Wednesday, November 29, 2023

The 22nd Critics Choice Awards (BFCA) Nominations Predictions

Tomorrow the Broadcast Film Critics (BFCA) will announce their nominations. “Silence,” “Passengers,” and “Rogue One: A Star Wars Story” are the only three films which we can expect to not see tomorrow as they did not screen in time, while everything else is fair game. Expect this to be a major Oscar predictor in many key areas. Some categories have 5 predicted nominees where others have 6. While we don’t know ultimately how many nominees will end up in each category tomorrow, we are going by how many were nominated last year for our predictions this year. We have also chosen to not predict many of the “genre” categories as our focus is primarily aimed at the corresponding Oscar categories. Our full predictions can be found after clicking below. Please feel free to let us know what yours are and anything you hope to see included tomorrow as well as any potential shocking snubs.

BEST PICTURE PREDICTIONS

Matt
1. La La Land
2. Moonlight
3. Manchester By The Sea
4. Fences
5. Arrival
6. Jackie
7. Hell Or High Water
8. Lion
9. Patriot’s Day
10. A Monster Calls
Will
1. La La Land
2. Moonlight
​3. Manchester by the Sea
4.   Jackie
5.   Arrival
6.   Fences
7.  Hell or High Water
8.   Lion
9.   Loving
​10. A Monster Calls
Mike
1. La La Land
2. Manchester By The Sea
3. Moonlight
4. Arrival
5. Fences
6. Lion
7. Hell Or High Water
8. Loving
9. Jackie
10. Live By Night
Kristen
1. La La Land
2. Fences
3. Moonlight
4. Manchester By the Sea
5. Lion
6. Jackie
7. Hell Or High Water
8. Arrival
9. Loving
10. Sully

BEST ACTOR PREDICTIONS

Matt
1. Casey Affleck – Manchester By The Sea
2. Denzel Washington – Fences
3. Tom Hanks – Sully
4. Viggo Mortensen – Captain Fantastic
5. Ryan Gosling – La La Land
6. Michael Keaton – The Founder
Will
1. Casey Affleck – Manchester by the Sea
2. Denzel Washington – Fences
3. Ryan Gosling – La La Land
4. Viggo Mortensen – Captain Fantastic
5. Tom Hanks – Sully
6.  Michael Keaton – The Founder
Mike
1. Casey Affleck – Manchester By The Sea
2. Denzel Washington – Fences
3. Ryan Gosling – La La aLand
4. Tom Hanks – Sully
5. Viggo Mortensen – Captain Fantastic
6. Andrew Garfield – Hacksaw Ridge
Kristen
1. Denzel Washington – Fences
2. Casey Affleck – Manchester By The Sea
3. Viggo Mortensen – Captain Fantastic
4. Ryan Gosling – La La Land
5. Chris Pine – Hell or High Water
6. Tom Hanks – Sully

BEST ACTRESS PREDICTIONS

Matt
1. Emma Stone – La La Land
2. Annette Bening – 20th Century Women
3. Natalie Portman – Jackie
4. Jessica Chastain – Miss Sloane
5. Isabelle Huppert – Elle
6. Amy Adams – Arrival
Will
1. Natalie Portman – Jackie
2. Emma Stone – La La Land
3. Annette Bening – 20th Century Women
4. Ruth Nega – Loving
5. Isabelle Huppert – Elle
​6. Amy Adams – Arrival
Mike
1. Emma Stone – La La Land
2. Natalie Portman – Jackie
3. Annette Bening – 20th Century Women
4. Amy Adams – Arrival
5. Ruth Negga – Lovng
6. Meryl Streep – Florence Foster Jenkins
Kristen
1. Emma Stone – La La Land
2. Annette Bening – 20th Century Women
3. Natalie Portman – Jackie
4. Isabelle Huppert – Elle
5. Ruth Negga – Loving
6. Amy Adams – Arrival

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR PREDICTIONS

Matt
1. Hugh Grant – Florence Foster Jenkins
2. Mahershala Ali – Moonlight
3. Lucas Hedges – Manchester By The Sea
4. Dev Patel – Lion
5. Jeff Bridges – Hell Or High Water
6. Michael Shannon – Nocturnal Animals
Will
1. Mahershala Ali – Moonlight
2. Hugh Grant – Florence Foster Jenkins
3. Dev Patel – Lion
4. Lucas Hedges – Manchester by the Sea
5. Jeff Bridges – Hell or Hightwater
6.  Michael Shannon – Nocturnal Animals
Mike
1. Jeff Bridges – Hell Or High Water
2. Dev Patel – Lion
3. Hugh Grant – Florence Foster Jenkins
4. Mahershala Ali – Moonlight
5. Michael Shannon – Nocturnal Animals
6. Lucas Hedges – Manchester By The Sea
Kristen
1. Hugh Grant – Florence Foster Jenkins
2. Mahershala Ali – Moonlight
3. Dev Patel – Lion
4. Mykelti Williamson – Fences
5. Jeff Bridges – Hell Or High Water
6. Lucas Hedges – Manchester By the Sea

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS PREDICTIONS

Matt
1. Viola Davis – Fences
2. Michelle Williams – Manchester By The Sea
3. Naomie Harris – Moonlight
4. Nicole Kidman – Lion
5. Greta Gerwig – 20th Century Women
6. Felicity Jones – A Monster Calls
Will
1. Viola Davis – Fences
2.  Naomi Harris – Moonlight
3. Michelle Williams – Manchester By The Sea
4. Nicole Kidman – Lion
5. Greta Gerwig – 20th Century Women
6. Janelle Monae – Hidden Figures
Mike
1. Viola Davis – Fences
2. Michelle Williams – Manchester By The Sea
3. Naomie Harris – Moonlight
4. Nicole Kidman – Lion
5. Greta Gerwig – 20th Century Women
6. Molly Shannon – Other People
Kristen
1. Viola Davis – Fences
2. Michelle Williams – Manchester By The Sea
3. Naomie Harris – Moonlight
4. Nicole Kidman – Lion
5. Greta Gerwig – 20th Century Women
6. Molly Shannon – Other People

BEST ACTING ENSEMBLE

Matt
1. Fences
2. Moonlight
3. Manchester By The Sea
4. Patriot’s Day
5. Nocturnal Animals
Will
1. Fences
2. Moonlight
3. Jackie
4. Manchester by the Sea
5. Hell or High Water
Mike
1. Fences
2. Moonlight
3. Manchester By The Sea
4. La La Land
5. Patriots Day
Kristen
1. Fences
2. Moonlight
3. Manchester By The Sea
4. Lion
5. La La Land

BEST DIRECTOR

Matt
1. Damien Chazelle – La La Land
2. Barry Jenkins – Moonlight
3. Kenneth Lonergan – Manchester By The Sea
4. Denis Villeneuve – Arrival
5. Pablo Larrain – Jackie
6. Peter Berg – Patriot’s Day
Will
1. Damien Chazelle – La La Land
2. Barry Jenkins – Moonlight
3. Pablo Larrain – Jackie
4. Kenneth Lonergan – Manchester by the Sea
5. Denis Villeneuve – Arrival
6. Denzel Washington – Fences
Mike
1. Damien Chazelle – La La Land
2. Pablo Larrain – Jackie
3. Barry Jenkins – Moonlight
4. Denis Villeniueve – Arrival
5. Kenneth Lonergan – Manchester By The Sea
6. Denzel Washington – Fences
Kristen
1. Damien Chazelle – La La Land
2. Barry Jenkins – Moonlight
3. Kenneth Lonergan – Manchester By The Sea
4. Garth Davis – Lion
5. Pablo Larrain – Jackie
6. Denis Villenueve – Arrival

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

Matt
1. Manchester By The Sea
2. Moonlight
3. 20th Century Women
4. La La Land
5. Hell Or High Water
Will
1. Moonlight
2. Manchester by the Sea
3. La La Land
4. Jackie
5. Hell or High Water
Mike
1. La La Land
2. Manchester By The Sea
3. Moonlight
4. Hell Or High Water
5. 20th Century Women
Kristen
1. Manchester By The Sea
2. Moonlight
3. 20th Century Women
4. La La Land
5. The Lobster

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

Matt
1. Fences
2. Arrival
3. Lion
4. Nocturnal Animals
5. Hidden Figures
Will
1. Fences
2. Arrival
3. Lion 
4. Hidden Figures
5. Sully
Mike
1. Fences
2. Lion
3. Live By Night
4. Arrival
5. Nocturnal Animals
Kristen
1. Fences
2. Arrival
3. Lion
4. Nocturnal Animals
5. Hidden Figures

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY

Matt
1. La La Land
2. Moonlight
3. Arrival
4. Jackie
5. Live By Night
6. Rules Don’t Apply
Will
1. La La Land
2. Arrival
3. Jackie
4. Live By Night
5. Moonlight
6. Rules Don’t Apply
Mike
1. Live By Night
2. Jackie
3. La La Land
4. Arrival
5. Nocturnal Animals
6. Moonlight
Kristen
1. La La Land
2. Moonlight
3. Arrival
4. Jackie
5. Hail, Caesar
6. Lion

BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN

Matt
1. Live By Night
2. La La Land
3. Arrival
4. A Monster Calls
5. Allied
6. Fantastic Beasts & Where To Find Them
Will
1. La La Land
2. Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them
3. Live By Night
4. Allied
5. Arrival
6. Hail, Caesar!
Mike
1. Fantastic Beasts And Where To Find Them
2. Live By Night
3. La La Land
4. Florence Foster Jenkins
5. Arrival
6. Hail, Caesar!
Kristen
1. Live By Night
2. La La Land
3. Arrival
4. Jackie
5. Love & Friendship
6. Fantastic Beasts & Where To Find Them

BEST EDITING

Matt
1. La La Land
2. Live By Night
3. Patriot’s Day
4. Jackie
5. Arrival
Will
1. La La Land
2. Lion
3. Jackie
4. Arrival
5. Hell or High Water
Mike
1. Moonlight
2. La La Land
3. Manchester By The Sea
4. Arrival
5. Jackie
Kristen
1. La La Land
2. Lion
3. Fences
4. Jackie
5. Arrival

BEST COSTUME DESIGN

Matt
1. La La Land
2. Live By Night
3. Rules Don’t Apply
4. Jackie
5. Florence Foster Jenkins
Will
1. Jackie
2. Florence Foster Jenkins
3. Allied
4. Love & Friendship
5. Rules Don’t Apply
Mike
1. Allied
2. Florence Foster Jenkins
3. La La Land
4. Live By Night
5. Fantastic Beasts And Where To Find Them
Kristen
1. La La land
2. Live By Night
3. Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them
4. Jackie
5. Allied

BEST HAIR & MAKEUP

Matt
1. Hacksaw Ridge
2. Jackie
3. Fantastic Beasts & Where To Find Them
4. Florence Foster Jenkins
5. Star Trek Beyond
6. Doctor Strange
Will
1. Jackie
2. Hacksaw Ridge
3. Hidden Figures
4. Deadpool
5. Florence Foster Jenkins
6. Doctor Strange
Mike
1. Star Trek Beyond
2. Doctor Strange
3. Jackie
4. Hacksaw Ridge
5. Florence Foster Jenkins
6. Fantastic Beasts And Where To Find Them
Kristen
1. Hacksaw Ridge
2. Jackie
3. Fantastic Beasts & Where To Find Them
4. Florence Foster Jenkins
5. Nocturnal Animals
6. Suicide Squad

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS

Matt
1. The Jungle Book
2. Doctor Strange
3. Arrival
4. Captain America: Civil War
5. Fantastic Beasts & Where To Find Them
6. A Monster Calls
Will
1. The Jungle Book
2. Doctor Strange
3. Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them
4. Arrival
5. Captain America: Civil War
6. A Monster Calls
Mike
1. Fantastic Beasts And Where To Find Them
2. The Jungle Book
3. Doctor Strange
4. Star Trek Beyond
5. The BFG
6. Captain America: Civil War
Kristen
1. The Jungle Book
2. Allied
3. Arrival
4. Rogue One
5. Fantastic Beasts & Where To Find Them
6. A Monster Calls

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE

Matt
1. Zootopia
2. Moana
3. Kubo & The Two Strings
4. Finding Dory
5. Sausage Party
Will
1. Zootopia
2. Moana
3. Kubo and the Two Strings
4. Sausage Party
5. The Red Turtle
Mike
1. Zootopia
2. Moana
3. Kubo and The Two String
4. Finding Dory
5. The Red Turtle
Kristen
1. Zootopia
2. Moana
3. Kubo & The Two Strings
4. The Red Turtle
5. Trolls

BEST SONG

Matt
1. Audition – La La Land
2. We Know The Way – Moana
3. City Of Stars – La La Land
4. How Far Ill Go – Moana
5. The Great Beyond – Sausage Party
6. Never Give Up – Lion
Will
1. City of Stars – La La Land
2. We Know the Way – Moana
3.Audition – La La Land
4. The Great Beyond – Sausage Party
5. Never Give Up – Lion
6. I See Victory – Hidden Figures
Mike
1. City Of Stars – La La Land
2. Drive It Like You Stole It – Sing Street
3. Audition – La La Land
4. How Far I’ll Go – Moana
5. We Know The Way – Moana
6. I See Victory – Hidden Figures
Kristen
1. Audition – La La Land
2. We Know The Way – Moana
3. Can’t Stop the Feeling – Trolls
4. How Far Ill Go – Moana
5. I See Victory – Hidden Figures
6. City of Stars – La La Land

BEST SCORE

Matt
1. Arrival
2. Jackie
3. Patriot’s Day
4. La La Land
5. Moonlight
Will
1. Jackie
2. Arrival
3. Moana
4. La La Land
5. The Jungle Book
Mike
1. Florence Foster Jenkins
2. Jackie
3. La La Land
4. Arrival
5. The BFG
Kristen
1. Arrival
2. Jackie
3. Rogue One: A Star Wars Story
4. La La Land
5. Moonlight

You can follow Matt, Will, Michael & Kristen and hear more of their thoughts on the Oscars and Film on Twitter at @NextBestPicture@mavericksmovies@mikemovie & @Journeys_Film

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Matt Neglia
Matt Negliahttps://nextbestpicture.com/
Obsessed about the Oscars, Criterion Collection and all things film 24/7. Critics Choice Member.

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