Oscar Predictions – Best Director

Here are the NBP staff predictions for Best Actress. For an overview of all awards predictions, visit our Oscar Predictions page.

Click each heading to view individual staff rankings, or search/sort by the drop-downs below:


NBP Staff Picks

Matt Neglia
1Paul Thomas Anderson (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER)
2Jafar Panahi (IT WAS JUST AN ACCIDENT)
3Guillermo Del Toro (FRANKENSTEIN)
4Chloé Zhao (HAMNET)
5Joachim Trier (SENTIMENTAL VALUE)
6Ryan Coogler (SINNERS)NEW
7Josh Safdie (MARTY SUPREME)
8Kleber Mendonça Filho (THE SECRET AGENT)
9Park Chan-wook (NO OTHER CHOICE)
10Clint Bentley (TRAIN DREAMS)


 
 

Last Updated:
12/17/2025 12:05 PM


 
 

Dan Bayer
1Paul Thomas Anderson (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER)
2Josh Safdie (MARTY SUPREME)
3Jafar Panahi (IT WAS JUST AN ACCIDENT)
4Chloé Zhao (HAMNET)
5Ryan Coogler (SINNERS)
6Joachim Trier (SENTIMENTAL VALUE)
7Guillermo Del Toro (FRANKENSTEIN)â–² 3
8Noah Baumbach (JAY KELLY)â–¼ 1
9Kleber Mendonça Filho (THE SECRET AGENT)
10Mona Fastvold (THE TESTAMENT OF ANN LEE)NEW


 
 

Last Updated:
11/23/2025 1:05 PM


 
 

Alyssa Christian
1Paul Thomas Anderson (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER)
2Ryan Coogler (SINNERS)
3Chloé Zhao (HAMNET)▲ 1
4Jafar Panahi (IT WAS JUST AN ACCIDENT)â–¼ 1
5Guillermo Del Toro (FRANKENSTEIN)
6Josh Safdie (MARTY SUPREME)
7Joachim Trier (SENTIMENTAL VALUE)
8Oliver Laxe (SIRAT)
9Clint Bentley (TRAIN DREAMS)
10Park Chan-wook (NO OTHER CHOICE)


 
 

Last Updated:
12/19/2025 10:20 AM


 
 

Sara Clements
1Paul Thomas Anderson (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER)
2Josh Safdie (MARTY SUPREME)
3Joachim Trier (SENTIMENTAL VALUE)
4Chloé Zhao (HAMNET)
5Ryan Coogler (SINNERS)
6Park Chan-wook (NO OTHER CHOICE)
7Jafar Panahi (IT WAS JUST AN ACCIDENT)â–² 3
8Jon M. Chu (WICKED: FOR GOOD)â–² 1
9Guillermo Del Toro (FRANKENSTEIN)â–¼ 1
10Kleber Mendonça Filho (THE SECRET AGENT)▼ 3


 
 

Last Updated:
10/8/2025 9:50 PM


 
 

Nadia Dalimonte
1Paul Thomas Anderson (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER)
2Ryan Coogler (SINNERS)
3Jafar Panahi (IT WAS JUST AN ACCIDENT)
4Guillermo Del Toro (FRANKENSTEIN)
5Chloé Zhao (HAMNET)
6Joachim Trier (SENTIMENTAL VALUE)
7Kleber Mendonça Filho (THE SECRET AGENT)
8Josh Safdie (MARTY SUPREME)
9Noah Baumbach (JAY KELLY)
10Oliver Laxe (SIRAT)NEW


 
 

Last Updated:
12/16/2025 3:05 PM


 
 

Cody Dericks
1Paul Thomas Anderson (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER)
2Jafar Panahi (IT WAS JUST AN ACCIDENT)
3Ryan Coogler (SINNERS)
4Chloé Zhao (HAMNET)
5Joachim Trier (SENTIMENTAL VALUE)â–² 1
6Josh Safdie (MARTY SUPREME)â–¼ 1
7Guillermo Del Toro (FRANKENSTEIN)
8Kleber Mendonça Filho (THE SECRET AGENT)
9Noah Baumbach (JAY KELLY)
10Park Chan-wook (NO OTHER CHOICE)


 
 

Last Updated:
12/17/2025 2:50 PM


 
 

Daniel Howat
1Paul Thomas Anderson (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER)
2Jafar Panahi (IT WAS JUST AN ACCIDENT)â–² 1
3Chloé Zhao (HAMNET)▲ 2
4Joachim Trier (SENTIMENTAL VALUE)â–² 2
5Guillermo Del Toro (FRANKENSTEIN)â–² 4
6Ryan Coogler (SINNERS)â–¼ 4
7Josh Safdie (MARTY SUPREME)â–¼ 3
8Kleber Mendonça Filho (THE SECRET AGENT)
9Oliver Laxe (SIRAT)NEW
10Park Chan-wook (NO OTHER CHOICE)â–¼ 3


 
 

Last Updated:
12/18/2025 12:50 PM


 
 

Megan Lachinski
1Paul Thomas Anderson (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER)
2Jafar Panahi (IT WAS JUST AN ACCIDENT)â–² 2
3Chloé Zhao (HAMNET)▼ 1
4Josh Safdie (MARTY SUPREME)â–¼ 1
5Joachim Trier (SENTIMENTAL VALUE)
6Ryan Coogler (SINNERS)
7Kleber Mendonça Filho (THE SECRET AGENT)
8Guillermo Del Toro (FRANKENSTEIN)
9Jon M. Chu (WICKED: FOR GOOD)
10Park Chan-wook (NO OTHER CHOICE)NEW


 
 

Last Updated:
12/14/2025 12:51 PM


 
 

Giovanni Lago
1Paul Thomas Anderson (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER)
2Jafar Panahi (IT WAS JUST AN ACCIDENT)â–² 2
3Chloé Zhao (HAMNET)
4Josh Safdie (MARTY SUPREME)â–¼ 2
5Ryan Coogler (SINNERS)
6Kleber Mendonça Filho (THE SECRET AGENT)
7Guillermo Del Toro (FRANKENSTEIN)
8Joachim Trier (SENTIMENTAL VALUE)
9Park Chan-wook (NO OTHER CHOICE)
10Mona Fastvold (THE TESTAMENT OF ANN LEE)


 
 

Last Updated:
12/14/2025 11:20 AM


 
 

Will Mavity
1Paul Thomas Anderson (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER)
2Jafar Panahi (IT WAS JUST AN ACCIDENT)
3Josh Safdie (MARTY SUPREME)â–² 1
4Ryan Coogler (SINNERS)â–² 2
5Joachim Trier (SENTIMENTAL VALUE)
6Chloé Zhao (HAMNET)▼ 3
7Guillermo Del Toro (FRANKENSTEIN)
8Kleber Mendonça Filho (THE SECRET AGENT)
9Clint Bentley (TRAIN DREAMS)NEW
10Oliver Laxe (SIRAT)


 
 

Last Updated:
12/16/2025 5:05 PM


 
 

Tom O'Brien
1Paul Thomas Anderson (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER)
2Jafar Panahi (IT WAS JUST AN ACCIDENT)
3Ryan Coogler (SINNERS)
4Joachim Trier (SENTIMENTAL VALUE)
5Chloé Zhao (HAMNET)
6Guillermo Del Toro (FRANKENSTEIN)â–² 2
7Josh Safdie (MARTY SUPREME)â–¼ 1
8Park Chan-wook (NO OTHER CHOICE)â–¼ 1
9Kleber Mendonça Filho (THE SECRET AGENT)
10Clint Bentley (TRAIN DREAMS)


 
 

Last Updated:
12/19/2025 2:20 PM


 
 

Josh Parham
1Paul Thomas Anderson (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER)
2Jafar Panahi (IT WAS JUST AN ACCIDENT)â–² 1
3Chloé Zhao (HAMNET)▼ 1
4Joachim Trier (SENTIMENTAL VALUE)â–² 1
5Guillermo Del Toro (FRANKENSTEIN)â–² 3
6Ryan Coogler (SINNERS)
7Josh Safdie (MARTY SUPREME)â–¼ 3
8Kleber Mendonça Filho (THE SECRET AGENT)▼ 1
9Park Chan-wook (NO OTHER CHOICE)
10Oliver Laxe (SIRAT)NEW


 
 

Last Updated:
12/16/2025 4:50 PM


 
 

Joselyn Safadi
1Paul Thomas Anderson (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER)NEW
2Chloé Zhao (HAMNET)
3Ryan Coogler (SINNERS)â–¼ 2
4Jon M. Chu (WICKED: FOR GOOD)
5Joachim Trier (SENTIMENTAL VALUE)â–¼ 2
6Guillermo Del Toro (FRANKENSTEIN)â–² 2
7Noah Baumbach (JAY KELLY)
8Luca Guadagnino (AFTER THE HUNT)â–¼ 2
9Kathryn Bigelow (A HOUSE OF DYNAMITE)
10Yorgos Lanthimos (BUGONIA)


 
 

Last Updated:
11/5/2025 9:51 AM


 
 

Ema Sasic
1Paul Thomas Anderson (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER)
2Ryan Coogler (SINNERS)â–² 1
3Chloé Zhao (HAMNET)▼ 1
4Joachim Trier (SENTIMENTAL VALUE)
5Jafar Panahi (IT WAS JUST AN ACCIDENT)
6Josh Safdie (MARTY SUPREME)
7Kleber Mendonça Filho (THE SECRET AGENT)
8Guillermo Del Toro (FRANKENSTEIN)
9Clint Bentley (TRAIN DREAMS)NEW
10Park Chan-wook (NO OTHER CHOICE)


 
 

Last Updated:
12/16/2025 6:51 PM