Oscar Predictions – Dan Bayer

Here are Dan Bayer’s 2025 Oscar Predictions. Ranking is updated in real-time, and is constantly changing until the end of the year. Accuracy will be calculated after the winners are announced at The 97th Annual Academy Awards.

Click each heading to view individual staff rankings, or search/sort by the drop-downs below:

Best Picture

Dan Bayer
1AFTER THE HUNT
2JAY KELLY
3SINNERS
4SENTIMENTAL VALUE
5FRANKENSTEIN
6MARTY SUPREME
7BUGONIA
8A HOUSE OF DYNAMITE
9IT WAS JUST AN ACCIDENT
10ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER

Best Director

Dan Bayer
1Luca Guadagnino (AFTER THE HUNT)
2Noah Baumbach (JAY KELLY)
3Joachim Trier (SENTIMENTAL VALUE)
4Jafar Panahi (IT WAS JUST AN ACCIDENT)
5Guillermo Del Toro (FRANKENSTEIN)
6Ryan Coogler (SINNERS)
7Kathryn Bigelow (A HOUSE OF DYNAMITE)
8Jon M. Chu (WICKED: FOR GOOD)
9Paul Thomas Anderson (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER)
10Yorgos Lanthimos (BUGONIA)

Best Actress

Dan Bayer
1Julia Roberts (AFTER THE HUNT)
2Renate Reinsve (SENTIMENTAL VALUE)
3Amanda Seyfried (ANN LEE)
4Jessie Buckley (HAMNET)
5Cynthia Erivo (WICKED: FOR GOOD)
6Jessica Lange (LONG DAY'S JOURNEY INTO NIGHT)
7Emma Stone (BUGONIA)
8Jennifer Lawrence (DIE, MY LOVE)
9June Squibb (ELEANOR THE GREAT)
10Rose Byrne (IF I HAD LEGS I'D KICK YOU)

Best Actor

Dan Bayer
1George Clooney (JAY KELLY)
2Jeremy Allen White (SPRINGSTEEN: DELIVER ME FROM NOWHERE)
3Timothée Chalamet (MARTY SUPREME)
4Oscar Isaac (FRANKENSTEIN)
5Jesse Plemons (BUGONIA)
6Michael B. Jordan (SINNERS)
7Colin Farrell (THE BALLAD OF A SMALL PLAYER)
8Wagner Moura (THE SECRET AGENT)
9Joel Edgerton (TRAIN DREAMS)
10Dwayne Johnson (THE SMASHING MACHINE)

Best Supporting Actress

Dan Bayer
1Ayo Edebiri (AFTER THE HUNT)
2Jennifer Lopez (KISS OF THE SPIDER WOMAN)
3Laura Dern (JAY KELLY)
4Rebecca Ferguson (A HOUSE OF DYNAMITE)
5Elle Fanning (SENTIMENTAL VALUE)
6Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas (SENTIMENTAL VALUE)
7Gwyneth Paltrow (MARTY SUPREME)
8Emily Blunt (THE SMASHING MACHINE)
9Teyana Taylor (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER)
10Ariana Grande (WICKED: FOR GOOD)

Best Supporting Actor

Dan Bayer
1Stellan Skarsgård (SENTIMENTAL VALUE)
2Adam Sandler (JAY KELLY)
3Jeremy Strong (SPRINGSTEEN: DELIVER ME FROM NOWHERE)
4Andrew Garfield (AFTER THE HUNT)
5Jacob Elordi (FRANKENSTEIN)
6Sean Penn (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER)
7Stephen Graham (SPRINGSTEEN: DELIVER ME FROM NOWHERE)
8Delroy Lindo (SINNERS)
9Dylan O'Brien (TWINLESS)
10Paul Mescal (HAMNET)

Best Adapted Screenplay

Dan Bayer
1ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER (Paul Thomas Anderson)
2HAMNET (Maggie O’Farrell & Chloe Zhao)
3WAKE UP DEAD MAN: A KNIVES OUT MYSTERY (Rian Johnson)
4FRANKENSTEIN (Guillermo Del Toro)
5BUGONIA (Will Tracy)
6SPRINGSTEEN: DELIVER ME FROM NOWHERE (Scott Cooper)
7WICKED: FOR GOOD (Dana Fox & Winnie Holzman)
8TRAIN DREAMS (Clint Bentley & Greg Kwedar)
9HIGHEST 2 LOWEST (William Alan Fox)
10DIE, MY LOVE (Alice Birch, Lynne Ramsay & Enda Walsh)

Best Original Screenplay

Dan Bayer
1SENTIMENTAL VALUE (Joachim Trier & Eskil Vogt)
2JAY KELLY (Noah Baumbach & Emily Mortimer)
3AFTER THE HUNT (Nora Garrett)
4IT WAS JUST AN ACCIDENT (Jafar Panahi)
5MARTY SUPREME (Ronald Bronstein & Josh Safdie)
6SINNERS (Ryan Coogler)
7SORRY BABY (Eva Victor)
8THE SECRET AGENT (Kleber Mendonça Filho)
9NOUVELLE VAGUE (Holly Gent, Laetitia Masson, Vincent Palmo Jr. & Michèle Pétin)
10ANN LEE (Brady Corbet & Mona Fastvold)

Best Animated Feature

Dan Bayer
1SCARLET
2ZOOTOPIA 2
3ELIO
4ARCO
5IN YOUR DREAMS
6A MAGNIFICENT LIFE
7THE BAD GUYS 2
8ANIMAL FARM
9LITTLE AMÉLIE OR THE CHARACTER OF RAIN
10KPOP DEMON HUNTERS

Best Documentary Feature

Dan Bayer
1THE PERFECT NEIGHBOR
22000 METERS TO ANDRIIVKA
3APOCALYPSE IN THE TROPICS
4ORWELL 2+2=5
5THE SIX BILLION DOLLAR MAN
6THE LIBRARIANS
7SEEDS
8ARCHITECTION
9CUTTING THROUGH ROCKS
10THE ALABAMA SOLUTION

Best International Feature

Dan Bayer
1SENTIMENTAL VALUE (Norway)
2IT WAS JUST AN ACCIDENT (Luxembourg)
3THE PRESIDENT'S CAKE (Iraq)
4LEFT-HANDED GIRL (Taiwan)
5MY FATHER'S SHADOW (Nigeria)
6NO OTHER CHOICE (South Korea)
7SIRÄ€T (Spain)
8THE SECRET AGENT (Brazil)
9SOUND OF FALLING (Germany)
10RESURRECTION (China)

Best Casting

Dan Bayer
1Francine Maisler (SINNERS)
2Bret Howe & Mary Vernieu (WAKE UP DEAD MAN: A KNIVES OUT MYSTERY)
3Jennifer Venditti (MARTY SUPREME)
4Jessica Ronane (AFTER THE HUNT)
5Douglas Aibel & Nina Gold (JAY KELLY)
6Francine Maisler (SPRINGSTEEN: DELIVER ME FROM NOWHERE)
7Yngvill Kolset Haga & Avy Kaufman (SENTIMENTAL VALUE)
8Robin D. Cook (FRANKENSTEIN)
9Isabella Odoffin (ANN LEE)
10Adam Caldwell & Tiffany Little Canfield (KISS OF THE SPIDER WOMAN)