Here are the NBP staff predictions for Best Supporting Actor. For an overview of all awards predictions, visit our Oscar Predictions page.
Click each heading to view individual staff rankings, or search/sort by the drop-downs below:
NBP Staff Picks
| Matt Neglia | ||
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stellan Skarsgård (SENTIMENTAL VALUE) | |
| 2 | Benicio Del Toro (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER) | |
| 3 | Jacob Elordi (FRANKENSTEIN) | ▲ 1 |
| 4 | Sean Penn (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER) | ▼ 1 |
| 5 | Adam Sandler (JAY KELLY) | |
| 6 | Paul Mescal (HAMNET) | |
| 7 | Delroy Lindo (SINNERS) | |
| 8 | Andrew Scott (BLUE MOON) | |
| 9 | Alexander Skarsgard (PILLION) | |
| 10 | Josh O'Connor (WAKE UP DEAD MAN: A KNIVES OUT MYSTERY) |
Last Updated:
| 1/5/2026 9:35 AM |
| Dan Bayer | ||
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stellan Skarsgård (SENTIMENTAL VALUE) | |
| 2 | Benicio Del Toro (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER) | |
| 3 | Sean Penn (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER) | ▲ 1 |
| 4 | Jacob Elordi (FRANKENSTEIN) | ▲ 1 |
| 5 | Paul Mescal (HAMNET) | ▲ 1 |
| 6 | Adam Sandler (JAY KELLY) | ▼ 3 |
| 7 | Jacobi Jupe (HAMNET) | |
| 8 | Miles Caton (SINNERS) | |
| 9 | Delroy Lindo (SINNERS) | NEW |
| 10 | Andrew Scott (BLUE MOON) | NEW |
Last Updated:
| 1/9/2026 9:20 AM |
| Alyssa Christian | ||
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stellan Skarsgård (SENTIMENTAL VALUE) | |
| 2 | Benicio Del Toro (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER) | |
| 3 | Jacob Elordi (FRANKENSTEIN) | ▲ 1 |
| 4 | Sean Penn (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER) | ▼ 1 |
| 5 | Paul Mescal (HAMNET) | ▲ 1 |
| 6 | Delroy Lindo (SINNERS) | ▼ 1 |
| 7 | Adam Sandler (JAY KELLY) | |
| 8 | Miles Caton (SINNERS) | |
| 9 | Alexander Skarsgard (PILLION) | |
| 10 | Andrew Scott (BLUE MOON) |
Last Updated:
| 1/9/2026 1:05 PM |
| Sara Clements | ||
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stellan Skarsgård (SENTIMENTAL VALUE) | |
| 2 | Benicio Del Toro (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER) | |
| 3 | Jacob Elordi (FRANKENSTEIN) | ▲ 1 |
| 4 | Sean Penn (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER) | ▼ 1 |
| 5 | Paul Mescal (HAMNET) | ▲ 1 |
| 6 | Adam Sandler (JAY KELLY) | ▼ 1 |
| 7 | Delroy Lindo (SINNERS) | |
| 8 | Andrew Scott (BLUE MOON) | |
| 9 | Alexander Skarsgard (PILLION) | |
| 10 | Josh O'Connor (WAKE UP DEAD MAN: A KNIVES OUT MYSTERY) |
Last Updated:
| 1/13/2026 11:36 AM |
| Nadia Dalimonte | ||
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stellan Skarsgård (SENTIMENTAL VALUE) | ▲ 2 |
| 2 | Jacob Elordi (FRANKENSTEIN) | ▼ 1 |
| 3 | Benicio Del Toro (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER) | ▼ 1 |
| 4 | Paul Mescal (HAMNET) | |
| 5 | Sean Penn (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER) | |
| 6 | Miles Caton (SINNERS) | |
| 7 | Delroy Lindo (SINNERS) | |
| 8 | Andrew Scott (BLUE MOON) | |
| 9 | Adam Sandler (JAY KELLY) | |
| 10 | William H. Macy (TRAIN DREAMS) |
Last Updated:
| 1/11/2026 11:35 PM |
| Cody Dericks | ||
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stellan Skarsgård (SENTIMENTAL VALUE) | ▲ 2 |
| 2 | Jacob Elordi (FRANKENSTEIN) | |
| 3 | Benicio Del Toro (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER) | ▼ 2 |
| 4 | Sean Penn (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER) | |
| 5 | Paul Mescal (HAMNET) | |
| 6 | Delroy Lindo (SINNERS) | |
| 7 | Miles Caton (SINNERS) | |
| 8 | Adam Sandler (JAY KELLY) | |
| 9 | Andrew Scott (BLUE MOON) | |
| 10 | Jacobi Jupe (HAMNET) |
Last Updated:
| 1/12/2026 9:35 AM |
| Daniel Howat | ||
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stellan Skarsgård (SENTIMENTAL VALUE) | |
| 2 | Benicio Del Toro (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER) | |
| 3 | Sean Penn (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER) | |
| 4 | Paul Mescal (HAMNET) | |
| 5 | Jacob Elordi (FRANKENSTEIN) | ▲ 1 |
| 6 | Adam Sandler (JAY KELLY) | ▼ 1 |
| 7 | Delroy Lindo (SINNERS) | |
| 8 | Andrew Scott (BLUE MOON) | |
| 9 | Miles Caton (SINNERS) | NEW |
| 10 | Jacobi Jupe (HAMNET) | NEW |
Last Updated:
| 1/8/2026 2:21 PM |
| Megan Lachinski | ||
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stellan Skarsgård (SENTIMENTAL VALUE) | |
| 2 | Benicio Del Toro (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER) | |
| 3 | Jacob Elordi (FRANKENSTEIN) | ▲ 2 |
| 4 | Paul Mescal (HAMNET) | ▼ 1 |
| 5 | Sean Penn (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER) | ▼ 1 |
| 6 | Adam Sandler (JAY KELLY) | |
| 7 | Delroy Lindo (SINNERS) | |
| 8 | Miles Caton (SINNERS) | |
| 9 | Andrew Scott (BLUE MOON) | |
| 10 | Jonathan Bailey (WICKED: FOR GOOD) |
Last Updated:
| 1/11/2026 10:51 AM |
| Giovanni Lago | ||
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stellan Skarsgård (SENTIMENTAL VALUE) | |
| 2 | Benicio Del Toro (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER) | |
| 3 | Jacob Elordi (FRANKENSTEIN) | ▲ 2 |
| 4 | Paul Mescal (HAMNET) | |
| 5 | Sean Penn (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER) | ▼ 2 |
| 6 | Adam Sandler (JAY KELLY) | |
| 7 | Andrew Scott (BLUE MOON) | |
| 8 | Delroy Lindo (SINNERS) | |
| 9 | Miles Caton (SINNERS) | |
| 10 | Josh O'Connor (WAKE UP DEAD MAN: A KNIVES OUT MYSTERY) |
Last Updated:
| 1/7/2026 2:50 PM |
| Will Mavity | ||
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stellan Skarsgård (SENTIMENTAL VALUE) | ▲ 1 |
| 2 | Benicio Del Toro (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER) | ▲ 1 |
| 3 | Jacob Elordi (FRANKENSTEIN) | ▼ 2 |
| 4 | Sean Penn (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER) | |
| 5 | Paul Mescal (HAMNET) | |
| 6 | Miles Caton (SINNERS) | |
| 7 | Delroy Lindo (SINNERS) | |
| 8 | Andrew Scott (BLUE MOON) | |
| 9 | Adam Sandler (JAY KELLY) | |
| 10 | Billy Crudup (JAY KELLY) |
Last Updated:
| 1/12/2026 1:06 AM |
| Tom O'Brien | ||
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stellan Skarsgård (SENTIMENTAL VALUE) | |
| 2 | Benicio Del Toro (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER) | |
| 3 | Sean Penn (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER) | |
| 4 | Paul Mescal (HAMNET) | ▲ 1 |
| 5 | Jacob Elordi (FRANKENSTEIN) | ▲ 1 |
| 6 | Adam Sandler (JAY KELLY) | ▼ 2 |
| 7 | Andrew Scott (BLUE MOON) | |
| 8 | Delroy Lindo (SINNERS) | |
| 9 | William H. Macy (TRAIN DREAMS) | |
| 10 | Jeremy Strong (SPRINGSTEEN: DELIVER ME FROM NOWHERE) |
Last Updated:
| 12/26/2025 1:20 PM |
| Josh Parham | ||
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stellan Skarsgård (SENTIMENTAL VALUE) | |
| 2 | Jacob Elordi (FRANKENSTEIN) | ▲ 1 |
| 3 | Benicio Del Toro (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER) | ▼ 1 |
| 4 | Sean Penn (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER) | |
| 5 | Paul Mescal (HAMNET) | |
| 6 | Delroy Lindo (SINNERS) | |
| 7 | Miles Caton (SINNERS) | |
| 8 | Andrew Scott (BLUE MOON) | |
| 9 | Adam Sandler (JAY KELLY) | |
| 10 | Jacobi Jupe (HAMNET) | NEW |
Last Updated:
| 1/13/2026 5:21 PM |
| Ema Sasic | ||
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stellan Skarsgård (SENTIMENTAL VALUE) | |
| 2 | Benicio Del Toro (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER) | |
| 3 | Sean Penn (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER) | |
| 4 | Paul Mescal (HAMNET) | |
| 5 | Jacob Elordi (FRANKENSTEIN) | |
| 6 | Adam Sandler (JAY KELLY) | |
| 7 | Miles Caton (SINNERS) | ▲ 1 |
| 8 | Delroy Lindo (SINNERS) | ▼ 1 |
| 9 | Jeremy Strong (SPRINGSTEEN: DELIVER ME FROM NOWHERE) | |
| 10 | Andrew Scott (BLUE MOON) |
Last Updated:
| 1/7/2026 1:35 PM |