Here are the NBP staff predictions for Best Actor. For an overview of all awards predictions, visit our Oscar Predictions page.
Click each heading to view individual staff rankings, or search/sort by the drop-downs below:
NBP Staff Picks
| Matt Neglia | ||
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Timothée Chalamet (MARTY SUPREME) | |
| 2 | Leonardo DiCaprio (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER) | |
| 3 | Jeremy Allen White (SPRINGSTEEN: DELIVER ME FROM NOWHERE) | |
| 4 | Ethan Hawke (BLUE MOON) | |
| 5 | Wagner Moura (THE SECRET AGENT) | |
| 6 | Joel Edgerton (TRAIN DREAMS) | |
| 7 | George Clooney (JAY KELLY) | ▲ 3 |
| 8 | Michael B. Jordan (SINNERS) | ▲ 1 |
| 9 | Dwayne Johnson (THE SMASHING MACHINE) | ▼ 1 |
| 10 | Daniel Day Lewis (ANEMONE) | ▼ 3 |
Last Updated:
| 10/15/2025 9:50 AM |
| Dan Bayer | ||
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jeremy Allen White (SPRINGSTEEN: DELIVER ME FROM NOWHERE) | |
| 2 | Timothée Chalamet (MARTY SUPREME) | |
| 3 | George Clooney (JAY KELLY) | |
| 4 | Leonardo DiCaprio (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER) | |
| 5 | Ethan Hawke (BLUE MOON) | NEW |
| 6 | Michael B. Jordan (SINNERS) | |
| 7 | Daniel Day Lewis (ANEMONE) | ▼ 2 |
| 8 | Wagner Moura (THE SECRET AGENT) | |
| 9 | Joel Edgerton (TRAIN DREAMS) | |
| 10 | Dwayne Johnson (THE SMASHING MACHINE) |
Last Updated:
| 10/14/2025 12:20 AM |
| Alyssa Christian | ||
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Timothée Chalamet (MARTY SUPREME) | ▲ 1 |
| 2 | Leonardo DiCaprio (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER) | ▼ 1 |
| 3 | Jeremy Allen White (SPRINGSTEEN: DELIVER ME FROM NOWHERE) | |
| 4 | Wagner Moura (THE SECRET AGENT) | |
| 5 | Ethan Hawke (BLUE MOON) | |
| 6 | Joel Edgerton (TRAIN DREAMS) | |
| 7 | Daniel Day Lewis (ANEMONE) | |
| 8 | Dwayne Johnson (THE SMASHING MACHINE) | |
| 9 | George Clooney (JAY KELLY) | |
| 10 | Michael B. Jordan (SINNERS) |
Last Updated:
| 10/12/2025 11:50 AM |
| Sara Clements | ||
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Timothée Chalamet (MARTY SUPREME) | |
| 2 | Leonardo DiCaprio (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER) | ▲ 2 |
| 3 | Jeremy Allen White (SPRINGSTEEN: DELIVER ME FROM NOWHERE) | ▼ 1 |
| 4 | Ethan Hawke (BLUE MOON) | NEW |
| 5 | Wagner Moura (THE SECRET AGENT) | |
| 6 | Joel Edgerton (TRAIN DREAMS) | ▲ 2 |
| 7 | Daniel Day Lewis (ANEMONE) | NEW |
| 8 | Dwayne Johnson (THE SMASHING MACHINE) | ▲ 1 |
| 9 | Michael B. Jordan (SINNERS) | ▼ 3 |
| 10 | George Clooney (JAY KELLY) | ▼ 7 |
Last Updated:
| 9/22/2025 11:21 PM |
| Nadia Dalimonte | ||
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Timothée Chalamet (MARTY SUPREME) | |
| 2 | Leonardo DiCaprio (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER) | |
| 3 | Jeremy Allen White (SPRINGSTEEN: DELIVER ME FROM NOWHERE) | |
| 4 | Ethan Hawke (BLUE MOON) | ▲ 6 |
| 5 | Wagner Moura (THE SECRET AGENT) | ▲ 2 |
| 6 | Michael B. Jordan (SINNERS) | |
| 7 | George Clooney (JAY KELLY) | ▼ 3 |
| 8 | Dwayne Johnson (THE SMASHING MACHINE) | |
| 9 | Joel Edgerton (TRAIN DREAMS) | |
| 10 | Daniel Day Lewis (ANEMONE) | ▼ 5 |
Last Updated:
| 10/17/2025 2:20 PM |
| Cody Dericks | ||
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Leonardo DiCaprio (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER) | |
| 2 | Timothée Chalamet (MARTY SUPREME) | |
| 3 | Wagner Moura (THE SECRET AGENT) | |
| 4 | Jeremy Allen White (SPRINGSTEEN: DELIVER ME FROM NOWHERE) | |
| 5 | George Clooney (JAY KELLY) | |
| 6 | Ethan Hawke (BLUE MOON) | |
| 7 | Joel Edgerton (TRAIN DREAMS) | |
| 8 | Michael B. Jordan (SINNERS) | ▲ 1 |
| 9 | Daniel Day Lewis (ANEMONE) | ▼ 1 |
| 10 | Dwayne Johnson (THE SMASHING MACHINE) |
Last Updated:
| 10/19/2025 7:35 PM |
| Daniel Howat | ||
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Timothée Chalamet (MARTY SUPREME) | |
| 2 | Leonardo DiCaprio (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER) | ▲ 1 |
| 3 | Jeremy Allen White (SPRINGSTEEN: DELIVER ME FROM NOWHERE) | ▼ 1 |
| 4 | Joel Edgerton (TRAIN DREAMS) | |
| 5 | Wagner Moura (THE SECRET AGENT) | |
| 6 | Daniel Day Lewis (ANEMONE) | |
| 7 | George Clooney (JAY KELLY) | |
| 8 | Dwayne Johnson (THE SMASHING MACHINE) | |
| 9 | Ethan Hawke (BLUE MOON) | |
| 10 | Michael B. Jordan (SINNERS) |
Last Updated:
| 9/29/2025 4:50 PM |
| Megan Lachinski | ||
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Timothée Chalamet (MARTY SUPREME) | |
| 2 | Jeremy Allen White (SPRINGSTEEN: DELIVER ME FROM NOWHERE) | ▲ 1 |
| 3 | Leonardo DiCaprio (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER) | ▲ 2 |
| 4 | Michael B. Jordan (SINNERS) | |
| 5 | Wagner Moura (THE SECRET AGENT) | ▲ 1 |
| 6 | George Clooney (JAY KELLY) | ▼ 4 |
| 7 | Oscar Isaac (FRANKENSTEIN) | |
| 8 | Dwayne Johnson (THE SMASHING MACHINE) | |
| 9 | Denzel Washington (HIGHEST 2 LOWEST) | |
| 10 | Daniel Day Lewis (ANEMONE) |
Last Updated:
| 10/1/2025 10:06 PM |
| Giovanni Lago | ||
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Timothée Chalamet (MARTY SUPREME) | |
| 2 | Leonardo DiCaprio (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER) | |
| 3 | Jeremy Allen White (SPRINGSTEEN: DELIVER ME FROM NOWHERE) | |
| 4 | Wagner Moura (THE SECRET AGENT) | |
| 5 | Michael B. Jordan (SINNERS) | |
| 6 | Ethan Hawke (BLUE MOON) | NEW |
| 7 | George Clooney (JAY KELLY) | ▼ 1 |
| 8 | Joel Edgerton (TRAIN DREAMS) | ▲ 1 |
| 9 | Dwayne Johnson (THE SMASHING MACHINE) | ▼ 2 |
| 10 | Daniel Day Lewis (ANEMONE) | ▼ 2 |
Last Updated:
| 10/9/2025 1:21 PM |
| Will Mavity | ||
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Timothée Chalamet (MARTY SUPREME) | |
| 2 | Leonardo DiCaprio (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER) | |
| 3 | Jeremy Allen White (SPRINGSTEEN: DELIVER ME FROM NOWHERE) | |
| 4 | Wagner Moura (THE SECRET AGENT) | ▲ 1 |
| 5 | Ethan Hawke (BLUE MOON) | ▲ 4 |
| 6 | Jesse Plemons (BUGONIA) | ▼ 2 |
| 7 | Daniel Day Lewis (ANEMONE) | |
| 8 | Dwayne Johnson (THE SMASHING MACHINE) | |
| 9 | Joel Edgerton (TRAIN DREAMS) | ▼ 3 |
| 10 | George Clooney (JAY KELLY) |
Last Updated:
| 10/8/2025 11:50 PM |
| Tom O'Brien | ||
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Timothée Chalamet (MARTY SUPREME) | |
| 2 | Leonardo DiCaprio (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER) | ▲ 7 |
| 3 | Jeremy Allen White (SPRINGSTEEN: DELIVER ME FROM NOWHERE) | ▼ 1 |
| 4 | Wagner Moura (THE SECRET AGENT) | ▲ 1 |
| 5 | George Clooney (JAY KELLY) | ▼ 2 |
| 6 | Ethan Hawke (BLUE MOON) | |
| 7 | Daniel Day Lewis (ANEMONE) | |
| 8 | Dwayne Johnson (THE SMASHING MACHINE) | ▼ 4 |
| 9 | Michael B. Jordan (SINNERS) | ▼ 1 |
| 10 | Joel Edgerton (TRAIN DREAMS) |
Last Updated:
| 9/19/2025 10:20 PM |
| Josh Parham | ||
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Timothée Chalamet (MARTY SUPREME) | |
| 2 | Leonardo DiCaprio (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER) | |
| 3 | Jeremy Allen White (SPRINGSTEEN: DELIVER ME FROM NOWHERE) | |
| 4 | George Clooney (JAY KELLY) | |
| 5 | Wagner Moura (THE SECRET AGENT) | |
| 6 | Ethan Hawke (BLUE MOON) | ▲ 3 |
| 7 | Daniel Day Lewis (ANEMONE) | |
| 8 | Dwayne Johnson (THE SMASHING MACHINE) | ▼ 2 |
| 9 | Michael B. Jordan (SINNERS) | ▼ 1 |
| 10 | Joel Edgerton (TRAIN DREAMS) |
Last Updated:
| 10/9/2025 12:20 AM |
| Joselyn Safadi | ||
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Timothée Chalamet (MARTY SUPREME) | |
| 2 | Jeremy Allen White (SPRINGSTEEN: DELIVER ME FROM NOWHERE) | |
| 3 | George Clooney (JAY KELLY) | |
| 4 | Michael B. Jordan (SINNERS) | |
| 5 | Wagner Moura (THE SECRET AGENT) | |
| 6 | Matthew McConaughey (THE RIVALS OF AMZIAH KING) | |
| 7 | Oscar Isaac (FRANKENSTEIN) | |
| 8 | Leonardo DiCaprio (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER) | |
| 9 | Dwayne Johnson (THE SMASHING MACHINE) | |
| 10 | Denzel Washington (HIGHEST 2 LOWEST) |
Last Updated:
| Ema Sasic | ||
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Timothée Chalamet (MARTY SUPREME) | |
| 2 | Leonardo DiCaprio (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER) | |
| 3 | Jeremy Allen White (SPRINGSTEEN: DELIVER ME FROM NOWHERE) | |
| 4 | George Clooney (JAY KELLY) | |
| 5 | Wagner Moura (THE SECRET AGENT) | ▲ 3 |
| 6 | Dwayne Johnson (THE SMASHING MACHINE) | |
| 7 | Michael B. Jordan (SINNERS) | |
| 8 | Daniel Day Lewis (ANEMONE) | ▼ 3 |
| 9 | Ethan Hawke (BLUE MOON) | |
| 10 | Joel Edgerton (TRAIN DREAMS) |
Last Updated:
| 10/14/2025 12:06 AM |
