Oscar Predictions – Best Actor - Next Best Picture

Home Oscar Predictions – Best Actor

Here are the NBP staff predictions for Best Actor. For an overview of all awards predictions, visit our Oscar Predictions page.

Click each heading to view individual staff rankings, or search/sort by the drop-downs below:

NBP Staff Picks

	Matt Neglia
1	Michael B. Jordan (SINNERS)	▲ 3
2	Timothée Chalamet (MARTY SUPREME)	▼ 1
3	Wagner Moura (THE SECRET AGENT)
4	Leonardo DiCaprio (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER)	▼ 2
5	Ethan Hawke (BLUE MOON)

Last Updated:

3/4/2026 8:50 AM

	Dan Bayer
1	Wagner Moura (THE SECRET AGENT)
2	Michael B. Jordan (SINNERS)	▲ 1
3	Timothée Chalamet (MARTY SUPREME)	▼ 1
4	Leonardo DiCaprio (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER)
5	Ethan Hawke (BLUE MOON)

Last Updated:

3/8/2026 2:20 PM

	Alyssa Christian
1	Michael B. Jordan (SINNERS)	▲ 1
2	Timothée Chalamet (MARTY SUPREME)	▼ 1
3	Wagner Moura (THE SECRET AGENT)
4	Leonardo DiCaprio (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER)
5	Ethan Hawke (BLUE MOON)

Last Updated:

3/2/2026 6:35 PM

	Sara Clements
1	Michael B. Jordan (SINNERS)	▲ 1
2	Timothée Chalamet (MARTY SUPREME)	▼ 1
3	Wagner Moura (THE SECRET AGENT)	▲ 1
4	Leonardo DiCaprio (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER)	▼ 1
5	Ethan Hawke (BLUE MOON)

Last Updated:

3/2/2026 11:50 PM

	Nadia Dalimonte
1	Michael B. Jordan (SINNERS)	▲ 2
2	Wagner Moura (THE SECRET AGENT)
3	Timothée Chalamet (MARTY SUPREME)	▼ 2
4	Leonardo DiCaprio (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER)
5	Ethan Hawke (BLUE MOON)

Last Updated:

3/3/2026 11:35 AM

	Cody Dericks
1	Michael B. Jordan (SINNERS)
2	Timothée Chalamet (MARTY SUPREME)	▲ 1
3	Wagner Moura (THE SECRET AGENT)	▼ 1
4	Leonardo DiCaprio (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER)
5	Ethan Hawke (BLUE MOON)

Last Updated:

3/5/2026 10:21 AM

	Daniel Howat
1	Michael B. Jordan (SINNERS)
2	Timothée Chalamet (MARTY SUPREME)	▲ 1
3	Wagner Moura (THE SECRET AGENT)	▼ 1
4	Leonardo DiCaprio (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER)
5	Ethan Hawke (BLUE MOON)

Last Updated:

3/8/2026 2:21 PM

	Megan Lachinski
1	Michael B. Jordan (SINNERS)	▲ 3
2	Timothée Chalamet (MARTY SUPREME)	▼ 1
3	Leonardo DiCaprio (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER)
4	Ethan Hawke (BLUE MOON)	▼ 2
5	Wagner Moura (THE SECRET AGENT)

Last Updated:

3/3/2026 7:06 PM

	Giovanni Lago
1	Michael B. Jordan (SINNERS)	▲ 1
2	Timothée Chalamet (MARTY SUPREME)	▼ 1
3	Wagner Moura (THE SECRET AGENT)
4	Leonardo DiCaprio (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER)
5	Ethan Hawke (BLUE MOON)

Last Updated:

3/8/2026 2:21 PM

	Will Mavity
1	Timothée Chalamet (MARTY SUPREME)
2	Leonardo DiCaprio (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER)
3	Wagner Moura (THE SECRET AGENT)	▲ 1
4	Michael B. Jordan (SINNERS)	▲ 2
5	Ethan Hawke (BLUE MOON)	▼ 2

Last Updated:

1/22/2026 10:20 AM

	Tom O'Brien
1	Michael B. Jordan (SINNERS)	▲ 3
2	Wagner Moura (THE SECRET AGENT)	▲ 3
3	Timothée Chalamet (MARTY SUPREME)	▼ 2
4	Leonardo DiCaprio (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER)	▼ 2
5	Ethan Hawke (BLUE MOON)	▼ 2

Last Updated:

3/3/2026 2:21 AM

	Josh Parham
1	Michael B. Jordan (SINNERS)	▲ 1
2	Wagner Moura (THE SECRET AGENT)	▼ 1
3	Timothée Chalamet (MARTY SUPREME)
4	Leonardo DiCaprio (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER)
5	Ethan Hawke (BLUE MOON)

Last Updated:

3/2/2026 9:21 PM

	Ema Sasic
1	Michael B. Jordan (SINNERS)	▲ 1
2	Timothée Chalamet (MARTY SUPREME)	▼ 1
3	Wagner Moura (THE SECRET AGENT)
4	Leonardo DiCaprio (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER)
5	Ethan Hawke (BLUE MOON)

Last Updated:

3/2/2026 7:35 PM

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