Oscar Predictions

Here are the 2025 Oscar Predictions from the NBP staff! Ranking is updated in real-time, and is constantly changing until the end of the year. Accuracy will be calculated after the winners are announced at The 98th Annual Academy Awards.

Click each heading to view individual staff rankings, or search/sort by the drop-downs below:

Best Picture

RankChange
1ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER
2SINNERS
3HAMNET
4MARTY SUPREME
5SENTIMENTAL VALUE
6JAY KELLY
7WICKED: FOR GOOD
8IT WAS JUST AN ACCIDENT
9FRANKENSTEINNEW
10AVATAR: FIRE AND ASH


 
 
Last Updated
10/21/2025 at 11:37AM EST


 
 

Best Director

RankChange
1Paul Thomas Anderson (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER)
2Chloé Zhao (HAMNET)
3Josh Safdie (MARTY SUPREME)
4Ryan Coogler (SINNERS)
5Joachim Trier (SENTIMENTAL VALUE)
6Jafar Panahi (IT WAS JUST AN ACCIDENT)
7Jon M. Chu (WICKED: FOR GOOD)â–² 1
8Park Chan-wook (NO OTHER CHOICE)â–¼ 1
9Guillermo Del Toro (FRANKENSTEIN)
10Kleber Mendonça Filho (THE SECRET AGENT)


 
 
Last Updated
10/21/2025 at 2:21PM EST


 
 

Best Actress

RankChange
1Jessie Buckley (HAMNET)
2Renate Reinsve (SENTIMENTAL VALUE)
3Cynthia Erivo (WICKED: FOR GOOD)
4Rose Byrne (IF I HAD LEGS I'D KICK YOU)
5Chase Infiniti (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER)â–² 1
6Amanda Seyfried (THE TESTAMENT OF ANN LEE)â–¼ 1
7Kate Hudson (SONG SUNG BLUE)
8Emma Stone (BUGONIA)
9Julia Roberts (AFTER THE HUNT)
10Tessa Thompson (HEDDA)


 
 
Last Updated
10/17/2025 at 2:06PM EST


 
 

Best Actor

RankChange
1Timothée Chalamet (MARTY SUPREME)
2Leonardo DiCaprio (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER)
3Jeremy Allen White (SPRINGSTEEN: DELIVER ME FROM NOWHERE)
4Wagner Moura (THE SECRET AGENT)
5George Clooney (JAY KELLY)
6Ethan Hawke (BLUE MOON)
7Michael B. Jordan (SINNERS)NEW
8Daniel Day Lewis (ANEMONE)
9Joel Edgerton (TRAIN DREAMS)
10Dwayne Johnson (THE SMASHING MACHINE)


 
 
Last Updated
10/15/2025 at 9:51AM EST


 
 

Best Supporting Actress

RankChange
1Ariana Grande (WICKED: FOR GOOD)
2Elle Fanning (SENTIMENTAL VALUE)
3Teyana Taylor (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER)
4Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas (SENTIMENTAL VALUE)
5Odessa Azion (MARTY SUPREME)
6Gwyneth Paltrow (MARTY SUPREME)NEW
7Emily Blunt (THE SMASHING MACHINE)
8Jennifer Lopez (KISS OF THE SPIDER WOMAN)
9Regina Hall (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER)
10Amy Madigan (WEAPONS)


 
 
Last Updated
10/17/2025 at 2:06PM EST


 
 

Best Supporting Actor

RankChange
1Stellan Skarsgård (SENTIMENTAL VALUE)
2Sean Penn (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER)
3Paul Mescal (HAMNET)â–² 1
4Adam Sandler (JAY KELLY)â–¼ 1
5Jeremy Strong (SPRINGSTEEN: DELIVER ME FROM NOWHERE)
6Delroy Lindo (SINNERS)
7Jacob Elordi (FRANKENSTEIN)â–² 1
8Benicio Del Toro (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER)â–¼ 1
9Jonathan Bailey (WICKED: FOR GOOD)
10Andrew Garfield (AFTER THE HUNT)


 
 
Last Updated
10/19/2025 at 7:21PM EST


 
 

Best Adapted Screenplay

RankChange
1ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER (Paul Thomas Anderson)
2HAMNET (Maggie O’Farrell & Chloe Zhao)
3WAKE UP DEAD MAN: A KNIVES OUT MYSTERY (Rian Johnson)
4BUGONIA (Will Tracy)
5TRAIN DREAMS (Clint Bentley & Greg Kwedar)
6NO OTHER CHOICE (Lee Ja-hye, Lee Kyoung-mi, Park Chan-wook & Don McKellar)â–² 1
7SPRINGSTEEN: DELIVER ME FROM NOWHERE (Scott Cooper)â–¼ 1
8FRANKENSTEIN (Guillermo Del Toro)
9WICKED: FOR GOOD (Dana Fox & Winnie Holzman)
10HEDDA (Nia DaCosta)


 
 
Last Updated
10/21/2025 at 2:21PM EST


 
 

Best Original Screenplay

RankChange
1SINNERS (Ryan Coogler)
2SENTIMENTAL VALUE (Joachim Trier & Eskil Vogt)
3MARTY SUPREME (Ronald Bronstein & Josh Safdie)
4IT WAS JUST AN ACCIDENT (Jafar Panahi, Nader Saeivar, Shadmehr Rastin, Mehdi Mahmoudian)
5JAY KELLY (Noah Baumbach & Emily Mortimer)
6BLUE MOON (Robert Kaplow)
7SORRY BABY (Eva Victor)
8IS THIS THING ON? (Will Arnett, Mark Chappell, Bradley Cooper, John Bishop)
9THE SECRET AGENT (Kleber Mendonça Filho)
10THE TESTAMENT OF ANN LEE (Brady Corbet & Mona Fastvold)NEW


 
 
Last Updated
9/16/2025 at 11:21PM EST


 
 

Best Animated Feature

RankChange
1KPOP DEMON HUNTERS
2ZOOTOPIA 2
3ARCO
4LITTLE AMÉLIE OR THE CHARACTER OF RAIN▲ 1
5SCARLETâ–¼ 1
6ELIO
7NE ZHA 2
8IN YOUR DREAMS
9THE BAD GUYS 2
10A MAGNIFICENT LIFE


 
 
Last Updated
10/15/2025 at 2:06PM EST


 
 

Best Documentary Feature

RankChange
1THE PERFECT NEIGHBOR
22000 METERS TO ANDRIIVKA
3THE ALABAMA SOLUTIONâ–² 1
4APOCALYPSE IN THE TROPICSâ–¼ 1
5COVER-UP
6SEEDS
7ORWELL 2+2=5
8THE LIBRARIANS
9PUT YOUR SOUL ON YOUR HAND AND WALK
10MR. NOBODY AGAINST PUTIN


 
 
Last Updated
10/23/2025 at 12:21PM EST


 
 

Best International Feature

RankChange
1SENTIMENTAL VALUE (Norway)
2IT WAS JUST AN ACCIDENT (France)
3THE SECRET AGENT (Brazil)
4NO OTHER CHOICE (South Korea)
5THE PRESIDENT'S CAKE (Iraq)
6THE VOICE OF HIND RAJAB (Tunisia)
7LEFT-HANDED GIRL (Taiwan)â–² 1
8SIRÄ€T (Spain)â–¼ 1
9SOUND OF FALLING (Germany)
10THE LOVE THAT REMAINS (Iceland)


 
 
Last Updated
10/19/2025 at 9:06PM EST


 
 

Best Casting

RankChange
1Francine Maisler (SINNERS)
2Cassandra Kulukundis (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER)â–² 2
3Tiffany Little Canfield & Bernard Telsey (WICKED: FOR GOOD)
4Bret Howe & Mary Vernieu (WAKE UP DEAD MAN: A KNIVES OUT MYSTERY)â–¼ 2
5Douglas Aibel & Nina Gold (JAY KELLY)â–² 1
6Jennifer Venditti (MARTY SUPREME)â–¼ 1
7Francine Maisler (SPRINGSTEEN: DELIVER ME FROM NOWHERE)
8Yngvill Kolset Haga & Avy Kaufman (SENTIMENTAL VALUE)
9Robin D. Cook (FRANKENSTEIN)
10Jessica Ronane (AFTER THE HUNT)


 
 
Last Updated
10/17/2025 at 2:21PM EST


 
 

Best Cinematography

RankChange
1SINNERS (Autumn Durald Arkapaw)
2FRANKENSTEIN (Dan Laustsen)
3HAMNET (Lukasz Zal)
4ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER (Michael Bauman)
5MARTY SUPREME (Darius Khondji)
6TRAIN DREAMS (Adolpho Veloso)
7THE TESTAMENT OF ANN LEE (William Rexer)â–² 1
8AVATAR: FIRE AND ASH (Russell Carpenter)â–¼ 1
9JAY KELLY (Linus Sandgren)
10F1 (Claudio Miranda)


 
 
Last Updated
10/17/2025 at 2:21PM EST


 
 

Best Costume Design

RankChange
1WICKED: FOR GOOD
2FRANKENSTEIN
3HAMNET
4SINNERS
5MARTY SUPREME
6KISS OF THE SPIDER WOMAN
7THE TESTAMENT OF ANN LEEâ–² 1
8HEDDAâ–¼ 1
9ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER
10SPRINGSTEEN: DELIVER ME FROM NOWHERE


 
 
Last Updated
10/1/2025 at 2:36AM EST


 
 

Best Film Editing

RankChange
1ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER
2MARTY SUPREME
3SINNERS
4SENTIMENTAL VALUE
5F1â–² 1
6A HOUSE OF DYNAMITEâ–¼ 1
7NO OTHER CHOICE
8HAMNET
9AVATAR: FIRE AND ASH
10WICKED: FOR GOODâ–¼ 8


 
 
Last Updated
10/23/2025 at 4:36PM EST


 
 

Best Makeup and Hairstyling

RankChange
1FRANKENSTEIN
2WICKED: FOR GOOD
3THE SMASHING MACHINE
4SINNERS
528 YEARS LATER
6WOLF MAN
7KISS OF THE SPIDER WOMAN
8HAMNET
9THE WIZARD OF THE KREMLINNEW
10WEAPONS


 
 
Last Updated
10/22/2025 at 12:06AM EST


 
 

Best Production Design

RankChange
1FRANKENSTEIN
2WICKED: FOR GOOD
3HAMNET
4SINNERS
5AVATAR: FIRE AND ASH
6MARTY SUPREME
7THE PHOENICIAN SCHEME
8THE TESTAMENT OF ANN LEE
9ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER
10SPRINGSTEEN: DELIVER ME FROM NOWHERE


 
 
Last Updated
10/13/2025 at 1:36PM EST


 
 

Best Original Score

RankChange
1SINNERS (Ludwig Göransson)
2ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER (Jonny Greenwood)
3MARTY SUPREME (Daniel Lopatin)â–² 1
4JAY KELLY (Nicholas Britell)â–¼ 1
5HAMNET (Max Richter)
6FRANKENSTEIN (Alexandre Desplat)
7THE TESTAMENT OF ANN LEE (Daniel Blumberg)
8SENTIMENTAL VALUE (Hania Rani)
9HEDDA (Hildur Guðnadóttir)
10A HOUSE OF DYNAMITE (Volker Bertelmann)


 
 
Last Updated
10/21/2025 at 11:36PM EST


 
 

Best Original Song

RankChange
1SINNERS ("I Lied to You")â–² 1
2WICKED FOR GOOD ("No Place Like Home")â–¼ 1
3KPOP DEMON HUNTERS ("Golden")
4DIANE WARREN: RELENTLESS ("Dear Me")
5WICKED FOR GOOD ("The Girl in the Bubble")
6SINNERS ("Last Time (I Seen the Sun)")NEW
7THE TESTAMENT OF ANN LEE ("Clothed By The Sun")â–¼ 1
8TRAIN DREAMS ("Train Dreams")â–² 1
9HIGHEST 2 LOWEST ("Highest 2 Lowest")â–¼ 1
10MATERIALISTS ("My Baby (Got Nothing At All)")


 
 
Last Updated
10/22/2025 at 12:21AM EST


 
 

Best Sound

RankChange
1SINNERS
2WICKED: FOR GOOD
3AVATAR: FIRE AND ASH
4F1
5ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHERâ–² 1
6SPRINGSTEEN: DELIVER ME FROM NOWHEREâ–¼ 1
7FRANKENSTEINâ–² 1
8MISSION: IMPOSSIBLE - FINAL RECKONINGâ–² 1
9WARFAREâ–¼ 2
10MARTY SUPREME


 
 
Last Updated
10/22/2025 at 12:21AM EST


 
 

Best Visual Effects

RankChange
1AVATAR: FIRE AND ASH
2WICKED: FOR GOOD
3F1
4SUPERMAN
5TRON: ARES
6FRANKENSTEINâ–² 1
7MISSION: IMPOSSIBLE - THE FINAL RECKONINGâ–¼ 1
8THE LOST BUS
9THE FANTASTIC FOUR: FIRST STEPS
10HOW TO TRAIN YOUR DRAGON


 
 
Last Updated
10/21/2025 at 12:51AM EST