Emmy Predictions – Tom O’Brien

Here are Tom O’Brien’s 2023 Emmy Predictions. Ranking is updated in real-time, and is constantly changing until the end of the season.

Click each heading to view individual staff rankings, or search/sort by the drop-downs below:

Outstanding Comedy Series

Tom O'Brien
1"Abbott Elementary" (ABC)
2"The Bear" (FX)
3"Ted Lasso" (Apple TV+)
4"Only Murders in the Building" (Hulu)
5"Barry" (HBO)
6"The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel" (Amazon Prime Video)
7"Shrinking" (Apple TV+)
8"Poker Face" (Peacock)

Outstanding Drama Series

Tom O'Brien
1"Succession" (HBO)
2"The White Lotus: Sicily" (HBO)
3"The Last of Us" (HBO)
4"Better Call Saul" (AMC)
5"Yellowjackets" (Showtime)
6"The Crown" (Netflix)
7"House of the Dragon" (HBO)
8"Andor" (Disney+)

Outstanding Limited Or Anthology Series

Tom O'Brien
1"Beef" (Netflix)
2"Monster: ​​The Jeffrey Dahmer Story" (Netflix)
3"Love and Death" (HBO Max)
4"Black Bird" (Apple TV+)
5"Daisy Jones and the Six" (Amazon Prime Video)

Outstanding Television Movie

Tom O'Brien
1"Weird: The Al Yankovic Story" (Roku Original)
2"Fire Island" (Hulu)
3"Shotgun Wedding" (Amazon Prime Video)
4"Prey" (Hulu)
5"Dolly Parton’s Mountain Magic Christmas" (NBC)

Outstanding Competition Program

Tom O'Brien
1"RuPaul's Drag Race" (MTV)
2"The Traitors" (Peacock)
3"The Amazing Race" (CBS)
4"Floor is Lava" (Netflix)
5"Top Chef" (Bravo)

Outstanding Variety Talk Series

Tom O'Brien
1"The Problem With Jon Stewart" (Apple TV+)
2“Jimmy Kimmel Live!” (ABC)
3“Late Night with Seth Meyers” (NBC)
4“The Daily Show with Trevor Noah” (Comedy Central)
5"My Next Guest Needs No Introduction With David Letterman" (Netflix)

Outstanding Variety Sketch Series                          

Tom O'Brien
1"Last Week Tonight With John Oliver" (HBO)
2"Saturday Night Live" (NBC)
3"A Black Lady Sketch Show" (HBO)

Outstanding Lead Actress In A Comedy Series

Tom O'Brien
1Quinta Brunson, "Abbott Elementary" (ABC)
2Rachel Brosnahan, "The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel" (Amazon Prime Video)
3Jenna Ortega, "Wednesday" (Netflix)
4Natasha Lyonne, "Poker Face" (Peacock)
5Christina Applegate, "Dead to Me" (Netflix)
6Selena Gomez, "Only Murders in the Building" (Hulu)
7Elle Fanning, "The Great" (Hulu)

Outstanding Lead Actress In A Drama Series

Tom O'Brien
1Sarah Snook, "Succession" (HBO)
2Melanie Lynskey, "Yellowjackets" (Showtime)
3Bella Ramsey, "The Last of Us" (HBO)
4Imelda Staunton, "The Crown" (Netflix)
5Emma D’Arcy, "House of the Dragon" (HBO)
6Helen Mirren, "1923" (Paramount+)
7Sharon Horgan, "Bad Sisters" (Apple TV+)

Outstanding Lead Actress In A Limited Or Anthology Series Or Movie

Tom O'Brien
1Jessica Chastain, "George and Tammy" (Showtime)
2Emily Blunt, “The English" (Amazon Prime Video)
3Riley Keough, "Daisy Jones and the Six" (Amazon Prime Video)
4Ali Wong, "Beef" (Netflix)
5Elizabeth Olsen, "Love and Death" (HBO Max)
6Lizzy Caplan, "Fleishman Is in Trouble" (FX)
7Rachel Weisz, "Dead Ringers" (Amazon Prime Video)

Outstanding Lead Actor In A Comedy Series

Tom O'Brien
1Jeremy Allen White, "The Bear" (Hulu)
2Jason Sudeikis, "Ted Lasso" (Apple TV+)
3Bill Hader, "Barry" (HBO)
4Steve Martin, "Only Murders in the Building" (Hulu)
5Martin Short, "Only Murders in the Building" (Hulu)
6Jason Segel, "Shrinking" (AppleTV+)
7Adam Scott, "Party Down" (Starz)

Outstanding Lead Actor In A Drama Series

Tom O'Brien
1Jeremy Strong, "Succession" (HBO)
2Bob Odenkirk, "Better Call Saul" (AMC)
3Pedro Pascal, "The Last of Us" (HBO)
4Kieran Culkin, "Succession" (HBO)
5Matthew Rhys, "Perry Mason" (HBO)
6Jeff Bridges, "The Old Man" (FX)
7Brian Cox, "Succession" (HBO)

Outstanding Lead Actor In A Limited Or Anthology Series Or Movie

Tom O'Brien
1Evan Peters, "Monster: ​​The Jeffrey Dahmer Story" (Netflix)
2Daniel Radcliffe, "Weird: The Al Yankovic Story" (Roku Channel)
3Taron Egerton, "Black Bird" (Apple TV+)
4Steven Yeun, "Beef" (Netflix)
5Jesse Plemons, "Love and Death" (HBO Max)
6Jesse Eisenberg, "Fleishman Is in Trouble" (FX)
7Michael Shannon, "George and Tammy" (Showtime)

Outstanding Supporting Actress In A Comedy Series

Tom O'Brien
1Sheryl Lee Ralph, "Abbott Elementary" (ABC)
2Hannah Waddingham, "Ted Lasso" (Apple TV+)
3Ayo Edebiri, "The Bear" (Hulu)
4Alex Borstein, "The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel" (Amazon Prime Video)
5Janelle James, "Abbott Elementary" (ABC)
6Jessica Williams, "Shrinking" (Apple TV+)
7Lisa Ann Walter, "Abbott Elementary" (ABC)

Outstanding Supporting Actress In A Drama Series

Tom O'Brien
1Jennifer Coolidge, "The White Lotus: Sicily" (HBO)
2Rhea Seehorn, "Better Call Saul" (AMC)
3Aubrey Plaza, "The White Lotus: Sicily" (HBO)
4J. Smith-Cameron, "Succession" (HBO)
5Meghann Fahy, "The White Lotus: Sicily" (HBO)
6Christina Ricci, "Yellowjackets" (Showtime)
7Elizabeth Debicki, "The Crown" (Netflix)

Outstanding Supporting Actress In A Limited Or Anthology Series Or Movie

Tom O'Brien
1Niecy Nash-Betts, "Monster: ​​The Jeffrey Dahmer Story" (Netflix)
2Claire Danes, "Fleishman Is in Trouble” (FX)
3Lena Headey, "White House Plumbers" (HBO)
4Juliette Lewis, "Welcome to Chippendales" (Hulu)
5Lily Rabe, "Love and Death" (HBO Max)
6Olivia Colman, "Great Expectations" (FX)
7Judy Greer, "White House Plumbers" (HBO)

Outstanding Supporting Actor In A Comedy Series

Tom O'Brien
1Tyler James Williams, "Abbott Elementary" (ABC)
2Brett Goldstein, "Ted Lasso" (Apple TV+)
3Harrison Ford, "Shrinking" (Apple TV+)
4Henry Winkler, "Barry" (HBO)
5Nick Mohammed, "Ted Lasso" (Apple TV+)
6Ebon Moss-Bacharach, "The Bear" (Hulu)
7Anthony Carrigan, “Barry" (HBO)

Outstanding Supporting Actor In A Drama Series

Tom O'Brien
1Matthew Macfadyen, "Succession" (HBO)
2F. Murray Abraham, “The White Lotus" (HBO)
3John Lithgow, "The Old Man" (FX)
4Alan Ruck, "Succession" (HBO)
5Nicholas Braun, "Succession" (HBO)
6Michael Imperioli, "The White Lotus" (HBO)
7Matt Smith, "House of the Dragon" (HBO)

Outstanding Supporting Actor In A Limited Or Anthology Series Or Movie

Tom O'Brien
1Paul Walter Hauser, "Black Bird" (Apple TV+)
2Richard Jenkins, "Monster: ​​The Jeffrey Dahmer Story" (Netflix)
3Domhnall Gleeson, "The Patient" (FX)
4Murray Bartlett, "Welcome to Chippendales" (Hulu)
5Ray Liotta, “Black Bird” (Apple TV+)
6Bowen Yang, "Fire Island" (Hulu)
7Jharrel Jerome, "Full Circle" (HBO Max)

Outstanding Directing For A Comedy Series

Tom O'Brien
1Christopher Storer, "The Bear" (FX)
2MJ Delaney, "Ted Lasso" (Apple TV+)
3Rian Johnson, "Poker Face" (Peacock)
4Bill Hader, “Barry" (HBO)
5James Ponsoldt, "Shrinking" (Apple TV+)
6Randall Einhorn, "Abbott Elementary" (ABC)
7Amy Sherman-Palladino, "The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel" (Amazon Prime Video)

Outstanding Directing For A Drama Series

Tom O'Brien
1Mark Mylod, "Succession" (HBO)
2Mike White, "The White Lotus" (HBO)
3Craig Mazin, "The Last of Us" (HBO)
4Daisy von Scherler Mayer, "Yellowjackets" (Showtime)
5Vince Gilligan, "Better Call Saul" (AMC)
6Peter Gould, "Better Call Saul" (AMC)
7Miguel Sapochnik, "House of the Dragon" (HBO)

Outstanding Directing For A Limited Or Anthology Series

Tom O'Brien
1James Pondsoldt, "Daisy Jones & The Six" (Amazon Prime Video)
2Paris Barclay, "Dahmer – Monster: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story" (Netflix)
3Michaël R. Roskam, "Black Bird" (Apple TV+)
4Lesli Linka Glatter, "Love & Death" (HBO)
5David Mandel, "White House Plumbers" (HBO)
6Eric Appel, "Weird: The Al Yankovic Story" (The Roku Channel)
7Deborah Chow, "Obi-Wan Kenobi" (Disney+)

Outstanding Writing For A Comedy Series

Tom O'Brien
1Brendan Hunt, Joe Kelly & Jason Sudeikis, "Ted Lasso" (Apple TV+)
2Christopher Storer, "The Bear" (FX)
3Quinta Brunson, "Abbott Elementary" (ABC)
4Amy Sherman-Palladino, "The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel" (Prime Video)
5John Hoffman & Noah Levine, "Only Murders In The Building" (Hulu)
6Bill Lawrence, Jason Segel & Brett Goldstein, "Shrinking" (Apple TV+)
7Bill Hader, "Barry" (HBO)

Outstanding Writing For A Drama Series

Tom O'Brien
1Jesse Armstrong, "Succession" (HBO)
2Mike White, "The White Lotus: Sicily" (HBO)
3Vince Gilligan, "Better Call Saul" (AMC)
4Ameni Rosza, "Yellowjackets" (Showtime)
5Peter Gould, "Better Call Saul" (AMC)
6Craig Mazin, "The Last Of Us" (HBO)
7Peter Morgan, "The Crown" (Netflix)

Outstanding Writing For A Limited Or Anthology Series Or Movie

Tom O'Brien
1Lee Sung Jin, "Beef" (Netflix)
2Dennis Lehane, "Black Bird" (Apple TV+)
3Taffy Brodesser-Akner, "Fleishman Is In Trouble" (FX)
4David E. Kelly, "Love & Death" (HBO Max)
5Ryan Murphy & Ian Brennan, "Monster: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story" (Netflix)
6Alex Gregory & Peter Huyck, "White House Plumbers" (HBO)
7Abe Sylvia, "George And Tammy" (Showtime)

Outstanding Writing For A Variety Special      

Tom O'Brien
1"Last Week Tonight With John Oliver" (HBO)
2"Saturday Night Live" (NBC)
3"A Black Lady Sketch Show" (HBO)
4"Late Night With Seth Meyers" (NBC)
5"The Late Show with Stephen Colbert" (CBS)