Oscar Predictions – Tom O’Brien

Here are Tom O’Brien’s 2025 Oscar Predictions. Ranking is updated in real-time, and is constantly changing until the end of the year. Accuracy will be calculated after the winners are announced at The 97th Annual Academy Awards.

Click each heading to view individual staff rankings, or search/sort by the drop-downs below:

Best Picture

Tom O'Brien
1ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER
2SINNERS
3HAMNET
4SENTIMENTAL VALUE
5MARTY SUPREME
6WICKED: FOR GOOD
7JAY KELLY
8IT WAS JUST AN ACCIDENT
9FRANKENSTEINNEW
10AVATAR: FIRE AND ASH

 
 

Last Updated:

10/21/2025 11:36 AM


 
 

Best Director

Tom O'Brien
1Paul Thomas Anderson (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER)
2Chloé Zhao (HAMNET)
3Ryan Coogler (SINNERS)
4Joachim Trier (SENTIMENTAL VALUE)
5Jafar Panahi (IT WAS JUST AN ACCIDENT)
6Josh Safdie (MARTY SUPREME)
7Park Chan-wook (NO OTHER CHOICE)
8Guillermo Del Toro (FRANKENSTEIN)
9Kleber Mendonça Filho (THE SECRET AGENT)NEW
10Jon M. Chu (WICKED: FOR GOOD)

 
 

Last Updated:

10/7/2025 2:06 PM


 
 

Best Actress

Tom O'Brien
1Jessie Buckley (HAMNET)
2Renate Reinsve (SENTIMENTAL VALUE)
3Cynthia Erivo (WICKED: FOR GOOD)
4Amanda Seyfried (THE TESTAMENT OF ANN LEE)
5Chase Infiniti (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER)NEW
6Rose Byrne (IF I HAD LEGS I'D KICK YOU)â–¼ 1
7Julia Roberts (AFTER THE HUNT)â–¼ 1
8Emma Stone (BUGONIA)
9Kate Hudson (SONG SUNG BLUE)
10Tessa Thompson (HEDDA)â–¼ 3

 
 

Last Updated:

10/8/2025 6:35 PM


 
 

Best Actor

Tom O'Brien
1Timothée Chalamet (MARTY SUPREME)
2Leonardo DiCaprio (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER)
3Ethan Hawke (BLUE MOON)â–² 3
4Wagner Moura (THE SECRET AGENT)
5Jeremy Allen White (SPRINGSTEEN: DELIVER ME FROM NOWHERE)â–¼ 2
6George Clooney (JAY KELLY)â–¼ 1
7Daniel Day Lewis (ANEMONE)
8Dwayne Johnson (THE SMASHING MACHINE)
9Michael B. Jordan (SINNERS)
10Joel Edgerton (TRAIN DREAMS)

 
 

Last Updated:

10/27/2025 11:50 AM


 
 

Best Supporting Actress

Tom O'Brien
1Ariana Grande (WICKED: FOR GOOD)
2Teyana Taylor (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER)
3Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas (SENTIMENTAL VALUE)
4Gwyneth Paltrow (MARTY SUPREME)
5Elle Fanning (SENTIMENTAL VALUE)
6Odessa Azion (MARTY SUPREME)â–² 4
7Emily Blunt (THE SMASHING MACHINE)
8Zoey Deutch (NOUVELLE VAGUE)
9Jennifer Lopez (KISS OF THE SPIDER WOMAN)
10Amy Madigan (WEAPONS)NEW

 
 

Last Updated:

10/8/2025 6:35 PM


 
 

Best Supporting Actor

Tom O'Brien
1Stellan Skarsgård (SENTIMENTAL VALUE)
2Sean Penn (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER)
3Adam Sandler (JAY KELLY)
4Paul Mescal (HAMNET)â–² 1
5Benicio Del Toro (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER)â–² 1
6Jeremy Strong (SPRINGSTEEN: DELIVER ME FROM NOWHERE)â–¼ 2
7Jacob Elordi (FRANKENSTEIN)
8Delroy Lindo (SINNERS)
9Andrew Garfield (AFTER THE HUNT)
10Stephen Graham (SPRINGSTEEN: DELIVER ME FROM NOWHERE)

 
 

Last Updated:

10/27/2025 11:50 AM


 
 

Best Adapted Screenplay

Tom O'Brien
1ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER (Paul Thomas Anderson)â–² 1
2HAMNET (Maggie O’Farrell & Chloe Zhao)▼ 1
3WAKE UP DEAD MAN: A KNIVES OUT MYSTERY (Rian Johnson)â–² 1
4BUGONIA (Will Tracy)â–² 1
5TRAIN DREAMS (Clint Bentley & Greg Kwedar)â–² 2
6SPRINGSTEEN: DELIVER ME FROM NOWHERE (Scott Cooper)â–¼ 3
7NO OTHER CHOICE (Lee Ja-hye, Lee Kyoung-mi, Park Chan-wook & Don McKellar)â–¼ 1
8HIGHEST 2 LOWEST (William Alan Fox)NEW
9WICKED: FOR GOOD (Dana Fox & Winnie Holzman)â–¼ 1
10FRANKENSTEIN (Guillermo Del Toro)

 
 

Last Updated:

10/7/2025 2:06 PM


 
 

Best Original Screenplay

Tom O'Brien
1SINNERS (Ryan Coogler)
2SENTIMENTAL VALUE (Joachim Trier & Eskil Vogt)
3JAY KELLY (Noah Baumbach & Emily Mortimer)â–² 2
4IT WAS JUST AN ACCIDENT (Jafar Panahi, Nader Saeivar, Shadmehr Rastin, Mehdi Mahmoudian)
5MARTY SUPREME (Ronald Bronstein & Josh Safdie)â–¼ 2
6BLUE MOON (Robert Kaplow)NEW
7IS THIS THING ON? (Will Arnett, Mark Chappell, Bradley Cooper, John Bishop)NEW
8SORRY BABY (Eva Victor)
9A HOUSE OF DYNAMITE (Noah Oppenheim)â–¼ 3
10THE TESTAMENT OF ANN LEE (Brady Corbet & Mona Fastvold)

 
 

Last Updated:

10/4/2025 3:05 PM


 
 

Best Animated Feature

Tom O'Brien
1KPOP DEMON HUNTERS
2ZOOTOPIA 2â–² 1
3ARCOâ–² 1
4SCARLETâ–¼ 2
5NE ZHA 2â–² 1
6IN YOUR DREAMSâ–¼ 1
7ELIO
8LITTLE AMÉLIE OR THE CHARACTER OF RAIN
9THE BAD GUYS 2
10A MAGNIFICENT LIFE

 
 

Last Updated:

9/15/2025 4:36 PM


 
 

Best Documentary Feature

Tom O'Brien
1THE PERFECT NEIGHBOR
2PUT YOUR SOUL ON YOUR HAND AND WALK
32000 METERS TO ANDRIIVKA
4THE ALABAMA SOLUTION
5COVER-UP
6APOCALYPSE IN THE TROPICS
7DEAF PRESIDENT NOW!NEW
8THE EYES OF GHANANEW
9THE LIBRARIANS
10ORWELL 2+2=5â–¼ 2

 
 

Last Updated:

10/24/2025 3:21 AM


 
 

Best International Feature

Tom O'Brien
1SENTIMENTAL VALUE (Norway)
2IT WAS JUST AN ACCIDENT (France)
3NO OTHER CHOICE (South Korea)â–² 1
4THE VOICE OF HIND RAJAB (Tunisia)â–² 1
5THE SECRET AGENT (Brazil)â–¼ 2
6THE LOVE THAT REMAINS (Iceland)
7SOUND OF FALLING (Germany)
8SIRÄ€T (Spain)
9THE PRESIDENT'S CAKE (Iraq)NEW
10PALESTINE 36 (Palestine)NEW

 
 

Last Updated:

9/19/2025 9:20 PM


 
 

Best Casting

Tom O'Brien
1Francine Maisler (SINNERS)
2Cassandra Kulukundis (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER)â–² 6
3Francine Maisler (SPRINGSTEEN: DELIVER ME FROM NOWHERE)â–¼ 1
4Jennifer Venditti (MARTY SUPREME)â–¼ 1
5Tiffany Little Canfield & Bernard Telsey (WICKED: FOR GOOD)
6Douglas Aibel & Nina Gold (JAY KELLY)â–¼ 2
7Bret Howe & Mary Vernieu (WAKE UP DEAD MAN: A KNIVES OUT MYSTERY)
8Robin D. Cook (FRANKENSTEIN)NEW
9Yngvill Kolset Haga & Avy Kaufman (SENTIMENTAL VALUE)
10Jessica Ronane (AFTER THE HUNT)

 
 

Last Updated:

9/28/2025 1:35 PM


 
 

Best Cinematography

Tom O'Brien
1SINNERS (Autumn Durald Arkapaw)
2HAMNET (Lukasz Zal)
3ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER (Michael Bauman)NEW
4FRANKENSTEIN (Dan Laustsen)
5AVATAR: FIRE AND ASH (Russell Carpenter)
6NOUVELLE VAGUE (David Chambille)
7JAY KELLY (Linus Sandgren)
8TRAIN DREAMS (Adolpho Veloso)
9MARTY SUPREME (Darius Khondji)
10F1 (Claudio Miranda)

 
 

Last Updated:

9/27/2025 11:50 AM


 
 

Best Costume Design

Tom O'Brien
1WICKED: FOR GOOD
2SINNERS
3FRANKENSTEIN
4KISS OF THE SPIDER WOMAN
5HAMNET
6THE TESTAMENT OF ANN LEE
7MARTY SUPREME
8SPRINGSTEEN: DELIVER ME FROM NOWHERE
9SNOW WHITE
10COUTURE

 
 

Last Updated:



 
 

Best Film Editing

Tom O'Brien
1ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER
2SINNERS
3MARTY SUPREME
4SENTIMENTAL VALUEâ–² 1
5NO OTHER CHOICEâ–² 1
6A HOUSE OF DYNAMITEâ–¼ 2
7SPRINGSTEEN: DELIVER ME FROM NOWHERE
8F1
9JAY KELLY
10WICKED: FOR GOOD

 
 

Last Updated:

10/22/2025 10:06 AM


 
 

Best Makeup and Hairstyling

Tom O'Brien
1FRANKENSTEIN
2WICKED: FOR GOOD
3SINNERS
4THE SMASHING MACHINE
528 YEARS LATER
6HEDDA
7BUGONIA
8WARFARE
9KISS OF THE SPIDER WOMAN
10SPRINGSTEEN: DELIVER ME FROM NOWHERE

 
 

Last Updated:



 
 

Best Production Design

Tom O'Brien
1WICKED: FOR GOOD
2FRANKENSTEIN
3SINNERSNEW
4HAMNET
5AVATAR: FIRE AND ASH
6MARTY SUPREME
7THE PHOENICIAN SCHEME
8SPRINGSTEEN: DELIVER ME FROM NOWHERE
9THE TESTAMENT OF ANN LEE
10THE RUNNING MAN

 
 

Last Updated:

8/26/2025 12:21 PM


 
 

Best Original Score

Tom O'Brien
1SINNERS (Ludwig Göransson)
2ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER (Jonny Greenwood)
3HAMNET (Max Richter)
4MARTY SUPREME (Daniel Lopatin)NEW
5JAY KELLY (Nicholas Britell)
6
7SENTIMENTAL VALUE (Hania Rani)NEW
8THE TESTAMENT OF ANN LEE (Daniel Blumberg)â–¼ 1
9FRANKENSTEIN (Alexandre Desplat)
10WICKED: FOR GOOD (John Powell, Stephen Schwartz)

 
 

Last Updated:

10/7/2025 9:36 AM


 
 

Best Original Song

Tom O'Brien
1"Golden" (KPOP DEMON HUNTERS)â–² 1
2"I Lied to You" (SINNERS)â–² 1
3"The Girl in the Bubble" (WICKED FOR GOOD)â–¼ 2
4"Dear Me" (DIANE WARREN: RELENTLESS)
5"Train Dreams" (TRAIN DREAMS)
6"Clothed By The Sun" (THE TESTAMENT OF ANN LEE)
7"No Place Like Home" (WICKED FOR GOOD)NEW
8"Last Time (I Seen the Sun)" (SINNERS)
9"My Baby (Got Nothing At All)" (MATERIALISTS)
10"Highest 2 Lowest" (HIGHEST 2 LOWEST)

 
 

Last Updated:

11/7/2025 12:05 PM


 
 

Best Sound

Tom O'Brien
1WICKED: FOR GOOD
2SINNERS
3F1
4AVATAR: FIRE AND ASH
5ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHERNEW
6SPRINGSTEEN: DELIVER ME FROM NOWHEREâ–¼ 1
7FRANKENSTEINâ–¼ 1
8A HOUSE OF DYNAMITE
9WARFAREâ–¼ 2
10MARTY SUPREMENEW

 
 

Last Updated:

9/15/2025 3:21 PM


 
 

Best Visual Effects

Tom O'Brien
1AVATAR: FIRE AND ASH
2WICKED: FOR GOOD
3SUPERMAN
4TRON: ARES
5FRANKENSTEIN
6THE FANTASTIC FOUR: FIRST STEPS
7F1
8HOW TO TRAIN YOUR DRAGON
9MISSION: IMPOSSIBLE - THE FINAL RECKONING
10THE LOST BUS

 
 

Last Updated:



 
 

Best Animated Short Film

Tom O'Brien
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10

 
 

Last Updated:



 
 

Best Documentary Short Film

Tom O'Brien
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10

 
 

Last Updated:



 
 

Best Live Action Short Film

Tom O'Brien
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10

 
 

Last Updated: