Oscar Predictions – Best Director

Here are the NBP staff predictions for Best Actress. For an overview of all awards predictions, visit our Oscar Predictions page.

Click each heading to view individual staff rankings, or search/sort by the drop-downs below:


NBP Staff Picks

Matt Neglia
1Paul Thomas Anderson (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER)
2Josh Safdie (MARTY SUPREME)
3Chloé Zhao (HAMNET)
4Jafar Panahi (IT WAS JUST AN ACCIDENT)
5Joachim Trier (SENTIMENTAL VALUE)
6Ryan Coogler (SINNERS)
7Guillermo Del Toro (FRANKENSTEIN)
8Kleber Mendonça Filho (THE SECRET AGENT)
9Noah Baumbach (JAY KELLY)
10Mona Fastvold (THE TESTAMENT OF ANN LEE)NEW


 
 

Last Updated:
11/18/2025 2:35 PM


 
 

Dan Bayer
1Paul Thomas Anderson (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER)
2Josh Safdie (MARTY SUPREME)
3Jafar Panahi (IT WAS JUST AN ACCIDENT)â–² 2
4Chloé Zhao (HAMNET)
5Ryan Coogler (SINNERS)â–¼ 2
6Joachim Trier (SENTIMENTAL VALUE)
7Noah Baumbach (JAY KELLY)
8Jon M. Chu (WICKED: FOR GOOD)
9Kleber Mendonça Filho (THE SECRET AGENT)
10Guillermo Del Toro (FRANKENSTEIN)


 
 

Last Updated:
11/4/2025 11:05 PM


 
 

Alyssa Christian
1Paul Thomas Anderson (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER)
2Chloé Zhao (HAMNET)
3Jafar Panahi (IT WAS JUST AN ACCIDENT)
4Josh Safdie (MARTY SUPREME)
5Ryan Coogler (SINNERS)
6Joachim Trier (SENTIMENTAL VALUE)
7Noah Baumbach (JAY KELLY)â–² 3
8Guillermo Del Toro (FRANKENSTEIN)â–² 1
9Kleber Mendonça Filho (THE SECRET AGENT)▼ 1
10Jon M. Chu (WICKED: FOR GOOD)â–¼ 3


 
 

Last Updated:
11/18/2025 1:50 PM


 
 

Sara Clements
1Paul Thomas Anderson (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER)
2Josh Safdie (MARTY SUPREME)
3Joachim Trier (SENTIMENTAL VALUE)
4Chloé Zhao (HAMNET)
5Ryan Coogler (SINNERS)
6Park Chan-wook (NO OTHER CHOICE)
7Jafar Panahi (IT WAS JUST AN ACCIDENT)â–² 3
8Jon M. Chu (WICKED: FOR GOOD)â–² 1
9Guillermo Del Toro (FRANKENSTEIN)â–¼ 1
10Kleber Mendonça Filho (THE SECRET AGENT)▼ 3


 
 

Last Updated:
10/8/2025 9:50 PM


 
 

Nadia Dalimonte
1Paul Thomas Anderson (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER)
2Ryan Coogler (SINNERS)
3Chloé Zhao (HAMNET)
4Jafar Panahi (IT WAS JUST AN ACCIDENT)â–² 2
5Josh Safdie (MARTY SUPREME)
6Joachim Trier (SENTIMENTAL VALUE)â–¼ 2
7Guillermo Del Toro (FRANKENSTEIN)
8Jon M. Chu (WICKED: FOR GOOD)â–² 2
9Kleber Mendonça Filho (THE SECRET AGENT)NEW
10Park Chan-wook (NO OTHER CHOICE)â–¼ 2


 
 

Last Updated:
10/17/2025 2:20 PM


 
 

Cody Dericks
1Paul Thomas Anderson (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER)
2Chloé Zhao (HAMNET)
3Jafar Panahi (IT WAS JUST AN ACCIDENT)â–² 1
4Joachim Trier (SENTIMENTAL VALUE)â–¼ 1
5Ryan Coogler (SINNERS)
6Josh Safdie (MARTY SUPREME)
7Noah Baumbach (JAY KELLY)
8Kleber Mendonça Filho (THE SECRET AGENT)
9Jon M. Chu (WICKED: FOR GOOD)
10Park Chan-wook (NO OTHER CHOICE)


 
 

Last Updated:
10/27/2025 10:35 AM


 
 

Daniel Howat
1Paul Thomas Anderson (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER)
2Josh Safdie (MARTY SUPREME)
3Chloé Zhao (HAMNET)
4Jafar Panahi (IT WAS JUST AN ACCIDENT)
5Joachim Trier (SENTIMENTAL VALUE)
6Ryan Coogler (SINNERS)
7Park Chan-wook (NO OTHER CHOICE)
8Kleber Mendonça Filho (THE SECRET AGENT)NEW
9Guillermo Del Toro (FRANKENSTEIN)NEW
10Jon M. Chu (WICKED: FOR GOOD)


 
 

Last Updated:
10/25/2025 11:50 AM


 
 

Megan Lachinski
1Paul Thomas Anderson (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER)
2Chloé Zhao (HAMNET)
3Josh Safdie (MARTY SUPREME)
4Jafar Panahi (IT WAS JUST AN ACCIDENT)â–² 2
5Joachim Trier (SENTIMENTAL VALUE)
6Ryan Coogler (SINNERS)â–¼ 2
7Jon M. Chu (WICKED: FOR GOOD)
8Kleber Mendonça Filho (THE SECRET AGENT)NEW
9Guillermo Del Toro (FRANKENSTEIN)â–¼ 1
10Noah Baumbach (JAY KELLY)â–¼ 1


 
 

Last Updated:
11/4/2025 11:21 PM


 
 

Giovanni Lago
1Paul Thomas Anderson (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER)
2Chloé Zhao (HAMNET)
3Jafar Panahi (IT WAS JUST AN ACCIDENT)
4Josh Safdie (MARTY SUPREME)
5Ryan Coogler (SINNERS)
6Joachim Trier (SENTIMENTAL VALUE)
7Kleber Mendonça Filho (THE SECRET AGENT)▲ 1
8Guillermo Del Toro (FRANKENSTEIN)â–¼ 1
9Park Chan-wook (NO OTHER CHOICE)
10Jon M. Chu (WICKED: FOR GOOD)


 
 

Last Updated:
11/15/2025 11:21 AM


 
 

Will Mavity
1Paul Thomas Anderson (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER)
2Chloé Zhao (HAMNET)
3Jafar Panahi (IT WAS JUST AN ACCIDENT)
4Josh Safdie (MARTY SUPREME)
5Ryan Coogler (SINNERS)
6Joachim Trier (SENTIMENTAL VALUE)
7Guillermo Del Toro (FRANKENSTEIN)
8Kleber Mendonça Filho (THE SECRET AGENT)
9Noah Baumbach (JAY KELLY)NEW
10Park Chan-wook (NO OTHER CHOICE)NEW


 
 

Last Updated:
11/18/2025 1:06 PM


 
 

Tom O'Brien
1Paul Thomas Anderson (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER)
2Chloé Zhao (HAMNET)
3Ryan Coogler (SINNERS)
4Joachim Trier (SENTIMENTAL VALUE)
5Jafar Panahi (IT WAS JUST AN ACCIDENT)
6Josh Safdie (MARTY SUPREME)
7Park Chan-wook (NO OTHER CHOICE)
8Guillermo Del Toro (FRANKENSTEIN)
9Kleber Mendonça Filho (THE SECRET AGENT)NEW
10Jon M. Chu (WICKED: FOR GOOD)


 
 

Last Updated:
10/7/2025 2:06 PM


 
 

Josh Parham
1Paul Thomas Anderson (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER)
2Chloé Zhao (HAMNET)
3Jafar Panahi (IT WAS JUST AN ACCIDENT)
4Josh Safdie (MARTY SUPREME)â–² 1
5Joachim Trier (SENTIMENTAL VALUE)â–¼ 1
6Ryan Coogler (SINNERS)â–² 1
7Kleber Mendonça Filho (THE SECRET AGENT)▼ 1
8Guillermo Del Toro (FRANKENSTEIN)NEW
9Park Chan-wook (NO OTHER CHOICE)â–¼ 1
10Noah Baumbach (JAY KELLY)â–¼ 1


 
 

Last Updated:
11/12/2025 4:50 PM


 
 

Joselyn Safadi
1Paul Thomas Anderson (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER)NEW
2Chloé Zhao (HAMNET)
3Ryan Coogler (SINNERS)â–¼ 2
4Jon M. Chu (WICKED: FOR GOOD)
5Joachim Trier (SENTIMENTAL VALUE)â–¼ 2
6Guillermo Del Toro (FRANKENSTEIN)â–² 2
7Noah Baumbach (JAY KELLY)
8Luca Guadagnino (AFTER THE HUNT)â–¼ 2
9Kathryn Bigelow (A HOUSE OF DYNAMITE)
10Yorgos Lanthimos (BUGONIA)


 
 

Last Updated:
11/5/2025 9:51 AM


 
 

Ema Sasic
1Paul Thomas Anderson (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER)
2Chloé Zhao (HAMNET)▲ 1
3Ryan Coogler (SINNERS)â–¼ 1
4Joachim Trier (SENTIMENTAL VALUE)
5Jafar Panahi (IT WAS JUST AN ACCIDENT)
6Josh Safdie (MARTY SUPREME)
7Kleber Mendonça Filho (THE SECRET AGENT)▲ 3
8Jon M. Chu (WICKED: FOR GOOD)
9Guillermo Del Toro (FRANKENSTEIN)
10Park Chan-wook (NO OTHER CHOICE)â–¼ 3


 
 

Last Updated:
11/3/2025 9:06 PM