By Matt Neglia
When it comes to predicting Best Picture, there’s no guild that is more important than Producers Guild Of America (PGA). They have announced their nominations for the 10 best films of 2019. Which of them will score Best Picture nods at the Oscars? Click below to find out.
The winners will be announced January 18th 2020.
The Award for Outstanding Producer of a Feature Theatrical Motion Picture
1917
Ford v Ferrari
The Irishman
Jojo Rabbit
Joker
Knives Out
Little Women
Marriage Story
Once Upon a Time… in Hollywood
Parasite
The Award for Outstanding Producer of Animated Theatrical Motion Pictures
Abominable
Frozen 2
How to Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World
Missing Link
Toy Story 4
The Award for Outstanding Producer of Documentary Motion Pictures
The PGA previously announced the nominations in this category on November 19th, 2019.
Advocate
American Factory
Apollo 11
The Cave
For Sama
Honeyland
One Child Nation
As far as nominations overlap with the Academy Awards for Best Picture goes, the PGA Awards are a crucial component to possibly understanding what will win the Best Picture Oscar as 8 of the last 10 years of winners have gone on to win the Academy’s big prize since the preferential era began.
The Hurt Locker
The King’s Speech
The Artist
Argo
12 Years A Slave & Gravity (TIE)
Birdman
The Big Short (Spotlight won Best Picture)
La La Land (Moonlight won Best Picture)
The Shape Of Water
Green Book
Which film will triumph this year? The answer lies within these nominees. As far as nomination overlap goes with the Oscars, this is how often the PGA Awards have lined up with the Academy’s choices for Best Picture.
2018: 8/8
2017: 7/9
2016: 9/9
2015: 7/8
2014: 7/8
2013: 8/9
2012: 8/9
2011: 7/9
2010: 9/10
2009: 8/10
And here are the films that have so far received major citations for Best Picture throughout the season so far. The only films to land at all of these so far are The Irishman & Once Upon a Time… in Hollywood. But so far here are where things rank for each film…
The Irishman – AFI, BAFTA, CC, GG, NBR, PGA, SAG
Once Upon a Time… in Hollywood – AFI, BAFTA, CC, GG, NBR, PGA, SAG
Jojo Rabbit – AFI, CC, GG, NBR, PGA, SAG
1917 – AFI, BAFTA, CC, GG, NBR, PGA
Parasite – AFI (special award), BAFTA, CC, SAG, PGA
Joker – AFI, BAFTA, CC, GG, PGA
Marriage Story – AFI, CC, GG, NBR, PGA
Knives Out – AFI, GG, NBR, PGA
Little Women – AFI, CC, PGA
Ford v Ferrari – CC, NBR, PGA
Uncut Gems – CC, NBR
Dolemite Is My Name – GG, NBR
Richard Jewell – AFI, NBR
​Bombshell – SAG
Rocketman – GG
The Two Popes – GG
The Farewell – AFI
Waves – NBR
I really do believe that our Best Picture lineup is within the PGA nominations. I don’t expect an outside film to make it in there. As of today, I would say that if there were 9 nominees for Best Picture it would look like this:
1917
Ford v Ferrari
The Irishman
Jojo Rabbit
Joker
Little Women
Marriage Story
Once Upon a Time… in Hollywood
Parasite
If there are 8 nominees, you basically have to drop either Little Women or Ford v Ferrari based on how the two have performed throughout the rest of the precursors. It’s a decision I’m not ready to make just yet so…I’ll go with 9 nominees for now and see how things go on January 13th.
So what are you predicting for Best Picture at this point? Our predictions for the Oscar for Best Picture can be found here. Let us know in the comments section below or on our Twitter account.
You can follow Matt and hear more of his thoughts on the Oscars and Film on Twitter at @NextBestPicture