Here are Dan Bayer’s 2025 Oscar Predictions. Ranking is updated in real-time, and is constantly changing until the end of the year. Accuracy will be calculated after the winners are announced at The 97th Annual Academy Awards.
Click each heading to view individual staff rankings, or search/sort by the drop-downs below:
Best Picture
| Dan Bayer | ||
|---|---|---|
| 1 | ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER | |
| 2 | MARTY SUPREME | |
| 3 | HAMNET | |
| 4 | SINNERS | |
| 5 | SENTIMENTAL VALUE | |
| 6 | JAY KELLY | |
| 7 | IT WAS JUST AN ACCIDENT | |
| 8 | SONG SUNG BLUE | |
| 9 | AVATAR: FIRE AND ASH | |
| 10 | FRANKENSTEIN | NEW |
Last Updated:
10/21/2025 11:35 AM
Best Director
| Dan Bayer | ||
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paul Thomas Anderson (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER) | |
| 2 | Josh Safdie (MARTY SUPREME) | â–² 2 |
| 3 | Ryan Coogler (SINNERS) | |
| 4 | Chloé Zhao (HAMNET) | ▲ 2 |
| 5 | Jafar Panahi (IT WAS JUST AN ACCIDENT) | |
| 6 | Joachim Trier (SENTIMENTAL VALUE) | â–¼ 4 |
| 7 | Noah Baumbach (JAY KELLY) | â–² 3 |
| 8 | Jon M. Chu (WICKED: FOR GOOD) | |
| 9 | Kleber Mendonça Filho (THE SECRET AGENT) | |
| 10 | Guillermo Del Toro (FRANKENSTEIN) | NEW |
Last Updated:
10/7/2025 11:05 PM
Best Actress
| Dan Bayer | ||
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jessie Buckley (HAMNET) | |
| 2 | Renate Reinsve (SENTIMENTAL VALUE) | |
| 3 | Amanda Seyfried (THE TESTAMENT OF ANN LEE) | |
| 4 | Kate Hudson (SONG SUNG BLUE) | |
| 5 | Cynthia Erivo (WICKED: FOR GOOD) | |
| 6 | Rose Byrne (IF I HAD LEGS I'D KICK YOU) | |
| 7 | Chase Infiniti (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER) | NEW |
| 8 | Tessa Thompson (HEDDA) | |
| 9 | June Squibb (ELEANOR THE GREAT) | |
| 10 | Jennifer Lawrence (DIE, MY LOVE) |
Last Updated:
10/14/2025 12:20 AM
Best Actor
| Dan Bayer | ||
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jeremy Allen White (SPRINGSTEEN: DELIVER ME FROM NOWHERE) | |
| 2 | Timothée Chalamet (MARTY SUPREME) | |
| 3 | George Clooney (JAY KELLY) | |
| 4 | Leonardo DiCaprio (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER) | |
| 5 | Ethan Hawke (BLUE MOON) | NEW |
| 6 | Michael B. Jordan (SINNERS) | |
| 7 | Daniel Day Lewis (ANEMONE) | â–¼ 2 |
| 8 | Wagner Moura (THE SECRET AGENT) | |
| 9 | Joel Edgerton (TRAIN DREAMS) | |
| 10 | Dwayne Johnson (THE SMASHING MACHINE) |
Last Updated:
10/14/2025 12:20 AM
Best Supporting Actress
| Dan Bayer | ||
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Elle Fanning (SENTIMENTAL VALUE) | |
| 2 | Teyana Taylor (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER) | |
| 3 | Ariana Grande (WICKED: FOR GOOD) | |
| 4 | Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas (SENTIMENTAL VALUE) | â–² 1 |
| 5 | Jennifer Lopez (KISS OF THE SPIDER WOMAN) | â–¼ 1 |
| 6 | Gwyneth Paltrow (MARTY SUPREME) | |
| 7 | Nina Hoss (HEDDA) | |
| 8 | Emily Blunt (THE SMASHING MACHINE) | |
| 9 | Kirsten Dunst (ROOFMAN) | |
| 10 | Glenn Close (WAKE UP DEAD MAN: A KNIVES OUT MYSTERY) |
Last Updated:
10/14/2025 12:20 AM
Best Supporting Actor
| Dan Bayer | ||
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stellan Skarsgård (SENTIMENTAL VALUE) | |
| 2 | Adam Sandler (JAY KELLY) | |
| 3 | Sean Penn (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER) | |
| 4 | Paul Mescal (HAMNET) | |
| 5 | Jacob Elordi (FRANKENSTEIN) | |
| 6 | Jeremy Strong (SPRINGSTEEN: DELIVER ME FROM NOWHERE) | NEW |
| 7 | Stephen Graham (SPRINGSTEEN: DELIVER ME FROM NOWHERE) | |
| 8 | Jude Law (THE WIZARD OF THE KREMLIN) | |
| 9 | Sean Bean (ANEMONE) | |
| 10 | Andrew Garfield (AFTER THE HUNT) |
Last Updated:
9/17/2025 1:50 PM
Best Adapted Screenplay
| Dan Bayer | ||
|---|---|---|
| 1 | ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER (Paul Thomas Anderson) | |
| 2 | HAMNET (Maggie O’Farrell & Chloe Zhao) | |
| 3 | WAKE UP DEAD MAN: A KNIVES OUT MYSTERY (Rian Johnson) | |
| 4 | FRANKENSTEIN (Guillermo Del Toro) | |
| 5 | BUGONIA (Will Tracy) | |
| 6 | SPRINGSTEEN: DELIVER ME FROM NOWHERE (Scott Cooper) | |
| 7 | WICKED: FOR GOOD (Dana Fox & Winnie Holzman) | |
| 8 | TRAIN DREAMS (Clint Bentley & Greg Kwedar) | |
| 9 | HIGHEST 2 LOWEST (William Alan Fox) | |
| 10 | DIE, MY LOVE (Alice Birch, Lynne Ramsay & Enda Walsh) |
Last Updated:
Best Original Screenplay
| Dan Bayer | ||
|---|---|---|
| 1 | SENTIMENTAL VALUE (Joachim Trier & Eskil Vogt) | |
| 2 | JAY KELLY (Noah Baumbach & Emily Mortimer) | |
| 3 | IT WAS JUST AN ACCIDENT (Jafar Panahi, Nader Saeivar, Shadmehr Rastin, Mehdi Mahmoudian) | |
| 4 | MARTY SUPREME (Ronald Bronstein & Josh Safdie) | |
| 5 | SINNERS (Ryan Coogler) | |
| 6 | SORRY BABY (Eva Victor) | â–² 1 |
| 7 | BLUE MOON (Robert Kaplow) | NEW |
| 8 | RENTAL FAMILY (Stephen Blahut & Hikari) | |
| 9 | AFTER THE HUNT (Nora Garrett) | |
| 10 | THE TESTAMENT OF ANN LEE (Brady Corbet & Mona Fastvold) |
Last Updated:
10/14/2025 12:20 AM
Best Animated Feature
| Dan Bayer | ||
|---|---|---|
| 1 | KPOP DEMON HUNTERS | â–² 1 |
| 2 | ZOOTOPIA 2 | â–¼ 1 |
| 3 | ARCO | |
| 4 | LITTLE AMÉLIE OR THE CHARACTER OF RAIN | |
| 5 | IN YOUR DREAMS | |
| 6 | ELIO | |
| 7 | A MAGNIFICENT LIFE | |
| 8 | THE BAD GUYS 2 | |
| 9 | ANIMAL FARM | |
| 10 | SCARLET |
Last Updated:
10/14/2025 12:20 AM
Best Documentary Feature
| Dan Bayer | ||
|---|---|---|
| 1 | THE PERFECT NEIGHBOR | |
| 2 | 2000 METERS TO ANDRIIVKA | |
| 3 | APOCALYPSE IN THE TROPICS | |
| 4 | ORWELL 2+2=5 | |
| 5 | COVER-UP | |
| 6 | THE LIBRARIANS | |
| 7 | SEEDS | |
| 8 | ARCHITECTON | |
| 9 | PUT YOUR SOUL ON YOUR HAND AND WALK | NEW |
| 10 | THE ALABAMA SOLUTION |
Last Updated:
10/14/2025 12:20 AM
Best International Feature
| Dan Bayer | ||
|---|---|---|
| 1 | SENTIMENTAL VALUE (Norway) | |
| 2 | IT WAS JUST AN ACCIDENT (France) | |
| 3 | LEFT-HANDED GIRL (Taiwan) | |
| 4 | THE SECRET AGENT (Brazil) | |
| 5 | THE PRESIDENT'S CAKE (Iraq) | â–² 2 |
| 6 | NO OTHER CHOICE (South Korea) | |
| 7 | THE VOICE OF HIND RAJAB (Tunisia) | â–¼ 2 |
| 8 | SIRÄ€T (Spain) | |
| 9 | THE LOVE THAT REMAINS (Iceland) | |
| 10 | SOUND OF FALLING (Germany) |
Last Updated:
10/14/2025 12:20 AM
Best Casting
| Dan Bayer | ||
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Francine Maisler (SINNERS) | |
| 2 | Bret Howe & Mary Vernieu (WAKE UP DEAD MAN: A KNIVES OUT MYSTERY) | |
| 3 | Jennifer Venditti (MARTY SUPREME) | |
| 4 | Francine Maisler (SPRINGSTEEN: DELIVER ME FROM NOWHERE) | â–² 2 |
| 5 | Douglas Aibel & Nina Gold (JAY KELLY) | |
| 6 | Jessica Ronane (AFTER THE HUNT) | â–¼ 2 |
| 7 | Yngvill Kolset Haga & Avy Kaufman (SENTIMENTAL VALUE) | |
| 8 | Robin D. Cook (FRANKENSTEIN) | |
| 9 | Isabella Odoffin (THE TESTAMENT OF ANN LEE) | |
| 10 | Adam Caldwell & Tiffany Little Canfield (KISS OF THE SPIDER WOMAN) |
Last Updated:
10/21/2025 1:05 AM
Best Cinematography
| Dan Bayer | ||
|---|---|---|
| 1 | SINNERS (Autumn Durald Arkapaw) | â–² 1 |
| 2 | ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER (Michael Bauman) | â–² 1 |
| 3 | FRANKENSTEIN (Dan Laustsen) | â–¼ 2 |
| 4 | TRAIN DREAMS (Adolpho Veloso) | |
| 5 | HAMNET (Lukasz Zal) | |
| 6 | MARTY SUPREME (Darius Khondji) | |
| 7 | AVATAR: FIRE AND ASH (Russell Carpenter) | |
| 8 | ANEMONE (Ben Fordesman) | |
| 9 | F1 (Claudio Miranda) | |
| 10 | 28 YEARS LATER (Anthony Dod Mantle) |
Last Updated:
10/21/2025 12:50 AM
Best Costume Design
| Dan Bayer | ||
|---|---|---|
| 1 | FRANKENSTEIN | |
| 2 | WICKED: FOR GOOD | |
| 3 | HAMNET | |
| 4 | HEDDA | |
| 5 | KISS OF THE SPIDER WOMAN | |
| 6 | SINNERS | |
| 7 | MARTY SUPREME | |
| 8 | ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER | NEW |
| 9 | DUSE | NEW |
| 10 | COUTURE |
Last Updated:
9/21/2025 11:50 AM
Best Film Editing
| Dan Bayer | ||
|---|---|---|
| 1 | ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER | |
| 2 | MARTY SUPREME | |
| 3 | SENTIMENTAL VALUE | â–² 1 |
| 4 | IT WAS JUST AN ACCIDENT | â–² 1 |
| 5 | NO OTHER CHOICE | â–² 1 |
| 6 | AVATAR: FIRE AND ASH | â–² 1 |
| 7 | F1 | â–² 3 |
| 8 | A HOUSE OF DYNAMITE | â–¼ 5 |
| 9 | WICKED: FOR GOOD | |
| 10 | BUGONIA | â–¼ 2 |
Last Updated:
10/22/2025 10:05 AM
Best Makeup and Hairstyling
| Dan Bayer | ||
|---|---|---|
| 1 | FRANKENSTEIN | |
| 2 | WICKED: FOR GOOD | |
| 3 | THE SMASHING MACHINE | |
| 4 | THE WIZARD OF THE KREMLIN | |
| 5 | SINNERS | |
| 6 | 28 YEARS LATER | |
| 7 | KISS OF THE SPIDER WOMAN | |
| 8 | HAMNET | |
| 9 | NUREMBERG | |
| 10 | WOLF MAN |
Last Updated:
Best Production Design
| Dan Bayer | ||
|---|---|---|
| 1 | FRANKENSTEIN | |
| 2 | WICKED: FOR GOOD | |
| 3 | MARTY SUPREME | |
| 4 | HAMNET | |
| 5 | AVATAR: FIRE AND ASH | |
| 6 | THE PHOENICIAN SCHEME | |
| 7 | SINNERS | |
| 8 | THE TESTAMENT OF ANN LEE | |
| 9 | SPRINGSTEEN: DELIVER ME FROM NOWHERE | |
| 10 | A HOUSE OF DYNAMITE |
Last Updated:
Best Original Score
| Dan Bayer | ||
|---|---|---|
| 1 | SINNERS (Ludwig Göransson) | |
| 2 | ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER (Jonny Greenwood) | |
| 3 | HAMNET (Max Richter) | |
| 4 | JAY KELLY (Nicholas Britell) | |
| 5 | MARTY SUPREME (Daniel Lopatin) | |
| 6 | FRANKENSTEIN (Alexandre Desplat) | |
| 7 | THE TESTAMENT OF ANN LEE (Daniel Blumberg) | NEW |
| 8 | WICKED: FOR GOOD (John Powell, Stephen Schwartz) | â–¼ 1 |
| 9 | HEDDA (Hildur Guðnadóttir) | ▼ 1 |
| 10 | SENTIMENTAL VALUE (Hania Rani) |
Last Updated:
10/21/2025 12:50 AM
Best Original Song
| Dan Bayer | ||
|---|---|---|
| 1 | "No Place Like Home" (WICKED FOR GOOD) | |
| 2 | "The Girl in the Bubble" (WICKED FOR GOOD) | NEW |
| 3 | "I Lied to You" (SINNERS) | |
| 4 | "Dear Me" (DIANE WARREN: RELENTLESS) | |
| 5 | "Golden" (KPOP DEMON HUNTERS) | â–² 1 |
| 6 | "Clothed By The Sun" (THE TESTAMENT OF ANN LEE) | â–¼ 4 |
| 7 | "Let's Just Rock Again" (SPINAL TAP II: THE END CONTINUES) | â–¼ 2 |
| 8 | "Highest 2 Lowest" (HIGHEST 2 LOWEST) | â–¼ 1 |
| 9 | "My Baby (Got Nothing At All)" (MATERIALISTS) | |
| 10 | "Waiting on a Wish" (SNOW WHITE) |
Last Updated:
9/17/2025 1:50 PM
Best Sound
| Dan Bayer | ||
|---|---|---|
| 1 | WICKED: FOR GOOD | |
| 2 | SINNERS | â–² 1 |
| 3 | ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER | â–² 1 |
| 4 | AVATAR: FIRE AND ASH | â–² 4 |
| 5 | F1 | |
| 6 | WARFARE | |
| 7 | FRANKENSTEIN | â–¼ 5 |
| 8 | SPRINGSTEEN: DELIVER ME FROM NOWHERE | â–¼ 1 |
| 9 | 28 YEARS LATER | |
| 10 | MISSION: IMPOSSIBLE - FINAL RECKONING |
Last Updated:
10/21/2025 12:50 AM
Best Visual Effects
| Dan Bayer | ||
|---|---|---|
| 1 | AVATAR: FIRE AND ASH | |
| 2 | WICKED: FOR GOOD | |
| 3 | FRANKENSTEIN | |
| 4 | TRON: ARES | |
| 5 | SUPERMAN | |
| 6 | MISSION: IMPOSSIBLE - THE FINAL RECKONING | |
| 7 | F1 | |
| 8 | A HOUSE OF DYNAMITE | |
| 9 | THE FANTASTIC FOUR: FIRST STEPS | |
| 10 | HOW TO TRAIN YOUR DRAGON |
Last Updated:
