Here are the NBP staff predictions for Best Actor. For an overview of all awards predictions, visit our Oscar Predictions page.
Click each heading to view individual staff rankings, or search/sort by the drop-downs below:
NBP Staff Picks
| Matt Neglia | ||
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Timothée Chalamet (MARTY SUPREME) | |
| 2 | Leonardo DiCaprio (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER) | |
| 3 | Ethan Hawke (BLUE MOON) | ▲ 1 |
| 4 | Wagner Moura (THE SECRET AGENT) | ▲ 1 |
| 5 | Joel Edgerton (TRAIN DREAMS) | ▲ 1 |
| 6 | Michael B. Jordan (SINNERS) | ▲ 2 |
| 7 | George Clooney (JAY KELLY) | |
| 8 | Jeremy Allen White (SPRINGSTEEN: DELIVER ME FROM NOWHERE) | ▼ 5 |
| 9 | Dwayne Johnson (THE SMASHING MACHINE) | |
| 10 | Daniel Day Lewis (ANEMONE) |
Last Updated:
| 10/26/2025 12:05 AM |
| Dan Bayer | ||
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Timothée Chalamet (MARTY SUPREME) | |
| 2 | Leonardo DiCaprio (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER) | |
| 3 | George Clooney (JAY KELLY) | |
| 4 | Jeremy Allen White (SPRINGSTEEN: DELIVER ME FROM NOWHERE) | |
| 5 | Ethan Hawke (BLUE MOON) | |
| 6 | Wagner Moura (THE SECRET AGENT) | ▲ 1 |
| 7 | Michael B. Jordan (SINNERS) | ▼ 1 |
| 8 | Daniel Day Lewis (ANEMONE) | |
| 9 | Joel Edgerton (TRAIN DREAMS) | |
| 10 | Dwayne Johnson (THE SMASHING MACHINE) |
Last Updated:
| 11/4/2025 11:05 PM |
| Alyssa Christian | ||
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Timothée Chalamet (MARTY SUPREME) | |
| 2 | Leonardo DiCaprio (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER) | |
| 3 | Ethan Hawke (BLUE MOON) | |
| 4 | Wagner Moura (THE SECRET AGENT) | |
| 5 | Joel Edgerton (TRAIN DREAMS) | |
| 6 | Michael B. Jordan (SINNERS) | ▲ 1 |
| 7 | George Clooney (JAY KELLY) | ▲ 1 |
| 8 | Jeremy Allen White (SPRINGSTEEN: DELIVER ME FROM NOWHERE) | ▼ 2 |
| 9 | Daniel Day Lewis (ANEMONE) | |
| 10 | Dwayne Johnson (THE SMASHING MACHINE) |
Last Updated:
| 11/3/2025 4:05 PM |
| Sara Clements | ||
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Timothée Chalamet (MARTY SUPREME) | |
| 2 | Leonardo DiCaprio (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER) | ▲ 2 |
| 3 | Jeremy Allen White (SPRINGSTEEN: DELIVER ME FROM NOWHERE) | ▼ 1 |
| 4 | Ethan Hawke (BLUE MOON) | NEW |
| 5 | Wagner Moura (THE SECRET AGENT) | |
| 6 | Joel Edgerton (TRAIN DREAMS) | ▲ 2 |
| 7 | Daniel Day Lewis (ANEMONE) | NEW |
| 8 | Dwayne Johnson (THE SMASHING MACHINE) | ▲ 1 |
| 9 | Michael B. Jordan (SINNERS) | ▼ 3 |
| 10 | George Clooney (JAY KELLY) | ▼ 7 |
Last Updated:
| 9/22/2025 11:21 PM |
| Nadia Dalimonte | ||
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Timothée Chalamet (MARTY SUPREME) | |
| 2 | Leonardo DiCaprio (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER) | |
| 3 | Jeremy Allen White (SPRINGSTEEN: DELIVER ME FROM NOWHERE) | |
| 4 | Ethan Hawke (BLUE MOON) | ▲ 6 |
| 5 | Wagner Moura (THE SECRET AGENT) | ▲ 2 |
| 6 | Michael B. Jordan (SINNERS) | |
| 7 | George Clooney (JAY KELLY) | ▼ 3 |
| 8 | Dwayne Johnson (THE SMASHING MACHINE) | |
| 9 | Joel Edgerton (TRAIN DREAMS) | |
| 10 | Daniel Day Lewis (ANEMONE) | ▼ 5 |
Last Updated:
| 10/17/2025 2:20 PM |
| Cody Dericks | ||
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Leonardo DiCaprio (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER) | ▲ 1 |
| 2 | Timothée Chalamet (MARTY SUPREME) | ▼ 1 |
| 3 | Wagner Moura (THE SECRET AGENT) | |
| 4 | Michael B. Jordan (SINNERS) | |
| 5 | George Clooney (JAY KELLY) | |
| 6 | Ethan Hawke (BLUE MOON) | |
| 7 | Joel Edgerton (TRAIN DREAMS) | |
| 8 | Daniel Day Lewis (ANEMONE) | |
| 9 | Jeremy Allen White (SPRINGSTEEN: DELIVER ME FROM NOWHERE) | |
| 10 | Dwayne Johnson (THE SMASHING MACHINE) |
Last Updated:
| 11/18/2025 5:06 PM |
| Daniel Howat | ||
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Timothée Chalamet (MARTY SUPREME) | |
| 2 | Leonardo DiCaprio (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER) | |
| 3 | Joel Edgerton (TRAIN DREAMS) | ▲ 1 |
| 4 | Wagner Moura (THE SECRET AGENT) | ▲ 1 |
| 5 | George Clooney (JAY KELLY) | ▲ 2 |
| 6 | Ethan Hawke (BLUE MOON) | ▲ 3 |
| 7 | Dwayne Johnson (THE SMASHING MACHINE) | ▲ 1 |
| 8 | Michael B. Jordan (SINNERS) | ▲ 2 |
| 9 | Jeremy Allen White (SPRINGSTEEN: DELIVER ME FROM NOWHERE) | ▼ 6 |
| 10 | Daniel Day Lewis (ANEMONE) | ▼ 4 |
Last Updated:
| 11/7/2025 7:05 PM |
| Megan Lachinski | ||
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Timothée Chalamet (MARTY SUPREME) | |
| 2 | Leonardo DiCaprio (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER) | ▲ 1 |
| 3 | Ethan Hawke (BLUE MOON) | ▼ 1 |
| 4 | Wagner Moura (THE SECRET AGENT) | ▲ 1 |
| 5 | Joel Edgerton (TRAIN DREAMS) | ▼ 1 |
| 6 | George Clooney (JAY KELLY) | |
| 7 | Michael B. Jordan (SINNERS) | |
| 8 | Jeremy Allen White (SPRINGSTEEN: DELIVER ME FROM NOWHERE) | |
| 9 | Dwayne Johnson (THE SMASHING MACHINE) | |
| 10 | Daniel Day Lewis (ANEMONE) |
Last Updated:
| 11/2/2025 8:51 PM |
| Giovanni Lago | ||
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Timothée Chalamet (MARTY SUPREME) | |
| 2 | Leonardo DiCaprio (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER) | |
| 3 | Wagner Moura (THE SECRET AGENT) | |
| 4 | Ethan Hawke (BLUE MOON) | ▲ 2 |
| 5 | Michael B. Jordan (SINNERS) | |
| 6 | Jeremy Allen White (SPRINGSTEEN: DELIVER ME FROM NOWHERE) | ▼ 2 |
| 7 | George Clooney (JAY KELLY) | |
| 8 | Joel Edgerton (TRAIN DREAMS) | |
| 9 | Dwayne Johnson (THE SMASHING MACHINE) | |
| 10 | Daniel Day Lewis (ANEMONE) |
Last Updated:
| 10/28/2025 1:50 AM |
| Will Mavity | ||
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Timothée Chalamet (MARTY SUPREME) | |
| 2 | Leonardo DiCaprio (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER) | |
| 3 | Wagner Moura (THE SECRET AGENT) | |
| 4 | Ethan Hawke (BLUE MOON) | |
| 5 | George Clooney (JAY KELLY) | ▲ 2 |
| 6 | Joel Edgerton (TRAIN DREAMS) | ▼ 1 |
| 7 | Jeremy Allen White (SPRINGSTEEN: DELIVER ME FROM NOWHERE) | ▼ 1 |
| 8 | Dwayne Johnson (THE SMASHING MACHINE) | ▲ 1 |
| 9 | Jesse Plemons (BUGONIA) | ▼ 1 |
| 10 | Michael B. Jordan (SINNERS) | NEW |
Last Updated:
| 11/18/2025 1:06 PM |
| Tom O'Brien | ||
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Timothée Chalamet (MARTY SUPREME) | |
| 2 | Leonardo DiCaprio (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER) | |
| 3 | Ethan Hawke (BLUE MOON) | |
| 4 | Wagner Moura (THE SECRET AGENT) | |
| 5 | George Clooney (JAY KELLY) | ▲ 1 |
| 6 | Jeremy Allen White (SPRINGSTEEN: DELIVER ME FROM NOWHERE) | ▼ 1 |
| 7 | Joel Edgerton (TRAIN DREAMS) | ▲ 3 |
| 8 | Dwayne Johnson (THE SMASHING MACHINE) | |
| 9 | Michael B. Jordan (SINNERS) | |
| 10 | Daniel Day Lewis (ANEMONE) | ▼ 3 |
Last Updated:
| 11/18/2025 3:06 PM |
| Josh Parham | ||
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Timothée Chalamet (MARTY SUPREME) | |
| 2 | Leonardo DiCaprio (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER) | |
| 3 | Wagner Moura (THE SECRET AGENT) | |
| 4 | Ethan Hawke (BLUE MOON) | ▲ 1 |
| 5 | George Clooney (JAY KELLY) | ▼ 1 |
| 6 | Joel Edgerton (TRAIN DREAMS) | |
| 7 | Jeremy Allen White (SPRINGSTEEN: DELIVER ME FROM NOWHERE) | |
| 8 | Michael B. Jordan (SINNERS) | |
| 9 | Jesse Plemons (BUGONIA) | NEW |
| 10 | Dwayne Johnson (THE SMASHING MACHINE) |
Last Updated:
| 11/12/2025 4:50 PM |
| Joselyn Safadi | ||
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Timothée Chalamet (MARTY SUPREME) | |
| 2 | Leonardo DiCaprio (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER) | ▲ 6 |
| 3 | Michael B. Jordan (SINNERS) | ▲ 1 |
| 4 | Wagner Moura (THE SECRET AGENT) | ▲ 1 |
| 5 | Joel Edgerton (TRAIN DREAMS) | NEW |
| 6 | George Clooney (JAY KELLY) | ▼ 3 |
| 7 | Oscar Isaac (FRANKENSTEIN) | |
| 8 | Jeremy Allen White (SPRINGSTEEN: DELIVER ME FROM NOWHERE) | ▼ 6 |
| 9 | Dwayne Johnson (THE SMASHING MACHINE) | |
| 10 | Denzel Washington (HIGHEST 2 LOWEST) |
Last Updated:
| 11/5/2025 9:51 AM |
| Ema Sasic | ||
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Timothée Chalamet (MARTY SUPREME) | |
| 2 | Leonardo DiCaprio (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER) | |
| 3 | George Clooney (JAY KELLY) | ▲ 1 |
| 4 | Joel Edgerton (TRAIN DREAMS) | ▲ 6 |
| 5 | Wagner Moura (THE SECRET AGENT) | |
| 6 | Ethan Hawke (BLUE MOON) | ▲ 3 |
| 7 | Michael B. Jordan (SINNERS) | |
| 8 | Jeremy Allen White (SPRINGSTEEN: DELIVER ME FROM NOWHERE) | ▼ 5 |
| 9 | Daniel Day Lewis (ANEMONE) | ▼ 1 |
| 10 | Dwayne Johnson (THE SMASHING MACHINE) | ▼ 4 |
Last Updated:
| 11/3/2025 9:06 PM |