Oscar Predictions – Dan Bayer

Here are Dan Bayer’s 2022 Oscar Predictions. Ranking is updated in real-time, and is constantly changing until the end of the year. Accuracy will be calculated after the winners are announced at The 95th Annual Academy Awards on March 12, 2023.

Click each heading to view individual staff rankings, or search/sort by the drop-downs below:




Best Picture

Dan Bayer
1THE FABELMANS
2BABYLON
3WOMEN TALKING
4TRIANGLE OF SADNESS
5THE WHALE
6THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN
7SHE SAID
8TÁR
9TOP GUN: MAVERICK
10EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE

Best Director

Dan Bayer
1Steven Spielberg (THE FABELMANS)
2Damien Chazelle (BABYLON)
3Edward Berger (ALL QUIET ON THE WESTERN FRONT)
4Darren Aronofsky (THE WHALE)
5Sarah Polley (WOMEN TALKING)
6Martin McDonagh (THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN)
7Daniel Kwan, Daniel Scheinert (EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE)
8Todd Field (TÁR)
9James Cameron (AVATAR: THE WAY OF WATER)
10Ruben Östlund (TRIANGLE OF SADNESS)

Best Actress

Dan Bayer
1Danielle Deadwyler (TILL)
2Cate Blanchett (TÁR)
3Naomi Ackie (I WANNA DANCE WITH SOMEBODY)
4Olivia Colman (EMPIRE OF LIGHT)
5Michelle Williams (THE FABELMANS)
6Michelle Yeoh (EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE)
7Ana de Armas (BLONDE)
8Jennifer Lawrence (CAUSEWAY)
9Carey Mulligan (SHE SAID)
10Emma Thompson (GOOD LUCK TO YOU, LEO GRANDE)

Best Actor

Dan Bayer
1Brendan Fraser (THE WHALE)
2Hugh Jackman (THE SON)
3Colin Farrell (THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN)
4Austin Butler (ELVIS)
5Bill Nighy (LIVING)
6Tom Cruise (TOP GUN: MAVERICK)
7Diego Calva (BABYLON)
8Adam Driver (WHITE NOISE)
9Christian Bale (AMSTERDAM)
10Jeremy Pope (THE INSPECTION)

Best Supporting Actress

Dan Bayer
1Margot Robbie (BABYLON)
2Claire Foy (WOMEN TALKING)
3Hong Chau (THE WHALE)
4Kerry Condon (THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN)
5Laura Dern (THE SON)
6Jessie Buckley (WOMEN TALKING)
7Dakota Johnson (CHA CHA REAL SMOOTH)
8Zoe Kazan (SHE SAID)
9Dolly de Leon (TRIANGLE OF SADNESS)
10Stephanie Hsu (EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE)

Best Supporting Actor

Dan Bayer
1Brendan Gleeson (THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN)
2Judd Hirsch (THE FABELMANS)
3Jeremy Strong (ARMAGEDDON TIME)
4Ben Whishaw (WOMEN TALKING)
5Brad Pitt (BABYLON)
6Anthony Hopkins (ARMAGEDDON TIME)
7Don Cheadle (WHITE NOISE)
8Barry Keoghan (THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN)
9Brian Tyree Henry (CAUSEWAY)
10Ke Huy Quan (EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE)

Best Adapted Screenplay

Dan Bayer
1WOMEN TALKING (Sarah Polley)
2THE WHALE (Samuel D. Hunter)
3WHITE NOISE (Noah Baumbach)
4GLASS ONION: A KNIVES OUT MYSTERY (Rian Johnson)
5THE SON (Christopher Hampton, Florian Zeller)
6TILL (Chinonye Chukwu, Michael Reilly, Keith Beauchamp)
7SHE SAID (Rebecca Lenkiewicz)
8LIVING (Kazuo Ishiguro)
9ALL QUIET ON THE WESTERN FRONT (Ian Stokell, Lesley Paterson, Edward Berger)
10BONES & ALL (David Kajganich)

Best Original Screenplay

Dan Bayer
1EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE (Daniel Kwan, Daniel Scheinert,)
2THE FABELMANS (Steven Spielberg, Tony Kushner)
3THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN (Martin McDonagh)
4TRIANGLE OF SADNESS (Ruben Östlund)
5BABYLON (Damien Chazelle)
6CHA CHA REAL SMOOTH (Cooper Raiff)
7TÁR (Todd Field)
8DECISION TO LEAVE (Park Chan-wook, Seo-kyeong Jeong)
9AFTERSUN (Charlotte Wells)
10BROS (Nicholas Stoller, Billy Eichner)

Best Animated Feature

Dan Bayer
1GUILLERMO DEL TORO'S PINOCCHIO
2WENDELL AND WILD
3TURNING RED
4STRANGE WORLD
5THE SEA BEAST
6MARCEL THE SHELL WITH SHOES ON
7THE BAD GUYS
8APOLLO 10½: A SPACE AGE CHILDHOOD
9MINIONS: THE RISE OF GRU
10LIGHTYEAR

Best Documentary Feature

Dan Bayer
1NAVALNY
2MOONAGE DAYDREAM
3FIRE OF LOVE
4DESCENDANT
5ALL THE BEAUTY AND THE BLOODSHED
6SIDNEY
7ALL THAT BREATHES
8THE TERRITORY
9SR.
10GOOD NIGHT OPPY

Best International Feature

Dan Bayer
1DECISION TO LEAVE (Korea)
2CLOSE (Belgium)
3ALL QUIET ON THE WESTERN FRONT (Germany)
4BARDO (Mexico)
5EO (Poland)
6HOLY SPIDER (Denmark)
7SAINT OMER (France)
8ALCARRÀS (Spain)
9ARGENTINA, 1985 (Argentina)
10PLAN 75 (Japan)

Best Cinematography

Dan Bayer
1BABYLON (Linus Sandgren)
2EMPIRE OF LIGHT (Roger Deakins)
3THE FABELMANS (Janusz Kaminski)
4ALL QUIET ON THE WESTERN FRONT (James Friend)
5TOP GUN: MAVERICK (Claudio Miranda)
6AVATAR: THE WAY OF WATER (Russell Carpenter)
7THE BATMAN (Greig Fraser)
8TÁR (Florian Hoffmeister)
9NOPE (Hoyte Van Hoytema)
10BLONDE (Chayse Irvin)

Best Costume Design

Dan Bayer
1ELVIS
2BABYLON
3MRS. HARRIS GOES TO PARIS
4THE FABELMANS
5BLONDE
6EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE
7BLACK PANTHER: WAKANDA FOREVER
8THE WOMAN KING
9THE NORTHMAN
10CORSAGE

Best Film Editing

Dan Bayer
1TOP GUN: MAVERICK
2EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE
3BABYLON
4THE FABELMANS
5ELVIS
6GLASS ONION: A KNIVES OUT MYSTERY
7THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN
8TÁR
9DECISION TO LEAVE
10TRIANGLE OF SADNESS

Best Makeup and Hairstyling

Dan Bayer
1ELVIS
2THE WHALE
3BABYLON
4THE BATMAN
5EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE
6AMSTERDAM
7BLONDE
8X
9THE NORTHMAN
10BLACK PANTHER: WAKANDA FOREVER

Best Production Design

Dan Bayer
1BABYLON
2ELVIS
3THE FABELMANS
4GLASS ONION: A KNIVES OUT MYSTERY
5EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE
6AMSTERDAM
7AVATAR: THE WAY OF WATER
8THE BATMAN
9THE WOMAN KING
10WHITE NOISE

Best Original Score

Dan Bayer
1THE FABELMANS
2WOMEN TALKING
3EMPIRE OF LIGHT
4BABYLON
5AVATAR: THE WAY OF WATER
6TÁR
7THE BATMAN
8GLASS ONION: A KNIVES OUT MYSTERY
9NOPE
10EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE

Best Original Song

Dan Bayer
1"Hold My Hand" (TOP GUN: MAVERICK)
2"Applause" (TELL IT LIKE A WOMAN)
3"New Body Rhuma" (WHITE NOISE)
4"On My Way" (MARRY ME)
5"This Is A Life" (EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE)
6"Sunny Side Up Summer" (THE BOB'S BURGERS MOVIE)
7"Carolina" (WHERE THE CRAWDADS SING)
8"Nobody Like U" (TURNING RED)
9"Marry Me" (MARRY ME)
10"Naatu Naatu" (RRR)

Best Sound

Dan Bayer
1BABYLON
2TOP GUN: MAVERICK
3ELVIS
4BARDO
5THE BATMAN
6AVATAR: THE WAY OF WATER
7EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE
8THIRTEEN LIVES
9NOPE
10THE FABELMANS

Best Visual Effects

Dan Bayer
1AVATAR: THE WAY OF WATER
2TOP GUN: MAVERICK
3BLACK PANTHER: WAKANDA FOREVER
4THE BATMAN
5EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE
6BARDO
7DOCTOR STRANGE IN THE MULTIVERSE OF MADNESS
8NOPE
9THOR: LOVE AND THUNDER
10GUILLERMO DEL TORO'S PINOCCHIO