Oscar Predictions – Dan Bayer

Here are Dan Bayer’s 2022 Oscar Predictions. Ranking is updated in real-time, and is constantly changing until the end of the year. Accuracy will be calculated after the winners are announced at The 95th Annual Academy Awards on March 12, 2023.

Click each heading to view individual staff rankings, or search/sort by the drop-downs below:




Best Picture

Dan Bayer
1EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE
2THE FABELMANS
3THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN
4TOP GUN: MAVERICK
5ALL QUIET ON THE WESTERN FRONT
6TÁR
7ELVIS
8AVATAR: THE WAY OF WATER
9WOMEN TALKING
10TRIANGLE OF SADNESS

Best Director

Dan Bayer
1Steven Spielberg (THE FABELMANS)
2Daniel Kwan, Daniel Scheinert (EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE)
3Todd Field (TÁR)
4Martin McDonagh (THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN)
5Ruben Östlund (TRIANGLE OF SADNESS)

Best Actress

Dan Bayer
1Michelle Yeoh (EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE)
2Cate Blanchett (TÁR)
3Ana de Armas (BLONDE)
4Michelle Williams (THE FABELMANS)
5Andrea Riseborough (TO LESLIE)

Best Actor

Dan Bayer
1Brendan Fraser (THE WHALE)
2Austin Butler (ELVIS)
3Colin Farrell (THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN)
4Bill Nighy (LIVING)
5Paul Mescal (AFTERSUN)

Best Supporting Actress

Dan Bayer
1Angela Bassett (BLACK PANTHER: WAKANDA FOREVER)
2Kerry Condon (THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN)
3Hong Chau (THE WHALE)
4Jamie Lee Curtis (EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE)
5Stephanie Hsu (EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE)

Best Supporting Actor

Dan Bayer
1Ke Huy Quan (EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE)
2Brendan Gleeson (THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN)
3Barry Keoghan (THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN)
4Judd Hirsch (THE FABELMANS)
5Brian Tyree Henry (CAUSEWAY)

Best Adapted Screenplay

Dan Bayer
1WOMEN TALKING (Sarah Polley)
2ALL QUIET ON THE WESTERN FRONT (Ian Stokell, Lesley Paterson, Edward Berger)
3GLASS ONION: A KNIVES OUT MYSTERY (Rian Johnson)
4LIVING (Kazuo Ishiguro)
5TOP GUN: MAVERICK (Ehren Kruger, Eric Warren Singer, Christopher McQuarrie)

Best Original Screenplay

Dan Bayer
1THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN (Martin McDonagh)
2EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE (Daniel Kwan, Daniel Scheinert,)
3THE FABELMANS (Steven Spielberg, Tony Kushner)
4TÁR (Todd Field)
5TRIANGLE OF SADNESS (Ruben Östlund)

Best Animated Feature

Dan Bayer
1GUILLERMO DEL TORO'S PINOCCHIO
2MARCEL THE SHELL WITH SHOES ON
3PUSS IN BOOTS: THE LAST WISH
4TURNING RED
5THE SEA BEAST

Best Documentary Feature

Dan Bayer
1NAVALNY
2ALL THAT BREATHES
3FIRE OF LOVE
4ALL THAT BREATHES
5A HOUSE MADE OF SPLINTERS

Best International Feature

Dan Bayer
1ALL QUIET ON THE WESTERN FRONT (Germany)
2ARGENTINA, 1985 (Argentina)
3CLOSE (Belgium)
4EO (Poland)
5THE QUIET GIRL (Ireland)

Best Cinematography

Dan Bayer
1ALL QUIET ON THE WESTERN FRONT (James Friend)
2ELVIS (Mandy Walker)
3TÁR (Florian Hoffmeister)
4BARDO (Darius Khondji)
5EMPIRE OF LIGHT (Roger Deakins)

Best Costume Design

Dan Bayer
1ELVIS
2BLACK PANTHER: WAKANDA FOREVER
3EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE
4MRS. HARRIS GOES TO PARIS
5BABYLON

Best Film Editing

Dan Bayer
1TOP GUN: MAVERICK
2EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE
3ELVIS
4TÁR
5THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN

Best Makeup and Hairstyling

Dan Bayer
1ELVIS
2THE WHALE
3THE BATMAN
4ALL QUIET ON THE WESTERN FRONT
5BLACK PANTHER: WAKANDA FOREVER

Best Production Design

Dan Bayer
1ELVIS
2THE FABELMANS
3ALL QUIET ON THE WESTERN FRONT
4AVATAR: THE WAY OF WATER
5BABYLON

Best Original Score

Dan Bayer
1BABYLON
2THE FABELMANS
3EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE
4THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN
5ALL QUIET ON THE WESTERN FRONT

Best Original Song

Dan Bayer
1"Naatu Naatu" (RRR)
2"Hold My Hand" (TOP GUN: MAVERICK)
3"Lift Me Up" (BLACK PANTHER: WAKANDA FOREVER)
4"This Is A Life" (EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE)
5"Applause" (TELL IT LIKE A WOMAN)

Best Sound

Dan Bayer
1TOP GUN: MAVERICK
2ELVIS
3ALL QUIET ON THE WESTERN FRONT
4AVATAR: THE WAY OF WATER
5THE BATMAN

Best Visual Effects

Dan Bayer
1AVATAR: THE WAY OF WATER
2TOP GUN: MAVERICK
3ALL QUIET ON THE WESTERN FRONT
4THE BATMAN
5BLACK PANTHER: WAKANDA FOREVER

Best Animated Short Film

Dan Bayer
1THE BOY, THE MOLE, THE FOX AND THE HORSE
2ICE MERCHANTS
3AN OSTRICH TOLD ME THE WORLD IS FAKE AND I THINK I BELIEVE IT
4MY YEAR OF DICKS
5THE FLYING SAILOR

Best Documentary Short Film

Dan Bayer
1THE ELEPHANT WHISPERERS
2STRANGER AT THE GATE
3HAULOUT
4HOW DO YOU MEASURE A YEAR?
5THE MARTHA MITCHELL EFFECT

Best Live Action Short Film

Dan Bayer
1LE PUPILLE
2THE RED SUITCASE
3AN IRISH GOODBYE
4IVALU
5NIGHT RIDE