Oscar Predictions – Best Actor - Next Best Picture

Home Oscar Predictions – Best Actor

Here are the NBP staff predictions for Best Actor. For an overview of all awards predictions, visit our Oscar Predictions page.

Click each heading to view individual staff rankings, or search/sort by the drop-downs below:

NBP Staff Picks

	Matt Neglia
1	Timothée Chalamet (MARTY SUPREME)
2	Leonardo DiCaprio (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER)
3	Wagner Moura (THE SECRET AGENT)	▲ 1
4	Michael B. Jordan (SINNERS)	▼ 1
5	Ethan Hawke (BLUE MOON)

Last Updated:

2/24/2026 10:35 AM

	Dan Bayer
1	Timothée Chalamet (MARTY SUPREME)
2	Leonardo DiCaprio (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER)
3	Ethan Hawke (BLUE MOON)
4	Wagner Moura (THE SECRET AGENT)
5	Michael B. Jordan (SINNERS)

Last Updated:

1/9/2026 9:20 AM

	Alyssa Christian
1	Timothée Chalamet (MARTY SUPREME)
2	Leonardo DiCaprio (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER)
3	Wagner Moura (THE SECRET AGENT)	▲ 1
4	Michael B. Jordan (SINNERS)	▼ 1
5	Ethan Hawke (BLUE MOON)

Last Updated:

2/22/2026 5:20 PM

	Sara Clements
1	Timothée Chalamet (MARTY SUPREME)
2	Leonardo DiCaprio (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER)
3	Wagner Moura (THE SECRET AGENT)	▲ 1
4	Michael B. Jordan (SINNERS)	NEW
5	Ethan Hawke (BLUE MOON)	▼ 2

Last Updated:

1/26/2026 2:36 PM

	Nadia Dalimonte
1	Timothée Chalamet (MARTY SUPREME)
2	Wagner Moura (THE SECRET AGENT)	▲ 1
3	Michael B. Jordan (SINNERS)	▲ 1
4	Leonardo DiCaprio (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER)	▼ 2
5	Ethan Hawke (BLUE MOON)

Last Updated:

2/27/2026 10:35 AM

	Cody Dericks
1	Timothée Chalamet (MARTY SUPREME)
2	Wagner Moura (THE SECRET AGENT)
3	Michael B. Jordan (SINNERS)	▲ 1
4	Michael B. Jordan (SINNERS)	NEW
5	Ethan Hawke (BLUE MOON)

Last Updated:

2/26/2026 11:37 AM

	Daniel Howat
1	Timothée Chalamet (MARTY SUPREME)
2	Wagner Moura (THE SECRET AGENT)	▲ 1
3	Leonardo DiCaprio (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER)	▼ 1
4	Michael B. Jordan (SINNERS)
5	Ethan Hawke (BLUE MOON)

Last Updated:

2/24/2026 3:20 PM

	Megan Lachinski
1	Timothée Chalamet (MARTY SUPREME)
2	Ethan Hawke (BLUE MOON)	▲ 1
3	Leonardo DiCaprio (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER)	▼ 1
4	Michael B. Jordan (SINNERS)
5	Wagner Moura (THE SECRET AGENT)

Last Updated:

2/24/2026 1:21 PM

	Giovanni Lago
1	Timothée Chalamet (MARTY SUPREME)
2	Leonardo DiCaprio (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER)
3	Michael B. Jordan (SINNERS)	▲ 2
4	Ethan Hawke (BLUE MOON)
5	Wagner Moura (THE SECRET AGENT)	▼ 2

Last Updated:

1/11/2026 10:21 AM

	Will Mavity
1	Timothée Chalamet (MARTY SUPREME)
2	Leonardo DiCaprio (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER)
3	Wagner Moura (THE SECRET AGENT)	▲ 1
4	Michael B. Jordan (SINNERS)	▲ 2
5	Ethan Hawke (BLUE MOON)	▼ 2

Last Updated:

1/22/2026 10:20 AM

	Tom O'Brien
1	Timothée Chalamet (MARTY SUPREME)
2	Leonardo DiCaprio (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER)
3	Ethan Hawke (BLUE MOON)
4	Michael B. Jordan (SINNERS)	▲ 1
5	Wagner Moura (THE SECRET AGENT)	▼ 1

Last Updated:

1/17/2026 7:05 PM

	Josh Parham
1	Timothée Chalamet (MARTY SUPREME)
2	Wagner Moura (THE SECRET AGENT)	▲ 1
3	Michael B. Jordan (SINNERS)	▲ 1
4	Leonardo DiCaprio (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER)	▼ 2
5	Ethan Hawke (BLUE MOON)

Last Updated:

2/18/2026 6:05 PM

	Ema Sasic
1	Timothée Chalamet (MARTY SUPREME)
2	Leonardo DiCaprio (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER)
3	Wagner Moura (THE SECRET AGENT)	▲ 1
4	Ethan Hawke (BLUE MOON)	▼ 1
5	Michael B. Jordan (SINNERS)

Last Updated:

1/15/2026 10:50 PM

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