Here are Dan Bayer’s 2023 Oscar Predictions. Ranking is updated in real-time, and is constantly changing until the end of the year. Accuracy will be calculated after the winners are announced at The 96th Annual Academy Awards.
Click each heading to view individual staff rankings, or search/sort by the drop-downs below:
Best Picture
| Dan Bayer | |
|---|---|
| 1 | Oppenheimer |
| 2 | Killers Of The Flower Moon |
| 3 | Poor Things |
| 4 | Past Lives |
| 5 | Maestro |
| 6 | Barbie |
| 7 | Anatomy Of A Fall |
| 8 | The Holdovers |
| 9 | The Zone Of Interest |
| 10 | The Color Purple |
Best Director
| Dan Bayer | |
|---|---|
| 1 | Christopher Nolan (OPPENHEIMER) |
| 2 | Yorgos Lanthimos (POOR THINGS) |
| 3 | Martin Scorsese (KILLERS OF THE FLOWER MOON) |
| 4 | Jonathan Glazer (THE ZONE OF INTEREST) |
| 5 | Greta Gerwig (BARBIE) |
| 6 | Alexander Payne (THE HOLDOVERS) |
| 7 | Bradley Cooper (MAESTRO) |
| 8 | Celine Song (PAST LIVES) |
| 9 | Justine Triet (ANATOMY OF A FALL) |
| 10 | Ava DuVernay (ORIGIN) |
Best Actress
| Dan Bayer | |
|---|---|
| 1 | Carey Mulligan (MAESTRO) |
| 2 | Lily Gladstone (KILLERS OF THE FLOWER MOON) |
| 3 | Emma Stone (POOR THINGS) |
| 4 | Sandra Huller (ANATOMY OF A FALL) |
| 5 | Greta Lee (PAST LIVES) |
| 6 | Annette Bening (NYAD) |
| 7 | Cailee Spaeny (PRISCILLA) |
| 8 | Aunjanue Ellis (ORIGIN) |
| 9 | Margot Robbie (BARBIE) |
| 10 | Fantasia Barrino (THE COLOR PURPLE) |
Best Actor
| Dan Bayer | |
|---|---|
| 1 | Bradley Cooper (MAESTRO) |
| 2 | Colman Domingo (RUSTIN) |
| 3 | Cillian Murphy (OPPENHEIMER) |
| 4 | Leonardo DiCaprio (KILLERS OF THE FLOWER MOON) |
| 5 | Paul Giamatti (THE HOLDOVERS) |
| 6 | Jeffrey Wright (AMERICAN FICTION) |
| 7 | Joaquin Phoenix (NAPOLEON) |
| 8 | Andrew Scott (ALL OF US STRANGERS) |
| 9 | Barry Keoghan (SALTBURN) |
| 10 | Adam Driver (FERRARI) |
Best Supporting Actress
| Dan Bayer | |
|---|---|
| 1 | Danielle Brooks (THE COLOR PURPLE) |
| 2 | Da'Vine Joy Randolph (THE HOLDOVERS) |
| 3 | Emily Blunt (OPPENHEIMER) |
| 4 | Jodie Foster (NYAD) |
| 5 | Juliette Binoche (THE TASTE OF THINGS) |
| 6 | Viola Davis (AIR) |
| 7 | Julianne Moore (MAY DECEMBER) |
| 8 | Rosamund Pike (SALTBURN) |
| 9 | Taraji P. Henson (THE COLOR PURPLE) |
| 10 | Penelope Cruz (FERRARI) |
Best Supporting Actor
| Dan Bayer | |
|---|---|
| 1 | Robert Downey Jr. (OPPENHEIMER) |
| 2 | Robert De Niro (KILLERS OF THE FLOWER MOON) |
| 3 | Ryan Gosling (BARBIE) |
| 4 | Mark Ruffalo (POOR THINGS) |
| 5 | Charles Melton (MAY DECEMBER) |
| 6 | Colman Domingo (THE COLOR PURPLE) |
| 7 | Willem Dafoe (POOR THINGS) |
| 8 | Dominic Sessa (THE HOLDOVERS) |
| 9 | John Magaro (PAST LIVES) |
| 10 | Peter Sarsgaard (MEMORY) |
Best Adapted Screenplay
| Dan Bayer | |
|---|---|
| 1 | KILLERS OF THE FLOWER MOON (Eric Roth & Martin Scorsese) |
| 2 | POOR THINGS (Tony McNamara) |
| 3 | OPPENHEIMER (Christopher Nolan) |
| 4 | AMERICAN FICTION (Cord Jefferson) |
| 5 | THE ZONE OF INTEREST (Jonathan Glazer) |
| 6 | ALL OF US STRANGERS (Andrew Haigh) |
| 7 | THE TASTE OF THINGS (Trần Anh Hung) |
| 8 | ARE YOU THERE GOD? IT'S ME, MARGARET. (Kelly Fremon Craig) |
| 9 | THE COLOR PURPLE (Marcus Gardley) |
| 10 | SPIDER-MAN: ACROSS THE SPIDER-VERSE (Phil Lord, Christopher Miller & Dave Callaham) |
Best Original Screenplay
| Dan Bayer | |
|---|---|
| 1 | PAST LIVES (Celine Song) |
| 2 | THE HOLDOVERS (David Hemingson) |
| 3 | BARBIE (Greta Gerwig & Noah Baumbach) |
| 4 | MAESTRO (Bradley Cooper & Josh Singer) |
| 5 | ANATOMY OF A FALL (Justine Triet & Arthur Harari) |
| 6 | ASTEROID CITY (Wes Anderson, Roman Coppola) |
| 7 | AIR (Alex Convery) |
| 8 | MAY DECEMBER (Samy Burch) |
| 9 | RUSTIN (Julian Breece & Dustin Lance Black) |
| 10 | FAIR PLAY (Chloe Domont) |
Best Animated Feature
| Dan Bayer | |
|---|---|
| 1 | The Boy and the Heron |
| 2 | Spider-Man: Across The Spider-Verse |
| 3 | Elemental |
| 4 | Wish |
| 5 | The Peasants |
| 6 | Nimona |
| 7 | Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Mutant Mayhem |
| 8 | The Super Mario Bros. Movie |
| 9 | Chicken Run: Dawn Of The Nugget |
| 10 | Suzume |
Best Documentary Feature
| Dan Bayer | |
|---|---|
| 1 | Beyond Utopia |
| 2 | 20 Days In Mariupol |
| 3 | Still: A Michael J. Fox Movie |
| 4 | Stamped From The Beginning |
| 5 | The Eternal Memory |
| 6 | Orlando, My Political Biography |
| 7 | A Still Small Voice |
| 8 | Every Body |
| 9 | The Mother of All Lies |
| 10 | The Deepest Breath |
Best International Feature
| Dan Bayer | |
|---|---|
| 1 | THE ZONE OF INTEREST (United Kingdom) |
| 2 | THE TASTE OF THINGS (France) |
| 3 | PERFECT DAYS (Japan) |
| 4 | THE PROMISED LAND (Denmark) |
| 5 | THE TEACHERS' LOUNGE (Germany) |
| 6 | SHAYDA (Australia) |
| 7 | SOCIETY OF THE SNOW (Spain) |
| 8 | ABOUT DRY GRASSES (Turkey) |
| 9 | FALLEN LEAVES (Finland) |
| 10 | 20 DAYS IN MARIUPOL (Ukraine) |
Best Cinematography
| Dan Bayer | |
|---|---|
| 1 | OPPENHEIMER (Hoyte Van Hoytema) |
| 2 | KILLERS OF THE FLOWER MOON (Rodrigo Prieto) |
| 3 | MAESTRO (Matthew Libatique) |
| 4 | POOR THINGS (Robbie Ryan) |
| 5 | THE COLOR PURPLE (Dan Laustsen) |
| 6 | THE ZONE OF INTEREST (Lukasz Zal) |
| 7 | SALTBURN (Linus Sandgren) |
| 8 | NAPOLEON (Dariusz Wolski) |
| 9 | EL CONDE (Edward Lachman) |
| 10 | JOHN WICK: CHAPTER 4 (Dan Laustsen) |
Best Costume Design
| Dan Bayer | |
|---|---|
| 1 | Poor Things |
| 2 | Barbie |
| 3 | Napoleon |
| 4 | The Color Purple |
| 5 | Wonka |
| 6 | Killers Of The Flower Moon |
| 7 | Priscilla |
| 8 | Asteroid City |
| 9 | Oppenheimer |
| 10 | Chevalier |
Best Film Editing
| Dan Bayer | |
|---|---|
| 1 | Killers Of The Flower Moon |
| 2 | Oppenheimer |
| 3 | Ferrari |
| 4 | The Killer |
| 5 | Maestro |
| 6 | Asteroid City |
| 7 | Past Lives |
| 8 | Poor Things |
| 9 | Saltburn |
| 10 | The Holdovers |
Best Makeup and Hairstyling
| Dan Bayer | |
|---|---|
| 1 | Maestro |
| 2 | Poor Things |
| 3 | Nyad |
| 4 | Oppenheimer |
| 5 | Beau Is Afraid |
| 6 | Ferrari |
| 7 | Barbie |
| 8 | Guardians Of The Galaxy Vol. 3 |
| 9 | Golda |
| 10 | Priscilla |
Best Production Design
| Dan Bayer | |
|---|---|
| 1 | Poor Things |
| 2 | Barbie |
| 3 | Oppenheimer |
| 4 | Killers Of The Flower Moon |
| 5 | Asteroid City |
| 6 | Wonka |
| 7 | Napoleon |
| 8 | The Color Purple |
| 9 | Maestro |
| 10 | Saltburn |
Best Original Score
| Dan Bayer | |
|---|---|
| 1 | OPPENHEIMER (Ludwig Göransson) |
| 2 | KILLERS OF THE FLOWER MOON (Robbie Robertson) |
| 3 | ELEMENTAL (Thomas Newman) |
| 4 | POOR THINGS (Jerskin Fendrix) |
| 5 | SOCIETY OF THE SNOW (Michael Giacchino) |
| 6 | CARMEN (Nicholas Britell) |
| 7 | ASTEROID CITY (Alexandre Desplat) |
| 8 | PAST LIVES (Christopher Bear & Daniel Rossen) |
| 9 | THE KILLER (Trent Reznor & Atticus Ross) |
| 10 | FERRARI (Daniel Pemberton) |
Best Original Song
| Dan Bayer | |
|---|---|
| 1 | "What Was I Made For?" (BARBIE) |
| 2 | "I'm Just Ken" (BARBIE) |
| 3 | "Road To Freedom" (RUSTIN) |
| 4 | "A World Of Your Own" (WONKA) |
| 5 | "Joan Still" (THEATER CAMP) |
| 6 | "Quiet Eyes" (PAST LIVES) |
| 7 | "Keep It Movin'" (THE COLOR PURPLE) |
| 8 | "The Wish" (WISH) |
| 9 | "Peaches" (THE SUPER MARIO BROS. MOVIE) |
| 10 | "Steal The Show" (ELEMENTAL) |
Best Sound
| Dan Bayer | |
|---|---|
| 1 | Oppenheimer |
| 2 | Maestro |
| 3 | Ferrari |
| 4 | Napoleon |
| 5 | Society of the Snow |
| 6 | Killers Of The Flower Moon |
| 7 | The Killer |
| 8 | Mission: Impossible - Dead Reckoning Part One |
| 9 | The Zone Of Interest |
| 10 | Spider-Man: Across The Spider-Verse |
Best Visual Effects
| Dan Bayer | |
|---|---|
| 1 | Poor Things |
| 2 | Napoleon |
| 3 | Guardians Of The Galaxy Vol. 3 |
| 4 | The Creator |
| 5 | Mission: Impossible - Dead Reckoning Part One |
| 6 | Wonka |
| 7 | Rebel Moon: Part One - A Child Of Fire |
| 8 | Transformers: Rise of the Beasts |
| 9 | Killers Of The Flower Moon |
| 10 | Godzilla: Minus One |