Here are Dan Bayer’s 2024 Oscar Predictions. Ranking is updated in real-time, and is constantly changing until the end of the year. Accuracy will be calculated after the winners are announced at The 97th Annual Academy Awards.
Click each heading to view individual staff rankings, or search/sort by the drop-downs below:
| Â |
Best Picture
| Dan Bayer | |
|---|---|
| 1 | CONCLAVE |
| 2 | THE BRUTALIST |
| 3 | ANORA |
| 4 | EMILIA PÉREZ |
| 5 | DUNE: PART TWO |
| 6 | A COMPLETE UNKNOWN |
| 7 | WICKED |
| 8 | THE SUBSTANCE |
| 9 | NICKEL BOYS |
| 10 | SING SING |
Best Director
| Dan Bayer | |
|---|---|
| 1 | Brady Corbet (THE BRUTALIST) |
| 2 | Sean Baker (ANORA) |
| 3 | Jacques Audiard (EMILIA PÉREZ) |
| 4 | Edward Berger (CONCLAVE) |
| 5 | Coralie Fargeat (THE SUBSTANCE) |
| 6 | RaMell Ross (NICKEL BOYS) |
| 7 | Denis Villenueve (DUNE: PART TWO) |
| 8 | James Mangold (A COMPLETE UNKNOWN) |
| 9 | Payal Kapadia (ALL WE IMAGINE AS LIGHT) |
| 10 | Greg Kwedar (SING SING) |
Best Actress
| Dan Bayer | |
|---|---|
| 1 | Mikey Madison (ANORA) |
| 2 | Demi Moore (THE SUBSTANCE) |
| 3 | Karla SofÃa Gascón (EMILIA PÉREZ) |
| 4 | Cynthia Erivo (WICKED) |
| 5 | Marianne Jean-Baptiste (HARD TRUTHS) |
| 6 | Angelina Jolie (MARIA) |
| 7 | Fernanda Torres (I'M STILL HERE) |
| 8 | Pamela Anderson (THE LAST SHOWGIRL) |
| 9 | Nicole Kidman (BABYGIRL) |
| 10 | Kate Winslet (LEE) |
Best Actor
| Dan Bayer | |
|---|---|
| 1 | Adrien Brody (THE BRUTALIST) |
| 2 | Timothee Chalamet (A COMPLETE UNKNOWN) |
| 3 | Colman Domingo (SING SING) |
| 4 | Ralph Fiennes (CONCLAVE) |
| 5 | Daniel Craig (QUEER) |
| 6 | Sebastian Stan (THE APPRENTICE) |
| 7 | Sebastian Stan (A DIFFERENT MAN) |
| 8 | Jesse Eisenberg (A REAL PAIN) |
| 9 | Hugh Grant (HERETIC) |
| 10 | Kingsley Ben-Adir (BOB MARLEY: ONE LOVE) |
Best Supporting Actress
| Dan Bayer | |
|---|---|
| 1 | Zoe Saldaña (EMILIA PÉREZ) |
| 2 | Ariana Grande (WICKED) |
| 3 | Felicity Jones (THE BRUTALIST) |
| 4 | Isabella Rossellini (CONCLAVE) |
| 5 | Jamie Lee Curtis (THE LAST SHOWGIRL) |
| 6 | Selena Gomez (EMILIA PÉREZ) |
| 7 | Margaret Qualley (THE SUBSTANCE) |
| 8 | Danielle Deadwyler (THE PIANO LESSON) |
| 9 | Monica Barbaro (A COMPLETE UNKNOWN) |
| 10 | Aunjanue Ellis-Taylor (NICKEL BOYS) |
Best Supporting Actor
| Dan Bayer | |
|---|---|
| 1 | Kieran Culkin (A REAL PAIN) |
| 2 | Guy Pearce (THE BRUTALIST) |
| 3 | Edward Norton (A COMPLETE UNKNOWN) |
| 4 | Yura Borisov (ANORA) |
| 5 | Clarence Maclin (SING SING) |
| 6 | Jeremy Strong (THE APPRENTICE) |
| 7 | Denzel Washington (GLADIATOR II) |
| 8 | Jonathan Bailey (WICKED) |
| 9 | Bill Skarsgård (NOSFERATU) |
| 10 | Brian Tyree Henry (THE FIRE INSIDE) |
Best Adapted Screenplay
| Dan Bayer | |
|---|---|
| 1 | CONCLAVE (Peter Straughan) |
| 2 | SING SING (Clint Bentley, Greg Kwedar, Clarence "Divine Eye" Maclin, John "Divine G" Whitfield) |
| 3 | NICKEL BOYS (RaMell Ross, Joslyn Barnes) |
| 4 | EMILIA PÉREZ (Jacques Audiard) |
| 5 | QUEER (Justin Kuritzkes) |
| 6 | WICKED (Winnie Holzman) |
| 7 | A COMPLETE UNKNOWN (Jay Cocks, James Mangold) |
| 8 | DUNE: PART TWO (Denis Villeneuve, Jon Spaihts) |
| 9 | HIT MAN (Richard Linklater, Glen Powell) |
| 10 | NOSFERATU (Robert Eggers) |
Best Original Screenplay
| Dan Bayer | |
|---|---|
| 1 | ANORA (Sean Baker) |
| 2 | A REAL PAIN (Jesse Eisenberg) |
| 3 | THE BRUTALIST (Brady Corbet, Mona Fastvold) |
| 4 | THE SUBSTANCE (Coralie Fargeat) |
| 5 | HARD TRUTHS (Mike Leigh) |
| 6 | CHALLENGERS (Justin Kuritzkes) |
| 7 | THE SEED OF THE SACRED FIG (Mohammad Rasoulof) |
| 8 | HIS THREE DAUGHTERS (Azazel Jacobs) |
| 9 | SEPTEMBER 5 (Tim Fehlbaum, Moritz Binder, Alex David) |
| 10 | ALL WE IMAGINE AS LIGHT (Payal Kapadia) |
Best Animated Feature
| Dan Bayer | |
|---|---|
| 1 | THE WILD ROBOT |
| 2 | INSIDE OUT 2 |
| 3 | WALLACE & GROMIT: VENGEANCE MOST FOWL |
| 4 | FLOW |
| 5 | MEMOIR OF A SNAIL |
| 6 | MOANA 2 |
| 7 | THE LORD OF THE RINGS: THE WAR OF THE ROHIRRIM |
| 8 | SPELLBOUND |
| 9 | CHICKEN FOR LINDA |
| 10 | TRANSFORMERS ONE |
Best Documentary Feature
| Dan Bayer | |
|---|---|
| 1 | NO OTHER LAND |
| 2 | BLACK BOX DIARIES |
| 3 | WILL & HARPER |
| 4 | SUGARCANE |
| 5 | DAUGHTERS |
| 6 | DAHOMEY |
| 7 | SOUNDTRACK TO A COUP D'ÉTAT |
| 8 | THE REMARKABLE LIFE OF IBELIN |
| 9 | UNION |
| 10 | THE BIBI FILES |
Best International Feature
| Dan Bayer | |
|---|---|
| 1 | EMILIA PÉREZ (France) |
| 2 | THE SEED OF THE SACRED FIG (Germany) |
| 3 | I'M STILL HERE (Brazil) |
| 4 | THE GIRL WITH THE NEEDLE (Denmark) |
| 5 | VERMIGLIO (Italy) |
| 6 | KNEECAP (Ireland) |
| 7 | ARMAND (Norway) |
| 8 | UNIVERSAL LANGUAGE (Canada) |
| 9 | HOW TO MAKE MILLIONS BEFORE GRANDMA DIES (Thailand) |
| 10 | TOUCH (Iceland) |
Best Cinematography
| Dan Bayer | |
|---|---|
| 1 | THE BRUTALIST (Lol Crawley) |
| 2 | NOSFERATU (Jarin Blaschke) |
| 3 | CONCLAVE (Stéphane Fontaine) |
| 4 | DUNE: PART TWO (Greig Fraser) |
| 5 | MARIA (Edward Lachmann) |
| 6 | THE GIRL WITH THE NEEDLE (Michal Dymek) |
| 7 | NICKEL BOYS (Jomo Fray) |
| 8 | EMILIA PÉREZ (Paul Guilhaume) |
| 9 | WICKED (Alice Brooks) |
| 10 | A COMPLETE UNKNOWN (Phedon Papamichael) |
Best Costume Design
| Dan Bayer | |
|---|---|
| 1 | WICKED |
| 2 | NOSFERATU |
| 3 | DUNE: PART TWO |
| 4 | MARIA |
| 5 | GLADIATOR II |
| 6 | FURIOSA: A MAD MAX SAGA |
| 7 | BEETLEJUICE BEETLEJUICE |
| 8 | CONCLAVE |
| 9 | BLITZ |
| 10 | JOKER: FOLIE A DEUX |
Best Film Editing
| Dan Bayer | |
|---|---|
| 1 | CONCLAVE |
| 2 | ANORA |
| 3 | THE BRUTALIST |
| 4 | SING SING |
| 5 | EMILIA PÉREZ |
| 6 | CHALLENGERS |
| 7 | DUNE: PART TWO |
| 8 | THE SUBSTANCE |
| 9 | GLADIATOR II |
| 10 | NOSFERATU |
Best Makeup and Hairstyling
| Dan Bayer | |
|---|---|
| 1 | THE SUBSTANCE |
| 2 | WICKED |
| 3 | NOSFERATU |
| 4 | BEETLEJUICE BEETLEJUICE |
| 5 | DUNE: PART TWO |
| 6 | A DIFFERENT MAN |
| 7 | EMILIA PÉREZ |
| 8 | THE APPRENTICE |
| 9 | MARIA |
| 10 | WALTZING WITH BRANDO |
Best Production Design
| Dan Bayer | |
|---|---|
| 1 | WICKED |
| 2 | NOSFERATU |
| 3 | THE BRUTALIST |
| 4 | DUNE: PART TWO |
| 5 | GLADIATOR II |
| 6 | BLITZ |
| 7 | THE SUBSTANCE |
| 8 | MARIA |
| 9 | BEETLEJUICE BEETLEJUICE |
| 10 | SATURDAY NIGHT |
Best Original Score
| Dan Bayer | |
|---|---|
| 1 | THE BRUTALIST (Daniel Blumberg) |
| 2 | THE WILD ROBOT (Kris Bowers) |
| 3 | CONCLAVE (Volker Bertelmann) |
| 4 | NOSFERATU (Robin Carolan) |
| 5 | EMILIA PÉREZ (Clément Ducol, Camille) |
| 6 | CHALLENGERS (Trent Reznor, Atticus Ross) |
| 7 | THE ROOM NEXT DOOR (Alberto Iglesias) |
| 8 | SING SING (Bryce Dessner) |
| 9 | BEETLEJUICE BEETLEJUICE (Danny Elfman) |
| 10 | YOUNG WOMAN AND THE SEA (Amelia Warner) |
Best Original Song
| Dan Bayer | |
|---|---|
| 1 | "El Mal" (EMILIA PÉREZ) |
| 2 | "The Journey" (THE SIX TRIPLE EIGHT) |
| 3 | "Kiss the Sky" (THE WILD ROBOT) |
| 4 | "Mi Camino" (EMILIA PÉREZ) |
| 5 | "Compress/Repress" (CHALLENGERS) |
| 6 | "Tell Me It's You" (MUFASA: THE LION KING) |
| 7 | "Harper And Will Go West" (WILL & HARPER) |
| 8 | "Like a Bird" (SING SING) |
| 9 | "Piece By Piece" (PIECE BY PIECE) |
| 10 | "Sick in the Head" (KNEECAP) |
Best Sound
| Dan Bayer | |
|---|---|
| 1 | DUNE: PART TWO |
| 2 | WICKED |
| 3 | A COMPLETE UNKNOWN |
| 4 | EMILIA PÉREZ |
| 5 | ALIEN: ROMULUS |
| 6 | THE WILD ROBOT |
| 7 | GLADIATOR II |
| 8 | BLITZ |
| 9 | DEADPOOL & WOLVERINE |
| 10 | JOKER: FOLIE A DEUX |
Best Visual Effects
| Dan Bayer | |
|---|---|
| 1 | DUNE: PART TWO |
| 2 | WICKED |
| 3 | MUFASA: THE LION KING |
| 4 | KINGDOM OF THE PLANET OF THE APES |
| 5 | ALIEN: ROMULUS |
| 6 | BETTER MAN |
| 7 | TWISTERS |
| 8 | BETTER MAN |
| 9 | GLADIATOR II |
| 10 | CIVIL WAR |
Best Animated Short Film
| Dan Bayer | |
|---|---|
| 1 | ME |
| 2 | A BEAR NAMED WOJTEK |
| 3 | WANDER TO WONDER |
| 4 | THE 21 |
| 5 | YUCK! |
| 6 | THE WILD-TEMPERED CLAVIER |
| 7 | A CRAB IN THE POOL |
| 8 | IN THE SHADOW OF THE CYPRESS |
| 9 | ORIGAMI |
| 10 | BEAUTIFUL MEN |
Best Documentary Short Film
| Dan Bayer | |
|---|---|
| 1 | THE QUILTERS |
| 2 | INCIDENT |
| 3 | THE ONLY GIRL IN THE ORCHESTRA |
| 4 | A SWIM LESSON |
| 5 | MAKAYLA’S VOICE: A LETTER TO THE WORLD |
| 6 | INSTRUMENTS OF A BEATING HEART |
| 7 | SEAT 31: ZOOEY ZEPHYR |
| 8 | PLANETWALKER |
| 9 | DEATH BY NUMBERS |
| 10 | I AM READY, WARDEN |
Best Live Action Short Film
| Dan Bayer | |
|---|---|
| 1 | DOVECOTE |
| 2 | THE MAN WHO COULD NOT REMAIN SILENT |
| 3 | CLODAGH |
| 4 | ROOM TAKEN |
| 5 | THE MASTERPIECE |
| 6 | AN ORANGE FROM JAFFA |
| 7 | I’M NOT A ROBOT |
| 8 | A LIEN |
| 9 | ANUJA |
| 10 | CRUST |