Oscar Predictions – Tom O’Brien

Here are Tom O’Brien’s 2025 Oscar Predictions. Ranking is updated in real-time, and is constantly changing until the end of the year. Accuracy will be calculated after the winners are announced at The 97th Annual Academy Awards.

Click each heading to view individual staff rankings, or search/sort by the drop-downs below:

Best Picture

Tom O'Brien
1ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER
2SINNERS
3HAMNET
4SENTIMENTAL VALUE
5MARTY SUPREME
6IT WAS JUST AN ACCIDENT
7FRANKENSTEIN
8TRAIN DREAMSâ–² 1
9THE SECRET AGENTNEW
10WICKED: FOR GOOD

 
 

Last Updated:

12/16/2025 3:21 PM


 
 

Best Director

Tom O'Brien
1Paul Thomas Anderson (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER)
2Jafar Panahi (IT WAS JUST AN ACCIDENT)
3Ryan Coogler (SINNERS)
4Joachim Trier (SENTIMENTAL VALUE)
5Chloé Zhao (HAMNET)
6Guillermo Del Toro (FRANKENSTEIN)â–² 2
7Josh Safdie (MARTY SUPREME)â–¼ 1
8Park Chan-wook (NO OTHER CHOICE)â–¼ 1
9Kleber Mendonça Filho (THE SECRET AGENT)
10Clint Bentley (TRAIN DREAMS)

 
 

Last Updated:

12/19/2025 2:20 PM


 
 

Best Actress

Tom O'Brien
1Jessie Buckley (HAMNET)
2Renate Reinsve (SENTIMENTAL VALUE)NEW
3Rose Byrne (IF I HAD LEGS I'D KICK YOU)
4Amanda Seyfried (THE TESTAMENT OF ANN LEE)
5Chase Infiniti (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER)
6Cynthia Erivo (WICKED: FOR GOOD)
7Kate Hudson (SONG SUNG BLUE)
8Emma Stone (BUGONIA)
9Tessa Thompson (HEDDA)
10Jennifer Lawrence (DIE, MY LOVE)

 
 

Last Updated:

12/19/2025 2:20 PM


 
 

Best Actor

Tom O'Brien
1Leonardo DiCaprio (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER)
2Ethan Hawke (BLUE MOON)â–² 1
3Timothée Chalamet (MARTY SUPREME)▼ 1
4Wagner Moura (THE SECRET AGENT)
5Joel Edgerton (TRAIN DREAMS)
6Jeremy Allen White (SPRINGSTEEN: DELIVER ME FROM NOWHERE)
7George Clooney (JAY KELLY)
8Michael B. Jordan (SINNERS)
9Dwayne Johnson (THE SMASHING MACHINE)
10Daniel Day Lewis (ANEMONE)

 
 

Last Updated:

12/19/2025 9:06 PM


 
 

Best Supporting Actress

Tom O'Brien
1Teyana Taylor (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER)
2Ariana Grande (WICKED: FOR GOOD)
3Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas (SENTIMENTAL VALUE)
4Amy Madigan (WEAPONS)â–² 2
5Elle Fanning (SENTIMENTAL VALUE)
6Wunmi Mosaku (SINNERS)â–² 3
7Odessa Azion (MARTY SUPREME)
8Gwyneth Paltrow (MARTY SUPREME)â–¼ 4
9Emily Blunt (THE SMASHING MACHINE)NEW
10Emily Watson (HAMNET)

 
 

Last Updated:

12/13/2025 3:21 PM


 
 

Best Supporting Actor

Tom O'Brien
1Stellan Skarsgård (SENTIMENTAL VALUE)
2Benicio Del Toro (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER)â–² 2
3Sean Penn (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER)â–¼ 1
4Adam Sandler (JAY KELLY)â–¼ 1
5Paul Mescal (HAMNET)
6Jacob Elordi (FRANKENSTEIN)â–² 1
7Andrew Scott (BLUE MOON)â–² 1
8Delroy Lindo (SINNERS)â–² 2
9William H. Macy (TRAIN DREAMS)
10Jeremy Strong (SPRINGSTEEN: DELIVER ME FROM NOWHERE)â–¼ 4

 
 

Last Updated:

12/7/2025 6:21 PM


 
 

Best Adapted Screenplay

Tom O'Brien
1ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER (Paul Thomas Anderson)
2HAMNET (Maggie O’Farrell & Chloe Zhao)
3TRAIN DREAMS (Clint Bentley & Greg Kwedar)
4FRANKENSTEIN (Guillermo Del Toro)â–² 4
5BUGONIA (Will Tracy)â–¼ 1
6WAKE UP DEAD MAN: A KNIVES OUT MYSTERY (Rian Johnson)â–¼ 1
7NO OTHER CHOICE (Lee Ja-hye, Lee Kyoung-mi, Park Chan-wook & Don McKellar)
8SPRINGSTEEN: DELIVER ME FROM NOWHERE (Scott Cooper)â–¼ 2
9NUREMBERG (James Vanderbilt)
10HEDDA (Nia DaCosta)NEW

 
 

Last Updated:

12/13/2025 3:21 PM


 
 

Best Original Screenplay

Tom O'Brien
1IT WAS JUST AN ACCIDENT (Jafar Panahi, Nader Saeivar, Shadmehr Rastin, Mehdi Mahmoudian)
2SINNERS (Ryan Coogler)
3SENTIMENTAL VALUE (Joachim Trier & Eskil Vogt)
4JAY KELLY (Noah Baumbach & Emily Mortimer)
5MARTY SUPREME (Ronald Bronstein & Josh Safdie)
6BLUE MOON (Robert Kaplow)
7IS THIS THING ON? (Will Arnett, Mark Chappell, Bradley Cooper, John Bishop)
8SORRY BABY (Eva Victor)
9THE SECRET AGENT (Kleber Mendonça Filho)NEW
10THE TESTAMENT OF ANN LEE (Brady Corbet & Mona Fastvold)

 
 

Last Updated:

12/13/2025 3:21 PM


 
 

Best Animated Feature

Tom O'Brien
1KPOP DEMON HUNTERS
2ZOOTOPIA 2
3ARCO
4LITTLE AMÉLIE OR THE CHARACTER OF RAIN
5ELIO
6SCARLET
7IN YOUR DREAMS
8ENDLESS COOKIEâ–² 2
9A MAGNIFICENT LIFE
10BOYS GO TO JUPITERNEW

 
 

Last Updated:

12/16/2025 2:51 PM


 
 

Best Documentary Feature

Tom O'Brien
1THE PERFECT NEIGHBOR
22000 METERS TO ANDRIIVKA
3APOCALYPSE IN THE TROPICSâ–² 1
4MY UNDESIRABLE FRIENDS: PART I - LAST AIR IN MOSCOWâ–² 1
5CUTTING THROUGH ROCKSâ–² 1
6THE ALABAMA SOLUTIONâ–¼ 3
7COVER-UP
8MR. NOBODY AGAINST PUTIN
9COME SEE ME IN THE GOOD LIGHT
10SEEDS

 
 

Last Updated:

12/22/2025 1:20 AM


 
 

Best International Feature

Tom O'Brien
1IT WAS JUST AN ACCIDENT (France)
2SENTIMENTAL VALUE (Norway)
3THE SECRET AGENT (Brazil)
4SIRÄ€T (Spain)
5THE VOICE OF HIND RAJAB (Tunisia)â–² 1
6NO OTHER CHOICE (South Korea)â–¼ 1
7THE PRESIDENT'S CAKE (Iraq)
8BELÉN (Argentina)
9SOUND OF FALLING (Germany)
10KOKUHO (Japan)NEW

 
 

Last Updated:

12/22/2025 1:20 AM


 
 

Best Casting

Tom O'Brien
1Francine Maisler (SINNERS)
2Cassandra Kulukundis (ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER)
3Jennifer Venditti (MARTY SUPREME)
4Yngvill Kolset Haga & Avy Kaufman (SENTIMENTAL VALUE)
5Nina Gold (HAMNET)
6Tiffany Little Canfield & Bernard Telsey (WICKED: FOR GOOD)
7Robin D. Cook (FRANKENSTEIN)
8Nadia Acimi, Luis Bértolo (SIRAT)NEW
9Gabriel Domingues (THE SECRET AGENT)
10Allison Jones (WEAPONS)

 
 

Last Updated:

12/21/2025 12:21 AM


 
 

Best Cinematography

Tom O'Brien
1SINNERS (Autumn Durald Arkapaw)
2HAMNET (Lukasz Zal)
3ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER (Michael Bauman)
4FRANKENSTEIN (Dan Laustsen)
5TRAIN DREAMS (Adolpho Veloso)
6MARTY SUPREME (Darius Khondji)
7F1 (Claudio Miranda)
8BUGONIA (Robbie Ryan)NEW
9SIRAT (Mauro Herce)NEW
10SOUND OF FALLING (Fabian Gamper)NEW

 
 

Last Updated:

12/16/2025 3:36 PM


 
 

Best Costume Design

Tom O'Brien
1WICKED: FOR GOOD
2FRANKENSTEIN
3SINNERS
4KISS OF THE SPIDER WOMAN
5HAMNET
6THE TESTAMENT OF ANN LEE
7MARTY SUPREME
8ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHERNEW
9SNOW WHITE
10HEDDANEW

 
 

Last Updated:

12/13/2025 4:06 PM


 
 

Best Film Editing

Tom O'Brien
1ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER
2SINNERS
3MARTY SUPREME
4F1â–² 4
5IT WAS JUST AN ACCIDENTNEW
6SENTIMENTAL VALUEâ–¼ 2
7HAMNETNEW
8AVATAR: FIRE AND ASHNEW
9NO OTHER CHOICEâ–¼ 4
10FRANKENSTEINNEW

 
 

Last Updated:

12/13/2025 4:06 PM


 
 

Best Makeup and Hairstyling

Tom O'Brien
1FRANKENSTEIN
2WICKED: FOR GOOD
3SINNERS
4THE SMASHING MACHINE
5ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHERNEW
6NUREMBERGNEW
7MARTY SUPREMENEW
8KOKUHONEW
9THE ALTO KNIGHTSNEW
10THE UGLY STEPSISTERNEW

 
 

Last Updated:

12/16/2025 3:36 PM


 
 

Best Production Design

Tom O'Brien
1FRANKENSTEINâ–² 1
2WICKED: FOR GOODâ–¼ 1
3MARTY SUPREMEâ–² 3
4HAMNET
5SINNERSâ–¼ 2
6AVATAR: FIRE AND ASHâ–¼ 1
7THE PHOENICIAN SCHEME
8THE TESTAMENT OF ANN LEEâ–² 1
9THE FANTASTIC FOUR: FIRST STEPSNEW
10NUREMBERGNEW

 
 

Last Updated:

12/13/2025 4:06 PM


 
 

Best Original Score

Tom O'Brien
1SINNERS (Ludwig Göransson)
2ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER (Jonny Greenwood)
3HAMNET (Max Richter)
4MARTY SUPREME (Daniel Lopatin)
5FRANKENSTEIN (Alexandre Desplat)
6
7JAY KELLY (Nicholas Britell)
8SIRÄ€T (Kangding Ray)
9TRAIN DREAMS (Bryce Dessner)
10WICKED: FOR GOOD (John Powell, Stephen Schwartz)NEW

 
 

Last Updated:

12/16/2025 3:51 PM


 
 

Best Original Song

Tom O'Brien
1"Golden" (KPOP DEMON HUNTERS)
2"I Lied to You" (SINNERS)
3"The Girl in the Bubble" (WICKED FOR GOOD)
4"Dear Me" (DIANE WARREN: RELENTLESS)
5"Train Dreams" (TRAIN DREAMS)
6"No Place Like Home" (WICKED FOR GOOD)â–² 1
7"Last Time (I Seen the Sun)" (SINNERS)â–² 1
8"Highest 2 Lowest" (HIGHEST 2 LOWEST)â–² 1
9"Drive" (F1)NEW
10"Salt Then Sour Then Sweet" (COME SEE ME IN THE GOOD LIGHT)

 
 

Last Updated:

12/16/2025 3:51 PM


 
 

Best Sound

Tom O'Brien
1SINNERS
2F1
3ONE BATTLE AFTER ANOTHER
4AVATAR: FIRE AND ASH
5FRANKENSTEIN
6SUPERMAN
7WICKED: FOR GOOD
8SIRATâ–² 1
9MISSION: IMPOSSIBLE - FINAL RECKONINGNEW
10SPRINGSTEEN: DELIVER ME FROM NOWHERENEW

 
 

Last Updated:

12/16/2025 3:51 PM


 
 

Best Visual Effects

Tom O'Brien
1AVATAR: FIRE AND ASH
2F1
3SUPERMANâ–² 1
4FRANKENSTEINâ–² 2
5WICKED: FOR GOODâ–² 3
6SINNERSNEW
7THE LOST BUS
8JURASSIC WORLD: REBIRTHNEW
9TRON: ARESNEW
10THE ELECTRIC STATENEW

 
 

Last Updated:

12/16/2025 3:51 PM


 
 

Best Animated Short Film

Tom O'Brien
1SNOW BEAR
2ÉIRU
3PLAYING GOD
4RETIREMENT PLAN
5THE GIRL WHO CRIED PEARLS
6AUTOKAR
7THE NIGHT BOOTS
8AUTOKAR
9BUTTERFLY
10THE QUINTA'S GHOST

 
 

Last Updated:



 
 

Best Documentary Short Film

Tom O'Brien
1ARMED ONLY WITH A CAMERA: THE LIFE AND DEATH OF BRENT RENAUD
2ALL THE EMPTY ROOMS
3CASHING OUT
4ON HEALING LAND, BIRDS PERCH
5WE WERE THE SCENERY
6PERFECTLY A STRANGENESS
7HEARTBEAT
8ALL THE WALLS CAME DOWN
9CHASING TIME
10CHILDREN NO MORE: “WERE AND ARE GONE"

 
 

Last Updated:



 
 

Best Live Action Short Film

Tom O'Brien
1TWO PEOPLE EXCHANGING SALIVA
2ROCK, PAPER, SCISSORS
3A FRIEND OF DOROTHY
4JANE AUSTEN’S PERIOD DRAMA
5PANTYHOSE
6THE BOY WITH WHITE SKIN
7THE SINGERS
8AMARELA
9EXTREMISTNEW
10ADONEW

 
 

Last Updated:

12/20/2025 6:35 PM