Emmy Predictions – Tom O’Brien

Here are Tom O’Brien’s 2023 Emmy Predictions. Ranking is updated in real-time, and is constantly changing until the end of the season.

Click each heading to view individual staff rankings, or search/sort by the drop-downs below:


Outstanding Comedy Series

Tom O'Brien
1"The Bear" (FX)
2"Ted Lasso" (Apple TV+)
3"Abbott Elementary" (ABC)
4"Only Murders in the Building" (Hulu)
5"Barry" (HBO)
6"The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel" (Amazon Prime Video)
7"Wednesday" (Netflix)
8"Jury Duty" (Amazon Prime Video)

Outstanding Drama Series

Tom O'Brien
1"Succession" (HBO)
2"The White Lotus: Sicily" (HBO)
3"The Last of Us" (HBO)
4"Better Call Saul" (AMC)
5"Yellowjackets" (Showtime)
6"The Crown" (Netflix)
7"House of the Dragon" (HBO)
8"Andor" (Disney+)

Outstanding Limited Or Anthology Series

Tom O'Brien
1"Beef" (Netflix)
2"Monster: ​​The Jeffrey Dahmer Story" (Netflix)
3"Fleishman Is in Trouble" (FX)
4"Daisy Jones and the Six" (Amazon Prime Video)
5"Obi-Wan Kenobi" (Disney+)

Outstanding Television Movie

Tom O'Brien
1"Weird: The Al Yankovic Story" (Roku Original)
2"Fire Island" (Hulu)
3"Prey" (Hulu)
4"Dolly Parton’s Mountain Magic Christmas" (NBC)
5"Hocus Pocus 2" (Disney+)

Outstanding Competition Program

Tom O'Brien
1"RuPaul's Drag Race" (MTV)
2"The Amazing Race" (CBS)
3"Top Chef" (Bravo)
4"Survivor" (CBS)
5"The Voice" (NBC)

Outstanding Variety Talk Series

Tom O'Brien
1"The Problem With Jon Stewart" (Apple TV+)
2“Jimmy Kimmel Live!” (ABC)
3“Late Night with Seth Meyers” (NBC)
4“The Daily Show with Trevor Noah” (Comedy Central)
5“The Late Show with Stephen Colbert” (CBS)

Outstanding Variety Sketch Series                          

Tom O'Brien
1"Last Week Tonight With John Oliver" (HBO)
2"Saturday Night Live" (NBC)
3"A Black Lady Sketch Show" (HBO)

Outstanding Lead Actress In A Comedy Series

Tom O'Brien
1Quinta Brunson, "Abbott Elementary" (ABC)
2Rachel Brosnahan, "The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel" (Amazon Prime Video)
3Jenna Ortega, "Wednesday" (Netflix)
4Natasha Lyonne, "Poker Face" (Peacock)
5Christina Applegate, "Dead to Me" (Netflix)

Outstanding Lead Actress In A Drama Series

Tom O'Brien
1Sarah Snook, "Succession" (HBO)
2Melanie Lynskey, "Yellowjackets" (Showtime)
3Bella Ramsey, "The Last of Us" (HBO)
4Keri Russell, "The Diplomat" (Netflix)
5Sharon Horgan, "Bad Sisters" (Apple TV+)
6Elisabeth Moss, "The Handmaid’s Tale" (Hulu)

Outstanding Lead Actress In A Limited Or Anthology Series Or Movie

Tom O'Brien
1Jessica Chastain, "George and Tammy" (Showtime)
2Ali Wong, "Beef" (Netflix)
3Riley Keough, "Daisy Jones and the Six" (Amazon Prime Video)
4Lizzy Caplan, "Fleishman Is in Trouble" (FX)
5Dominique Fishback, "Swarm" (Amazon Prime Video)
6Kathryn Hahn, "Tiny Beautiful Things" (Hulu)

Outstanding Lead Actor In A Comedy Series

Tom O'Brien
1Jeremy Allen White, "The Bear" (Hulu)
2Jason Sudeikis, "Ted Lasso" (Apple TV+)
3Bill Hader, "Barry" (HBO)
4Martin Short, "Only Murders in the Building" (Hulu)
5Jason Segel, "Shrinking" (AppleTV+)

Outstanding Lead Actor In A Drama Series

Tom O'Brien
1Jeremy Strong, "Succession" (HBO)
2Bob Odenkirk, "Better Call Saul" (AMC)
3Kieran Culkin, "Succession" (HBO)
4Pedro Pascal, "The Last of Us" (HBO)
5Jeff Bridges, "The Old Man" (FX)
6Brian Cox, "Succession" (HBO)

Outstanding Lead Actor In A Limited Or Anthology Series Or Movie

Tom O'Brien
1Evan Peters, "Monster: ​​The Jeffrey Dahmer Story" (Netflix)
2Daniel Radcliffe, "Weird: The Al Yankovic Story" (Roku Channel)
3Steven Yeun, "Beef" (Netflix)
4Taron Egerton, "Black Bird" (Apple TV+)
5Michael Shannon, "George and Tammy" (Showtime)
6Kumail Nanjiani, "Welcome to Chippendales" (Hulu)

Outstanding Supporting Actress In A Comedy Series

Tom O'Brien
1Ayo Edebiri, "The Bear" (FX)
2Sheryl Lee Ralph, "Abbott Elementary" (ABC)
3Hannah Waddingham, "Ted Lasso" (Apple TV+)
4Alex Borstein, "The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel" (Amazon Prime Video)
5Janelle James, "Abbott Elementary" (ABC)
6Jessica Williams, "Shrinking" (Apple TV+)
7Juno Temple, "Ted Lasso" (Apple TV+)

Outstanding Supporting Actress In A Drama Series

Tom O'Brien
1Jennifer Coolidge, "The White Lotus: Sicily" (HBO)
2Rhea Seehorn, "Better Call Saul" (AMC)
3J. Smith-Cameron, "Succession" (HBO)
4Aubrey Plaza, "The White Lotus: Sicily" (HBO)
5Meghann Fahy, "The White Lotus: Sicily" (HBO)
6Elizabeth Debicki, "The Crown" (Netflix)
7Sabrina Impacciatore, "The White Lotus: Sicily" (HBO)
8Simona Tobasco, "The White Lotus: Sicily" (HBO)

Outstanding Supporting Actress In A Limited Or Anthology Series Or Movie

Tom O'Brien
1Niecy Nash-Betts, "Monster: ​​The Jeffrey Dahmer Story" (Netflix)
2Claire Danes, "Fleishman Is in Trouble” (FX)
3Juliette Lewis, "Welcome to Chippendales" (Hulu)
4Maria Bello, "Beef" (Netflix)
5Camila Morrone, "Daisy Jones and the Six" (Amazon Prime Video)
6Annaleigh Ashford, "Welcome to Chippendales" (Hulu)
7Merritt Wever, "Tiny Beautiful Things" (Hulu)

Outstanding Supporting Actor In A Comedy Series

Tom O'Brien
1Ebon Moss-Bacharach, "The Bear" (Hulu)
2Tyler James Williams, "Abbott Elementary" (ABC)
3Brett Goldstein, "Ted Lasso" (Apple TV+)
4Henry Winkler, "Barry" (HBO)
5Phil Dunster, "Ted Lasso" (Apple TV+)
6Anthony Carrigan, “Barry" (HBO)
7James Marsden, "Jury Duty" (Amazon Prime Video)

Outstanding Supporting Actor In A Drama Series

Tom O'Brien
1Matthew Macfadyen, "Succession" (HBO)
2F. Murray Abraham, “The White Lotus" (HBO)
3Alexander Skarsgård, "Succession" (HBO)
4Nicholas Braun, "Succession" (HBO)
5Alan Ruck, "Succession" (HBO)
6Michael Imperioli, "The White Lotus" (HBO)
7Theo James, "The White Lotus" (HBO)
8Will Sharpe, "The White Lotus" (HBO)

Outstanding Supporting Actor In A Limited Or Anthology Series Or Movie

Tom O'Brien
1Paul Walter Hauser, "Black Bird" (Apple TV+)
2Richard Jenkins, "Monster: ​​The Jeffrey Dahmer Story" (Netflix)
3Ray Liotta, "Black Bird" (Apple TV+)
4Murray Bartlett, "Welcome to Chippendales" (Hulu)
5Young Mazino, "Beef" (Netflix)
6Jesse Plemons, "Love and Death" (HBO Max)
7Joseph Lee, "Beef" (Netflix)

Outstanding Directing For A Comedy Series

Tom O'Brien
1Christopher Storer, "The Bear" (FX)
2Bill Hader, “Barry" (HBO)
3Amy Sherman-Palladino, "The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel" (Amazon Prime Video)
4Tim Burton, "Wednesday" (Netflix)
5Declan Lowney, "Ted Lasso" (Apple TV+)
6Mary Lou Belli, "The Ms. Pat Show" (BET+)

Outstanding Directing For A Drama Series

Tom O'Brien
1Mark Mylod, "Succession" (HBO)
2Mike White, "The White Lotus" (HBO)
3Andrij Parekh, "Succession" (HBO)
4Peter Hoar, "The Last of Us" (HBO)
5Lorene Scafaria, "Succession" (HBO)
6Benjamin Caron, "Andor" (Disney+)

Outstanding Directing For A Limited Or Anthology Series

Tom O'Brien
1Lee Sung Jin, "Beef" (Netflix)
2Paris Barclay, "Dahmer – Monster: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story" (Netflix)
3Jake Schreier, "Beef" (Netflix)
4Carl Franklin, "Dahmer – Monster: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story" (Netflix)
5Valerie Faris & Jonathan Dayton, "Fleishman Is In Trouble" (FX)
6Dan Trachtenberg, "Prey" (Hulu)

Outstanding Writing For A Comedy Series

Tom O'Brien
1Christopher Storer, "The Bear" (FX)
2Brendan Hunt, Joe Kelly & Jason Sudeikis, "Ted Lasso" (Apple TV+)
3Bill Hader, "Barry" (HBO)
4John Hoffman, Matteo Borghese & Rob Turbovsky, "Only Murders In The Building" (Hulu)
5Mekki Leeper, "Jury Duty" (Amazon Prime Video)
6Chris Kelly & Sarah Schneider, "The Other Two" (HBO Max)

Outstanding Writing For A Drama Series

Tom O'Brien
1Jesse Armstrong, "Succession" (HBO)
2Craig Mazin, "The Last Of Us" (HBO)
3Mike White, "The White Lotus: Sicily" (HBO)
4Peter Gould, "Better Call Saul" (AMC)
5Gordon Smith, "Better Call Saul" (AMC)
6Beau Willimon, "Andor" (Disney+)
7Sharon Horgan, Brett Baer & Dave Finkel, "Bad Sisters" (Apple TV+)

Outstanding Writing For A Limited Or Anthology Series Or Movie

Tom O'Brien
1Lee Sung Jin, "Beef" (Netflix)
2Joel Kim Booster, "Fire Island" (Hulu)
3Taffy Brodesser-Akner, "Fleishman Is In Trouble" (FX)
4Al Yankovic & Eric Appel, "Weird: The Al Yankovic Story" (Roku)
5Patrick Aison & Dan Trachtenberg, "Prey" (Hulu)
6Janine Nabers & Donald Glover, "Swarm" (Amazon Prime Video)

Outstanding Writing For A Variety Special      

Tom O'Brien
1"Last Week Tonight With John Oliver" (HBO)
2"Saturday Night Live" (NBC)
3"The Daily Show with Trevor Noah" (Comedy Central)
4"Late Night With Seth Meyers" (NBC)
5"The Late Show with Stephen Colbert" (CBS)

Outstanding Guest Actress In A Drama Series

Tom O'Brien
1Harriet Walter, "Succession" (HBO)
2Melanie Lynskey, "The Last of Us" (HBO)
3Hiam Abbass, "Succession" (HBO)
4Cherry Jones, "Succession" (HBO)
5Anna Torv, "The Last of Us" (HBO)
6Storm Reid, "The Last of Us" (HBO)

Outstanding Guest Actress In A Comedy Series     

Tom O'Brien
1Taraji P. Henson, "Abbott Elementary" (ABC)
2Judith Light, "Poker Face" (Peacock)
3Quinta Brunson, "Saturday Night Live" (NBC)
4Harriet Walter, "Ted Lasso" (Apple TV+)
5Becky Ann Baker, "Ted Lasso" (Apple TV+)
6Sarah Niles, "Ted Lasso" (Apple TV+)

Outstanding Guest Actor In A Drama Series

Tom O'Brien
1Nick Offerman, "The Last of Us" (HBO)
2Murray Bartlett, "The Last of Us" (HBO)
3James Cromwell, "Succession" (HBO)
4Arian Moayed, "Succession" (HBO)
5Lamar Johnson, "The Last of Us" (HBO)
6Keivonn Montreal Woodard, "The Last of Us" (HBO)

Outstanding Guest Actor In A Comedy Series     

Tom O'Brien
1Jon Bernthal, "The Bear" (Hulu)
2Nathan Lane, "Only Murders in the Building" (Hulu)
3Pedro Pascal, "Saturday Night Live" (NBC)
4Luke Kirby, "The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel" (Amazon Prime Video)
5Oliver Platt, "The Bear" (Hulu)
6Sam Richardson, "Ted Lasso" (Apple TV+)