STILL HERE) |
| 10 | Felicity Jones (THE BRUTALIST) |
Best Actor
| Tom O'Brien | |
|---|---|
| 1 | Colman Domingo (SING SING) |
| 2 | Adrien Brody (THE BRUTALIST) |
| 3 | Ralph Fiennes (CONCLAVE) |
| 4 | Timothee Chalamet (A COMPLETE UNKNOWN) |
| 5 | Sebastian Stan (THE APPRENTICE) |
| 6 | Daniel Craig (QUEER) |
| 7 | Joaquin Phoenix (JOKER: FOLIE À DEUX ) |
| 8 | Gabriel Labelle (SATURDAY NIGHT) |
| 9 | Glen Powell (HIT MAN) |
| 10 | Paul Mescal (GLADIATOR II) |
Best Supporting Actress
| Tom O'Brien | |
|---|---|
| 1 | Danielle Deadwyler (THE PIANO LESSON) |
| 2 | Zoe Saldaña (EMILIA PÉREZ) |
| 3 | Felicity Jones (THE BRUTALIST) |
| 4 | Lady Gaga (JOKER: FOLIE À DEUX ) |
| 5 | Tilda Swinton (THE ROOM NEXT DOOR) |
| 6 | Selena Gomez (EMILIA PÉREZ) |
| 7 | Natasha Lyonne (HIS THREE DAUGHTERS) |
| 8 | Joan Chen (DIDI) |
| 9 | Saoirse Ronan (BLITZ) |
| 10 | Aunjanue Ellis-Taylor (NICKEL BOYS) |
Best Supporting Actor
| Tom O'Brien | |
|---|---|
| 1 | Clarence Maclin (SING SING) |
| 2 | Guy Pearce (THE BRUTALIST) |
| 3 | Denzel Washington (GLADIATOR II) |
| 4 | Kieran Culkin (A REAL PAIN) |
| 5 | Stanley Tucci (CONCLAVE) |
| 6 | Samuel L. Jackson (THE PIANO LESSON) |
| 7 | Adam Pearson (A DIFFERENT MAN) |
| 8 | Edward Norton (A COMPLETE UNKNOWN) |
| 9 | John Lithgow (CONCLAVE) |
| 10 | Jeremy Strong (THE APPRENTICE) |
Best Adapted Screenplay
| Tom O'Brien | |
|---|---|
| 1 | NICKEL BOYS (RaMell Ross, Joslyn Barnes) |
| 2 | SING SING (Clint Bentley, Greg Kwedar, Clarence "Divine Eye" Maclin, John "Divine G" Whitfield) |
| 3 | CONCLAVE (Peter Straughan) |
| 4 | THE PIANO LESSON (Virgil Williams, Malcolm Washington) |
| 5 | THE ROOM NEXT DOOR (Pedro Almodóvar) |
| 6 | HIT MAN (Richard Linklater, Glen Powell) |
| 7 | A COMPLETE UNKNOWN (Jay Cocks, James Mangold) |
| 8 | DUNE: PART TWO (Denis Villeneuve, Jon Spaihts) |
| 9 | NIGHTBITCH (Marielle Heller) |
| 10 | GLADIATOR II (David Scarpa) |
Best Original Screenplay
| Tom O'Brien | |
|---|---|
| 1 | ANORA (Sean Baker) |
| 2 | EMILIA PÉREZ (Jacques Audiard) |
| 3 | A REAL PAIN (Jesse Eisenberg) |
| 4 | THE BRUTALIST (Brady Corbet, Mona Fastvold) |
| 5 | SATURDAY NIGHT (Jason Reitman, Gil Kenan) |
| 6 | THE SEED OF THE SACRED FIG (Mohammad Rasoulof) |
| 7 | HIS THREE DAUGHTERS (Azazel Jacobs) |
| 8 | DIDI (Sean Wang) |
| 9 | MARIA (Steven Knight) |
| 10 | HARD TRUTHS (Mike Leigh) |
Best Animated Feature
| Tom O'Brien | |
|---|---|
| 1 | THE WILD ROBOT |
| 2 | INSIDE OUT 2 |
| 3 | FLOW |
| 4 | MEMOIR OF A SNAIL |
| 5 | WALLACE & GROMIT: VENGEANCE MOST FOWL |
| 6 | MOANA 2 |
| 7 | PIECE BY PIECE |
| 8 | SPELLBOUND |
| 9 | ORION AND THE DARK |
| 10 | THE LORD OF THE RINGS: THE WAR OF THE ROHIRRIM |
Best Documentary Feature
| Tom O'Brien | |
|---|---|
| 1 | DAUGHTERS |
| 2 | SUGARCANE |
| 3 | WILL & HARPER |
| 4 | THE REMARKABLE LIFE OF IBELIN |
| 5 | BLACK BOX DIARIES |
| 6 | NO OTHER LAND |
| 7 | SOUNDTRACK TO A COUP D'ÉTAT |
| 8 | GAUCHO GAUCHO |
| 9 | UNION |
| 10 | PORCELAIN WAR |
Best International Feature
| Tom O'Brien | |
|---|---|
| 1 | EMILIA PÉREZ (France) |
| 2 | THE SEED OF THE SACRED FIG (Germany) |
| 3 | ALL WE IMAGINE AS LIGHT (India) |
| 4 | I'M STILL HERE (Brazil) |
| 5 | THE GIRL WITH THE NEEDLE (Denmark) |
| 6 | PEDRO PÁRAMO (Mexico) |
| 7 | SIMON OF THE MOUNTAIN (Argentina) |
| 8 | GRAND TOUR (Portugal) |
| 9 | CAUGHT BY THE TIDES (China) |
| 10 | UNIVERSAL LANGUAGE (Canada) |
Best Cinematography
| Cinematography | Tom O'Brien |
|---|---|
| 1 | DUNE: PART TWO (Greig Fraser) |
| 2 | BLITZ (Yorick Le Saux) |
| 3 | NOSFERATU (Jarin Blaschke) |
| 4 | MARIA (Edward Lachmann) |
| 5 | GLADIATOR II (John Mathieson) |
| 6 | CONCLAVE (Stéphane Fontaine) |
| 7 | WICKED (Alice Brooks) |
| 8 | FURIOSA: A MAD MAX SAGA (Simon Duggan) |
| 9 | JOKER: FOLIE À DEUX (Lawrence Sher) |
| 10 | NICKEL BOYS (Jomo Fray) |
Best Costume Design
| Cinematography | Tom O'Brien |
|---|---|
| 1 | WICKED |
| 2 | DUNE: PART TWO |
| 3 | GLADIATOR II |
| 4 | BLITZ |
| 5 | MARIA |
| 6 | JOKER: FOLIE A DEUX |
| 7 | FURIOSA: A MAD MAX SAGA |
| 8 | BEETLEJUICE BEETLEJUICE |
| 9 | SATURDAY NIGHT |
| 10 | THE LAST SHOWGIRL |
Best Film Editing
| Cinematography | Tom O'Brien |
|---|---|
| 1 | BLITZ |
| 2 | DUNE: PART TWO |
| 3 | GLADIATOR II |
| 4 | ANORA |
| 5 | SING SING |
| 6 | FURIOSA: A MAD MAX SAGA |
| 7 | JOKER FOLIE A DEUX |
| 8 | NICKEL BOYS |
| 9 | CHALLENGERS |
| 10 | CONCLAVE |
Best Makeup and Hairstyling
| Cinematography | Tom O'Brien |
|---|---|
| 1 | DUNE: PART TWO |
| 2 | WICKED |
| 3 | HERE |
| 4 | A DIFFERENT MAN |
| 5 | JOKER: FOLIE A DEUX |
| 6 | MARIA |
| 7 | FURIOSA: A MAD MAX SAGA |
| 8 | NOSFERATU |
| 9 | BEETLEJUICE BEETLEJUICE |
| 10 | SASQUATCH SUNSET |
Best Production Design
| Cinematography | Tom O'Brien |
|---|---|
| 1 | DUNE: PART TWO |
| 2 | BLITZ |
| 3 | GLADIATOR II |
| 4 | WICKED |
| 5 | JOKER FOLIE A DEUX |
| 6 | FURIOSA: A MAD MAX SAGA |
| 7 | NOSFERATU |
| 8 | NICKEL BOYS |
| 9 | MARIA |
| 10 | THE PIANO LESSON |
Best Original Score
| Cinematography | Tom O'Brien |
|---|---|
| 1 | DUNE: PART TWO (Hans Zimmer) |
| 2 | GLADIATOR II (Harry Gregson-Williams) |
| 3 | CONCLAVE (Volker Bertelmann) |
| 4 | JOKER: FOLIE À DEUX (Hildur Guðnadóttir) |
| 5 | SING SING (Bryce Dessner) |
| 6 | EMILIA PÉREZ (Clément Ducol) |
| 7 | QUEER (Trent Reznor, Atticus Ross) |
| 8 | THE ROOM NEXT DOOR (Alberto Iglesias) |
| 9 | CHALLENGERS (Trent Reznor, Atticus Ross) |
| 10 | HERE (Alan Silvestri) |
Best Original Song
| Cinematography | Tom O'Brien |
|---|---|
| 1 | "Mi Camino" (EMILIA PÉREZ) |
| 2 | "Piece By Piece" (PIECE BY PIECE) |
| 3 | "Like a Bird" (SING SING) |
| 4 | "Untitled" (MUFASA: THE LION KING) |
| 5 | "We're Back" (MOANA 2) |
| 6 | "Relentless" (DIANE WARREN: RELENTLESS) |
| 7 | "Why Am I Here" (SHIRLEY) |
| 8 | "Harper And Will Go West" (WILL & HARPER) |
| 9 | "Untitled" (THE END) |
| 10 | "Ain't No Love in Oklahoma" (TWISTERS) |
Best Sound
| Cinematography | Tom O'Brien |
|---|---|
| 1 | DUNE: PART TWO |
| 2 | BLITZ |
| 3 | TWISTERS |
| 4 | GLADIATOR II |
| 5 | FURIOSA: A MAD MAX SAGA |
| 6 | WICKED |
| 7 | CONCLAVE |
| 8 | JOKER: FOLIE A DEUX |
| 9 | A QUIET PLACE: DAY ONE |
| 10 | ALIEN: ROMULUS |
Best Visual Effects
| Cinematography | Tom O'Brien |
|---|---|
| 1 | DUNE: PART TWO |
| 2 | HERE |
| 3 | KINGDOM OF THE PLANET OF THE APES |
| 4 | TWISTERS |
| 5 | BLITZ |
| 6 | GLADIATOR II |
| 7 | FURIOSA: A MAD MAX SAGA |
| 8 | DEADPOOL & WOLVERINE |
| 9 | BETTER MAN |
| 10 | ALIEN: ROMULUS |