Emmy Predictions – Tom O’Brien

Here are Tom O’Brien’s 2026 Emmy Predictions. Ranking is updated in real-time, and is constantly changing until the end of the season.

Click each heading to view individual staff rankings, or search/sort by the drop-downs below:

Outstanding Comedy Series

Tom O'Brien
1"Hacks" (HBO Max)
2"Shrinking" (Apple TV)
3"Only Murders in the Building" (Hulu)
4"The Comeback" (HBO Max)
5"Margo's Got Money Troubles" (Apple TV)
6"Abbott Elementary" (ABC)
7"The Lowdown" (FX)
8"The Bear" (FX)
9"The Fall and Rise of Reggie Dinkins" (NBC)
10"Rooster" (HBO Max)

Outstanding Drama Series

Tom O'Brien
1"The Pitt" (HBO Max)
2"Pluribus" (Apple TV)
3"Slow Horses" (Apple TV)
4"The Diplomat" (Netflix)
5"Task" (HBO Max)
6"The Gilded Age" (HBO Max)
7"The Morning Show" (Apple TV)
8"Euphoria" (HBO Max)
9"Fallout" (Prime Video)
10"The Testaments" (Hulu)

Outstanding Limited Or Anthology Series

Tom O'Brien
1"Half Man" (HBO Max)
2"Beef" (Netflix)
3"Lord of the Flies" (Netflix)
4"Love Story: JFK Jr. and Carolyn Bissette" (FX)
5"All Her Fault" (Peacock)
6"The Beast in Me" (Netflix)
7"DTF St. Louis" (HBO Max)
8"Death by Lightning" (Netflix)
9"Black Rabbit" (Netflix)
10"Monster: The Ed Gein Story" (Netflix)

Outstanding Television Movie

Tom O'Brien
1"Peaky Blinders: The Immortal Man" (Netflix)
2"The Thursday Murder Club"(Netflix)
3"People We Meet on Vacation" (Netflix)
4"Deep Cover" (Prime Video)
5"Swiped" (Hulu)
6"Echo Valley" (Apple TV)
7"Remarkably Bright Creatures" (Netflix)
8"Pizza Movie" (Hulu)
9"Happy Gilmore 2" (Netflix)
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Outstanding Animated Program

Tom O'Brien
1"South Park" (Comedy Central)
2"The Simpsons" (FOX)
3"Bob's Burgers" (FOX)
4"Rick and Morty" (Adult Swim)
5"Invincible (Prime Video)
6"Stranger Things: Tales from '85" (Netflix)
7"Primal" (Adult Swim)
8"Star Wars: Maul-Shadow Lord" (Disney+)
9"Splinter Cell: Deathwatch" (Netflix)
10"Kevin" (Prime Video)

Outstanding Competition Program

Tom O'Brien
1"The Traitors" (Peacock)
2"Survivor" (CBS)
3“RuPaul’s Drag Race” (MTV)
4"The Amazing Race" (CBS)
5"Top Chef" (Bravo)
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Outstanding Variety Talk Series

Tom O'Brien
1“The Late Show with Stephen Colbert” (CBS)
2“Jimmy Kimmel Live!” (ABC)
3"Late Night With Seth Meyers" (NBC)
4“The Daily Show” (Comedy Central)
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Outstanding Variety Sketch Series

Tom O'Brien
1"Last Week Tonight with John Oliver" (HBO Max)
2“Saturday Night Live” (NBC)
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Outstanding Lead Actress In A Comedy Series

Tom O'Brien
1Jean Smart, "Hacks" (HBO Max)
2Lisa Kudrow, "The Comeback" (HBO Max)
3Elle Fanning, "Margo's Got Money Troubles" (Apple TV)
4Kristen Bell, "Nobody Wants This" (Netflix)
5Quinta Brunson, "Abbott Elementary" (ABC)
6Ayo Edebiri, "The Bear" (FX)
7Jenna Ortega, "Wednesday" (Netflix)
8Selena Gomez, "Only Murders in the Building" (Hulu)
9Kristen Wiig, "Palm Royale" (Apple TV)
10Rachel Sennott, "I Love L.A." (HBO Max)

Outstanding Lead Actress In A Drama Series

Tom O'Brien
1Rhea Seehorn, "Pluribus" (Apple TV)
2Keri Russell, "The Diplomat" (Netflix)
3Carrie Coon, "The Gilded Age" (HBO Max)
4Zendaya , "Euphoria" (HBO Max)
5Kathy Bates, "Matlock" (CBS)
6Jennifer Aniston, "The Morning Show (Apple TV)
7Emma Thompson, "Down Cemetery Road (Apple TV)
8Chase Infiniti, "The Testaments" (Hulu)
9Michelle Pfeiffer, "The Madison" (Paramount+)
10Reese Witherspoon, "The Morning Show (Apple TV)

Outstanding Lead Actress In A Limited Or Anthology Series Or Movie

Tom O'Brien
1Sarah Snook, "All Her Fault" (Peacock)
2Carey Mulligan, "Beef" (Netflix)
3Claire Danes, "The Beast in Me" (Netflix)
4Sarah Pidgeon, "Love Story: JFK Jr. and Carolyn Bissette" (FX)
5Linda Cardellini, "DTF St. Louis" (HBO Max)
6Kerry Washington, "Imperfect Women" (Apple TV)
7Tessa Thompson, "His and Hers" (Netflix)
8Rachel Weisz, "Vladimir" (Netflix)
9Robin Wright, "The Girlfriend" (Prime)
10Julianne Moore, "Echo Valley" (Apple TV)

Outstanding Lead Actor In A Comedy Series

Tom O'Brien
1Jason Segel, "Shrinking" (Apple TV)
2Ethan Hawke, "The Lowdown" (FX)
3Martin Short, "Only Murders in the Building" (Hulu)
4Steve Carell, "Rooster" (HBO Max)
5Adam Brody, "Nobody Wants This" (Netflix)
6Jeremy Allen White, "The Bear" (Hulu)
7Steve Martin, "Only Murders in the Building" (Hulu)
8Dan Levy, "Big Mistakes" (Netflix)
9Tracy Morgan, "The Rise and Fall of Reggie Dinkins" (NBC)
10Tim Robinson, "The Chair Company" (HBO Max)

Outstanding Lead Actor In A Drama Series

Tom O'Brien
1Noah Wyle, "The Pitt" (HBO Max)
2Mark Ruffalo, "Task" (HBO Max)
3Gary Oldman, "Slow Horses" (Apple TV)
4Sterling K. Brown, "Paradise" (Hulu)
5Billy Bob Thornton, "Landman" (Paramount+)
6Morgan Spector, "The Gilded Age" (HBO Max)
7Walton Goggins, "Fallout" (Prime Video)
8Peter Claffey, "A Knight of the Seven Kingdoms" (HBO Max)
9Jon Hamm, "Your Friends & Neighbors" (Apple TV)
10Tom Hiddleston, "The Night Manager" (Prime Video)

Outstanding Lead Actor In A Limited Or Anthology Series Or Movie

Tom O'Brien
1Richard Gadd, "Half Man" (HBO Max)
2Matthew Rhys, "The Beast in Me" (Netflix)
3Oscar Issac, "Beef" (Netflix)
4Jason Bateman, "Black Rabbit" (Netflix)
5Charlie Hunnam, "Monster: The Ed Gein Story" (Netflix)
6Michael Shannon, "Death by Lightning" (Netflix)
7Cillian Murphy, "Peaky Blinders: The Immortal Man" (Netflix)
8Paul Anthony Kelly, "Love Story: JFK Jr. and Carolyn Bissette" (FX)
9David Harbour, "DTF St. Louis" (HBO Max)
10Riz Ahmed, "Bait" (Prime Video)

Outstanding Supporting Actress In A Comedy Series

Tom O'Brien
1Hannah Einbinder, "Hacks" (HBO Max)
2Jessica Williams, "Shrinking" (Apple TV)
3Michelle Pfeiffer, "Margo's Got Money Troubles" (Apple TV)
4Janelle James, "Abbott Elementary" (ABC)
5Sheryl Lee Ralph, "Abbott Elementary" (ABC)
6Danielle Deadwyler, "Rooster" (HBO Max)
7Ashley Padilla, "Saturday Night Live" (NBC)
8Meg Stalter, "Hacks" (HBO Max)
9Erika Alexander, "The Fall and Rise of Reggie Dinkins" (NBC)
10Liza Colon-Zayas, "The Bear" (FX)

Outstanding Supporting Actress In A Drama Series

Tom O'Brien
1Katherine LaNasa, "The Pitt" (HBO Max)
2Karolina Wydra, "Pluribus" (Apple TV)
3Taylor Dearden, "The Pitt" (HBO Max)
4Isa Briones, "The Pitt" (HBO Max)
5Allison Janney, "The Diplomat" (Netflix)
6Sepideh Moafi, "The Pitt" (HBO Max)
7Fiona Dourif, "The Pitt" (HBO Max)
8Emilia Jones, "Task" (HBO Max)
9Christine Baranski, "The Gilded Age" (HBO Max)
10Juliane Nicholson, "Paradise" (Hulu)

Outstanding Supporting Actress In A Limited Or Anthology Series Or Movie

Tom O'Brien
1Cailee Spaeny, "Beef" (Netflix)
2Yuh-Jung Youn, "Beef" (Netflix)
3Laurie Metcalf, "Monster: The Ed Gein Story" (Netflix)
4Sophia Lillis, "All Her Fault" (Peacock)
5Betty Gilpin, "Death By Lightning" (Netflix)
6Naomi Watts, "Love Story: JFK Jr. and Carolyn Bissette" (FX)
7Brittany Snow, "The Beast in Me" (Netflix)
8Dakota Fanning, "All Her Fault" (Peacock)
9Grace Gummer, "Love Story: JFK Jr. and Carolyn Bissette" (FX)
10Constance Zimmer, "Love Story: JFK Jr. and Carolyn Bissette" (FX)

Outstanding Supporting Actor In A Comedy Series

Tom O'Brien
1Harrison Ford, "Shrinking" (Apple TV)
2Michael Urie, "Shrinking" (Apple TV)
3Paul W. Downs, "Hacks" (HBO Max)
4Nick Offerman, "Margo's Got Money Troubles" (Apple TV)
5Marcello Hernandez, "Saturday Night Live" (NBC)
6Tyler James Williams, "Abbott Elementary" (ABC)
7Ebon Moss-Bachrach, "The Bear" (FX)
8Daniel Radcliffe, "The Fall and Rise of Reggie Dinkins" (NBC)
9Colman Domingo, "The Four Seasons" (Netflix)
10Phil Dunster, "Rooster" (HBO Max)

Outstanding Supporting Actor In A Drama Series

Tom O'Brien
1Patrick Ball, "The Pitt" (HBO Max)
2Tom Pelphrey, "Task" (HBO Max)
3Billy Crudup, "The Morning Show" (Apple TV)
4Jack Lowden, "Slow Horses" (Apple TV)
5Carlos-Manuel Vesga, "Pluribus" (Apple TV)
6Colman Domingo, "Euphoria" (HBO Max)
7Gerran Howell, "The Pitt" (HBO Max)
8Jacob Elordi, "Euphoria" (HBO Max)
9James Marsden, "Paradise" (Hulu)
10Sam Elliott, "Landman" (Paramount+)

Outstanding Supporting Actor In A Limited Or Anthology Series Or Movie

Tom O'Brien
1Jamie Bell, Half Man (HBO Max)
2Charles Melton, "Beef" (Netflix)
3Nick Offerman, "Death By Lightning" (Netflix)
4Troy Kotsur, "Black Rabbit" (Netflix)
5Richard Jenkins, "DTF St. Louis" (HBO Max)
6Jonathan Banks, "The Beast in Me" (Netflix)
7Alessandro Nivola, "Love Story: JFK Jr. and Carolyn Bissette" (FX)
8Tom Hollander, "Monster: The Ed Gein Story" (Netflix)
9Tom Hollander, "Monster: The Ed Gein Story" (Netflix)
10Jake Lacy, "All Her Fault" (Peacock)

Outstanding Guest Actress In A Drama Series

Tom O'Brien
1Brittany Allen , "The Pitt" (HBO Max)
2Merrit Wever, “The Gilded Age” (HBO Max)
3Tal Anderson, "The Pitt" (HBO Max)
4Shailene Woodley, “Paradise” (Hulu)
5Miriam Shor, “Pluribus” (Apple TV)
6Leslie Uggams, “The Gilded Age” (HBO Max)
7Richa Moorjani, "Alien: Earth" (FX)
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Outstanding Guest Actress In A Comedy Series     

Tom O'Brien
1Cherry Jones, "Hacks" (HBO Max)
2Amy Poehler, "Saturday Night Live” (NBC)
3Jamie Lee Curtis, “The Bear” (FX)
4Ariana Grande, "Saturday Night Live” (NBC)
5Candice Bergen, "Shrinking" (Apple TV)
6Danielle Deadwyler, “The Bear” (FX)
7Kaitlin Olson, "Hacks" (HBO Max)
8Leslie Bibb, "Hacks" (HBO Max)
9Malin Akerman, "The Comeback" (HBO)
10Keyla Monterroso Mejia, "Abbott Elementary" (ABC)

Outstanding Guest Actor In A Drama Series

Tom O'Brien
1Shawn Hatosy, "The Pitt" (HBO Max)
2Jeff Kober, "The Pitt" (HBO Max)
3Jeff Hiller, "Pluribus" (Apple TV)
4Jeremy Irons, "The Morning Show” (Apple TV)
5Ernest Harden Jr., "The Pitt" (HBO Max)
6Jonathan Pryce, "Slow Horses" (Apple TV)
7Samba Schutte, “Pluribus” (Apple TV)
8Charles Baker, "The Pitt" (HBO Max)
9Luke Tennie, "The Pitt" (HBO Max)
10Jeff Hiller, "Pluribus" (Apple TV)

Outstanding Guest Actor In A Comedy Series     

Tom O'Brien
1Michael J. Fox, "Shrinking" (Apple TV)
2Peter Dinklage, "The Lowdown" (FX)
3Ryan Gosling, "Saturday Night Live” (NBC)
4Bad Bunny, "Saturday Night Live” (NBC)
5Andrew Scott, "The Comeback" (HBO)
6Rob Reiner, "The Bear" (FX)
7Jeff Daniels, "Shrinking" (Apple TV)
8Tony Goldwyn, "Hacks" (HBO Max)
9Jon Bernthal, "The Bear" (FX)
10Colman Domingo, "Saturday Night Live" (NBC)

Outstanding Directing For A Comedy Series

Tom O'Brien
1Lucia Aniello, “Hacks” (HBO Max)
2Michael Patrick King, “The Comeback” (HBO Max)
3Mary Lou Belli, “The Ms. Pat Show” (BET)
4Dearbhla Walsh, "Margo's Got Money Troubles (Apple TV)
5Sterlin Harjo, “The Lowdown” (FX)
6Randall Keenan Winston, “Shrinking” (Apple TV)
7Janicza Bravo, "The Bear" (FX)
8Randall Einhorn, "Abbott Elementary" (ABC)
9Rhys Thomas, "The Fall and Rise of Reggie Dinkins" (NBC)
10Zach Braff, "Rooster" (HBO Max)

Outstanding Directing For A Drama Series

Tom O'Brien
1John Wells, "The Pitt" (HBO Max)
2Vince Gilligan, "Pluribus" (Apple TV)
3Amanda Marsalis, "The Pitt" (HBO Max)
4Saul Metzstein, "Slow Horses" (Apple TV)
5Jeremiah Zagar, "Task" (HBO Max)
6Gordon Smith, "Pluribus" (Apple TV)
7Uta Briesewitz, "The Pitt" (HBO Max)
8Alex Graves, "The Diplomat"
9Sarah Adina Smith, "A Knight of the Seven Kingdoms" (HBO Max)
10Ken Olin, "Paradise" (Hulu)

Outstanding Directing For A Limited Or Anthology Series

Tom O'Brien
1Alexandra Brodski, "Half Man" (HBO Max)
2Jake Schreier, "Beef" (Netflix)
3Marc Munden, "Lord of the Flies" (Netflix)
4Jason Bateman, "Black Rabbit" (Netflix)
5Matt Ross, "Death by Lightning" (Netflix)
6Minkie Spiro, "All Her Fault" (Peacock)
7Max Winkler, "Love Story: JFK Jr. and Carolyn Bissette" (FX)
8Antonio Campos, "The Beast in Me" (Netflix)
9Steven Conrad, "DTF St. Louis" (HBO Max)
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Outstanding Writing For A Comedy Series  

Tom O'Brien
1Lucia Aniello & Paul W. Downs & Jen Statsky, "Hacks" (HBO Max)
2Bill Lawrence & Brett Goldstein & Neil Goldman, "Shrinking" (Apple TV)
3Sterlin Harjo, "The Lowdown" (FX)
4Michael Patrick King & Lisa Kudrow, "The Comeback" (HBO Max)
5David E. Kelley, "Margo's Got Money Troubles" (Apple TV)
6Christopher Storer, "The Bear" (FX)
7Tim Robinson & Zach Kanin, "The Chair Company" (HBO Max)
8Quinta Brunson, "Abbott Elementary" (ABC)
9J. J. Philbin & Ben Smith, "Only Murders in the Building" (Hulu)
10Bill Lawrence & Brett Goldstein & Neil Goldman, "Shrinking" (Apple TV)

Outstanding Writing For A Drama Series
 

Tom O'Brien
1R. Scott Gemmill, "The Pitt" (HBO Max)
2Vince Gilligan, "Pluribus" (Apple TV)
3Will Smith, "Slow Horses" (Apple TV)
4Brad Ingelsby, "Task" (HBO Max)
5Debora Cahn, "The Diplomat" (Netflix)
6Alison Tatlock & Gordon Smith, "Pluribus" (Apple TV)
7Noah Wyle, "The Pitt" (HBO Max)
8Joe Sachs, "The Pitt" (HBO Max)
9Charlotte Stoudt & Zander Lehmann, "The Morning Show" (Apple TV)
10Dan Fogelman & Eric Wen, "Paradise" (Hulu)

Outstanding Writing For A Limited Or Anthology Series Or Movie

Tom O'Brien
1Richard Gadd, "Half Man" (HBO Max)
2Lee Sung Jin, "Beef"
3Mike Makowsky, "Death by Lightning" (Netflix)
4Jack Thorne, "Lord of the Flies" (Netflix)
5Connor Hines, "Love Story: JFK Jr. and Carolyn Bissette" (FX)
6Steven Conrad, "DTF St. Louis" (HBO Max)
7Gabe Rotter and Daniel Pearle, "The Beast in Me" (Netflix)
8Zach Baylin & Kate Susman, "Black Rabbit" (Netflix)
9Ian Brennan, "Monster: The Ed Gein Story" (Netflix)
10Annie Weisman & Kay Oyegun, "Imperfect Women" (Apple TV)

Outstanding Writing For A Variety Special      

Tom O'Brien
1"Last Week Tonight with John Oliver" (HBO Max)
2"The Daily Show" (Comedy Central)
3"Saturday Night Live" (NBC)
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