Oscar Predictions – Tom O’Brien

Here are Tom O’Brien’s 2025 Oscar Predictions. Ranking is updated in real-time, and is constantly changing until the end of the year. Accuracy will be calculated after the winners are announced at The 97th Annual Academy Awards.

Click each heading to view individual staff rankings, or search/sort by the drop-downs below:

Best Picture

Tom O'Brien
1ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER
2SINNERS
3HAMNET
4SENTIMENTAL VALUE
5MARTY SUPREME
6IT WAS JUST AN ACCIDENT
7FRANKENSTEIN
8JAY KELLY
9TRAIN DREAMS
10WICKED: FOR GOODNEW

 
 

Last Updated:

12/4/2025 8:35 PM


 
 

Best Director

Tom O'Brien
1Paul Thomas Anderson (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER)
2Chloé Zhao (HAMNET)
3Ryan Coogler (SINNERS)
4Joachim Trier (SENTIMENTAL VALUE)
5Jafar Panahi (IT WAS JUST AN ACCIDENT)
6Josh Safdie (MARTY SUPREME)
7Park Chan-wook (NO OTHER CHOICE)
8Guillermo Del Toro (FRANKENSTEIN)
9Kleber Mendonça Filho (THE SECRET AGENT)
10Clint Bentley (TRAIN DREAMS)NEW

 
 

Last Updated:

12/4/2025 8:35 PM


 
 

Best Actress

Tom O'Brien
1Jessie Buckley (HAMNET)
2Renate Reinsve (SENTIMENTAL VALUE)
3Rose Byrne (IF I HAD LEGS I'D KICK YOU)â–² 3
4Amanda Seyfried (THE TESTAMENT OF ANN LEE)â–¼ 1
5Chase Infiniti (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER)
6Cynthia Erivo (WICKED: FOR GOOD)â–¼ 2
7Kate Hudson (SONG SUNG BLUE)
8Emma Stone (BUGONIA)
9Tessa Thompson (HEDDA)
10Jennifer Lawrence (DIE, MY LOVE)

 
 

Last Updated:

12/13/2025 3:21 PM


 
 

Best Actor

Tom O'Brien
1Leonardo DiCaprio (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER)â–² 1
2Timothée Chalamet (MARTY SUPREME)▼ 1
3Ethan Hawke (BLUE MOON)
4Wagner Moura (THE SECRET AGENT)
5Joel Edgerton (TRAIN DREAMS)
6Jeremy Allen White (SPRINGSTEEN: DELIVER ME FROM NOWHERE)
7George Clooney (JAY KELLY)
8Michael B. Jordan (SINNERS)
9Dwayne Johnson (THE SMASHING MACHINE)
10Daniel Day Lewis (ANEMONE)

 
 

Last Updated:

12/11/2025 11:50 AM


 
 

Best Supporting Actress

Tom O'Brien
1Teyana Taylor (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER)
2Ariana Grande (WICKED: FOR GOOD)
3Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas (SENTIMENTAL VALUE)
4Amy Madigan (WEAPONS)â–² 2
5Elle Fanning (SENTIMENTAL VALUE)
6Wunmi Mosaku (SINNERS)â–² 3
7Odessa Azion (MARTY SUPREME)
8Gwyneth Paltrow (MARTY SUPREME)â–¼ 4
9Emily Blunt (THE SMASHING MACHINE)NEW
10Emily Watson (HAMNET)

 
 

Last Updated:

12/13/2025 3:21 PM


 
 

Best Supporting Actor

Tom O'Brien
1Stellan Skarsgård (SENTIMENTAL VALUE)
2Benicio Del Toro (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER)â–² 2
3Sean Penn (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER)â–¼ 1
4Adam Sandler (JAY KELLY)â–¼ 1
5Paul Mescal (HAMNET)
6Jacob Elordi (FRANKENSTEIN)â–² 1
7Andrew Scott (BLUE MOON)â–² 1
8Delroy Lindo (SINNERS)â–² 2
9William H. Macy (TRAIN DREAMS)
10Jeremy Strong (SPRINGSTEEN: DELIVER ME FROM NOWHERE)â–¼ 4

 
 

Last Updated:

12/7/2025 6:21 PM


 
 

Best Adapted Screenplay

Tom O'Brien
1ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER (Paul Thomas Anderson)
2HAMNET (Maggie O’Farrell & Chloe Zhao)
3TRAIN DREAMS (Clint Bentley & Greg Kwedar)
4FRANKENSTEIN (Guillermo Del Toro)â–² 4
5BUGONIA (Will Tracy)â–¼ 1
6WAKE UP DEAD MAN: A KNIVES OUT MYSTERY (Rian Johnson)â–¼ 1
7NO OTHER CHOICE (Lee Ja-hye, Lee Kyoung-mi, Park Chan-wook & Don McKellar)
8SPRINGSTEEN: DELIVER ME FROM NOWHERE (Scott Cooper)â–¼ 2
9NUREMBERG (James Vanderbilt)
10HEDDA (Nia DaCosta)NEW

 
 

Last Updated:

12/13/2025 3:21 PM


 
 

Best Original Screenplay

Tom O'Brien
1IT WAS JUST AN ACCIDENT (Jafar Panahi, Nader Saeivar, Shadmehr Rastin, Mehdi Mahmoudian)
2SINNERS (Ryan Coogler)
3SENTIMENTAL VALUE (Joachim Trier & Eskil Vogt)
4JAY KELLY (Noah Baumbach & Emily Mortimer)
5MARTY SUPREME (Ronald Bronstein & Josh Safdie)
6BLUE MOON (Robert Kaplow)
7IS THIS THING ON? (Will Arnett, Mark Chappell, Bradley Cooper, John Bishop)
8SORRY BABY (Eva Victor)
9THE SECRET AGENT (Kleber Mendonça Filho)NEW
10THE TESTAMENT OF ANN LEE (Brady Corbet & Mona Fastvold)

 
 

Last Updated:

12/13/2025 3:21 PM


 
 

Best Animated Feature

Tom O'Brien
1KPOP DEMON HUNTERS
2ZOOTOPIA 2
3ARCO
4LITTLE AMÉLIE OR THE CHARACTER OF RAIN
5ELIO
6SCARLET
7IN YOUR DREAMS
8DOG OF GODNEW
9A MAGNIFICENT LIFE
10ENDLESS COOKIE

 
 

Last Updated:

11/23/2025 12:05 PM


 
 

Best Documentary Feature

Tom O'Brien
1THE PERFECT NEIGHBOR
2PUT YOUR SOUL ON YOUR HAND AND WALK
32000 METERS TO ANDRIIVKA
4THE ALABAMA SOLUTION
5THE TALE OF SILYAN
6MY UNDESIRABLE FRIENDS: PART I - LAST AIR IN MOSCOWNEW
7APOCALYPSE IN THE TROPICSâ–¼ 1
8MR. NOBODY AGAINST PUTIN
9COVER-UPNEW
10ORWELL 2+2=5

 
 

Last Updated:

12/13/2025 4:06 PM


 
 

Best International Feature

Tom O'Brien
1IT WAS JUST AN ACCIDENT (France)â–² 1
2SENTIMENTAL VALUE (Norway)â–¼ 1
3THE SECRET AGENT (Brazil)
4THE VOICE OF HIND RAJAB (Tunisia)
5THE PRESIDENT'S CAKE (Iraq)
6NO OTHER CHOICE (South Korea)
7SOUND OF FALLING (Germany)
8THE LOVE THAT REMAINS (Iceland)
9SIRÄ€T (Spain)
10LEFT-HANDED GIRL (Taiwan)NEW

 
 

Last Updated:

12/3/2025 2:50 PM


 
 

Best Casting

Tom O'Brien
1Francine Maisler (SINNERS)
2Cassandra Kulukundis (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER)
3Jennifer Venditti (MARTY SUPREME)â–² 1
4Yngvill Kolset Haga & Avy Kaufman (SENTIMENTAL VALUE)â–² 5
5Nina Gold (HAMNET)NEW
6Tiffany Little Canfield & Bernard Telsey (WICKED: FOR GOOD)â–¼ 1
7Douglas Aibel & Nina Gold (JAY KELLY)â–¼ 1
8Bret Howe & Mary Vernieu (WAKE UP DEAD MAN: A KNIVES OUT MYSTERY)â–¼ 1
9Robin D. Cook (FRANKENSTEIN)â–¼ 1
10Anna Kennedy, John Papsidera & Suse Marquardt (NUREMBERG)NEW

 
 

Last Updated:

12/13/2025 3:50 PM


 
 

Best Cinematography

Tom O'Brien
1SINNERS (Autumn Durald Arkapaw)
2HAMNET (Lukasz Zal)
3ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER (Michael Bauman)
4FRANKENSTEIN (Dan Laustsen)
5TRAIN DREAMS (Adolpho Veloso)â–² 3
6MARTY SUPREME (Darius Khondji)â–² 3
7F1 (Claudio Miranda)â–² 3
8JAY KELLY (Linus Sandgren)â–¼ 1
9THE TESTAMENT OF ANN LEE (William Rexer)NEW
10AVATAR: FIRE AND ASH (Russell Carpenter)â–¼ 5

 
 

Last Updated:

12/13/2025 4:06 PM


 
 

Best Costume Design

Tom O'Brien
1WICKED: FOR GOOD
2FRANKENSTEIN
3SINNERS
4KISS OF THE SPIDER WOMAN
5HAMNET
6THE TESTAMENT OF ANN LEE
7MARTY SUPREME
8ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHERNEW
9SNOW WHITE
10HEDDANEW

 
 

Last Updated:

12/13/2025 4:06 PM


 
 

Best Film Editing

Tom O'Brien
1ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER
2SINNERS
3MARTY SUPREME
4F1â–² 4
5IT WAS JUST AN ACCIDENTNEW
6SENTIMENTAL VALUEâ–¼ 2
7HAMNETNEW
8AVATAR: FIRE AND ASHNEW
9NO OTHER CHOICEâ–¼ 4
10FRANKENSTEINNEW

 
 

Last Updated:

12/13/2025 4:06 PM


 
 

Best Makeup and Hairstyling

Tom O'Brien
1FRANKENSTEIN
2WICKED: FOR GOOD
3SINNERS
4THE SMASHING MACHINE
528 YEARS LATER
6WEAPONSNEW
7BUGONIA
8BLUE MOONNEW
9KISS OF THE SPIDER WOMAN
10WOLF MANNEW

 
 

Last Updated:

12/13/2025 4:21 PM


 
 

Best Production Design

Tom O'Brien
1FRANKENSTEINâ–² 1
2WICKED: FOR GOODâ–¼ 1
3MARTY SUPREMEâ–² 3
4HAMNET
5SINNERSâ–¼ 2
6AVATAR: FIRE AND ASHâ–¼ 1
7THE PHOENICIAN SCHEME
8THE TESTAMENT OF ANN LEEâ–² 1
9THE FANTASTIC FOUR: FIRST STEPSNEW
10NUREMBERGNEW

 
 

Last Updated:

12/13/2025 4:06 PM


 
 

Best Original Score

Tom O'Brien
1SINNERS (Ludwig Göransson)
2ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER (Jonny Greenwood)
3HAMNET (Max Richter)
4MARTY SUPREME (Daniel Lopatin)
5FRANKENSTEIN (Alexandre Desplat)â–² 4
6
7JAY KELLY (Nicholas Britell)â–¼ 2
8SIRÄ€T (Kangding Ray)NEW
9TRAIN DREAMS (Bryce Dessner)NEW
10SENTIMENTAL VALUE (Hania Rani)â–¼ 3

 
 

Last Updated:

12/13/2025 4:21 PM


 
 

Best Original Song

Tom O'Brien
1"Golden" (KPOP DEMON HUNTERS)
2"I Lied to You" (SINNERS)
3"The Girl in the Bubble" (WICKED FOR GOOD)
4"Dear Me" (DIANE WARREN: RELENTLESS)
5"Train Dreams" (TRAIN DREAMS)
6"Clothed By The Sun" (THE TESTAMENT OF ANN LEE)
7"No Place Like Home" (WICKED FOR GOOD)
8"Last Time (I Seen the Sun)" (SINNERS)
9"Highest 2 Lowest" (HIGHEST 2 LOWEST)â–² 1
10"Salt Then Sour Then Sweet" (COME SEE ME IN THE GOOD LIGHT)NEW

 
 

Last Updated:

12/13/2025 4:21 PM


 
 

Best Sound

Tom O'Brien
1SINNERSâ–² 1
2F1â–² 1
3ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHERâ–² 2
4AVATAR: FIRE AND ASH
5FRANKENSTEINâ–² 2
6SUPERMANNEW
7WICKED: FOR GOODâ–¼ 6
8WARFAREâ–² 1
9SIRATNEW
10HOW TO TRAIN YOUR DRAGONNEW

 
 

Last Updated:

12/13/2025 4:21 PM


 
 

Best Visual Effects

Tom O'Brien
1AVATAR: FIRE AND ASH
2F1â–² 2
3MICKEY 17â–² 2
4SUPERMANâ–¼ 1
5MISSION: IMPOSSIBLE - THE FINAL RECKONINGâ–² 4
6FRANKENSTEIN
7THE LOST BUS
8WICKED: FOR GOODâ–¼ 6
9THE FANTASTIC FOUR: FIRST STEPSNEW
10HOW TO TRAIN YOUR DRAGONâ–¼ 2

 
 

Last Updated:

12/13/2025 4:21 PM


 
 

Best Animated Short Film

Tom O'Brien
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10

 
 

Last Updated:



 
 

Best Documentary Short Film

Tom O'Brien
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10

 
 

Last Updated:



 
 

Best Live Action Short Film

Tom O'Brien
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10

 
 

Last Updated: