Here are Dan Bayer’s 2022 Oscar Predictions. Ranking is updated in real-time, and is constantly changing until the end of the year. Accuracy will be calculated after the winners are announced at The 95th Annual Academy Awards on March 12, 2023.
Click each heading to view individual staff rankings, or search/sort by the drop-downs below:
Best Picture
| Dan Bayer | |
|---|---|
| 1 | THE FABELMANS |
| 2 | BABYLON |
| 3 | WOMEN TALKING |
| 4 | TRIANGLE OF SADNESS |
| 5 | THE WHALE |
| 6 | THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN |
| 7 | SHE SAID |
| 8 | TÁR |
| 9 | TOP GUN: MAVERICK |
| 10 | EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE |
Best Director
| Dan Bayer | |
|---|---|
| 1 | Steven Spielberg (THE FABELMANS) |
| 2 | Damien Chazelle (BABYLON) |
| 3 | Edward Berger (ALL QUIET ON THE WESTERN FRONT) |
| 4 | Darren Aronofsky (THE WHALE) |
| 5 | Sarah Polley (WOMEN TALKING) |
| 6 | Martin McDonagh (THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN) |
| 7 | Daniel Kwan, Daniel Scheinert (EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE) |
| 8 | Todd Field (TÁR) |
| 9 | James Cameron (AVATAR: THE WAY OF WATER) |
| 10 | Ruben Östlund (TRIANGLE OF SADNESS) |
Best Actress
| Dan Bayer | |
|---|---|
| 1 | Danielle Deadwyler (TILL) |
| 2 | Cate Blanchett (TÁR) |
| 3 | Naomi Ackie (I WANNA DANCE WITH SOMEBODY) |
| 4 | Olivia Colman (EMPIRE OF LIGHT) |
| 5 | Michelle Williams (THE FABELMANS) |
| 6 | Michelle Yeoh (EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE) |
| 7 | Ana de Armas (BLONDE) |
| 8 | Jennifer Lawrence (CAUSEWAY) |
| 9 | Carey Mulligan (SHE SAID) |
| 10 | Emma Thompson (GOOD LUCK TO YOU, LEO GRANDE) |
Best Actor
| Dan Bayer | |
|---|---|
| 1 | Brendan Fraser (THE WHALE) |
| 2 | Hugh Jackman (THE SON) |
| 3 | Colin Farrell (THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN) |
| 4 | Austin Butler (ELVIS) |
| 5 | Bill Nighy (LIVING) |
| 6 | Tom Cruise (TOP GUN: MAVERICK) |
| 7 | Diego Calva (BABYLON) |
| 8 | Adam Driver (WHITE NOISE) |
| 9 | Christian Bale (AMSTERDAM) |
| 10 | Jeremy Pope (THE INSPECTION) |
Best Supporting Actress
| Dan Bayer | |
|---|---|
| 1 | Margot Robbie (BABYLON) |
| 2 | Claire Foy (WOMEN TALKING) |
| 3 | Hong Chau (THE WHALE) |
| 4 | Kerry Condon (THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN) |
| 5 | Laura Dern (THE SON) |
| 6 | Jessie Buckley (WOMEN TALKING) |
| 7 | Dakota Johnson (CHA CHA REAL SMOOTH) |
| 8 | Zoe Kazan (SHE SAID) |
| 9 | Dolly de Leon (TRIANGLE OF SADNESS) |
| 10 | Stephanie Hsu (EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE) |
Best Supporting Actor
| Dan Bayer | |
|---|---|
| 1 | Brendan Gleeson (THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN) |
| 2 | Judd Hirsch (THE FABELMANS) |
| 3 | Jeremy Strong (ARMAGEDDON TIME) |
| 4 | Ben Whishaw (WOMEN TALKING) |
| 5 | Brad Pitt (BABYLON) |
| 6 | Anthony Hopkins (ARMAGEDDON TIME) |
| 7 | Don Cheadle (WHITE NOISE) |
| 8 | Barry Keoghan (THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN) |
| 9 | Brian Tyree Henry (CAUSEWAY) |
| 10 | Ke Huy Quan (EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE) |
Best Adapted Screenplay
| Dan Bayer | |
|---|---|
| 1 | WOMEN TALKING (Sarah Polley) |
| 2 | THE WHALE (Samuel D. Hunter) |
| 3 | WHITE NOISE (Noah Baumbach) |
| 4 | GLASS ONION: A KNIVES OUT MYSTERY (Rian Johnson) |
| 5 | THE SON (Christopher Hampton, Florian Zeller) |
| 6 | TILL (Chinonye Chukwu, Michael Reilly, Keith Beauchamp) |
| 7 | SHE SAID (Rebecca Lenkiewicz) |
| 8 | LIVING (Kazuo Ishiguro) |
| 9 | ALL QUIET ON THE WESTERN FRONT (Ian Stokell, Lesley Paterson, Edward Berger) |
| 10 | BONES & ALL (David Kajganich) |
Best Original Screenplay
| Dan Bayer | |
|---|---|
| 1 | EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE (Daniel Kwan, Daniel Scheinert,) |
| 2 | THE FABELMANS (Steven Spielberg, Tony Kushner) |
| 3 | THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN (Martin McDonagh) |
| 4 | TRIANGLE OF SADNESS (Ruben Östlund) |
| 5 | BABYLON (Damien Chazelle) |
| 6 | CHA CHA REAL SMOOTH (Cooper Raiff) |
| 7 | TÁR (Todd Field) |
| 8 | DECISION TO LEAVE (Park Chan-wook, Seo-kyeong Jeong) |
| 9 | AFTERSUN (Charlotte Wells) |
| 10 | BROS (Nicholas Stoller, Billy Eichner) |
Best Animated Feature
| Dan Bayer | |
|---|---|
| 1 | GUILLERMO DEL TORO'S PINOCCHIO |
| 2 | WENDELL AND WILD |
| 3 | TURNING RED |
| 4 | STRANGE WORLD |
| 5 | THE SEA BEAST |
| 6 | MARCEL THE SHELL WITH SHOES ON |
| 7 | THE BAD GUYS |
| 8 | APOLLO 10½: A SPACE AGE CHILDHOOD |
| 9 | MINIONS: THE RISE OF GRU |
| 10 | LIGHTYEAR |
Best Documentary Feature
| Dan Bayer | |
|---|---|
| 1 | NAVALNY |
| 2 | MOONAGE DAYDREAM |
| 3 | FIRE OF LOVE |
| 4 | DESCENDANT |
| 5 | ALL THE BEAUTY AND THE BLOODSHED |
| 6 | SIDNEY |
| 7 | ALL THAT BREATHES |
| 8 | THE TERRITORY |
| 9 | SR. |
| 10 | GOOD NIGHT OPPY |
Best International Feature
| Dan Bayer | |
|---|---|
| 1 | DECISION TO LEAVE (Korea) |
| 2 | CLOSE (Belgium) |
| 3 | ALL QUIET ON THE WESTERN FRONT (Germany) |
| 4 | BARDO (Mexico) |
| 5 | EO (Poland) |
| 6 | HOLY SPIDER (Denmark) |
| 7 | SAINT OMER (France) |
| 8 | ALCARRÀS (Spain) |
| 9 | ARGENTINA, 1985 (Argentina) |
| 10 | PLAN 75 (Japan) |
Best Cinematography
| Dan Bayer | |
|---|---|
| 1 | BABYLON (Linus Sandgren) |
| 2 | EMPIRE OF LIGHT (Roger Deakins) |
| 3 | THE FABELMANS (Janusz Kaminski) |
| 4 | ALL QUIET ON THE WESTERN FRONT (James Friend) |
| 5 | TOP GUN: MAVERICK (Claudio Miranda) |
| 6 | AVATAR: THE WAY OF WATER (Russell Carpenter) |
| 7 | THE BATMAN (Greig Fraser) |
| 8 | TÁR (Florian Hoffmeister) |
| 9 | NOPE (Hoyte Van Hoytema) |
| 10 | BLONDE (Chayse Irvin) |
Best Costume Design
| Dan Bayer | |
|---|---|
| 1 | ELVIS |
| 2 | BABYLON |
| 3 | MRS. HARRIS GOES TO PARIS |
| 4 | THE FABELMANS |
| 5 | BLONDE |
| 6 | EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE |
| 7 | BLACK PANTHER: WAKANDA FOREVER |
| 8 | THE WOMAN KING |
| 9 | THE NORTHMAN |
| 10 | CORSAGE |
Best Film Editing
| Dan Bayer | |
|---|---|
| 1 | TOP GUN: MAVERICK |
| 2 | EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE |
| 3 | BABYLON |
| 4 | THE FABELMANS |
| 5 | ELVIS |
| 6 | GLASS ONION: A KNIVES OUT MYSTERY |
| 7 | THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN |
| 8 | TÁR |
| 9 | DECISION TO LEAVE |
| 10 | TRIANGLE OF SADNESS |
Best Makeup and Hairstyling
| Dan Bayer | |
|---|---|
| 1 | ELVIS |
| 2 | THE WHALE |
| 3 | BABYLON |
| 4 | THE BATMAN |
| 5 | EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE |
| 6 | AMSTERDAM |
| 7 | BLONDE |
| 8 | X |
| 9 | THE NORTHMAN |
| 10 | BLACK PANTHER: WAKANDA FOREVER |
Best Production Design
| Dan Bayer | |
|---|---|
| 1 | BABYLON |
| 2 | ELVIS |
| 3 | THE FABELMANS |
| 4 | GLASS ONION: A KNIVES OUT MYSTERY |
| 5 | EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE |
| 6 | AMSTERDAM |
| 7 | AVATAR: THE WAY OF WATER |
| 8 | THE BATMAN |
| 9 | THE WOMAN KING |
| 10 | WHITE NOISE |
Best Original Score
| Dan Bayer | |
|---|---|
| 1 | THE FABELMANS |
| 2 | WOMEN TALKING |
| 3 | EMPIRE OF LIGHT |
| 4 | BABYLON |
| 5 | AVATAR: THE WAY OF WATER |
| 6 | TÁR |
| 7 | THE BATMAN |
| 8 | GLASS ONION: A KNIVES OUT MYSTERY |
| 9 | NOPE |
| 10 | EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE |
Best Original Song
| Dan Bayer | |
|---|---|
| 1 | "Hold My Hand" (TOP GUN: MAVERICK) |
| 2 | "Applause" (TELL IT LIKE A WOMAN) |
| 3 | "New Body Rhuma" (WHITE NOISE) |
| 4 | "On My Way" (MARRY ME) |
| 5 | "This Is A Life" (EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE) |
| 6 | "Sunny Side Up Summer" (THE BOB'S BURGERS MOVIE) |
| 7 | "Carolina" (WHERE THE CRAWDADS SING) |
| 8 | "Nobody Like U" (TURNING RED) |
| 9 | "Marry Me" (MARRY ME) |
| 10 | "Naatu Naatu" (RRR) |
Best Sound
| Dan Bayer | |
|---|---|
| 1 | BABYLON |
| 2 | TOP GUN: MAVERICK |
| 3 | ELVIS |
| 4 | BARDO |
| 5 | THE BATMAN |
| 6 | AVATAR: THE WAY OF WATER |
| 7 | EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE |
| 8 | THIRTEEN LIVES |
| 9 | NOPE |
| 10 | THE FABELMANS |
Best Visual Effects
| Dan Bayer | |
|---|---|
| 1 | AVATAR: THE WAY OF WATER |
| 2 | TOP GUN: MAVERICK |
| 3 | BLACK PANTHER: WAKANDA FOREVER |
| 4 | THE BATMAN |
| 5 | EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE |
| 6 | BARDO |
| 7 | DOCTOR STRANGE IN THE MULTIVERSE OF MADNESS |
| 8 | NOPE |
| 9 | THOR: LOVE AND THUNDER |
| 10 | GUILLERMO DEL TORO'S PINOCCHIO |