Saturday, November 26, 2022

Our Final 2022 Oscar Nomination Predictions

By Matt Neglia 

It’s time. After months and months of deliberating, discussing and dissecting, the nominations for the 94th Academy Awards will be announced this Tuesday morning, hosted by Tracee Ellis Ross and Leslie Jordan. The nominations will begin at 8:18am EST and the second half of the announcements will start at 8:31am EST. We, the Next Best Picture team, have finalized our predictions and have them presented to you down below, (our final group consensus picks can still be found on the individual Oscar Prediction Pages). If you want additional context, you can listen to our in-depth podcast where we will talk about our final nomination predictions in more detail this Sunday (episode is now live)!

Click below to see our final predictions.


Predictions are provided by: Casey Lee Clark, Cody Dericks, Dan Bayer, Daniel Howat, Danilo Castro, Ema Sasic, Josh Parham, Matt Neglia, Nicole Ackman, Tom O’Brien, Will Mavity & Zach Gilbert

​Best Picture
Belfast ALL
CODA ALL
Don’t Look Up ALL
Dune ALL
King Richard ALL
Licorice Pizza ALL
The Power of the Dog ALL
West Side Story ALL

​​Being The Ricardos Casey, Cody, Dan, Daniel, Danilo, Ema, Josh, Tom & Will
Drive My CarCasey, Ema, Josh, Matt, Tom & Zach
Tick, Tick… Boom! Dan, Daniel, Matt, Nicole, Will & Zach
House of Gucci Cody, Danilo & Nicole

Best Director
Jane Campion – The Power of the Dog ALL
Denis Villeneuve – Dune ALL

Kenneth Branagh – Belfast Cody, Dan, Daniel, Danilo, Ema, Josh, Matt, Nicole, Tom, Will & Zach
Ryûsuke Hamaguchi – Drive My Car Casey, Cody, Dan, Daniel, Danilo, Ema, Josh, Matt, Tom, Will & Zach
Paul Thomas Anderson – Licorice Pizza Casey, Dan, Danilo, Josh, Matt, Nicole, Tom, Will & Zach
Steven Spielberg – West Side Story Casey, Cody, Ema & Nicole
Adam McKay – Don’t Look UpDaniel

Best Actress
Nicole Kidman – Being The Ricardos ALL
Lady Gaga – House of Gucci ALL

Olivia Colman – The Lost Daughter Casey, Cody, Dan, Ema, Josh, Nicole, Tom, Will & Zach
Jessica Chastain – The Eyes of Tammy Faye Cody, Dan, Daniel, Danilo, Josh, Matt, Nicole, Tom & Will
Alana Haim – Licorice Pizza Casey, Cody, Dan, Danilo, Matt, Tom & Zach
Kristen Stewart – Spencer Casey, Daniel, Danilo, Ema & Nicole
Renate Reinsve – The Worst Person in the World Ema, Josh, Matt & Zach
Penelope Cruz – Parallel Mothers Daniel & Will

Best Actor
Will Smith – King Richard ALL
Benedict Cumberbatch – The Power of the Dog ALL
Andrew Garfield – Tick, Tick…Boom! ALL
Denzel Washington – The Tragedy of Macbeth ALL

Leonardo DiCaprio – Don’t Look UpCasey, Daniel, Danilo, Ema, Josh, Nicole, Will & Zach
Javier Bardem – Being The RicardosDan & Tom
Nicolas Cage – Pig Cody
Peter Dinklage – Cyrano Matt

​Best Supporting Actress
​​​​Ariana DeBose – West Side Story ALL
Caitríona Balfe – Belfast ALL
Kirsten Dunst – The Power of the Dog ALL
Aunjanue Ellis – King Richard ALL
Ruth Negga – Passing ALL

Best Supporting Actor
Kodi Smit-McPhee – The Power of the Dog ALL
Troy Kotsur – CODA ALL
Ciarán Hinds – Belfast ALL
Jared Leto – House of Gucci ALL

Bradley Cooper – Licorice Pizza Casey, Cody, Daniel, Danilo, Josh, Matt, Tom, Will & Zach
Ben Affleck – The Tender Bar Dan & Nicole
Jesse Plemons – The Power of the Dog Ema

Best Original Screenplay
Belfast ALL
Licorice Pizza ALL
Don’t Look Up ALL

King Richard Cody, Dan, Daniel, Danilo, Ema, Josh, Matt, Nicole, Tom, Will & Zach
Being The Ricardos Casey, Cody, Dan, Daniel, Danilo, Ema, Matt, Nicole, Tom & Zach
Pig Casey & Josh
Parallel Mothers Will

Best Adapted Screenplay
The Power of the Dog ALL
CODA ALL
The Lost Daughter ALL

Drive My Car Casey, Cody, Daniel, Danilo, Ema, Josh, Matt, Tom, Will & Zach
West Side Story Casey, Cody, Dan, Daniel, Ema, Josh, Nicole & Tom
Dune Dan, Danilo, Matt, Nicole, Will & Zach

Best Animated Feature
Encanto ALL
Luca ALL

Flee Casey, Cody, Dan, Daniel, Danilo, Ema, Matt, Nicole, Tom, Will & Zach
The Mitchells vs. the Machines Casey, Daniel, Danilo, Ema, Josh, Matt, Tom, Will & Zach
Raya and the Last Dragon Cody, Danilo, Josh, Matt, Nicole, Tom, Will & Zach
Belle Cody, Dan, Daniel, Ema, Josh & Nicole
The Summit Of The Gods Casey & Dan

Best Documentary Feature
​​Flee ALL
The Rescue ALL

Procession Casey, Cody, Daniel, Danilo, Ema, Josh, Matt, Nicole, Tom, Will & Zach
Ascension Daniel, Danilo, Josh, Matt, Nicole, Will & Zach
Summer of SoulCasey, Cody, Dan & Ema
President Dan, Danilo, Matt & Tom
Faya Dayi Josh, Nicole, Tom & Will
The First Wave Casey, Ema & Zach
AtticaCody, Dan & Daniel

Best International Feature
Drive My Car ALL
The Worst Person in the World ALL

A Hero Casey, Cody, Dan, Daniel, Danilo, Ema, Matt, Nicole, Tom, Will & Zach
Flee Casey, Dan, Daniel, Danilo, Ema, Josh, Matt, Nicole, Tom & Will
The Hand of God Cody, Dan, Danilo, Ema, Josh, Matt, Nicole, Tom, Will & Zach
Prayers For The Stolen Casey, Daniel & Zach
I’m Your Man Josh
Compartment No. 6Cody

Best Cinematography
Dune ALL
The Tragedy Of Macbeth ALL
The Power of the Dog ALL
Belfast ALL

West Side Story Casey, Cody, Dan, Daniel, Danilo, Ema, Josh, Nicole & Will
Nightmare Alley Matt, Tom & Zach

Best Costume Design
Cruella ALL
Dune ALL

West Side StoryCasey, Cody, Dan, Daniel, Danilo, Ema, Josh, Nicole, Tom & Will
House of GucciCasey, Cody, Dan, Daniel, Danilo, Ema, Matt, Nicole, Tom & Zach
CyranoCasey, Cody, Dan, Daniel, Josh, Matt, Nicole, Tom, Will & Zach
Nightmare AlleyDanilo, Matt, Will & Zach
SpencerEma
Licorice PizzaJosh

Best Film Editing
Dune ALL
Belfast ALL

The Power of the DogCasey, Cody, Dan, Daniel, Danilo, Ema, Josh, Nicole, Tom, Will & Zach
Don’t Look UpCody, Dan, Josh, Matt, Nicole, Tom, Will & Zach
Licorice PizzaCasey, Cody, Danilo, Matt, Tom, Will & Zach
West Side Story – ​Casey, Daniel, Ema & Nicole
King RichardDaniel, Danilo & Ema
No Time To Die Josh & Matt
Tick, Tick…Boom! Nicole
The French DispatchDan

Best Makeup & Hairstyling
​​​​Dune ALL
House of Gucci ALL
The Eyes of Tammy Faye ALL

CruellaCasey, Cody, Dan, Daniel, Danilo, Ema, Josh, Matt, Nicole, Tom & Zach
Cyrano Casey, Cody, Dan, Daniel, Danilo, Josh, Nicole, Tom, Will & Zach
Coming 2 AmericaMatt
The Suicide Squad Will
West Side StoryEma

Best Production Design
Nightmare Alley ALL
Dune ALL
West Side Story ALL
The French Dispatch ALL

The Tragedy of MacbethDan, Josh, Matt, Tom & Will
BelfastCody, Daniel, Danilo & Nicole
Being the Ricardos Ema
CyranoZach
CruellaCasey

Best Sound
​​​​Dune ALL
West Side Story ALL
No Time to Die ALL
Belfast ALL

Spider-Man: No Way HomeCasey, Ema, Josh, Matt, Tom, Will & Zach
A Quiet Place Part II Cody, Dan & Daniel
Tick, Tick… Boom!Danilo & Nicole

Best Visual Effects
Dune ALL
No Time to Die ALL
Shang-Chi And The Legend Of The Ten Rings ALL

The Matrix ResurrectionsCasey, Cody, Dan, Danilo, Josh, Matt, Nicole, Tom, Will & Zach
Ghostbusters: Afterlife Cody, Daniel, Danilo, Josh, Matt, Tom & Will
Spider-Man: No Way HomeCasey, Daniel, Danilo, Ema & Nicole
Free Guy Dan & Ema
Godzilla vs. KongZach

Best Original Score
​​Dune ALL
The Power Of The Dog ALL
Don’t Look Up ALL
The French Dispatch ALL

Encanto Cody, Daniel, Danilo, Josh, Matt, Nicole & Tom
Parallel MothersCasey, Dan, Ema, Will & Zach

Best Original Song
“No Time to Die” – No Time to Die ALL
“Be Alive” – King Richard ALL
“Dos Oruguitas” – Encanto ALL

“Down to Joy” – Belfast Dan, Daniel, Danilo, Ema, Josh, Matt, Nicole, Will & Zach
“Beyond the Shore” – CODA Casey, Cody, Daniel, Ema, Josh, Matt, Nicole, Tom & Will
“Guns Go Bang” – The Harder They Fall Cody & Danilo
“So May We Start” – Annette Casey & Dan
“Just Look Up” – Don’t Look Up Zach
“Here I Am” – Respect Tom

So what do you think of our predictions? Let us know your thoughts in the comments section below or on our Twitter account. You can find our team’s detailed predictions organized by category here and be sure to listen to our latest episode of the Next Best Picture Podcast this Sunday where we will go over our predictions in detail.

​You can follow Matt and hear more of his thoughts on the Oscars and Film on Twitter at @NextBestPicture

Matt Neglia
Matt Negliahttps://nextbestpicture.com/
Obsessed about the Oscars, Criterion Collection and all things film 24/7. Critics Choice Member.

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