Oscar Predictions – Tom O’Brien

Here are Tom O’Brien’s 2025 Oscar Predictions. Ranking is updated in real-time, and is constantly changing until the end of the year. Accuracy will be calculated after the winners are announced at The 97th Annual Academy Awards.

Click each heading to view individual staff rankings, or search/sort by the drop-downs below:

Best Picture

Tom O'Brien
1SINNERS
2BUGONIA
3MARTY SUPREME
4JAY KELLY
5WICKED: FOR GOOD
6SENTIMENTAL VALUE
7AFTER THE HUNT
8SPRINGSTEEN: DELIVER ME FROM NOWHERE
9AVATAR: FIRE AND ASH
10THE RIVALS OF AMZIAH KING

Best Director

Tom O'Brien
1Ryan Coogler (SINNERS)
2Yorgos Lanthimos (BUGONIA)
3Joachim Trier (SENTIMENTAL VALUE)
4Jafar Panahi (IT WAS JUST AN ACCIDENT)
5Josh Safdie (MARTY SUPREME)
6Noah Baumbach (JAY KELLY)
7Luca Guadagnino (AFTER THE HUNT)
8Paul Thomas Anderson (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER)
9Guillermo Del Toro (FRANKENSTEIN)
10Kathryn Bigelow (A HOUSE OF DYNAMITE)

Best Actress

Tom O'Brien
1Julia Roberts (AFTER THE HUNT)
2Renate Reinsve (SENTIMENTAL VALUE)
3Cynthia Erivo (WICKED: FOR GOOD)
4Amanda Seyfried (ANN LEE)
5Jessie Buckley (HAMNET)
6Emma Stone (BUGONIA)
7Jessica Lange (LONG DAY'S JOURNEY INTO NIGHT)
8Jennifer Lawrence (DIE, MY LOVE)
9Rose Byrne (IF I HAD LEGS I'D KICK YOU)
10Sydney Sweeney (UNTITLED CHRISTIE MARTIN BIOPIC)

Best Actor

Tom O'Brien
1Jeremy Allen White (SPRINGSTEEN: DELIVER ME FROM NOWHERE)
2Timothée Chalamet (MARTY SUPREME)
3George Clooney (JAY KELLY)
4Michael B. Jordan (SINNERS)
5Jesse Plemons (BUGONIA)
6Wagner Moura (THE SECRET AGENT)
7Daniel Day Lewis (ANEMONE)
8Leonardo DiCaprio (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER)
9Matthew McConaughey (THE RIVALS OF AMZIAH KING)
10Collin Farrell (A BIG BOLD BEAUTIFUL JOURNEY)

Best Supporting Actress

Tom O'Brien
1Ayo Edebiri (AFTER THE HUNT)
2Elle Fanning (SENTIMENTAL VALUE)
3Ariana Grande (WICKED: FOR GOOD)
4Rebecca Ferguson (A HOUSE OF DYNAMITE)
5Gwyneth Paltrow (MARTY SUPREME)
6Laura Dern (JAY KELLY)
7Jennifer Lopez (KISS OF THE SPIDER WOMAN)
8Emily Blunt (THE SMASHING MACHINE)
9Chase Infiniti (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER)
10Glenn Close (WAKE UP DEAD MAN: A KNIVES OUT MYSTERY)

Best Supporting Actor

Tom O'Brien
1Stellan Skarsgård (SENTIMENTAL VALUE)
2Adam Sandler (JAY KELLY)
3Jeremy Strong (SPRINGSTEEN: DELIVER ME FROM NOWHERE)
4Andrew Garfield (AFTER THE HUNT)
5Delroy Lindo (SINNERS)
6Paul Mescal (HAMNET)
7Jonathan Bailey (WICKED: FOR GOOD)
8Bradley Cooper (IS THIS THING ON?)
9Sean Penn (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER)
10Bradley Cooper (IS THIS THING ON?)

Best Adapted Screenplay

Tom O'Brien
1ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER (Paul Thomas Anderson)
2BUGONIA (Will Tracy)
3HAMNET (Maggie O’Farrell & Chloe Zhao)
4SPRINGSTEEN: DELIVER ME FROM NOWHERE (Scott Cooper)
5WAKE UP DEAD MAN: A KNIVES OUT MYSTERY (Rian Johnson)
6WICKED: FOR GOOD (Dana Fox & Winnie Holzman)
7FRANKENSTEIN (Guillermo Del Toro)
8TRAIN DREAMS (Clint Bentley & Greg Kwedar)
9NO OTHER CHOICE (Lee Ja-hye, Lee Kyoung-mi, Park Chan-wook & Don McKellar)
10HIGHEST 2 LOWEST (William Alan Fox)

Best Original Screenplay

Tom O'Brien
1JAY KELLY (Noah Baumbach & Emily Mortimer)
2SENTIMENTAL VALUE (Joachim Trier & Eskil Vogt)
3SINNERS (Ryan Coogler)
4AFTER THE HUNT (Nora Garrett)
5IT WAS JUST AN ACCIDENT (Jafar Panahi)
6ELLA MCCAY (James L. Brooks)
7SORRY BABY (Eva Victor)
8MARTY SUPREME (Ronald Bronstein & Josh Safdie)
9THE RIVALS OF AMZIAH KING (James Montague & Andrew Patterson)
10ANN LEE (Brady Corbet & Mona Fastvold)

Best Animated Feature

Tom O'Brien
1SCARLET
2ARCO
3ZOOTOPIA 2
4ELIO
5NE ZHA 2
6IN YOUR DREAMS
7THE BAD GUYS 2
8A MAGNIFICENT LIFE
9DEATH DOES NOT EXIST
10LOST IN STARLIGHT

Best Documentary Feature

Tom O'Brien
1THE PERFECT NEIGHBOR
22000 METERS TO ANDRIIVKA
3APOCALYPSE IN THE TROPICS
4ORWELL 2+2=5
5ARCHITECTION
6SEEDS
7THE LIBRARIANS
8CUTTING THROUGH ROCKS
9MR. NOBODY AGAINST PUTIN
10THE ALABAMA SOLUTION

Best International Feature

Tom O'Brien
1SENTIMENTAL VALUE (Norway)
2IT WAS JUST AN ACCIDENT (Luxembourg)
3THE PRESIDENT'S CAKE (Iraq)
4NO OTHER CHOICE (South Korea)
5THE SECRET AGENT (Brazil)
6SIRÄ€T (Spain)
7SOUND OF FALLING (Germany)
8ALL THAT'S LEFT OF YOU (Cyprus)
9LEFT-HANDED GIRL (Taiwan)
10RESURRECTION (China)

Best Casting

Tom O'Brien
1Francine Maisler (SINNERS)
2Francine Maisler (SPRINGSTEEN: DELIVER ME FROM NOWHERE)
3Jennifer Venditti (MARTY SUPREME)
4Douglas Aibel & Nina Gold (JAY KELLY)
5Tiffany Little Canfield & Bernard Telsey (WICKED: FOR GOOD)
6Avy Kaufman & Tracy Kilpatrick (THE RIVALS OF AMZIAH KING)
7Bret Howe & Mary Vernieu (WAKE UP DEAD MAN: A KNIVES OUT MYSTERY)
8Cassandra Kulukundis (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER)
9Yngvill Kolset Haga & Avy Kaufman (SENTIMENTAL VALUE)
10Jessica Ronane (AFTER THE HUNT)