Here are Tom O’Brien’s 2023 Oscar Predictions. Ranking is updated in real-time, and is constantly changing until the end of the year. Accuracy will be calculated after the winners are announced at The 96th Annual Academy Awards.
Click each heading to view individual staff rankings, or search/sort by the drop-downs below:
Best Picture
| Tom O'Brien | |
|---|---|
| 1 | Oppenheimer |
| 2 | Poor Things |
| 3 | Killers Of The Flower Moon |
| 4 | The Holdovers |
| 5 | Barbie |
| 6 | Past Lives |
| 7 | Maestro |
| 8 | Anatomy Of A Fall |
| 9 | The Color Purple |
| 10 | Air |
Best Director
| Tom O'Brien | |
|---|---|
| 1 | Christopher Nolan (OPPENHEIMER) |
| 2 | Martin Scorsese (KILLERS OF THE FLOWER MOON) |
| 3 | Yorgos Lanthimos (POOR THINGS) |
| 4 | Jonathan Glazer (THE ZONE OF INTEREST) |
| 5 | Greta Gerwig (BARBIE) |
| 6 | Justine Triet (ANATOMY OF A FALL) |
| 7 | Bradley Cooper (MAESTRO) |
| 8 | Celine Song (PAST LIVES) |
| 9 | Alexander Payne (THE HOLDOVERS) |
| 10 | Michael Mann (FERRARI) |
Best Actress
| Tom O'Brien | |
|---|---|
| 1 | Carey Mulligan (MAESTRO) |
| 2 | Emma Stone (POOR THINGS) |
| 3 | Lily Gladstone (KILLERS OF THE FLOWER MOON) |
| 4 | Sandra Huller (ANATOMY OF A FALL) |
| 5 | Annette Bening (NYAD) |
| 6 | Fantasia Barrino (THE COLOR PURPLE) |
| 7 | Greta Lee (PAST LIVES) |
| 8 | Cailee Spaeny (PRISCILLA) |
| 9 | Margot Robbie (BARBIE) |
| 10 | Teyana Taylor (A THOUSAND AND ONE) |
Best Actor
| Tom O'Brien | |
|---|---|
| 1 | Bradley Cooper (MAESTRO) |
| 2 | Cillian Murphy (OPPENHEIMER) |
| 3 | Colman Domingo (RUSTIN) |
| 4 | Paul Giamatti (THE HOLDOVERS) |
| 5 | Leonardo DiCaprio (KILLERS OF THE FLOWER MOON) |
| 6 | Andrew Scott (ALL OF US STRANGERS) |
| 7 | Adam Driver (FERRARI) |
| 8 | Jeffrey Wright (AMERICAN FICTION) |
| 9 | Joaquin Phoenix (NAPOLEON) |
| 10 | Barry Keoghan (SALTBURN) |
Best Supporting Actress
| Tom O'Brien | |
|---|---|
| 1 | Da'Vine Joy Randolph (THE HOLDOVERS) |
| 2 | Danielle Brooks (THE COLOR PURPLE) |
| 3 | Emily Blunt (OPPENHEIMER) |
| 4 | Penelope Cruz (FERRARI) |
| 5 | Taraji P. Henson (THE COLOR PURPLE) |
| 6 | Jodie Foster (NYAD) |
| 7 | Viola Davis (AIR) |
| 8 | Rosamund Pike (SALTBURN) |
| 9 | Julianne Moore (MAY DECEMBER) |
| 10 | America Ferrera (BARBIE) |
Best Supporting Actor
| Tom O'Brien | |
|---|---|
| 1 | Robert Downey Jr. (OPPENHEIMER) |
| 2 | Robert De Niro (KILLERS OF THE FLOWER MOON) |
| 3 | Ryan Gosling (BARBIE) |
| 4 | Mark Ruffalo (POOR THINGS) |
| 5 | Charles Melton (MAY DECEMBER) |
| 6 | Colman Domingo (THE COLOR PURPLE) |
| 7 | John Magaro (PAST LIVES) |
| 8 | Matt Damon (OPPENHEIMER) |
| 9 | Dominic Sessa (THE HOLDOVERS) |
| 10 | Willem Dafoe (POOR THINGS) |
Best Adapted Screenplay
| Tom O'Brien | |
|---|---|
| 1 | OPPENHEIMER (Christopher Nolan) |
| 2 | POOR THINGS (Tony McNamara) |
| 3 | KILLERS OF THE FLOWER MOON (Eric Roth & Martin Scorsese) |
| 4 | THE ZONE OF INTEREST (Jonathan Glazer) |
| 5 | ALL OF US STRANGERS (Andrew Haigh) |
| 6 | ORIGIN (Ava DuVernay, Isabel Wilkerson) |
| 7 | PRISCILLA (Sofia Coppola) |
| 8 | HIT MAN (Richard Linklater & Glenn Powell) |
| 9 | ARE YOU THERE GOD? IT'S ME, MARGARET. (Kelly Fremon Craig) |
| 10 | THE COLOR PURPLE (Marcus Gardley) |
Best Original Screenplay
| Tom O'Brien | |
|---|---|
| 1 | BARBIE (Greta Gerwig & Noah Baumbach) |
| 2 | THE HOLDOVERS (David Hemingson) |
| 3 | PAST LIVES (Celine Song) |
| 4 | ANATOMY OF A FALL (Justine Triet & Arthur Harari) |
| 5 | MAESTRO (Bradley Cooper & Josh Singer) |
| 6 | AIR (Alex Convery) |
| 7 | ASTEROID CITY (Wes Anderson, Roman Coppola) |
| 8 | MAY DECEMBER (Samy Burch) |
| 9 | FAIR PLAY (Chloe Domont) |
| 10 | RUSTIN (Julian Breece & Dustin Lance Black) |
Best Animated Feature
| Tom O'Brien | |
|---|---|
| 1 | Spider-Man: Across The Spider-Verse |
| 2 | The Boy and the Heron |
| 3 | Elemental |
| 4 | Wish |
| 5 | Nimona |
| 6 | Chicken Run: Dawn Of The Nugget |
| 7 | Suzume |
| 8 | Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Mutant Mayhem |
| 9 | Ernest and Celestine: A Trip to Gibberitia |
| 10 | The Super Mario Bros. Movie |
Best Documentary Feature
| Tom O'Brien | |
|---|---|
| 1 | Beyond Utopia |
| 2 | 20 Days In Mariupol |
| 3 | Still: A Michael J. Fox Movie |
| 4 | Silver Dollar Road |
| 5 | The Deepest Breath |
| 6 | Stamped From The Beginning |
| 7 | The Eternal Memory |
| 8 | Four Daughters |
| 9 | Lakota Nation vs United States |
| 10 | Every Body |
Best International Feature
| Tom O'Brien | |
|---|---|
| 1 | THE ZONE OF INTEREST (United Kingdom) |
| 2 | THE TASTE OF THINGS (France) |
| 3 | PERFECT DAYS (Japan) |
| 4 | THE TEACHERS' LOUNGE (Germany) |
| 5 | ABOUT DRY GRASSES (Turkey) |
| 6 | THE PROMISED LAND (Denmark) |
| 7 | IO CAPITANO (Italy) |
| 8 | SOCIETY OF THE SNOW (Spain) |
| 9 | FALLEN LEAVES (Finland) |
| 10 | 20 DAYS IN MARIUPOL (Ukraine) |
Best Cinematography
| Tom O'Brien | |
|---|---|
| 1 | OPPENHEIMER (Hoyte Van Hoytema) |
| 2 | KILLERS OF THE FLOWER MOON (Rodrigo Prieto) |
| 3 | MAESTRO (Matthew Libatique) |
| 4 | NAPOLEON (Dariusz Wolski) |
| 5 | THE COLOR PURPLE (Dan Laustsen) |
| 6 | POOR THINGS (Robbie Ryan) |
| 7 | ASTEROID CITY (Robert Yeoman) |
| 8 | FERRARI (Erik Messerschmidt) |
| 9 | THE ZONE OF INTEREST (Lukasz Zal) |
| 10 | THE KILLER (Erik Messerschmidt) |
Best Costume Design
| Tom O'Brien | |
|---|---|
| 1 | Barbie |
| 2 | Poor Things |
| 3 | Napoleon |
| 4 | Killers Of The Flower Moon |
| 5 | Priscilla |
| 6 | The Color Purple |
| 7 | Maestro |
| 8 | Wonka |
| 9 | Asteroid City |
| 10 | Oppenheimer |
Best Film Editing
| Tom O'Brien | |
|---|---|
| 1 | Oppenheimer |
| 2 | Killers Of The Flower Moon |
| 3 | Ferrari |
| 4 | Air |
| 5 | Maestro |
| 6 | Napoleon |
| 7 | Past Lives |
| 8 | The Color Purple |
| 9 | Poor Things |
| 10 | The Zone Of Interest |
Best Makeup and Hairstyling
| Tom O'Brien | |
|---|---|
| 1 | Maestro |
| 2 | Poor Things |
| 3 | Oppenheimer |
| 4 | Guardians Of The Galaxy Vol. 3 |
| 5 | Napoleon |
| 6 | Rustin |
| 7 | Killers Of The Flower Moon |
| 8 | Priscilla |
| 9 | Ferrari |
| 10 | Golda |
Best Production Design
| Tom O'Brien | |
|---|---|
| 1 | Barbie |
| 2 | Killers Of The Flower Moon |
| 3 | Oppenheimer |
| 4 | Napoleon |
| 5 | Asteroid City |
| 6 | Poor Things |
| 7 | Wonka |
| 8 | Maestro |
| 9 | ferrari |
| 10 | The Color Purple |
Best Original Score
| Tom O'Brien | |
|---|---|
| 1 | OPPENHEIMER (Ludwig Göransson) |
| 2 | ELEMENTAL (Thomas Newman) |
| 3 | SPIDER-MAN: ACROSS THE SPIDER-VERSE (Daniel Pemberton) |
| 4 | FERRARI (Daniel Pemberton) |
| 5 | ASTEROID CITY (Alexandre Desplat) |
| 6 | WONKA (Joby Talbot) |
| 7 | POOR THINGS (Jerskin Fendrix) |
| 8 | NAPOLEON (Martin Phipps) |
| 9 | PAST LIVES (Christopher Bear & Daniel Rossen) |
| 10 | THE KILLER (Trent Reznor & Atticus Ross) |
Best Original Song
| Tom O'Brien | |
|---|---|
| 1 | "What Was I Made For?" (BARBIE) |
| 2 | "Untitled Original Song" (THE COLOR PURPLE) |
| 3 | "Gonna Be You" (80 FOR BRADY) |
| 4 | "The Wish" (WISH) |
| 5 | "Road To Freedom" (RUSTIN) |
| 6 | "I'm Just Ken" (BARBIE) |
| 7 | "Quiet Eyes" (PAST LIVES) |
| 8 | "For The First Time" (THE LITTLE MERMAID) |
| 9 | "Steal The Show" (ELEMENTAL) |
| 10 | "Better Place" (TROLLS: BAND TOGETHER) |
Best Sound
| Tom O'Brien | |
|---|---|
| 1 | Oppenheimer |
| 2 | Maestro |
| 3 | Ferrari |
| 4 | Napoleon |
| 5 | The Color Purple |
| 6 | Killers Of The Flower Moon |
| 7 | Mission: Impossible - Dead Reckoning Part One |
| 8 | John Wick: Chapter 4 |
| 9 | Barbie |
| 10 | Spider-Man: Across The Spider-Verse |
Best Visual Effects
| Tom O'Brien | |
|---|---|
| 1 | Oppenheimer |
| 2 | Guardians Of The Galaxy Vol. 3 |
| 3 | Napoleon |
| 4 | Mission: Impossible - Dead Reckoning Part One |
| 5 | The Creator |
| 6 | Indiana Jones And The Dial Of Destiny |
| 7 | John Wick: Chapter 4 |
| 8 | Wonka |
| 9 | Killers Of The Flower Moon |
| 10 | Asteroid City |