Here are the NBP staff predictions for Best Actor. For an overview of all awards predictions, visit our Oscar Predictions page.
Click each heading to view individual staff rankings, or search/sort by the drop-downs below:
NBP Staff Picks
| Matt Neglia | ||
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Timothée Chalamet (MARTY SUPREME) | |
| 2 | Leonardo DiCaprio (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER) | |
| 3 | Ethan Hawke (BLUE MOON) | |
| 4 | Wagner Moura (THE SECRET AGENT) | |
| 5 | Joel Edgerton (TRAIN DREAMS) | |
| 6 | Michael B. Jordan (SINNERS) | |
| 7 | George Clooney (JAY KELLY) | |
| 8 | Jesse Plemons (BUGONIA) | NEW |
| 9 | Jeremy Allen White (SPRINGSTEEN: DELIVER ME FROM NOWHERE) | ▼ 1 |
| 10 | Dwayne Johnson (THE SMASHING MACHINE) | ▼ 1 |
Last Updated:
| 12/6/2025 3:35 PM |
| Dan Bayer | ||
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Leonardo DiCaprio (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER) | ▲ 1 |
| 2 | Timothée Chalamet (MARTY SUPREME) | ▼ 1 |
| 3 | George Clooney (JAY KELLY) | |
| 4 | Ethan Hawke (BLUE MOON) | |
| 5 | Wagner Moura (THE SECRET AGENT) | |
| 6 | Joel Edgerton (TRAIN DREAMS) | |
| 7 | Jeremy Allen White (SPRINGSTEEN: DELIVER ME FROM NOWHERE) | |
| 8 | Michael B. Jordan (SINNERS) | |
| 9 | Daniel Day Lewis (ANEMONE) | |
| 10 | Dwayne Johnson (THE SMASHING MACHINE) |
Last Updated:
| 12/10/2025 10:20 PM |
| Alyssa Christian | ||
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Timothée Chalamet (MARTY SUPREME) | |
| 2 | Leonardo DiCaprio (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER) | |
| 3 | Michael B. Jordan (SINNERS) | ▲ 2 |
| 4 | Ethan Hawke (BLUE MOON) | ▼ 1 |
| 5 | Wagner Moura (THE SECRET AGENT) | ▲ 1 |
| 6 | Joel Edgerton (TRAIN DREAMS) | ▼ 2 |
| 7 | George Clooney (JAY KELLY) | |
| 8 | Jesse Plemons (BUGONIA) | ▲ 1 |
| 9 | Lee Byung-hun (NO OTHER CHOICE) | ▲ 1 |
| 10 | Dwayne Johnson (THE SMASHING MACHINE) | ▼ 2 |
Last Updated:
| 12/10/2025 4:20 PM |
| Sara Clements | ||
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Timothée Chalamet (MARTY SUPREME) | |
| 2 | Leonardo DiCaprio (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER) | ▲ 2 |
| 3 | Jeremy Allen White (SPRINGSTEEN: DELIVER ME FROM NOWHERE) | ▼ 1 |
| 4 | Ethan Hawke (BLUE MOON) | NEW |
| 5 | Wagner Moura (THE SECRET AGENT) | |
| 6 | Joel Edgerton (TRAIN DREAMS) | ▲ 2 |
| 7 | Daniel Day Lewis (ANEMONE) | NEW |
| 8 | Dwayne Johnson (THE SMASHING MACHINE) | ▲ 1 |
| 9 | Michael B. Jordan (SINNERS) | ▼ 3 |
| 10 | George Clooney (JAY KELLY) | ▼ 7 |
Last Updated:
| 9/22/2025 11:21 PM |
| Nadia Dalimonte | ||
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Leonardo DiCaprio (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER) | ▲ 1 |
| 2 | Timothée Chalamet (MARTY SUPREME) | ▼ 1 |
| 3 | Wagner Moura (THE SECRET AGENT) | ▲ 2 |
| 4 | Ethan Hawke (BLUE MOON) | |
| 5 | Michael B. Jordan (SINNERS) | ▲ 1 |
| 6 | Joel Edgerton (TRAIN DREAMS) | ▲ 1 |
| 7 | Jesse Plemons (BUGONIA) | NEW |
| 8 | Lee Byung-hun (NO OTHER CHOICE) | NEW |
| 9 | George Clooney (JAY KELLY) | ▼ 6 |
| 10 | Jeremy Allen White (SPRINGSTEEN: DELIVER ME FROM NOWHERE) | ▼ 2 |
Last Updated:
| 12/9/2025 4:50 PM |
| Cody Dericks | ||
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Leonardo DiCaprio (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER) | |
| 2 | Timothée Chalamet (MARTY SUPREME) | |
| 3 | Ethan Hawke (BLUE MOON) | ▲ 1 |
| 4 | Wagner Moura (THE SECRET AGENT) | ▼ 1 |
| 5 | Michael B. Jordan (SINNERS) | |
| 6 | Joel Edgerton (TRAIN DREAMS) | |
| 7 | George Clooney (JAY KELLY) | |
| 8 | Jesse Plemons (BUGONIA) | |
| 9 | Dwayne Johnson (THE SMASHING MACHINE) | |
| 10 | Jeremy Allen White (SPRINGSTEEN: DELIVER ME FROM NOWHERE) |
Last Updated:
| 12/11/2025 11:20 AM |
| Daniel Howat | ||
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Leonardo DiCaprio (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER) | ▲ 1 |
| 2 | Timothée Chalamet (MARTY SUPREME) | ▼ 1 |
| 3 | Ethan Hawke (BLUE MOON) | |
| 4 | Wagner Moura (THE SECRET AGENT) | |
| 5 | Michael B. Jordan (SINNERS) | ▲ 3 |
| 6 | Joel Edgerton (TRAIN DREAMS) | ▼ 1 |
| 7 | George Clooney (JAY KELLY) | ▼ 1 |
| 8 | Lee Byung-hun (NO OTHER CHOICE) | NEW |
| 9 | Dwayne Johnson (THE SMASHING MACHINE) | ▼ 2 |
| 10 | Jeremy Allen White (SPRINGSTEEN: DELIVER ME FROM NOWHERE) | ▼ 1 |
Last Updated:
| 12/10/2025 9:35 PM |
| Megan Lachinski | ||
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Leonardo DiCaprio (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER) | ▲ 1 |
| 2 | Timothée Chalamet (MARTY SUPREME) | ▼ 1 |
| 3 | Ethan Hawke (BLUE MOON) | |
| 4 | Wagner Moura (THE SECRET AGENT) | |
| 5 | Joel Edgerton (TRAIN DREAMS) | |
| 6 | Michael B. Jordan (SINNERS) | ▲ 1 |
| 7 | George Clooney (JAY KELLY) | ▼ 1 |
| 8 | Jeremy Allen White (SPRINGSTEEN: DELIVER ME FROM NOWHERE) | |
| 9 | Dwayne Johnson (THE SMASHING MACHINE) | |
| 10 | Daniel Day Lewis (ANEMONE) |
Last Updated:
| 12/10/2025 10:21 PM |
| Giovanni Lago | ||
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Timothée Chalamet (MARTY SUPREME) | |
| 2 | Leonardo DiCaprio (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER) | |
| 3 | Wagner Moura (THE SECRET AGENT) | |
| 4 | Ethan Hawke (BLUE MOON) | |
| 5 | Michael B. Jordan (SINNERS) | |
| 6 | Joel Edgerton (TRAIN DREAMS) | ▲ 2 |
| 7 | George Clooney (JAY KELLY) | ▼ 1 |
| 8 | Jeremy Allen White (SPRINGSTEEN: DELIVER ME FROM NOWHERE) | ▼ 1 |
| 9 | Jesse Plemons (BUGONIA) | NEW |
| 10 | Dwayne Johnson (THE SMASHING MACHINE) | ▼ 1 |
Last Updated:
| 12/7/2025 11:21 AM |
| Will Mavity | ||
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Leonardo DiCaprio (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER) | ▲ 1 |
| 2 | Timothée Chalamet (MARTY SUPREME) | ▼ 1 |
| 3 | Wagner Moura (THE SECRET AGENT) | |
| 4 | Ethan Hawke (BLUE MOON) | |
| 5 | Joel Edgerton (TRAIN DREAMS) | |
| 6 | George Clooney (JAY KELLY) | |
| 7 | Michael B. Jordan (SINNERS) | |
| 8 | Dwayne Johnson (THE SMASHING MACHINE) | |
| 9 | Jeremy Allen White (SPRINGSTEEN: DELIVER ME FROM NOWHERE) | |
| 10 | Jesse Plemons (BUGONIA) |
Last Updated:
| 12/12/2025 7:21 PM |
| Tom O'Brien | ||
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Leonardo DiCaprio (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER) | ▲ 1 |
| 2 | Timothée Chalamet (MARTY SUPREME) | ▼ 1 |
| 3 | Ethan Hawke (BLUE MOON) | |
| 4 | Wagner Moura (THE SECRET AGENT) | |
| 5 | Joel Edgerton (TRAIN DREAMS) | |
| 6 | Jeremy Allen White (SPRINGSTEEN: DELIVER ME FROM NOWHERE) | |
| 7 | George Clooney (JAY KELLY) | |
| 8 | Michael B. Jordan (SINNERS) | |
| 9 | Dwayne Johnson (THE SMASHING MACHINE) | |
| 10 | Daniel Day Lewis (ANEMONE) |
Last Updated:
| 12/11/2025 11:50 AM |
| Josh Parham | ||
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wagner Moura (THE SECRET AGENT) | |
| 2 | Timothée Chalamet (MARTY SUPREME) | |
| 3 | Leonardo DiCaprio (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER) | |
| 4 | Ethan Hawke (BLUE MOON) | |
| 5 | Joel Edgerton (TRAIN DREAMS) | |
| 6 | Michael B. Jordan (SINNERS) | |
| 7 | George Clooney (JAY KELLY) | |
| 8 | Jesse Plemons (BUGONIA) | ▲ 1 |
| 9 | Jeremy Allen White (SPRINGSTEEN: DELIVER ME FROM NOWHERE) | ▼ 1 |
| 10 | Dwayne Johnson (THE SMASHING MACHINE) |
Last Updated:
| 12/8/2025 6:05 PM |
| Joselyn Safadi | ||
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Timothée Chalamet (MARTY SUPREME) | |
| 2 | Leonardo DiCaprio (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER) | ▲ 6 |
| 3 | Michael B. Jordan (SINNERS) | ▲ 1 |
| 4 | Wagner Moura (THE SECRET AGENT) | ▲ 1 |
| 5 | Joel Edgerton (TRAIN DREAMS) | NEW |
| 6 | George Clooney (JAY KELLY) | ▼ 3 |
| 7 | Oscar Isaac (FRANKENSTEIN) | |
| 8 | Jeremy Allen White (SPRINGSTEEN: DELIVER ME FROM NOWHERE) | ▼ 6 |
| 9 | Dwayne Johnson (THE SMASHING MACHINE) | |
| 10 | Denzel Washington (HIGHEST 2 LOWEST) |
Last Updated:
| 11/5/2025 9:51 AM |
| Ema Sasic | ||
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Timothée Chalamet (MARTY SUPREME) | |
| 2 | Leonardo DiCaprio (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER) | |
| 3 | Wagner Moura (THE SECRET AGENT) | |
| 4 | Ethan Hawke (BLUE MOON) | ▲ 1 |
| 5 | Michael B. Jordan (SINNERS) | ▼ 1 |
| 6 | Joel Edgerton (TRAIN DREAMS) | |
| 7 | George Clooney (JAY KELLY) | |
| 8 | Jeremy Allen White (SPRINGSTEEN: DELIVER ME FROM NOWHERE) | |
| 9 | Daniel Day Lewis (ANEMONE) | |
| 10 | Dwayne Johnson (THE SMASHING MACHINE) |
Last Updated:
| 12/5/2025 11:35 AM |