Oscar Predictions – Dan Bayer

Here are Dan Bayer’s 2023 Oscar Predictions. Ranking is updated in real-time, and is constantly changing until the end of the year. Accuracy will be calculated after the winners are announced at The 96th Annual Academy Awards.

Click each heading to view individual staff rankings, or search/sort by the drop-downs below:


Best Picture

Dan Bayer
1Oppenheimer
2Killers Of The Flower Moon
3Poor Things
4Past Lives
5Maestro
6Barbie
7Anatomy Of A Fall
8The Holdovers
9The Zone Of Interest
10The Color Purple

Best Director

Dan Bayer
1Christopher Nolan (OPPENHEIMER)
2Yorgos Lanthimos (POOR THINGS)
3Martin Scorsese (KILLERS OF THE FLOWER MOON)
4Jonathan Glazer (THE ZONE OF INTEREST)
5Greta Gerwig (BARBIE)
6Alexander Payne (THE HOLDOVERS)
7Bradley Cooper (MAESTRO)
8Celine Song (PAST LIVES)
9Justine Triet (ANATOMY OF A FALL)
10Ava DuVernay (ORIGIN)

Best Actress

Dan Bayer
1Carey Mulligan (MAESTRO)
2Lily Gladstone (KILLERS OF THE FLOWER MOON)
3Emma Stone (POOR THINGS)
4Sandra Huller (ANATOMY OF A FALL)
5Greta Lee (PAST LIVES)
6Annette Bening (NYAD)
7Cailee Spaeny (PRISCILLA)
8Aunjanue Ellis (ORIGIN)
9Margot Robbie (BARBIE)
10Fantasia Barrino (THE COLOR PURPLE)

Best Actor

Dan Bayer
1Bradley Cooper (MAESTRO)
2Colman Domingo (RUSTIN)
3Cillian Murphy (OPPENHEIMER)
4Leonardo DiCaprio (KILLERS OF THE FLOWER MOON)
5Paul Giamatti (THE HOLDOVERS)
6Jeffrey Wright (AMERICAN FICTION)
7Joaquin Phoenix (NAPOLEON)
8Andrew Scott (ALL OF US STRANGERS)
9Barry Keoghan (SALTBURN)
10Adam Driver (FERRARI)

Best Supporting Actress

Dan Bayer
1Danielle Brooks (THE COLOR PURPLE)
2Da'Vine Joy Randolph (THE HOLDOVERS)
3Emily Blunt (OPPENHEIMER)
4Jodie Foster (NYAD)
5Juliette Binoche (THE TASTE OF THINGS)
6Viola Davis (AIR)
7Julianne Moore (MAY DECEMBER)
8Rosamund Pike (SALTBURN)
9Taraji P. Henson (THE COLOR PURPLE)
10Penelope Cruz (FERRARI)

Best Supporting Actor

Dan Bayer
1Robert Downey Jr. (OPPENHEIMER)
2Robert De Niro (KILLERS OF THE FLOWER MOON)
3Ryan Gosling (BARBIE)
4Mark Ruffalo (POOR THINGS)
5Charles Melton (MAY DECEMBER)
6Colman Domingo (THE COLOR PURPLE)
7Willem Dafoe (POOR THINGS)
8Dominic Sessa (THE HOLDOVERS)
9John Magaro (PAST LIVES)
10Peter Sarsgaard (MEMORY)

Best Adapted Screenplay

Dan Bayer
1KILLERS OF THE FLOWER MOON (Eric Roth & Martin Scorsese)
2POOR THINGS (Tony McNamara)
3OPPENHEIMER (Christopher Nolan)
4AMERICAN FICTION (Cord Jefferson)
5THE ZONE OF INTEREST (Jonathan Glazer)
6ALL OF US STRANGERS (Andrew Haigh)
7THE TASTE OF THINGS (Trần Anh Hung)
8ARE YOU THERE GOD? IT'S ME, MARGARET. (Kelly Fremon Craig)
9THE COLOR PURPLE (Marcus Gardley)
10SPIDER-MAN: ACROSS THE SPIDER-VERSE (Phil Lord, Christopher Miller & Dave Callaham)

Best Original Screenplay

Dan Bayer
1PAST LIVES (Celine Song)
2THE HOLDOVERS (David Hemingson)
3BARBIE (Greta Gerwig & Noah Baumbach)
4MAESTRO (Bradley Cooper & Josh Singer)
5ANATOMY OF A FALL (Justine Triet & Arthur Harari)
6ASTEROID CITY (Wes Anderson, Roman Coppola)
7AIR (Alex Convery)
8MAY DECEMBER (Samy Burch)
9RUSTIN (Julian Breece & Dustin Lance Black)
10FAIR PLAY (Chloe Domont)

Best Animated Feature

Dan Bayer
1The Boy and the Heron
2Spider-Man: Across The Spider-Verse
3Elemental
4Wish
5The Peasants
6Nimona
7Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Mutant Mayhem
8The Super Mario Bros. Movie
9Chicken Run: Dawn Of The Nugget
10Suzume

Best Documentary Feature

Dan Bayer
1Beyond Utopia
220 Days In Mariupol
3Still: A Michael J. Fox Movie
4Stamped From The Beginning
5The Eternal Memory
6Orlando, My Political Biography
7A Still Small Voice
8Every Body
9The Mother of All Lies
10The Deepest Breath

Best International Feature

Dan Bayer
1THE ZONE OF INTEREST (United Kingdom)
2THE TASTE OF THINGS (France)
3PERFECT DAYS (Japan)
4THE PROMISED LAND (Denmark)
5THE TEACHERS' LOUNGE (Germany)
6SHAYDA (Australia)
7SOCIETY OF THE SNOW (Spain)
8ABOUT DRY GRASSES (Turkey)
9FALLEN LEAVES (Finland)
1020 DAYS IN MARIUPOL (Ukraine)

Best Cinematography

Dan Bayer
1OPPENHEIMER (Hoyte Van Hoytema)
2KILLERS OF THE FLOWER MOON (Rodrigo Prieto)
3MAESTRO (Matthew Libatique)
4POOR THINGS (Robbie Ryan)
5THE COLOR PURPLE (Dan Laustsen)
6THE ZONE OF INTEREST (Lukasz Zal)
7SALTBURN (Linus Sandgren)
8NAPOLEON (Dariusz Wolski)
9EL CONDE (Edward Lachman)
10JOHN WICK: CHAPTER 4 (Dan Laustsen)

Best Costume Design

Dan Bayer
1Poor Things
2Barbie
3Napoleon
4The Color Purple
5Wonka
6Killers Of The Flower Moon
7Priscilla
8Asteroid City
9Oppenheimer
10Chevalier

Best Film Editing

Dan Bayer
1Killers Of The Flower Moon
2Oppenheimer
3Ferrari
4The Killer
5Maestro
6Asteroid City
7Past Lives
8Poor Things
9Saltburn
10The Holdovers

Best Makeup and Hairstyling

Dan Bayer
1Maestro
2Poor Things
3Nyad
4Oppenheimer
5Beau Is Afraid
6Ferrari
7Barbie
8Guardians Of The Galaxy Vol. 3
9Golda
10Priscilla

Best Production Design

Dan Bayer
1Poor Things
2Barbie
3Oppenheimer
4Killers Of The Flower Moon
5Asteroid City
6Wonka
7Napoleon
8The Color Purple
9Maestro
10Saltburn

Best Original Score

Dan Bayer
1OPPENHEIMER (Ludwig Göransson)
2KILLERS OF THE FLOWER MOON (Robbie Robertson)
3ELEMENTAL (Thomas Newman)
4POOR THINGS (Jerskin Fendrix)
5SOCIETY OF THE SNOW (Michael Giacchino)
6CARMEN (Nicholas Britell)
7ASTEROID CITY (Alexandre Desplat)
8PAST LIVES (Christopher Bear & Daniel Rossen)
9THE KILLER (Trent Reznor & Atticus Ross)
10FERRARI (Daniel Pemberton)

Best Original Song

Dan Bayer
1"What Was I Made For?" (BARBIE)
2"I'm Just Ken" (BARBIE)
3"Road To Freedom" (RUSTIN)
4"A World Of Your Own" (WONKA)
5"Joan Still" (THEATER CAMP)
6"Quiet Eyes" (PAST LIVES)
7"Keep It Movin'" (THE COLOR PURPLE)
8"The Wish" (WISH)
9"Peaches" (THE SUPER MARIO BROS. MOVIE)
10"Steal The Show" (ELEMENTAL)

Best Sound

Dan Bayer
1Oppenheimer
2Maestro
3Ferrari
4Napoleon
5Society of the Snow
6Killers Of The Flower Moon
7The Killer
8Mission: Impossible - Dead Reckoning Part One
9The Zone Of Interest
10Spider-Man: Across The Spider-Verse

Best Visual Effects

Dan Bayer
1Poor Things
2Napoleon
3Guardians Of The Galaxy Vol. 3
4The Creator
5Mission: Impossible - Dead Reckoning Part One
6Wonka
7Rebel Moon: Part One - A Child Of Fire
8Transformers: Rise of the Beasts
9Killers Of The Flower Moon
10Godzilla: Minus One