Here are the NBP staff predictions for Best Adapted Screenplay. For an overview of all awards predictions, visit our Oscar Predictions page.
Click each heading to view individual staff rankings, or search/sort by the drop-downs below:
NBP Staff Picks
| Matt Neglia | ||
|---|---|---|
| 1 | ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER (Paul Thomas Anderson) | |
| 2 | HAMNET (Maggie O’Farrell & Chloe Zhao) | |
| 3 | TRAIN DREAMS (Clint Bentley & Greg Kwedar) | |
| 4 | BUGONIA (Will Tracy) | ▲ 1 |
| 5 | WAKE UP DEAD MAN: A KNIVES OUT MYSTERY (Rian Johnson) | ▼ 1 |
| 6 | FRANKENSTEIN (Guillermo Del Toro) | |
| 7 | NO OTHER CHOICE (Lee Ja-hye, Lee Kyoung-mi, Park Chan-wook & Don McKellar) | |
| 8 | NUREMBERG (James Vanderbilt) | |
| 9 | HEDDA (Nia DaCosta) | |
| 10 | THE LIFE OF CHUCK (Mike Flanagan) |
Last Updated:
| 11/18/2025 3:05 PM |
| Dan Bayer | ||
|---|---|---|
| 1 | ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER (Paul Thomas Anderson) | |
| 2 | HAMNET (Maggie O’Farrell & Chloe Zhao) | |
| 3 | WAKE UP DEAD MAN: A KNIVES OUT MYSTERY (Rian Johnson) | |
| 4 | FRANKENSTEIN (Guillermo Del Toro) | |
| 5 | BUGONIA (Will Tracy) | |
| 6 | TRAIN DREAMS (Clint Bentley & Greg Kwedar) | ▲ 2 |
| 7 | WICKED: FOR GOOD (Dana Fox & Winnie Holzman) | |
| 8 | HEDDA (Nia DaCosta) | NEW |
| 9 | HIGHEST 2 LOWEST (William Alan Fox) | |
| 10 | DIE, MY LOVE (Alice Birch, Lynne Ramsay & Enda Walsh) |
Last Updated:
| 11/4/2025 11:05 PM |
| Alyssa Christian | ||
|---|---|---|
| 1 | ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER (Paul Thomas Anderson) | |
| 2 | HAMNET (Maggie O’Farrell & Chloe Zhao) | |
| 3 | TRAIN DREAMS (Clint Bentley & Greg Kwedar) | |
| 4 | WAKE UP DEAD MAN: A KNIVES OUT MYSTERY (Rian Johnson) | |
| 5 | BUGONIA (Will Tracy) | |
| 6 | FRANKENSTEIN (Guillermo Del Toro) | |
| 7 | NO OTHER CHOICE (Lee Ja-hye, Lee Kyoung-mi, Park Chan-wook & Don McKellar) | |
| 8 | HEDDA (Nia DaCosta) | |
| 9 | NUREMBERG (James Vanderbilt) | |
| 10 | THE LIFE OF CHUCK (Mike Flanagan) | NEW |
Last Updated:
| 12/2/2025 11:35 AM |
| Sara Clements | ||
|---|---|---|
| 1 | ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER (Paul Thomas Anderson) | |
| 2 | HAMNET (Maggie O’Farrell & Chloe Zhao) | |
| 3 | BUGONIA (Will Tracy) | |
| 4 | TRAIN DREAMS (Clint Bentley & Greg Kwedar) | |
| 5 | WAKE UP DEAD MAN: A KNIVES OUT MYSTERY (Rian Johnson) | |
| 6 | NO OTHER CHOICE (Lee Ja-hye, Lee Kyoung-mi, Park Chan-wook & Don McKellar) | |
| 7 | FRANKENSTEIN (Guillermo Del Toro) | ▲ 2 |
| 8 | NUREMBERG (James Vanderbilt) | NEW |
| 9 | THE LIFE OF CHUCK (Mike Flanagan) | NEW |
| 10 | HEDDA (Nia DaCosta) |
Last Updated:
| 11/29/2025 12:06 PM |
| Nadia Dalimonte | ||
|---|---|---|
| 1 | ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER (Paul Thomas Anderson) | |
| 2 | HAMNET (Maggie O’Farrell & Chloe Zhao) | |
| 3 | WAKE UP DEAD MAN: A KNIVES OUT MYSTERY (Rian Johnson) | |
| 4 | FRANKENSTEIN (Guillermo Del Toro) | ▲ 2 |
| 5 | BUGONIA (Will Tracy) | ▲ 2 |
| 6 | TRAIN DREAMS (Clint Bentley & Greg Kwedar) | ▼ 2 |
| 7 | NO OTHER CHOICE (Lee Ja-hye, Lee Kyoung-mi, Park Chan-wook & Don McKellar) | ▼ 2 |
| 8 | HEDDA (Nia DaCosta) | ▲ 2 |
| 9 | WICKED: FOR GOOD (Dana Fox & Winnie Holzman) | |
| 10 | NUREMBERG (James Vanderbilt) | NEW |
Last Updated:
| 11/20/2025 9:05 AM |
| Cody Dericks | ||
|---|---|---|
| 1 | ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER (Paul Thomas Anderson) | |
| 2 | HAMNET (Maggie O’Farrell & Chloe Zhao) | |
| 3 | WAKE UP DEAD MAN: A KNIVES OUT MYSTERY (Rian Johnson) | |
| 4 | TRAIN DREAMS (Clint Bentley & Greg Kwedar) | |
| 5 | NO OTHER CHOICE (Lee Ja-hye, Lee Kyoung-mi, Park Chan-wook & Don McKellar) | |
| 6 | BUGONIA (Will Tracy) | |
| 7 | FRANKENSTEIN (Guillermo Del Toro) | ▲ 1 |
| 8 | HEDDA (Nia DaCosta) | ▼ 1 |
| 9 | THE LIFE OF CHUCK (Mike Flanagan) | |
| 10 | NUREMBERG (James Vanderbilt) |
Last Updated:
| 11/28/2025 2:50 PM |
| Daniel Howat | ||
|---|---|---|
| 1 | ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER (Paul Thomas Anderson) | |
| 2 | HAMNET (Maggie O’Farrell & Chloe Zhao) | |
| 3 | WAKE UP DEAD MAN: A KNIVES OUT MYSTERY (Rian Johnson) | |
| 4 | TRAIN DREAMS (Clint Bentley & Greg Kwedar) | |
| 5 | BUGONIA (Will Tracy) | |
| 6 | FRANKENSTEIN (Guillermo Del Toro) | ▲ 1 |
| 7 | NO OTHER CHOICE (Lee Ja-hye, Lee Kyoung-mi, Park Chan-wook & Don McKellar) | ▲ 3 |
| 8 | NUREMBERG (James Vanderbilt) | |
| 9 | HEDDA (Nia DaCosta) | |
| 10 | THE LIFE OF CHUCK (Mike Flanagan) | NEW |
Last Updated:
| 11/18/2025 3:50 PM |
| Megan Lachinski | ||
|---|---|---|
| 1 | ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER (Paul Thomas Anderson) | |
| 2 | HAMNET (Maggie O’Farrell & Chloe Zhao) | |
| 3 | FRANKENSTEIN (Guillermo Del Toro) | |
| 4 | TRAIN DREAMS (Clint Bentley & Greg Kwedar) | |
| 5 | WAKE UP DEAD MAN: A KNIVES OUT MYSTERY (Rian Johnson) | NEW |
| 6 | DIE, MY LOVE (Alice Birch, Lynne Ramsay & Enda Walsh) | ▼ 1 |
| 7 | BUGONIA (Will Tracy) | ▼ 1 |
| 8 | NO OTHER CHOICE (Lee Ja-hye, Lee Kyoung-mi, Park Chan-wook & Don McKellar) | NEW |
| 9 | THE SMASHING MACHINE (Benny Safdie) | |
| 10 | HEDDA (Nia DaCosta) | ▼ 2 |
Last Updated:
| 10/27/2025 8:20 PM |
| Giovanni Lago | ||
|---|---|---|
| 1 | ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER (Paul Thomas Anderson) | |
| 2 | HAMNET (Maggie O’Farrell & Chloe Zhao) | |
| 3 | NO OTHER CHOICE (Lee Ja-hye, Lee Kyoung-mi, Park Chan-wook & Don McKellar) | |
| 4 | FRANKENSTEIN (Guillermo Del Toro) | |
| 5 | WAKE UP DEAD MAN: A KNIVES OUT MYSTERY (Rian Johnson) | |
| 6 | TRAIN DREAMS (Clint Bentley & Greg Kwedar) | |
| 7 | WICKED: FOR GOOD (Dana Fox & Winnie Holzman) | |
| 8 | BUGONIA (Will Tracy) | NEW |
| 9 | AVATAR: FIRE AND ASH (James Cameron, Rick Jaffa, Amanda Silver, Josh Friedman, Shane Salerno) | |
| 10 | THE LIFE OF CHUCK (Mike Flanagan) | NEW |
Last Updated:
| 11/24/2025 5:35 AM |
| Will Mavity | ||
|---|---|---|
| 1 | ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER (Paul Thomas Anderson) | |
| 2 | HAMNET (Maggie O’Farrell & Chloe Zhao) | |
| 3 | TRAIN DREAMS (Clint Bentley & Greg Kwedar) | |
| 4 | FRANKENSTEIN (Guillermo Del Toro) | ▲ 3 |
| 5 | BUGONIA (Will Tracy) | ▼ 1 |
| 6 | NO OTHER CHOICE (Lee Ja-hye, Lee Kyoung-mi, Park Chan-wook & Don McKellar) | ▼ 1 |
| 7 | WAKE UP DEAD MAN: A KNIVES OUT MYSTERY (Rian Johnson) | ▼ 1 |
| 8 | WICKED: FOR GOOD (Dana Fox & Winnie Holzman) | |
| 9 | THE VOICE OF HIND RAJAB (Kaouther Ben Hania) | |
| 10 | NUREMBERG (James Vanderbilt) | NEW |
Last Updated:
| 11/9/2025 8:20 PM |
| Tom O'Brien | ||
|---|---|---|
| 1 | ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER (Paul Thomas Anderson) | |
| 2 | HAMNET (Maggie O’Farrell & Chloe Zhao) | |
| 3 | TRAIN DREAMS (Clint Bentley & Greg Kwedar) | ▲ 2 |
| 4 | BUGONIA (Will Tracy) | |
| 5 | WAKE UP DEAD MAN: A KNIVES OUT MYSTERY (Rian Johnson) | ▼ 2 |
| 6 | SPRINGSTEEN: DELIVER ME FROM NOWHERE (Scott Cooper) | |
| 7 | NO OTHER CHOICE (Lee Ja-hye, Lee Kyoung-mi, Park Chan-wook & Don McKellar) | |
| 8 | FRANKENSTEIN (Guillermo Del Toro) | ▲ 2 |
| 9 | NUREMBERG (James Vanderbilt) | NEW |
| 10 | HIGHEST 2 LOWEST (William Alan Fox) | ▼ 2 |
Last Updated:
| 11/22/2025 7:20 PM |
| Josh Parham | ||
|---|---|---|
| 1 | ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER (Paul Thomas Anderson) | |
| 2 | HAMNET (Maggie O’Farrell & Chloe Zhao) | |
| 3 | TRAIN DREAMS (Clint Bentley & Greg Kwedar) | |
| 4 | WAKE UP DEAD MAN: A KNIVES OUT MYSTERY (Rian Johnson) | |
| 5 | NO OTHER CHOICE (Lee Ja-hye, Lee Kyoung-mi, Park Chan-wook & Don McKellar) | |
| 6 | FRANKENSTEIN (Guillermo Del Toro) | |
| 7 | BUGONIA (Will Tracy) | |
| 8 | NUREMBERG (James Vanderbilt) | ▲ 1 |
| 9 | HEDDA (Nia DaCosta) | ▲ 1 |
| 10 | WICKED: FOR GOOD (Dana Fox & Winnie Holzman) | ▼ 2 |
Last Updated:
| 11/23/2025 4:50 PM |
| Joselyn Safadi | ||
|---|---|---|
| 1 | ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER (Paul Thomas Anderson) | |
| 2 | HAMNET (Maggie O’Farrell & Chloe Zhao) | |
| 3 | NO OTHER CHOICE (Lee Ja-hye, Lee Kyoung-mi, Park Chan-wook & Don McKellar) | |
| 4 | WAKE UP DEAD MAN: A KNIVES OUT MYSTERY (Rian Johnson) | |
| 5 | HEDDA (Nia DaCosta) | |
| 6 | TRAIN DREAMS (Clint Bentley & Greg Kwedar) | NEW |
| 7 | FRANKENSTEIN (Guillermo Del Toro) | ▼ 1 |
| 8 | WICKED: FOR GOOD (Dana Fox & Winnie Holzman) | NEW |
| 9 | BUGONIA (Will Tracy) | ▼ 2 |
| 10 | DIE, MY LOVE (Alice Birch, Lynne Ramsay & Enda Walsh) | ▼ 2 |
Last Updated:
| 11/5/2025 10:06 AM |
| Ema Sasic | ||
|---|---|---|
| 1 | ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER (Paul Thomas Anderson) | |
| 2 | HAMNET (Maggie O’Farrell & Chloe Zhao) | |
| 3 | TRAIN DREAMS (Clint Bentley & Greg Kwedar) | ▲ 1 |
| 4 | NO OTHER CHOICE (Lee Ja-hye, Lee Kyoung-mi, Park Chan-wook & Don McKellar) | ▲ 2 |
| 5 | WAKE UP DEAD MAN: A KNIVES OUT MYSTERY (Rian Johnson) | |
| 6 | FRANKENSTEIN (Guillermo Del Toro) | ▲ 3 |
| 7 | WICKED: FOR GOOD (Dana Fox & Winnie Holzman) | ▲ 1 |
| 8 | BUGONIA (Will Tracy) | ▼ 5 |
| 9 | NUREMBERG (James Vanderbilt) | NEW |
| 10 | HEDDA (Nia DaCosta) |
Last Updated:
| 11/3/2025 9:21 PM |