Here are the NBP staff predictions for Best Supporting Actor. For an overview of all awards predictions, visit our Oscar Predictions page.
Click each heading to view individual staff rankings, or search/sort by the drop-downs below:
NBP Staff Picks
| Matt Neglia | ||
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stellan Skarsgård (SENTIMENTAL VALUE) | |
| 2 | Benicio Del Toro (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER) | |
| 3 | Sean Penn (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER) | |
| 4 | Jacob Elordi (FRANKENSTEIN) | ▲ 2 |
| 5 | Adam Sandler (JAY KELLY) | |
| 6 | Paul Mescal (HAMNET) | ▼ 2 |
| 7 | Andrew Scott (BLUE MOON) | |
| 8 | Delroy Lindo (SINNERS) | |
| 9 | Alexander Skarsgard (PILLION) | NEW |
| 10 | Josh O'Connor (WAKE UP DEAD MAN: A KNIVES OUT MYSTERY) | NEW |
Last Updated:
| 12/16/2025 11:05 PM |
| Dan Bayer | ||
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stellan Skarsgård (SENTIMENTAL VALUE) | |
| 2 | Sean Penn (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER) | |
| 3 | Adam Sandler (JAY KELLY) | |
| 4 | Paul Mescal (HAMNET) | |
| 5 | Benicio Del Toro (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER) | |
| 6 | Jacob Elordi (FRANKENSTEIN) | |
| 7 | Jacobi Jupe (HAMNET) | ▲ 2 |
| 8 | Miles Caton (SINNERS) | |
| 9 | Jeremy Strong (SPRINGSTEEN: DELIVER ME FROM NOWHERE) | ▼ 2 |
| 10 | Andrew Garfield (AFTER THE HUNT) |
Last Updated:
| 12/6/2025 1:35 PM |
| Alyssa Christian | ||
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Benicio Del Toro (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER) | |
| 2 | Stellan Skarsgård (SENTIMENTAL VALUE) | |
| 3 | Sean Penn (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER) | |
| 4 | Jacob Elordi (FRANKENSTEIN) | |
| 5 | Paul Mescal (HAMNET) | |
| 6 | Adam Sandler (JAY KELLY) | |
| 7 | Delroy Lindo (SINNERS) | |
| 8 | Miles Caton (SINNERS) | |
| 9 | Andrew Scott (BLUE MOON) | |
| 10 | Alexander Skarsgard (PILLION) | NEW |
Last Updated:
| 12/18/2025 1:35 PM |
| Sara Clements | ||
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stellan Skarsgård (SENTIMENTAL VALUE) | |
| 2 | Benicio Del Toro (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER) | ▲ 7 |
| 3 | Sean Penn (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER) | ▼ 1 |
| 4 | Jacob Elordi (FRANKENSTEIN) | ▲ 3 |
| 5 | Adam Sandler (JAY KELLY) | ▼ 2 |
| 6 | Paul Mescal (HAMNET) | ▼ 2 |
| 7 | Andrew Scott (BLUE MOON) | NEW |
| 8 | Delroy Lindo (SINNERS) | ▼ 2 |
| 9 | Alexander Skarsgard (PILLION) | NEW |
| 10 | Josh O'Connor (WAKE UP DEAD MAN: A KNIVES OUT MYSTERY) | NEW |
Last Updated:
| 12/16/2025 11:50 PM |
| Nadia Dalimonte | ||
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Benicio Del Toro (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER) | |
| 2 | Stellan Skarsgård (SENTIMENTAL VALUE) | |
| 3 | Sean Penn (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER) | |
| 4 | Jacob Elordi (FRANKENSTEIN) | ▲ 1 |
| 5 | Paul Mescal (HAMNET) | ▲ 1 |
| 6 | Adam Sandler (JAY KELLY) | ▼ 2 |
| 7 | Delroy Lindo (SINNERS) | |
| 8 | Andrew Scott (BLUE MOON) | ▲ 2 |
| 9 | Miles Caton (SINNERS) | ▼ 1 |
| 10 | William H. Macy (TRAIN DREAMS) | NEW |
Last Updated:
| 12/16/2025 3:05 PM |
| Cody Dericks | ||
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Benicio Del Toro (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER) | |
| 2 | Stellan Skarsgård (SENTIMENTAL VALUE) | |
| 3 | Sean Penn (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER) | |
| 4 | Paul Mescal (HAMNET) | |
| 5 | Jacob Elordi (FRANKENSTEIN) | ▲ 1 |
| 6 | Adam Sandler (JAY KELLY) | ▼ 1 |
| 7 | Delroy Lindo (SINNERS) | |
| 8 | Andrew Scott (BLUE MOON) | |
| 9 | Miles Caton (SINNERS) | |
| 10 | William H. Macy (TRAIN DREAMS) |
Last Updated:
| 12/16/2025 2:50 PM |
| Daniel Howat | ||
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stellan Skarsgård (SENTIMENTAL VALUE) | |
| 2 | Benicio Del Toro (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER) | ▲ 2 |
| 3 | Sean Penn (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER) | ▼ 1 |
| 4 | Paul Mescal (HAMNET) | ▼ 1 |
| 5 | Adam Sandler (JAY KELLY) | |
| 6 | Jacob Elordi (FRANKENSTEIN) | |
| 7 | Delroy Lindo (SINNERS) | ▲ 1 |
| 8 | Andrew Scott (BLUE MOON) | NEW |
| 9 | William H. Macy (TRAIN DREAMS) | NEW |
| 10 | Billy Crudup (JAY KELLY) | NEW |
Last Updated:
| 12/10/2025 9:35 PM |
| Megan Lachinski | ||
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stellan Skarsgård (SENTIMENTAL VALUE) | |
| 2 | Benicio Del Toro (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER) | ▲ 3 |
| 3 | Paul Mescal (HAMNET) | |
| 4 | Adam Sandler (JAY KELLY) | |
| 5 | Sean Penn (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER) | ▼ 3 |
| 6 | Jacob Elordi (FRANKENSTEIN) | |
| 7 | Delroy Lindo (SINNERS) | |
| 8 | Jeremy Strong (SPRINGSTEEN: DELIVER ME FROM NOWHERE) | |
| 9 | Andrew Scott (BLUE MOON) | |
| 10 | Jonathan Bailey (WICKED: FOR GOOD) |
Last Updated:
| 12/7/2025 4:52 PM |
| Giovanni Lago | ||
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stellan Skarsgård (SENTIMENTAL VALUE) | |
| 2 | Benicio Del Toro (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER) | |
| 3 | Sean Penn (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER) | |
| 4 | Paul Mescal (HAMNET) | |
| 5 | Adam Sandler (JAY KELLY) | |
| 6 | Jacob Elordi (FRANKENSTEIN) | |
| 7 | Andrew Scott (BLUE MOON) | NEW |
| 8 | Delroy Lindo (SINNERS) | ▼ 1 |
| 9 | Miles Caton (SINNERS) | NEW |
| 10 | Josh O'Connor (WAKE UP DEAD MAN: A KNIVES OUT MYSTERY) | NEW |
Last Updated:
| 12/17/2025 8:06 PM |
| Will Mavity | ||
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stellan Skarsgård (SENTIMENTAL VALUE) | |
| 2 | Sean Penn (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER) | |
| 3 | Benicio Del Toro (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER) | |
| 4 | Paul Mescal (HAMNET) | |
| 5 | Jacob Elordi (FRANKENSTEIN) | ▲ 1 |
| 6 | Adam Sandler (JAY KELLY) | ▼ 1 |
| 7 | Andrew Scott (BLUE MOON) | |
| 8 | Delroy Lindo (SINNERS) | |
| 9 | Jeremy Strong (SPRINGSTEEN: DELIVER ME FROM NOWHERE) | |
| 10 | Billy Crudup (JAY KELLY) |
Last Updated:
| 12/16/2025 5:05 PM |
| Tom O'Brien | ||
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stellan Skarsgård (SENTIMENTAL VALUE) | |
| 2 | Benicio Del Toro (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER) | ▲ 2 |
| 3 | Sean Penn (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER) | ▼ 1 |
| 4 | Adam Sandler (JAY KELLY) | ▼ 1 |
| 5 | Paul Mescal (HAMNET) | |
| 6 | Jacob Elordi (FRANKENSTEIN) | ▲ 1 |
| 7 | Andrew Scott (BLUE MOON) | ▲ 1 |
| 8 | Delroy Lindo (SINNERS) | ▲ 2 |
| 9 | William H. Macy (TRAIN DREAMS) | |
| 10 | Jeremy Strong (SPRINGSTEEN: DELIVER ME FROM NOWHERE) | ▼ 4 |
Last Updated:
| 12/7/2025 6:21 PM |
| Josh Parham | ||
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Benicio Del Toro (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER) | ▲ 2 |
| 2 | Stellan Skarsgård (SENTIMENTAL VALUE) | |
| 3 | Sean Penn (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER) | ▼ 2 |
| 4 | Jacob Elordi (FRANKENSTEIN) | |
| 5 | Adam Sandler (JAY KELLY) | |
| 6 | Paul Mescal (HAMNET) | |
| 7 | Delroy Lindo (SINNERS) | |
| 8 | William H. Macy (TRAIN DREAMS) | |
| 9 | Miles Caton (SINNERS) | |
| 10 | Andrew Scott (BLUE MOON) |
Last Updated:
| 12/16/2025 4:50 PM |
| Joselyn Safadi | ||
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stellan Skarsgård (SENTIMENTAL VALUE) | |
| 2 | Paul Mescal (HAMNET) | ▲ 2 |
| 3 | Sean Penn (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER) | ▲ 5 |
| 4 | Adam Sandler (JAY KELLY) | ▼ 1 |
| 5 | Jacob Elordi (FRANKENSTEIN) | NEW |
| 6 | Jeremy Strong (SPRINGSTEEN: DELIVER ME FROM NOWHERE) | ▼ 4 |
| 7 | Delroy Lindo (SINNERS) | ▼ 2 |
| 8 | Jonathan Bailey (WICKED: FOR GOOD) | ▲ 1 |
| 9 | Benicio Del Toro (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER) | NEW |
| 10 | Jack O'Connell (SINNERS) | NEW |
Last Updated:
| 11/5/2025 9:51 AM |
| Ema Sasic | ||
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stellan Skarsgård (SENTIMENTAL VALUE) | |
| 2 | Benicio Del Toro (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER) | NEW |
| 3 | Sean Penn (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER) | ▼ 1 |
| 4 | Paul Mescal (HAMNET) | ▼ 1 |
| 5 | Jacob Elordi (FRANKENSTEIN) | |
| 6 | Adam Sandler (JAY KELLY) | |
| 7 | Delroy Lindo (SINNERS) | |
| 8 | Miles Caton (SINNERS) | |
| 9 | Jeremy Strong (SPRINGSTEEN: DELIVER ME FROM NOWHERE) | |
| 10 | Andrew Scott (BLUE MOON) |
Last Updated:
| 12/16/2025 7:06 PM |