Oscar Predictions – Tom O’Brien

Here are Tom O’Brien’s 2025 Oscar Predictions. Ranking is updated in real-time, and is constantly changing until the end of the year. Accuracy will be calculated after the winners are announced at The 97th Annual Academy Awards.

Click each heading to view individual staff rankings, or search/sort by the drop-downs below:

Best Picture

Tom O'Brien
1ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER
2SINNERS
3HAMNET
4SENTIMENTAL VALUEâ–² 2
5MARTY SUPREMEâ–¼ 1
6FRANKENSTEINâ–¼ 1
7THE SECRET AGENTâ–² 1
8TRAIN DREAMSâ–² 1
9BUGONIAâ–¼ 2
10F1

 
 

Last Updated:

3/3/2026 2:21 AM


 
 

Best Director

Tom O'Brien
1Paul Thomas Anderson (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER)
2Ryan Coogler (SINNERS)
3Joachim Trier (SENTIMENTAL VALUE)â–² 1
4Chloé Zhao (HAMNET)▼ 1
5Josh Safdie (MARTY SUPREME)

 
 

Last Updated:

3/3/2026 2:21 AM


 
 

Best Actress

Tom O'Brien
1Jessie Buckley (HAMNET)
2Rose Byrne (IF I HAD LEGS I'D KICK YOU)
3Renate Reinsve (SENTIMENTAL VALUE)
4Emma Stone (BUGONIA)â–² 3
5Kate Hudson (SONG SUNG BLUE)

 
 

Last Updated:

1/17/2026 12:20 AM


 
 

Best Actor

Tom O'Brien
1Michael B. Jordan (SINNERS)â–² 3
2Wagner Moura (THE SECRET AGENT)â–² 3
3Timothée Chalamet (MARTY SUPREME)▼ 2
4Leonardo DiCaprio (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER)â–¼ 2
5Ethan Hawke (BLUE MOON)â–¼ 2

 
 

Last Updated:

3/3/2026 2:21 AM


 
 

Best Supporting Actress

Tom O'Brien
1Teyana Taylor (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER)
2Amy Madigan (WEAPONS)â–² 2
3Wunmi Mosaku (SINNERS)â–¼ 1
4Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas (SENTIMENTAL VALUE)â–¼ 1
5Elle Fanning (SENTIMENTAL VALUE)

 
 

Last Updated:

3/3/2026 2:21 AM


 
 

Best Supporting Actor

Tom O'Brien
1Sean Penn (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER)â–² 2
2Stellan Skarsgård (SENTIMENTAL VALUE)▼ 1
3Jacob Elordi (FRANKENSTEIN)â–² 1
4Delroy Lindo (SINNERS)â–² 1
5Benicio Del Toro (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER)â–¼ 3

 
 

Last Updated:

2/25/2026 10:35 PM


 
 

Best Adapted Screenplay

Tom O'Brien
1ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER (Paul Thomas Anderson)
2HAMNET (Maggie O’Farrell & Chloe Zhao)
3TRAIN DREAMS (Clint Bentley & Greg Kwedar)
4FRANKENSTEIN (Guillermo Del Toro)
5BUGONIA (Will Tracy)

 
 

Last Updated:

1/18/2026 3:35 PM


 
 

Best Original Screenplay

Tom O'Brien
1SINNERS (Ryan Coogler)â–² 1
2SENTIMENTAL VALUE (Joachim Trier & Eskil Vogt)â–² 1
3MARTY SUPREME (Ronald Bronstein & Josh Safdie)â–² 1
4IT WAS JUST AN ACCIDENT (Jafar Panahi, Nader Saeivar, Shadmehr Rastin, Mehdi Mahmoudian)â–¼ 3
5BLUE MOON (Robert Kaplow)

 
 

Last Updated:

1/23/2026 1:51 AM


 
 

Best Animated Feature

Tom O'Brien
1KPOP DEMON HUNTERS
2ZOOTOPIA 2
3ARCO
4LITTLE AMÉLIE OR THE CHARACTER OF RAIN
5ELIO

 
 

Last Updated:

12/16/2025 2:51 PM


 
 

Best Documentary Feature

Tom O'Brien
1THE PERFECT NEIGHBOR
2MR. NOBODY AGAINST PUTINâ–² 2
3CUTTING THROUGH ROCKS
4COME SEE ME IN THE GOOD LIGHTâ–² 1
5THE ALABAMA SOLUTIONâ–¼ 3

 
 

Last Updated:

2/25/2026 10:35 PM


 
 

Best International Feature

Tom O'Brien
1SENTIMENTAL VALUE (Norway)
2THE SECRET AGENT (Brazil)
3IT WAS JUST AN ACCIDENT (France)â–² 1
4SIRÄ€T (Spain)â–¼ 1
5THE VOICE OF HIND RAJAB (Tunisia)

 
 

Last Updated:

2/25/2026 10:35 PM


 
 

Best Casting

Tom O'Brien
1Francine Maisler (SINNERS)
2Cassandra Kulukundis (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER)
3Nina Gold (HAMNET)
4Jennifer Venditti (MARTY SUPREME)â–² 1
5Gabriel Domingues (THE SECRET AGENT)NEW

 
 

Last Updated:

1/23/2026 1:51 AM


 
 

Best Cinematography

Tom O'Brien
1TRAIN DREAMS (Adolpho Veloso)â–² 1
2SINNERS (Autumn Durald Arkapaw)â–¼ 1
3ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER (Michael Bauman)
4FRANKENSTEIN (Dan Laustsen)
5MARTY SUPREME (Darius Khondji)

 
 

Last Updated:

2/25/2026 10:35 PM


 
 

Best Costume Design

Tom O'Brien
1FRANKENSTEIN
2SINNERS
3HAMNET
4MARTY SUPREMENEW
5AVATAR: FIRE AND ASHNEW

 
 

Last Updated:

1/23/2026 2:35 PM


 
 

Best Film Editing

Tom O'Brien
1ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER
2SINNERSâ–² 1
3F1â–¼ 1
4MARTY SUPREME
5SENTIMENTAL VALUE

 
 

Last Updated:

2/28/2026 4:05 AM


 
 

Best Makeup and Hairstyling

Tom O'Brien
1FRANKENSTEIN
2SINNERSâ–² 1
3THE SMASHING MACHINEâ–² 1
4KOKUHONEW
5THE UGLY STEPSISTERNEW

 
 

Last Updated:

1/23/2026 2:35 PM


 
 

Best Production Design

Tom O'Brien
1FRANKENSTEIN
2SINNERSâ–² 3
3MARTY SUPREME
4HAMNET
5ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHERNEW

 
 

Last Updated:

1/23/2026 2:35 PM


 
 

Best Original Score

Tom O'Brien
1SINNERS (Ludwig Göransson)
2ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER (Jonny Greenwood)
3HAMNET (Max Richter)
4FRANKENSTEIN (Alexandre Desplat)â–² 1
5BUGONIA (Jerskin Fendrix)NEW

 
 

Last Updated:

1/23/2026 2:35 PM


 
 

Best Original Song

Tom O'Brien
1"Golden" (KPOP DEMON HUNTERS)
2"I Lied to You" (SINNERS)
3"Train Dreams" (TRAIN DREAMS)â–² 2
4"Dear Me" (DIANE WARREN: RELENTLESS)
5"Sweet Dreams of Joy" (VIVA VERDI!)NEW

 
 

Last Updated:

1/23/2026 2:35 PM


 
 

Best Sound

Tom O'Brien
1F1â–² 1
2SINNERSâ–¼ 1
3ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER
4FRANKENSTEIN
5SIRAT

 
 

Last Updated:

1/23/2026 2:35 PM


 
 

Best Visual Effects

Tom O'Brien
1AVATAR: FIRE AND ASH
2F1
3SINNERSâ–² 2
4THE LOST BUS
5JURASSIC WORLD: REBIRTHNEW

 
 

Last Updated:

1/23/2026 2:35 PM


 
 

Best Animated Short Film

Tom O'Brien
1THE GIRL WHO CRIED PEARLSâ–² 3
2BUTTERFLYâ–² 3
3RETIREMENT PLANNEW
4FOREVERGREENNEW
5THE THREE SISTERSNEW

 
 

Last Updated:

1/23/2026 2:35 PM


 
 

Best Documentary Short Film

Tom O'Brien
1ALL THE EMPTY ROOMSâ–² 1
2ARMED ONLY WITH A CAMERA: THE LIFE AND DEATH OF BRENT RENAUDâ–¼ 1
3THE DEVIL IS BUSY
4PERFECTLY A STRANGENESS
5CHILDREN NO MORE: “WERE AND ARE GONE"

 
 

Last Updated:

3/6/2026 8:06 AM


 
 

Best Live Action Short Film

Tom O'Brien
1TWO PEOPLE EXCHANGING SALIVA
2THE SINGERSâ–² 3
3JANE AUSTEN’S PERIOD DRAMANEW
4A FRIEND OF DOROTHYNEW
5BUTCHER’S STAINNEW

 
 

Last Updated:

1/23/2026 2:36 PM