Oscar Predictions 2023 – Tom O’Brien

Here are Tom O’Brien’s 2023 Oscar Predictions. Ranking is updated in real-time, and is constantly changing until the end of the year. Accuracy will be calculated after the winners are announced at The 96th Annual Academy Awards.

Click each heading to view individual staff rankings, or search/sort by the drop-downs below:


Best Picture

Tom O'Brien
1Oppenheimer
2The Holdovers
3Poor Things
4American Fiction
5Barbie
6Killers Of The Flower Moon
7Anatomy Of A Fall
8Maestro
9The Zone Of Interest
10Past Lives

Best Director

Tom O'Brien
1Christopher Nolan (OPPENHEIMER)
2Martin Scorsese (KILLERS OF THE FLOWER MOON)
3Yorgos Lanthimos (POOR THINGS)
4Jonathan Glazer (THE ZONE OF INTEREST)
5Justine Triet (ANATOMY OF A FALL)

Best Actress

Tom O'Brien
1Lily Gladstone (KILLERS OF THE FLOWER MOON)
2Emma Stone (POOR THINGS)
3Sandra Huller (ANATOMY OF A FALL)
4Carey Mulligan (MAESTRO)
5Annette Bening (NYAD)

Best Actor

Tom O'Brien
1Cillian Murphy (OPPENHEIMER)
2Paul Giamatti (THE HOLDOVERS)
3Bradley Cooper (MAESTRO)
4Jeffrey Wright (AMERICAN FICTION)
5Colman Domingo (RUSTIN)

Best Supporting Actress

Tom O'Brien
1Da'Vine Joy Randolph (THE HOLDOVERS)
2Emily Blunt (OPPENHEIMER)
3America Ferrera (BARBIE)
4Danielle Brooks (THE COLOR PURPLE)
5Jodie Foster (NYAD)

Best Supporting Actor

Tom O'Brien
1Robert Downey Jr. (OPPENHEIMER)
2Ryan Gosling (BARBIE)
3Mark Ruffalo (POOR THINGS)
4Robert De Niro (KILLERS OF THE FLOWER MOON)
5Sterling K. Brown (AMERICAN FICTION)

Best Adapted Screenplay

Tom O'Brien
1AMERICAN FICTION (Cord Jefferson)
2OPPENHEIMER (Christopher Nolan)
3BARBIE (Greta Gerwig & Noah Baumbach)
4POOR THINGS (Tony McNamara)
5THE ZONE OF INTEREST (Jonathan Glazer)

Best Original Screenplay

Tom O'Brien
1ANATOMY OF A FALL (Justine Triet & Arthur Harari)
2THE HOLDOVERS (David Hemingson)
3PAST LIVES (Celine Song)
4MAESTRO (Bradley Cooper & Josh Singer)
5MAY DECEMBER (Samy Burch)

Best Animated Feature

Tom O'Brien
1Spider-Man: Across The Spider-Verse
2The Boy and the Heron
3Elemental
4Nimona
5Robot Dreams

Best Documentary Feature

Tom O'Brien
120 Days In Mariupol
2Bobi Wine: The People's President
3The Eternal Memory
4Four Daughters
5To Kill A Tiger

Best International Feature

Tom O'Brien
1THE ZONE OF INTEREST (United Kingdom)
2SOCIETY OF THE SNOW (Spain)
3PERFECT DAYS (Japan)
4THE TEACHERS' LOUNGE (Germany)
5IO CAPITANO (Italy)

Best Cinematography

Tom O'Brien
1OPPENHEIMER (Hoyte Van Hoytema)
2KILLERS OF THE FLOWER MOON (Rodrigo Prieto)
3MAESTRO (Matthew Libatique)
4POOR THINGS (Robbie Ryan)
5EL CONDE (Edward Lachman)

Best Costume Design

Tom O'Brien
1Barbie
2Poor Things
3Napoleon
4Killers Of The Flower Moon
5Oppenheimer

Best Film Editing

Tom O'Brien
1Oppenheimer
2Killers Of The Flower Moon
3The Holdovers
4Anatomy Of A Fall
5Poor Things

Best Makeup and Hairstyling

Tom O'Brien
1Maestro
2Poor Things
3Oppenheimer
4Society Of The Snow
5Golda

Best Production Design

Tom O'Brien
1Poor Things
2Barbie
3Oppenheimer
4Killers Of The Flower Moon
5Napoleon

Best Original Score

Tom O'Brien
1OPPENHEIMER (Ludwig Göransson)
2KILLERS OF THE FLOWER MOON (Robbie Robertson)
3POOR THINGS (Jerskin Fendrix)
4INDIANA JONES AND THE DIAL OF DESTINY (John Williams)
5AMERICAN FICTION (Laura Karpman)

Best Original Song

Tom O'Brien
1"What Was I Made For?" (BARBIE)
2"I'm Just Ken" (BARBIE)
3"The Fire Inside" (FLAMIN' HOT)
4"It Never Went Away" (AMERICAN SYMPHONY)
5"Wahzhazhe (A Song For My People)" (KILLERS OF THE FLOWER MOON)

Best Sound

Tom O'Brien
1Oppenheimer
2Maestro
3The Zone Of Interest
4Mission: Impossible - Dead Reckoning Part One
5The Creator

Best Visual Effects

Tom O'Brien
1The Creator
2Godzilla Minus One
3Napoleon
4Guardians Of The Galaxy Vol. 3
5Mission: Impossible - Dead Reckoning Part One

Best Animated Short Film

Tom O'Brien
1WAR IS OVER! INSPIRED BY THE MUSIC OF JOHN & YOKO
2NINETY-FIVE SENSES
3LETTER TO A PIG
4PACHYDERME
5OUR UNIFORM

Best Documentary Short Film

Tom O'Brien
1THE LAST REPAIR SHOP
2NǍI NAI & WÀI PÓ
3THE ABCS OF BOOK BANNING
4THE BARBER OF LITTLE ROCK
5ISLAND IN BETWEEN

Best Live Action Short Film

Tom O'Brien
1THE WONDERFUL STORY OF HENRY SUGAR
2RED, WHITE AND BLUE
3INVINCIBLE
4THE AFTER
5KNIGHT OF FORTUNE