Thursday, September 29, 2022

What The Critics Have Told Us About The Oscar Race As 2017 Comes To A Close

By Will Mavity

As the year comes to an end, we look back and realize that roughly 40 critics groups have announced nominations and wins. And many are quick to remind us: “critic’s don’t vote for the Oscars.” So the big question is…why do they matter? The main answer is they create a consensus. Academy Voters have proved time and time again that they love to follow the consensus when it comes time to fill out their own ballots. We have been keeping track of all of the mentions and wins from critics groups throughout the season so far. So, in order to give you some context on where the race stands as of today, we have posted the critics consensus factoring in total mentions/nominations and wins below.

​Click below to check them out.

Keep in mind that while some of these are consensus mentions are certainly enlightening (Sean Baker in Best Director, Apes in Original Score), some are misleading as certain films have already been disqualified thanks to some of the Academy shortlists which were announced (While “The Shape Of Water” has been mentioned by critics groups in Best Makeup the second most, it is no longer eligible to compete for the Oscar). All of the following categories are ranked from most mentions to least and ARE NOT OUR PREDICTIONS.

BEST PICTURE
Get Out
Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
The Shape Of Water
Lady Bird
Dunkirk
The Florida Project
Call Me By Your Name
The Post
Phantom Thread
The Big Sick

BEST DIRECTOR
Guillermo Del Toro – The Shape Of Water
Christopher Nolan – Dunkirk
Jordan Peele – Get Out
Greta Gerwig – Lady Bird
Sean Baker – The Florida Project

BEST ACTOR
Gary Oldman – Darkest Hour
Timothee Chalamet – Call Me By Your Name
James Franco – The Disaster Artist
Daniel Kaluuya – Get Out
Daniel Day Lewis – Phantom Thread

BEST ACTRESS
Sally Hawkins – The Shape Of Water
Frances McDormand – Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Saoirse Ronan – Lady Bird
Margot Robbie – I, Tonya
Jessica Chastain – Molly’s Game

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Laurie Metcalf – Lady Bird
Allison Janney – I, Tonya
Holly Hunter – The Big Sick
Mary J. Blige – Mudbound
Tiffany Haddish – Girls Trip

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Willem Dafoe – The Florida Project
Sam Rockwell – Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Michael Stuhlbarg – Call Me By Your Name
Armie Hammer – Call Me By Your Name
Richard Jenkins – The Shape Of Water

ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
Get Out
Lady Bird
Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
The Big Sick
The Shape Of Water

ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
The Disaster Artist
Call Me By Your Name
Mudbound
Molly’s Game
Blade Runner 2049

BEST FILM EDITING
Baby Driver
Dunkirk
The Shape Of Water
The Post
Blade Runner 2049

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
Blade Runner 2049
Dunkirk
The Shape Of Water
Mudbound
The Florida Project

BEST COSTUME DESIGN
Phantom Thread
Beauty And The Beast
The Shape Of Water
Blade Runner 2049
Murder On The Orient Express

BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN
Blade Runner 2049
The Shape Of Water
Dunkirk
Phantom Thread
Beauty And The Beast

BEST MAKEUP & HAIRSTYLING
Darkest Hour
The Shape Of Water
Phantom Thread

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS
Blade Runner 2049
War For The Planet Of The Apes
The Shape Of Water
Dunkirk
Star Wars: The Last Jedi

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
The Shape Of Water
Blade Runner 2049
Dunkirk
Phantom Thread
War For The Planet Of The Apes

BEST ORIGINAL SONG
Remember Me – Coco
Evermore – Beauty And The Beast
It Ain’t Fair – Detroit 
Stand Up For Something – Marshall
Mystery of Love – Call Me By Your Name

BEST FOREIGN FILM
The Square
BPM (Beats Per Minute)
First They Killed My Father
Thelma
Raw

BEST DOCUMENTARY
Jane
Faces Places
City of Ghosts
Kedi
Step

BEST ANIMATED FILM
Coco
Loving Vincent
The Lego Batman Movie
The Breadwinner
Despicable Me 3

BEST ENSEMBLE
Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
The Post
Mudbound
Get Out
Lady Bird

So what do you think? Is there anything that surprises you with how much or how little critics have come to bat for it? If critics consensus didn’t give you enough guidance, you can check out our updated predictions here.

You can follow Will and hear more of his thoughts on the Oscars and Film on Twitter at @mavericksmovies

Will Mavity
Will Mavityhttps://nextbestpicture.com
Loves Awards Season, analyzing stats & conducting interviews. Hollywood Critics Association Member.

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