Oscar Predictions

Here are the 2025 Oscar Predictions from the NBP staff! Ranking is updated in real-time, and is constantly changing until the end of the year. Accuracy will be calculated after the winners are announced at The 98th Annual Academy Awards.

Click each heading to view individual staff rankings, or search/sort by the drop-downs below:

Best Picture

RankChange
1ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER
2SINNERS
3HAMNET
4MARTY SUPREMEâ–² 1
5SENTIMENTAL VALUEâ–¼ 1
6JAY KELLY
7WICKED: FOR GOOD
8IT WAS JUST AN ACCIDENT
9SPRINGSTEEN: DELIVER ME FROM NOWHERE
10AVATAR: FIRE AND ASH


 
 
Last Updated
10/7/2025 at 8:36AM EST


 
 

Best Director

RankChange
1Paul Thomas Anderson (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER)
2Chloé Zhao (HAMNET)
3Ryan Coogler (SINNERS)
4Joachim Trier (SENTIMENTAL VALUE)
5Josh Safdie (MARTY SUPREME)
6Jafar Panahi (IT WAS JUST AN ACCIDENT)
7Park Chan-wook (NO OTHER CHOICE)
8Jon M. Chu (WICKED: FOR GOOD)
9Guillermo Del Toro (FRANKENSTEIN)NEW
10Kleber Mendonça Filho (THE SECRET AGENT)


 
 
Last Updated
10/9/2025 at 1:06PM EST


 
 

Best Actress

RankChange
1Jessie Buckley (HAMNET)
2Renate Reinsve (SENTIMENTAL VALUE)
3Cynthia Erivo (WICKED: FOR GOOD)
4Rose Byrne (IF I HAD LEGS I'D KICK YOU)
5Amanda Seyfried (THE TESTAMENT OF ANN LEE)
6Chase Infiniti (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER)
7Emma Stone (BUGONIA)
8Kate Hudson (SONG SUNG BLUE)NEW
9Julia Roberts (AFTER THE HUNT)
10Tessa Thompson (HEDDA)


 
 
Last Updated
10/9/2025 at 1:21PM EST


 
 

Best Actor

RankChange
1Timothée Chalamet (MARTY SUPREME)
2Leonardo DiCaprio (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER)
3Jeremy Allen White (SPRINGSTEEN: DELIVER ME FROM NOWHERE)
4Wagner Moura (THE SECRET AGENT)
5George Clooney (JAY KELLY)
6Daniel Day Lewis (ANEMONE)
7Ethan Hawke (BLUE MOON)NEW
8Michael B. Jordan (SINNERS)
9Joel Edgerton (TRAIN DREAMS)â–² 1
10Dwayne Johnson (THE SMASHING MACHINE)â–¼ 1


 
 
Last Updated
10/9/2025 at 1:21PM EST


 
 

Best Supporting Actress

RankChange
1Ariana Grande (WICKED: FOR GOOD)
2Elle Fanning (SENTIMENTAL VALUE)
3Teyana Taylor (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER)
4Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas (SENTIMENTAL VALUE)
5Odessa Azion (MARTY SUPREME)
6Emily Blunt (THE SMASHING MACHINE)NEW
7Gwyneth Paltrow (MARTY SUPREME)
8Jennifer Lopez (KISS OF THE SPIDER WOMAN)â–² 1
9Amy Madigan (WEAPONS)â–² 1
10Regina Hall (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER)NEW


 
 
Last Updated
10/9/2025 at 1:21PM EST


 
 

Best Supporting Actor

RankChange
1Stellan Skarsgård (SENTIMENTAL VALUE)
2Sean Penn (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER)
3Adam Sandler (JAY KELLY)
4Paul Mescal (HAMNET)
5Jeremy Strong (SPRINGSTEEN: DELIVER ME FROM NOWHERE)
6Delroy Lindo (SINNERS)
7Jacob Elordi (FRANKENSTEIN)
8Benicio Del Toro (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER)â–² 1
9Jonathan Bailey (WICKED: FOR GOOD)â–¼ 1
10Andrew Garfield (AFTER THE HUNT)


 
 
Last Updated
10/9/2025 at 1:21PM EST


 
 

Best Adapted Screenplay

RankChange
1ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER (Paul Thomas Anderson)
2HAMNET (Maggie O’Farrell & Chloe Zhao)
3WAKE UP DEAD MAN: A KNIVES OUT MYSTERY (Rian Johnson)
4BUGONIA (Will Tracy)
5TRAIN DREAMS (Clint Bentley & Greg Kwedar)
6SPRINGSTEEN: DELIVER ME FROM NOWHERE (Scott Cooper)NEW
7NO OTHER CHOICE (Lee Ja-hye, Lee Kyoung-mi, Park Chan-wook & Don McKellar)
8WICKED: FOR GOOD (Dana Fox & Winnie Holzman)
9FRANKENSTEIN (Guillermo Del Toro)
10HEDDA (Nia DaCosta)


 
 
Last Updated
10/7/2025 at 2:06PM EST


 
 

Best Original Screenplay

RankChange
1SINNERS (Ryan Coogler)
2SENTIMENTAL VALUE (Joachim Trier & Eskil Vogt)
3MARTY SUPREME (Ronald Bronstein & Josh Safdie)
4IT WAS JUST AN ACCIDENT (Jafar Panahi, Nader Saeivar, Shadmehr Rastin, Mehdi Mahmoudian)
5JAY KELLY (Noah Baumbach & Emily Mortimer)
6SORRY BABY (Eva Victor)
7BLUE MOON (Robert Kaplow)
8A HOUSE OF DYNAMITE (Noah Oppenheim)
9IS THIS THING ON? (Will Arnett, Mark Chappell, Bradley Cooper, John Bishop)NEW
10THE SECRET AGENT (Kleber Mendonça Filho)


 
 
Last Updated
9/16/2025 at 11:21PM EST


 
 

Best Animated Feature

RankChange
1KPOP DEMON HUNTERS
2ZOOTOPIA 2
3ARCO
4SCARLETâ–² 1
5LITTLE AMÉLIE OR THE CHARACTER OF RAIN▼ 1
6ELIO
7NE ZHA 2
8IN YOUR DREAMS
9THE BAD GUYS 2
10A MAGNIFICENT LIFE


 
 
Last Updated
10/9/2025 at 1:21PM EST


 
 

Best Documentary Feature

RankChange
1THE PERFECT NEIGHBOR
22000 METERS TO ANDRIIVKA
3APOCALYPSE IN THE TROPICS
4THE ALABAMA SOLUTIONâ–² 1
5SEEDSâ–¼ 1
6COVER-UP
7ORWELL 2+2=5
8THE LIBRARIANS
9MR. NOBODY AGAINST PUTINâ–² 1
10THE EYES OF GHANAâ–¼ 1


 
 
Last Updated
9/28/2025 at 1:36PM EST


 
 

Best International Feature

RankChange
1SENTIMENTAL VALUE (Norway)
2IT WAS JUST AN ACCIDENT (France)
3THE SECRET AGENT (Brazil)
4NO OTHER CHOICE (South Korea)
5THE VOICE OF HIND RAJAB (Tunisia)
6THE PRESIDENT'S CAKE (Iraq)â–² 2
7SIRÄ€T (Spain)â–¼ 1
8LEFT-HANDED GIRL (Taiwan)â–¼ 1
9SOUND OF FALLING (Germany)
10THE LOVE THAT REMAINS (Iceland)


 
 
Last Updated
10/9/2025 at 1:21PM EST


 
 

Best Casting

RankChange
1Francine Maisler (SINNERS)
2Bret Howe & Mary Vernieu (WAKE UP DEAD MAN: A KNIVES OUT MYSTERY)
3Tiffany Little Canfield & Bernard Telsey (WICKED: FOR GOOD)
4Cassandra Kulukundis (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER)
5Jennifer Venditti (MARTY SUPREME)â–² 2
6Douglas Aibel & Nina Gold (JAY KELLY)
7Francine Maisler (SPRINGSTEEN: DELIVER ME FROM NOWHERE)â–¼ 2
8Yngvill Kolset Haga & Avy Kaufman (SENTIMENTAL VALUE)
9Robin D. Cook (FRANKENSTEIN)
10Nina Gold (HAMNET)


 
 
Last Updated
10/7/2025 at 11:51AM EST


 
 

Best Cinematography

RankChange
1SINNERS (Autumn Durald Arkapaw)
2FRANKENSTEIN (Dan Laustsen)â–² 1
3HAMNET (Lukasz Zal)â–¼ 1
4ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER (Michael Bauman)
5MARTY SUPREME (Darius Khondji)
6TRAIN DREAMS (Adolpho Veloso)
7AVATAR: FIRE AND ASH (Russell Carpenter)
8THE TESTAMENT OF ANN LEE (William Rexer)
9JAY KELLY (Linus Sandgren)
10F1 (Claudio Miranda)


 
 
Last Updated
10/9/2025 at 1:21PM EST


 
 

Best Costume Design

RankChange
1WICKED: FOR GOOD
2FRANKENSTEIN
3HAMNET
4SINNERS
5MARTY SUPREME
6KISS OF THE SPIDER WOMAN
7THE TESTAMENT OF ANN LEEâ–² 1
8HEDDAâ–¼ 1
9ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER
10SPRINGSTEEN: DELIVER ME FROM NOWHERE


 
 
Last Updated
10/1/2025 at 2:36AM EST


 
 

Best Film Editing

RankChange
1ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER
2MARTY SUPREME
3SINNERS
4SENTIMENTAL VALUE
5A HOUSE OF DYNAMITE
6F1â–² 1
7NO OTHER CHOICEâ–¼ 1
8AVATAR: FIRE AND ASHNEW
9WICKED: FOR GOOD
10HAMNETNEW


 
 
Last Updated
10/9/2025 at 1:21PM EST


 
 

Best Makeup and Hairstyling

RankChange
1FRANKENSTEIN
2WICKED: FOR GOOD
3THE SMASHING MACHINE
4SINNERS
528 YEARS LATER
6WOLF MAN
7KISS OF THE SPIDER WOMAN
8THE WIZARD OF THE KREMLIN
9BUGONIA
10HAMNETâ–¼ 7


 
 
Last Updated
10/10/2025 at 4:51AM EST


 
 

Best Production Design

RankChange
1WICKED: FOR GOOD
2FRANKENSTEIN
3HAMNET
4SINNERS
5AVATAR: FIRE AND ASH
6MARTY SUPREME
7THE PHOENICIAN SCHEME
8THE TESTAMENT OF ANN LEE
9ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER
10SPRINGSTEEN: DELIVER ME FROM NOWHERE


 
 
Last Updated
10/1/2025 at 12:06PM EST


 
 

Best Original Score

RankChange
1SINNERS (Ludwig Göransson)
2ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER (Jonny Greenwood)
3JAY KELLY (Nicholas Britell)
4MARTY SUPREME (Daniel Lopatin)â–² 1
5HAMNET (Max Richter)â–¼ 1
6FRANKENSTEIN (Alexandre Desplat)
7THE TESTAMENT OF ANN LEE (Daniel Blumberg)â–² 2
8SENTIMENTAL VALUE (Hania Rani)
9A HOUSE OF DYNAMITE (Volker Bertelmann)â–¼ 2
10HEDDA (Hildur Guðnadóttir)NEW


 
 
Last Updated
10/9/2025 at 1:36PM EST


 
 

Best Original Song

RankChange
1WICKED FOR GOOD ("No Place Like Home")
2SINNERS ("I Lied to You")
3KPOP DEMON HUNTERS ("Golden")
4DIANE WARREN: RELENTLESS ("Dear Me")
5THE TESTAMENT OF ANN LEE ("Clothed By The Sun")
6WICKED FOR GOOD ("The Girl in the Bubble")
7SINNERS ("Last Time (I Seen the Sun)")
8HIGHEST 2 LOWEST ("Highest 2 Lowest")
9SINNERS ("Pale, Pale Moon")
10MATERIALISTS ("My Baby (Got Nothing At All)")


 
 
Last Updated
9/24/2025 at 12:21PM EST


 
 

Best Sound

RankChange
1SINNERSâ–² 1
2WICKED: FOR GOODâ–¼ 1
3AVATAR: FIRE AND ASH
4F1
5SPRINGSTEEN: DELIVER ME FROM NOWHERE
6ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER
7WARFARE
8FRANKENSTEIN
9MISSION: IMPOSSIBLE - FINAL RECKONING
10MARTY SUPREMENEW


 
 
Last Updated
10/7/2025 at 11:51AM EST


 
 

Best Visual Effects

RankChange
1AVATAR: FIRE AND ASH
2WICKED: FOR GOOD
3F1
4SUPERMAN
5TRON: ARES
6FRANKENSTEIN
7MISSION: IMPOSSIBLE - THE FINAL RECKONING
8THE LOST BUSâ–² 1
9THE FANTASTIC FOUR: FIRST STEPSâ–¼ 1
10HOW TO TRAIN YOUR DRAGONNEW


 
 
Last Updated
9/24/2025 at 12:21PM EST